Pivot

SpaceX IPO: Markets, Morals, and What It Means for You

62 min
Jun 12, 2026about 1 month ago
Listen to Episode
Summary

Pivot analyzes the SpaceX IPO priced at $135/share, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion and potentially making Elon Musk the world's first trillionaire. The hosts examine how manufactured scarcity through SEC rule waivers could artificially inflate demand, while also discussing Musk's influence over government contracts, his involvement in anti-immigration riots in Northern Ireland, and broader concerns about wealth concentration and regulatory capture in tech.

Insights
  • SpaceX IPO represents a bet on Elon Musk's personal influence rather than company fundamentals, with unprecedented control concentration raising governance concerns
  • SEC waiver reducing float from 10% to 5% combined with forced index inclusion creates artificial demand of $30-50B for limited shares, potentially inflating prices 10%+ on day one
  • Government contract dependency (20% of SpaceX revenue) creates structural entrenchment regardless of political administration changes, making divestment politically difficult
  • Wealth concentration enables political influence that shapes policy outcomes: Musk's $250M election spend secured SEC rule changes worth $80B+ in personal gains
  • Moral hazard in investment banking: underwriters ignore ethical concerns when financial incentives align, as demonstrated by lack of pushback on Musk's recent conduct
Trends
AI company IPO wave: SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic all pursuing public markets simultaneously, creating potential bubble conditions and retail investor FOMORegulatory capture through wealth: Tech billionaires using campaign contributions to secure favorable rule changes that directly benefit their valuationsGovernment contract consolidation: Defense and space spending increasingly concentrated with politically connected private companies rather than traditional contractorsManufactured scarcity as IPO strategy: Deliberate float restrictions combined with index inclusion rules to artificially inflate first-day trading velocityDeclining social media adoption among teens: Regulatory pressure from Canada, UK, and Australia creating global momentum for age restrictions despite enforcement challengesInflation as wealth transfer mechanism: Rising prices disproportionately harm non-asset owners while benefiting stock and real estate holders, exacerbating inequalityMedia consolidation debt burden: Paramount-Warner Bros merger faces execution risk due to high leverage and unrealistic cost-cutting promises post-closePodcast monetization surge: AI companies competing to secure exclusive podcast distribution deals, replicating late-1990s dot-com spending patterns
Topics
SpaceX IPO Valuation and Pricing StrategySEC Rule Waivers and Regulatory CaptureElon Musk's Political Influence and Government ContractsManufactured Scarcity in IPO MarketsAI Company IPO Pipeline and Bubble RiskWealth Concentration and Democratic AccountabilitySocial Media Age Restrictions and Teen SafetyInflation's Distributional Effects on InequalityParamount-Warner Bros Merger Antitrust ReviewCampaign Finance and Citizens United ImpactStarlink's Revenue Concentration RiskTech Billionaire Regulatory InfluenceRetail Investor Protection in IPOsGovernment Contract Dependency and Political RiskMedia Industry Debt and Restructuring Risk
Companies
SpaceX
Subject of episode: IPO priced at $135/share, $1.77T valuation, 20% revenue from government contracts, Starlink subsi...
OpenAI
Filed for IPO with $852B valuation, competing with SpaceX and Anthropic in AI company IPO wave
Anthropic
AI company pursuing IPO, competing with OpenAI and SpaceX for investor capital in AI bubble
Tesla
Elon Musk's company; hosts note brand damage and declining sales amid Musk's controversial statements
X (formerly Twitter)
Musk-owned platform used to amplify anti-immigration rhetoric in Northern Ireland, raising governance concerns
Paramount Global
Pursuing $110B merger with Warner Bros; accused Netflix of poisoning regulators; facing antitrust review
Warner Bros Discovery
Merger target of Paramount; combined entity would face significant debt and cost-cutting pressures
Netflix
Accused by Paramount of waging scorched earth campaign against merger; controls 60% of streaming market share
Microsoft
Mentioned as Harvey AI integration partner for legal work automation
Apple
Referenced as example of company raising prices to offset inflation impact on margins
Amazon
Discussed as example of company consumers claim to hate while continuing to use and purchase from
Dell Technologies
Michael Dell cited as example of political donor receiving government contracts after Trump endorsement
Goldman Sachs
Criticized for abandoning diversity commitments to underwrite SpaceX IPO despite Musk's controversial conduct
Comcast
Analogy used to describe Starlink's business model as 'Comcast in space'
xAI
Musk's AI company attached to SpaceX, trading at 100x revenues, described as 'money furnace'
People
Kara Swisher
Co-host of Pivot discussing SpaceX IPO, Musk's influence, and tech regulation
Scott Galloway
Co-host providing financial analysis of SpaceX valuation, manufactured scarcity, and market fragility
Stephanie Ruhl
Guest analyst discussing SpaceX IPO, Musk's political influence, and moral hazards in investment banking
Elon Musk
Central figure: SpaceX IPO will make him world's first trillionaire; involved in Northern Ireland anti-immigration riots
Paul Atkins
Allegedly pressured by Trump to waive NASDAQ 100 inclusion rules to benefit SpaceX IPO
Donald Trump
Recipient of Musk's $250M election spending; allegedly called SEC to waive SpaceX IPO rules
JD Vance
Suggested Tucker Carlson interview Ghislaine Maxwell in Epstein war room strategy meetings
Sam Altman
Leading OpenAI IPO filing; competing with SpaceX and Anthropic in AI company IPO wave
Ted Sarandos
Hosts believe he won't aggressively lobby against Paramount-Warner Bros merger; known for diplomatic approach
Bill Gates
Testified behind closed doors about Epstein connection; acknowledged grave error in judgment
Ghislaine Maxwell
Imprisoned associate of Epstein; JD Vance suggested Tucker Carlson interview her for damage control
Taylor Swift
Attended Knicks game courtside; symbolic of her influence and cultural moment amid Scooter Braun karma discussion
Anne Applebaum
Guest on Proph G Conversation discussing Ukraine's rewriting of warfare rules and soft power
Fiona Hill
Guest on Proph G Conversation discussing Ukraine conflict and global power dynamics
Elizabeth Warren
Vocal critic of SpaceX IPO; concerned about impact on retirees and wealth concentration
Bernie Sanders
Advocating for wealth caps on companies like OpenAI and SpaceX
Jamie Dimon
Publicly supporting SpaceX IPO despite not being lead underwriter
Aswath Damodaran
Analyst critical of SpaceX IPO pricing as ridiculous despite expected initial pop
Quotes
"People who are investing, people who are participating in the IPO, they're not buying SpaceX. You're betting on Elon Musk."
Stephanie RuhlEarly in SpaceX IPO discussion
"This is the greatest degree of manufactured scarcity ever in an IPO, and this is about to be the greatest transfer of wealth from retail investors since crypto."
Scott GallowaySpaceX IPO analysis
"Once you're embedded in the government with these government contracts, it's like a tick biting you, right? Like you don't just get a tick bite and pull it out."
Stephanie RuhlGovernment contract entrenchment discussion
"Taxes are Kevlar against corruption. Because when people aggregate too much money, they become corrupt."
Scott GallowayWealth concentration discussion
"Revolutions don't start because people aren't employed. They start because people are working two jobs and are still hungry."
Scott GallowayInflation and inequality discussion
Full Transcript
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Get started at klaviyo.com. When it comes to home improvement, even the most experienced DIYer has a limit. I'm not going to come in here with the blow torch and get it hot and solder and put the copper pipes to come. I'm not doing it. I call it very nice man to handle it. When to call the experts and when to do it yourself. That's this week on Explain It To Me. Find new episodes, Sundays, wherever you get your podcasts. By the way, she's sliding to my DMs faster than she's sliding to your DMs. That is correct. That is 100% correct. Hi everyone, this is Pivot from the Vox Media Podcast Network. I'm Cara Swisher. And I'm Scott Galloway. Scott the Knicks, Stevie Knicks. Taylor Swift brought back Balanced to the Universe. What? What are you talking about? I don't understand. What are you talking about? Were you out late drinking? You didn't know what happened last night? Yeah, exactly. Were you there? And it doesn't feel late. I'm out at four in the morning and it's still light here. I'm in Stockholm. Oh, the Knicks. I'm talking about the New York Knicks. Oh yeah, yeah, yeah. I heard about that. Sometimes about a comeback. Sometimes about the greatest comeback in history. Oh my God. It was like 20s. I'm not even interested in sports and I watched the fuck out of that. Largely because Taylor Swift was in the front row with Mariska Hardigay. Hardigay, yeah. Yeah, Hardigay Benson and they were hugging all the time. I'm wearing adorable t-shirts like Stevie Knicks and Nickel, Knicksleback and so. Let me just say that was quite a game and it was quite a shift. What they were down quite a bit and at the last minutes I was like, oh, they can't win. I looked away. I was folding laundry and stuff and then they came back and then they got ahead and then they got behind and then the last like 30 seconds, this guy tipped a ball into the thing and it was crazy. Tipped a ball into the thing. Into the thing. It was crazy and then Taylor Swift was there. The whole thing. There were a lot of celebrities, but let me just say. It's great for her. Sports center starting Kara Swisher. There you go. It was so good and then the parties, people watching on the streets everywhere. Amazing. Just amazing. I love New York. I love New York. So I was going to stay, go to the Knicks game, go to Tribeca Film Festival. I had the greatest, I had a bunch of meetings. I had the greatest three days planned in New York and then I freaked out about not seeing my boys, fly home. I walk in the door expecting a hero's reception and I got one. Do you ever go one of these? They saw me. I walked in and they went like this. They went like just a little bit of a nod, a little bit of a head tilt. Like, hey bro, not even a hey bro, just like a nonverbal hey bro. No, no. And at that moment I thought I should be at the Knicks game. I know you should. What did I do? Can I just say? What did I do coming home? I don't need to be rude, but I never get that. My set. In fact, I had to be Mark Marin at the Film Festival. I had to film festival and he's like, yeah, everyone says their kids are great. I'm like, my kids are great. They're great. No, I get a big, I came in from a week away. I was in New York doing all manner of nonsense. Not me. I came home and they ran up and we had big hugs and they lay all over me and we laughed and laughed. Nope, not at all. And then Alex is like, come see me. I'm going to Australia with Louie. No, we're tight as ticks. Yeah, yeah, that's not happening at the Yellow Household. I even got a letter. Clara wrote me a letter. She's starting to write. Oh, that's nice. About missing me. Yeah, that's great. That's great. Did you know Sweden has not been at war for 200 years? Oh. I think that's why the city. Who would war with Sweden? That's why the city is so beautiful. It really helps when you don't have the largest wealth. Was it involved in World War II? Not at all. I mean, okay, get this. In Sweden, the GDP, in World War II, the GDP of Sweden grew. Oh, wow. What are you doing? Were they Switzerlanding it? What was that? Basically, they're basically trading and making money while everyone else is killing each other. Lovely. What about World War I? They weren't involved in that? They have not been in a war for 200 years. So what time is it there? Because it's really bright. Is it like a million o'clock? No, it's almost midday. It's 5, 10 p.m. I'm not exaggerating. It's light out until 3 or 4 a.m. Yeah, 3 a.m. And then it gets kind of darkish, right? Yeah, it never really gets dark. It feels like it's dusk or dawn from 11 p.m. until 5 a.m. I didn't like that when I was there. So how is it going? How's it going with the Swedes? It's good. I'm at this thing called Brilliant Minds. Yeah, I told you I'd been there. Yeah, I've never been. I've been the first one. Yeah. It's my first one. For me, it's about Stockholm. I've been walking around a lot. It's really nice. There's a lot of reindeer. I had not known that. Although, I had literally the toughest meat in the world I had last night. I needed a chainsaw. Could have been reindeer. Maybe it was reindeer. Could have been reindeer. Yeah. Good. And Sweden. They were the first country in the world to have a negative central bank interest rate, where you had to pay money for them to hold on to your money. Well, I'm glad you're there. But let me just like go back to Tjellersvif very quickly. Here we go. She brought balance to the universe along with these ladies. They were dancing. They were being fans. They were, and what was my favorite part of, many of the parts of it, like there are so many, was that the guy that Scooter Braun was sitting with his girlfriend, Sydney Sweeney, way back behind her, who stole all her song. He bought them and he fucked with her. And she was sitting down front and having the time of her fucking life. But it was kind of an interesting karma thing, right? That he was there. He falls asleep. He looks totally uninterested in the game. They lose. She's there, courtside, screaming her ass off like a normal fan. And she's gone to Knicks games for years and years. And they went in a clutch and they come back. It just felt right. Yeah. If karma is a real thing, it means that Scooter Braun has been the nicest person in the world up until now. I don't care about any of this except who's sleeping with Sydney Sweeney. Well, he is. I think they're getting married. Yeah. Anyway, we have a lot to get to today. As we tape on Thursday, SpaceX is less than 24 hours out from its stock market debut. And we've got a special guest here to help us break it down. Let's bring in Stephanie Ruhl, anchor of the new MS Now show, Money Power Politics at 9 AM. She's moving from nighttime, the dark of nighttime on MS Now to morning. Welcome, Stephanie. Thank you so much for having me. As we tape on Thursday, SpaceX is less than 24 hours out from its stock market debut. The company has set its price at $135 a share, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion. SpaceX IPO will likely make Elon Musk the first trillionaire in the world ever and make over 4,000 current and former SpaceX employees millionaires. But if all of the IPOing isn't enough to keep Elon Musk busy, he has taken X to involve himself in very terrible anti-immigration riots in Northern Ireland, saying only by protesting repeatedly and that there would be any change. He's supporting a lot of really heinous people there in response to criticism about his support, Musk posted, murderous migrants beheading innocent people in their hometown is what's making people angry, not social media. So he's making terrible trouble and the British government has responded quite a bit to his involvement. He's been meddling over there for quite a while now. So firstly, let's talk about the IPO. Scott has had really great analysis of it and a lot of people like Aswath, NYU and others are like, this price is ridiculous and at the same time it'll probably jump up and then jump down essentially. So give us your headline of the SpaceX IPO. People who are investing, people who are participating in the IPO, they're not buying SpaceX. You're betting on Elon Musk. You are buying Elon Musk. The amount of control he has over this company is unprecedented and I'm not saying people should or they shouldn't, but that's who they're betting on and it's extraordinary to me because even think about what you just mentioned with where he's taken to X and with regard to the protest in Ireland. We even heard one word from the underwriters of like, are we okay with this? Do you remember it was five or six years ago when it's sort of like at the height of me too when Goldman had the big proclamation of like, we're only going to be doing deals with companies that have a commitment to diversity and that's the most. And I'm like, do we not have one shred of a moral compass here? And the answer is that we don't. No one is mentioning this. And when you think about how wealthy he's about to become and I'm not insulting it or complimenting it, I'm just saying, I just want people to realize this is a person who directly impacts what's happening in a war by pulling Starlink. This is a person who wants to control information so he buys a social media platform. This is a person who realized through Donald Trump, he can invest in candidates and by investing in candidates, get whatever he wants. The reason I think we are seeing an unprecedented amount of money going into these elections is because Elon Musk and Donald Trump prove that it works. You're not just getting a little bit of influence. One fifth of SpaceX's revenue, it says it right in the prospectus, comes from government contracts. And so we could all say this is hinky, this isn't how capitalism works, this isn't how democracy should work or free markets. But for the investment community is saying, in my opinion, if you can't beat them, join them. I'm here for the money. Here for the dough, Scott. I like Stephanie's sake. It's the boring stuff that moves the needle. Sorry, what'd you say? I couldn't hear you. I like stuff. I like my good friend Stephanie's sake. By the way, I slipped into my DMs if you ever decided that you've had it. Oh my God. You've just had it. You know how to reach me. You know how to reach me. Gross. Anyway, sorry. Where are we? Gross. Slide into my DMs. Slide into my DMs. By the way, she's sliding into my DMs faster than she's sliding into you. That is correct. That is 100% correct. I think that's true of most of our guests. Yes. Yes. Anyways. Move along and take her seriously, her thoughts, her deep thoughts on the situation with Musk. What's not getting enough reporting is that essentially Musk's ability to lean on Trump, who then called Paul Atkinson said, make the wave all previous rules and include this company in the NASDAQ 100, is going to create $30 to $50 billion in additional demand for a company with a float of $100 billion. So to use an analogy, imagine on any given week, there's 100,000 people looking for homes in San Francisco, and that creates a certain price discovery and certain pricing or housing. Imagine if all of a sudden, same number of houses for sale, there's 150,000 buyers. So when you look at the incremental demand of $30 to $50 billion is what I've calculated from things like QQQ and MSCI indices that are now forced to buy a company that might be 4% to 6% of the index, meaning that 4% to 6% of their capital under management has to be used to buy SpaceX stock, despite the fact, again, in a violation of preexisting rules that has been waived, only has 5% of its float out. You have what is in my opinion, the greatest degree of manufactured scarcity ever in an IPO, and this is about to be the greatest transfer of wealth from retail investors since crypto. 100% and Kara, just add into that what you originally said about who Elon Musk is, like go back to Ireland, like we're not just making a person, a company, this extraordinarily powerful, it's this person, who he is, what he's done, what he stands for. That's sort of the thing that I want to sort of underline and highlight. Doge, he just skated around Doge, he skated around, and this will give him an ability to skate around everything, right? Yes. Unless it goes up and down, right? Because he's not always been, he wasn't successful in Wisconsin, for example. His brand has gone to hell. Nobody's buying Teslas. There are implications, but this gives him another life, sort of a Lex Luthor just got another, the cat got another life, essentially. Yes, there's implications, but when you think about the stronghold that they have over the government, think about the amount of government contracts. When you say even if things go down, like once you are embedded in the government with these government contracts, it's like a tick biting you, right? Like you don't just get a tick bite and pull it out. The tick bites, all the tentacles pop out and it doesn't come back out. So when people even say, listen, when we have a different administration and they see things differently, a lot of these things are going to pull back out. Once you're this entangled in the government, it doesn't work that way. He's in. Well, what if the Democrats get in? Is he in? They're certainly, you know, Elizabeth Warren is, of course, is always speaking up. She's like, look, this is not a good thing to... He's going to hurt retirees. That's one of her things. She has a number of them. You have Bernie Sanders wanting a chunk of companies like his, another like an open AI or whatever. Do I think things are going to... Kara, how many years have we talked about closing the carried interest loophole? How many years have we talked about banning or limiting or adjusting congressional stock trading? For a zillion years. How many years have we talked about social media regulation and when Democrats had control? Sure. But I just think once you're embedded in the government, look at the case of Michael Dell, okay? Michael Dell, Gladdy did donate $6 billion to the Trump baby accounts. Super duper. Trump then says everybody should go out there and buy a Dell. The stock goes up. Trump buys the stock. And then Michael Dell gets a nine and a half billion dollar government contract. I'll bet my bottom dollar that come December, if Democrats take control, I don't think that government contract is getting canceled. Do you? No, no, no. But is there any price to pay for this kind of stuff? Well, there should be a price to pay because Democrats should be focused on two things as it relates to the midterms, affordability and accountability. If those are the two things that they can nail a message and a plan for, then they actually have a chance to take control here. So what is going to happen with this IPO? How does it go? You've been, you worked in this sector. Scott's talked, he thinks it's going to be a pop, then down and then a trough. You've seen all these charts, then a trough for a while and then it'll start to go up so that people buy at the trough. Listen, there's so much excitement. There's so much enthusiasm. I mean, I just saw something the other day with Jamie Dimon talking this up and they're not even the lead underwriter on this. There's just so, and listen, there's just so many people who are like Elon Musk, the guy who controls the world. I don't know. Let's bet on him. Like people just want in and especially as you can take, remember when at the height of COVID, the control Elon Musk had the time, like how he basically created meme stocks, right? Elon Musk, we're taking it to the moon and people were all in. And I think nerds like us are reading all 22,000 words of a prospectus, but there's scores of people out there who are just like, I just want in, even if it's for a minute. Now Scott, can you note, you had noticed a vibe chip though, right? It feels, and then another friend of mine said, they got a call from their broker to get into it now, which is a, they thought was a bad sign. It's like, it wasn't an email and they were way down on the list. Scott was talking, Scott, explain your feeling that the vibe is off. I think there's just been a tangible shift in vibe against AI. AI has come from 75% approval to 25%. And I do think that there's some wobbliness in the markets about maybe this, the economics that the technology will survive, but the valuations may not. Having said that, SpaceX is, I mean, Stephanie's right. There's just a lot of people, this is a cult, not a company that will invest in anything that Musk puts forward. And to be fair, even companies that made no sense from a bottoms of valuation standpoint, he's still figured out a way to show return to those investors who were willing to hold on to a mediocre automobile company that was trading like a software stock. So a lot of people, you know, the cult, a lot of people think that the decline in Bitcoin price is because people that same kind of person is selling their Bitcoin to be in this company. But basically what you have, just to remind everybody, you have a great company with great mults, it's a rocket company. The company that makes all the money is basically Comcast in space. It's Starlink. And then you have this ridiculous money furnace attached to it called XAI. And it's going out at 100 times revenues. But right now, just back to the prediction care, I'm not convinced it's not only going to pop out of the gates, it'll close first day up because I think some of the brightest minds in the history of finance with government control and the SEC on board have created a way to just pull off so much manufactured scarcity. You're not allowed to go public unless you issue at least 10% of the firm shares. They got a waiver to say only 5%. So just look at it this way, demand is the velocity of the water coming out of the hose. Supply, if you can constrict supply, you constrict the circumference of the nozzle. They are constricting the nozzle such that the velocity of the price here is going to be extreme to the upside. They're creating, they're creating false market. And Cara, professional investors know this. So while Scott can be telling all of this as a warning or a problem and we should be concerned about it, even if professional investors fundamentally agree with Scott and I'm sure they do, they're also saying, yeah, but guess what? It means the stock is going to go up. So I'll put it in my order. Buying a stock doesn't mean you're buying a house and you're locked into it for the next four years. And remember when Trump won and Doge was created, all three of us and scores of other people called Elon Musk a shadow president. And while he might not be sleeping on Stephen Miller's couch anymore and going into government agencies with a chainsaw, he still has an enormous, maybe even more influence over the government. We just don't see him walking into the Oval Office with his son on his shoulders and people know that. And when he's got that much influence over the government or I'm not going to go as far as to say Trump in his pocket, but Trump at least on his shoulder, that for many people, it might not be the right thing morally is going to be the right thing financially. And that's what the markets are about. Okay, let's listen to one more SpaceX question we got from a listener, Holly. What do you think about collective divestment of funds that automatically includes SpaceX stock? Would that sufficiently communicate that a lot of people are not okay with the changes that allowed this to happen? First you Stephanie and then you Scott. Yes. It would make a difference. And any sort of economic boycott and we've all talked about that. The only place you hit him where it hurts is an economic boycott. Like you can have the worst stories, you can have the worst headlines, you can drag all these guys to DC and have a hearing where Katie Porter pulls out a whiteboard and says, you're naughty, naughty, naughty. They don't care. They got on their plane and they go home. But if they're when and if there are significant economic boycotts, then they have no choice but to respond. I just don't know if we're ever going to see something like that. Right? When we talk so much about, you know, Bezos and Amazon and as people are saying, like I hate it or I hate those social media companies, they're saying it while they're scrolling through Instagram and then ordering Amazon packages. Scott. People opt for their economic security and if they think they can get 10 or 20% in a two or one or two hour trade, they know this is overvalued. They know that the game is being rigged here and they will take the allocation to get their 10 or 20%. No one says that a funeral. You know, this guy didn't participate in the SpaceX IPO because he had real integrity. Right. That's true. That's a good, well, they'll say that at mine. OpenAI is filed for an IPO. The company has not yet decided on timing saying in a statement, it may be a while because there are things we want to do that are likely easier for a private company. I don't know what that is. Like what, orgies? I don't know. OpenAI has last. No, no, it's in their defense. There's a lot you have to do, explain, account for when you go public. It's not easy. OpenAI was last valued at $852 billion. The filing comes shortly after rival Anthropics. Which of the three are you betting on and how worried are you about the concentration of so much market value in just a few companies? Does it make the entire, Scott has been talking about how the entire market is fragile? The entire market is fragile and I think the name of the game for all of them honestly is to be, you don't want to be the last one to IPO. Right? There is this huge appetite for AI. We're so excited, but there's so much and there's potentially so much over development. I think you just don't want to, of all of them, you just don't want to be the last one when you've exhausted the market. It's already exhausted. No one is rooting for this IPO more than Elon Musk other than Sam Altman. This sets the tone for the next couple IPOs. If this comes out really strong, these guys are going to be able to come out and say, look at our numbers versus SpaceX and you were willing to buy in it a hundred times. Open AI and Anthropoc are going to look like value stocks compared to SpaceX if SpaceX holds up. Yeah. Yeah. If it holds up, if there's enough money. And in the case of open AI and Anthropoc, especially as it relates to a retail investor, those are companies that people actually could say they know and they see more than they do SpaceX. That's a good point. All right. One last thing, inflation was up 4.2% annually in May, the highest in three years. Much of the surge came from the increase in oil prices, obviously, which burdened 35% in the months since US and Israel attacked Iran, but fear not, President Trump is feeling optimistic about the situation. He likes it. Let's listen to a clip. What do you think of service to President about the latest inflation number which came out this morning? Could that be a good one? No, I love it. The numbers were great. You know what I really love? I love the inflation. Okay. How much does he love inflation? Both of you. First you, Stephanie. How much would it rise before he started to not love it so much? Two things. As somebody who spent his life deeply in debt, I guess he could say, yes, inflation works for me. If you put it in full context or when he tried to do a cleanup later, he's basically saying, inflation's not bad. Think about where it could have been. People thought oil was going to be $200 a barrel. The fact of the matter is, and he said just this week, listen, gas prices were really high when Biden was in office, which was the case when Russia first invaded Ukraine. But guess what? Those high prices and inflation, I would say, were the fundamental reasons why Joe Biden and subsequently Kamala Harris didn't win the election. Donald Trump promised to lower prices day one. He obviously hasn't done that. I think when he talks about affordability being nonsense or an old fashioned term, I think he's selling the truth because he is in a gilded cage surrounded by people who have made, who are already super wealthy and they've made more money in the last two years than is even conceivable. But where it's politically devastating and not necessarily for him because he doesn't need to be president again, but for every Republican running, that sound bite of the president saying inflation's great. That hurts. You and I both have mothers that voted for Donald Trump, and I assure you, my mother does not think inflation is great, and she could tell you the price of London broil and the price of gas today. Like you said, London broil. This will hurt Republicans. I say London broil because that's the country he buys. Would you like some London broil, Scott? Well, people don't. 4.2% doesn't sound like a lot. What you need to do is quick math for people in terms of compounding, and that is at 4.2%, if that holds, that means the tuition to go to NYU at $62,000. If you have a baby today, when the kid is ready for college, tuition is now $125,000. Or bring it back just five years. It's easier for people to wrap their heads around. It's a car that costs $50,000. It's going to cost $61,000. It's not 4.2. It's 4.2 compounding. The other thing about this inflation print that's so bad is for the first time in several years, inflation is now greater than wages, meaning the quality of everyone's life, their prosperity has diminished. But not for Trump and the people who are around Trump, and he's happy as a clam in that bubble. I think if it wasn't for the war in Iran, he would be on cloud nine. And also, it just bears mentioning that for the three of us, it really doesn't matter because we own stocks, we own assets. We're hedged against inflation because our house goes up 4.2%, our stocks go up 4.2% because Apple will raise its prices. Who this hurts are earners that don't have assets yet. So and let's be clear, revolutions don't start because people aren't employed. They start because people are working two jobs and are still hungry. And this is yet again, it's another, there are still, Argentina's had 120% inflation. There's a class of people there that have always stayed wealthy because they own land. So the land owners and the stock owners, traditionally older people in the United States are just fine. Inflation is yet again another transfer of wealth from non-asset owners who are earners to the asset owners. Kara, let me just say when people say, when wealthy people say they're panic stricken over Zora Mamdani coming for capitalism and leading the eat the rich sentiment, he's not leading the eat the rich sentiment. Donald Trump saying, I like inflation is fueling the eat the rich sentiment, not the mayor of New York. That is correct. And the tech bro is saying all manner of nonsense every day of the week and twice on Sunday is the same thing. It's anger, it's anger inducing. And that's where you feel it, I think. Prediction on which of the IPOs coming or is the stock market about to take a deep fall as many people think. So which of all the IPOs, which one would you buy into? And are you worried about the stock market? Listen, I've been saying I've been worried about the stock market for quite some time. And if you talk to CEOs that are not the magnificent seven or that run companies that are impacted by tariffs or mass deportation, those companies are not booming. They are struggling. They can't walk into the White House and offer Donald Trump a plane or God only knows what. It's not so easy for them. So I think under the hood, things aren't great for lots of companies. But honestly, I'm not betting against the stock market because the only way it's been going is up and a current appetite for AI. To me, it might be fragile, but it's big. It's big. All right. Which one would you buy? It's on a plate in front of you. If I was hanging my morals out the window, I'd buy all of them. No. Okay. All right then. Thank you, Stephanie. And everyone be sure to watch our new MS Now show. I'm going to yell it. Money, power, politics weekdays at 9 a.m. She's going to be getting up early to give us the lowdown on everything. Tell us what this move is about. What is the situation with MPP? I think we need a great big morning show. I think that especially, obviously, we cover politics, we cover current events, but the economy is the number one thing that people vote on. Tomorrow, as we talk about the SpaceX IPO, we're going to have a newly minted trillionaire. We are 16 years out from Citizens United and have more money going into politics than ever. And not just politics because, hey, I like this candidate, politics because it's directly impacting policy, not to mention the gargantuan grift and corruption under our nose right now. I couldn't cover all that in one hour. I thought it was important that we covered it and we covered it in the morning for two hours in a way that we're sort of setting the tone for what we cover here because it's not just about following Trump and the crazy thing he's saying today. We're fundamentally changing potentially the way our economy works, the way capitalism works, and I think we need to cover it in a comprehensive way. And you guys know this as well as I do. The way that business news has traditionally been covered, it's business news covered for an audience that invests in the markets. And when CEOs go on TV, they're not necessarily giving their worldview. They're talking about specific information about their companies that's going to impact their earnings report and their stock performance that day. We need to have much bigger and broader conversations in that. And that's what we're hoping to do. At nine in the morning too. So you're on after morning Joe. So morning Joe sort of yamers on for a long time about politics mostly. So you're going to come in with a real hard nose show in the morning essentially. Yes, but also, I mean, yes, at nine in the morning, but I also think, and you guys know this, I actually just talked about this in an interview the other day. I think that when people watch TV, yes, people watch live TV, but it's more, you watch the show that you want to watch. And if you make an important show that matters, it doesn't actually, if you say, if land man is your favorite show or friends and neighbors, and I said to you, what time is it on? What day? You might say like, oh, I think it comes out on Fridays. I think for me, the most important thing isn't who's necessarily watching me at nine. It's how do we make the best show that counts? Cause that's what people are going to want and need to see. Think about the way pivot. They think about the way people consume pivot. Yeah. Yeah. Usually when they're drunk, but no, no, no, morning running. Not just Scott. Not just Scott. By the way, Stephanie, you, I don't know if you, this is very much related to what you're talking about. We were talking about Taylor Swift and I don't know if you guys heard, but all of her exes are getting together and collaborating on an album and it's going to be called, maybe she's the problem. Oh my God. She saved the Knicks. Don't, don't, don't listen to him. Stephanie appreciates that. Don't answer the question. Stephanie appreciates that. By the way, just, let's divert from the news. When Stephanie calls me, I'm both excited and scared cause typically, typically her call start with, typically her, this is not exactly her call start with. I think you're really fucking up. Oh, I'm worried about you. I get it. It's like, whenever she calls, I'm like, uh-oh, this is going to be very good. Okay. You know what? That's called a person who doesn't wait time. Who's an actual friend. I call Scott. No, you're a friend. Scott on a personal issue the other day. And when I started the call, I said, let me get to somewhere private. And he immediately said, are you getting a divorce? Oh my God. All right. No, I didn't. That's why I said, wait till the kids are gone. Okay. Wait till the kids are out of the house. It was a divorce. It was a divorce. I was calling Scott for some parenting. Space. I was calling for actual parenting advice from Scott, which he is fantastic at when it comes to boys. And his immediate response before I just said, let me get to somewhere where no one else in the family could hear me. Wait till the kids are out of the house was his response. Thanks, Scott. Okay. And then he proceeded to give me incredible advice. So I just say, I have two fine sons. You might. Yes. Yeah, we've heard over and over and over. Yes. One of them is quite good at cooking if you didn't know. Yes, he's working for a restaurant now. Oh, God, here we go. In San Francisco, he's very excited. He has a little outfit to the other. Is it Michigan? He's wonderful. He's got a fantastic girlfriend. No, all about it. No, he's got a fantastic. He loves his job. He's manufacturing things in an advanced way. All right. Thank you, Stephanie. Thanks, Stephanie. Good to see you. Thank you all so, so much. I love you both. Scott, I'll slide into your DMs later. Anyway, let's go on a quick break when we come back. The Trump administration's freak out over Jeffrey Epstein. This is advertiser content from Harvey AI. We have a choice over who we work with and who we don't, specifically who we allowed advertise and who we don't. And for those of you who watch my content, I am not an AI catastrophist. I'm an AI optimist. I think it's going to create more jobs than it destroys. And I think our job as professionals is to figure out how to leverage these tools. AI, more than almost anything I do in terms of what I could point to for real economic leverage and savings, is 100% in the legal fields. Harvey is the AI designed specifically for legal work, trusted by leading law firms and enterprise legal teams. All right. So now I'm looking at their demo. It plugs into tools that lawyers already work with, Lexus Nexus, Microsoft. And this is the key. And I do this internally with my LLMs with permissions. It lets you look at the firm's own files and databases. So here it's answering a question, reads the complaint, pulls the relevant terms, checks the web, weighs the evidence and drafts a response. But it also can do this in a shared workspace between the firm and the client. So they both have visibility into the work being done and can both add value to it. I think this space is clearly sort of hand in glove for AI. Right. So there's no doubt about it. This, I think, is going to be super helpful, not only for law firms themselves, but internally for general counsels, accountants. Harvey is AI tailored for law. You can learn more at Harvey.ai. Hi, I'm Maria Sharapova, host of the Pretty Tough podcast. Each episode, I sit down with high achieving women to discuss the pursuit of excellence without apology. This week, model sports illustrated cover girl and entrepreneur, Ashley Graham, talks about the time she almost quit. I called my mom and I said, Mom, I just I'm not going to do this anymore. And she told me, No, you are going to stick this out. Your body is going to change someone's life. Every decade, you're going to go through something different. So be really happy with who you are right now because things change. Check out Pretty Tough, new episodes on Wednesdays. You can watch it on YouTube or listen in your favorite podcast app. Announced it would be going public. That news follows reporting that open AI plans to go public as soon as September. And that that news follows reporting that SpaceX, which also considers itself an AI company, will be going public in maybe just a few weeks from now. Welcome to the era of the Omega IPO. We are about to see millionaires, billionaires, and yes, probably even the world's first trillionaire created overnight. And yes, it's that guy. This is the chainsaw for bureaucracy. Turns off. But all the tech bros who are going to make all the money, they need our money way more than we need their products. And we're going to remind you why on today's explain from Vox. Scott, we're back. The Trump administration cannot escape the S-sign files, nor should they be able to, no matter how hard they try. And we're now getting more details about the internal panic about Epstein over the last year. Maggie Haberman and Jonathan Swan shared an excerpt from their upcoming book, Regime Change, with the New York Times. Both are New York Times writers, by the way. Here are some highlights. The situation when it became an Epstein war room where strategy meetings took place, JD Vance suggested having Tucker Carlson interview Jelaine Maxwell in prison. There was talk of then deputy AG Todd Blanche going on Joe Rogan, but Vance wanted to go on instead of Blanche. Dan Bongino warned there would be a president, this would be President Trump's Iran Contra. There was talk of nipples and President Trump's disrespect for nipples in the room. And as funny as that sounds, it was pretty grotesque of his, his, his abuse of a young woman. But this is what their, this is what this entire leadership is talking about is whether and whether he'll be able to handle the nipple stuff getting out. It's not just the White House and has nothing to do with nipples here. Bill Gates was on Capitol Hill this week, testifying behind closed doors about his connection to Epstein. Gates said Epstein tried to use information about his extramarital affairs as leverage after the two had cut ties. Well, obviously he did. He's an evil villain. He also acknowledged that meeting with Epstein was a grave error in judgment, which he said before and put his philanthropy work at risk. And it certainly did, including his own reputation. Talk a little bit about, didn't he surprise you about how the White House dealt with the Epstein stuff? They sound like fucking amateurs. Every time he's reading and I was like, what a bunch of amateurs. Big fights between Bonjino and Patel and Bondi and Susie Wiles just sitting over at like a demented mother who doesn't know how to control idiot children. Well, this be a major issue in terms that I will say, as you know, I was very much an early on saying this is a real problem. Reuters is out with a new poll, 75% of people think the government is hiding information on Epstein's clients. And a lot of it is falling as much as Trump has tried to push it off onto other people on the president himself. So I think we agree that it should be an issue. I don't think it will be. There's recent data showing there's these March focus groups ranked Epstein six amongst voter concerns ahead. You know, so it's well in the back of the bus here. I think it is. Again, I unfortunately, I just don't think it's that big a issue. I think I think the American public is so numb to this kind of stuff, especially in the Trump administration. What I thought I would actually found more interesting was the whole Gates testimony and that is he has some of the best and brightest PR people because it wasn't an accident. So when you call someone to come testify in front of a special committee or whoever he testified, you have some say in it. You have, he has the best lawyers in the world. And what do they do? Kara, they made, they got it behind closed doors and they got it during the NBA finals, during Iran, during the SpaceX IPO. This is the bit. This is what you do. You know this business better than I do. When you have shitty news, you bury it in a big news day, right? Yep. Absolutely. So Gates, whether whether you think he deserves to be flogged in public or how guilty or not guilty of whatever you think he is, I just admired the PR savvy here. Yeah, that would be Larry Cohen. Behind closed doors during a very, very heavy business news week. This story is going to come and go. Well, I still think it's a, I'm going to disagree with you because I think I was actually completely accurate at the beginning of the Epstein thing, that it's a big deal. I think among the base of people, it remains an illuminating and a thing that gets them going. I don't think it goes away. And what was interesting was Dan Bongino during this whole thing kept seeing that to the Trump people, but this is not a, they kept minimizing it, saying it's not a big deal. It's not a big deal. It was a big fucking deal. And this is something I knew from reading all these Q and on boards. This is at the center. I think it's still at the center. I think it creates an atmosphere among people like Rogan and others of these fucking liars and I think Iran's a bigger deal for them than it is now. But I'm saying it does. This is like one more, you know, another brick in the wall, like that kind of thing. And so I think Epstein remains a bearing wall of this presidency and he cannot get away from it. And when I get the nipple thing and everything else, and as much as I think he's kind of like an oath, Dan Bongino had it right. And so, by the way, did Vance, although Wiles was sort of accusing of being a conspiracy theorist, but I think Vance had his finger on the pulse of bringing it out like as much as possible, even if it hurt the president slightly, because the transparency was more important than what's in it. Unless of course there's very clear and incovertible evidence that he's slept with it with an underage girl, which it's still not proven. It's, there's been a lot of allegations of it, certainly. So I think it's still there. I think it sits there like mold. It just sits there and it sits in the minds of a lot of people like Massie. And even though he's zeroed them, he has not zeroed them. I don't think by any means, and I think Vance knows it and Bongino certainly knows it with Gates. Look, it is, you're right. He, this was a good time to do his, and he kept going, I'm here voluntarily. Did you see that? Which was kind of interesting. I think this has hurt his reputation. Oh yeah, no doubt. For a long, long, long time. I think he is, this is, he is going to suffer. This is going to, he has done some amazing works. I think his wife is looking, his ex-wife is looking fantastic with all this different financial things she's putting out and handling her image quite well throughout this whole thing. But I think he is permanently harnished and I'm not sure how any conversation he has going forward does not include this topic. So I think he has done enormous damage to himself by affiliate himself with Epstein and it was a grave error in judgments and it did put his philanthropy at work. So that's, I think it's there. I think it's still there. All right. Let's go on a quick break. We come back. Paramount lashes out against Netflix. Support for the show comes from Klaviyo. There's only so many hours in a day. Klaviyo's two powerful AI agents can make sure your team spends them on big things. The first Klaviyo AI agent turns your marketing ideas into reality. 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Scott, we're back with more news in this endless fucking merger. Paramount is accusing Netflix of waging a scorched earth campaign to kill its $110 billion deal with Warner Brothers and a letter to the DOJ. Paramount's chief legal officer, Macon Del Rihime, says Netflix is trying to quote poison regulators and other stakeholders against the merger. Oh, come on, Macon. I know Macon. Of course they are. Netflix is calling their claims absurd. It's not the only thing Paramount is doing to get the deal across the finish line. The company reportedly submitted a list of concessions to head off antitrust lawsuit by California and several other states. That'll include New York and possibly Massachusetts, I'm hearing. Recently, actually, I've gotten notes from people in Hollywood saying this thing is a little shakier than it looks. I'm not so sure about that, but I'm surprised I'm getting them. The EU is also currently reviewing the merger in light of the backing of those Middle Eastern wealth funds. Thoughts anywhere? Of all the media CEOs, the one I know best, which isn't very well, is Ted surround us and any campaign to try and undermine, to undermine this would have to have Ted's blessing. And this just isn't Ted's style. No, he's not. He's just going to wait and buy it when they fuck it up. They're $80 billion. And I don't see, I don't see any exterior lobbying of people who are clearly in, you know, Netflix's back pocket. I don't see a bunch of Democratic senators getting all Jonesed up about this. So I just, it doesn't, it doesn't ring true for me. What does ring true is that some blue state AGs are starting to look into it and may file their own. I bet with them. Yeah. And may file, may file suit, but I don't see, it just, when I read that, it doesn't, what I do, what I know about Ted, he's, Ted is kind of, you know, when Ted retires, he'll probably be like a diplomat because he's just not the kind of person to shitpost or go on the offensive against people. They think they're trash talking it behind the scenes. Like because of the obvious situation, this has enormous amounts of debt on it. It's a lot. But I, I interviewed him on stage in LA and I gave him a, you know, an opening. I said, isn't a creative community going to scream out in horror when this, when this acquisition closes and because of the AI and, you know, to get trying to find efficiencies for overpaying. I gave him, I set him up to, and he just, he immediately pivoted to something else and said, he hopes they do well. I just don't, he's just not that, he's not of that ilk. No, I think they're shooting themselves in their own feet and they want to blame other people. They're, this has been really clottish. Every step of the way, this, this acquisition feels clottish and the, and the debt is the debt. That's what it is. And one of the things I want people to focus on is there's a huge amount of debt. They're going to, the ugliness is not now, even though there's a lot of ugly right now, it's going to happen once the deal is struck, because these people cannot make, keep the promises they've made. They're not very good promise keepers. Some might call them mendacious at times, but they will not be able to keep up there. What they are saying they're going to do. And that's when the ugliness will truly start, when they have to make these cuts, which have to be significant. No matter what they say, unless Larry Olsen decides to just take his money and bankroll the whole thing, which I don't think he will. This is going to be tough for, for Hollywood and they know it. And I think they're going to, they're going to have real troubles and then net, that's when Netflix comes in and sucks up all the pretty parts would be my guess. I do. I actually think it probably closes though, because I talked to an economist this weekend and he said, it doesn't really fit the whole way for a monopoly in terms of streaming. If you factor in linear content from their flagship channels, CBS, HV, and HETV, the hypothetical combined platform gets roughly 20% of total US hour streamed and Netflix is at 60. In terms of total TV viewing time, a combined Warner Brothers Paramount streaming and TV all in would represent about 12.2% of total US viewing TV watch time. And that's less than YouTube currently has at about 13%. In terms of box office sales, Paramount and Warner Brothers represent roughly 25% of the domestic box office. So, and they're just so well connected with Trump, they'll end up selling off like SpongeBob SquarePants. So some regulator can feel like they've got a win or something or divesting of some stupid children's program. But I think this goes through, Kashi has it at 75%. I think it's actually higher than that. Yeah, I think I just, I've just noticed a lot of Hollywood people and the smart ones, I'm not talking about the dumb ones. I've been like, this feels bad. Something feels bad. But I think it's largely that all the noise around CBS and the disaster, they're perpetrating there. But, but I think it's more, I just think the pain is going to come once the deal is done. That is where it's going to happen. And you're going to see, like, how are they going to get out of this box? And none of them are Houdini and that gang. So that's, that's the problem. We'll see, we'll see where it's going. But definitely the state attorney generals are involved. They're going to try to, they will get them to sell something up there. I am still very concerned about the backing of these Middle Eastern wealth funds owning this much of our media. But, you know, no one else seems to care. But I find that really, and I, and you will, will, they'll have to, they'll have to do a lot of favors for people going forward. And later, Tedz Rondes and you two will take it all over. That's my feeling. Like it's really, these people are like, not, don't count compared to those two. And the where you should watch is YouTube and Netflix. That's pretty much how I feel. And Disney to a lesser extent. Anyway, last thing, Canada is the latest country to crack down on social media for teens. The government proposed a bill this week to ban kids under 16 from using social media, though most companies can get exemptions that they prove their platforms adequately protect young users. It's not just Canada, as we said, across the pond. UK Prime Minister, uh, Starmer is weighing a similar ban. It's company, it's, it's across the world, but don't expect this to happen in the US. Our embassy in London posted about the potential UK ban, writing the United States favors parental empowerment over government mandates, whatever. Also worth noting, uh, though Australia's social media ban is struggling. 70% of teens are still using social media apps according to a research report because they can get around this stuff. So I think it's more teens continue to smoke after we put stuff on packs and made it harder by them. I don't really think that should be the goal there. But I think a society has to say this stuff sucks and is dangerous. So I don't mind just the saying of it. So how do you, how do you think about UK and then Canada doing this? I think it's great. And I think it's overdue. I don't, I don't think there's any reason why anyone under the age of 16 should be on a social media platform. I think one of the greatest threats to our society is that we're evolving a new species of asocial, asexual males. And the 40% of the SMP is now tied to trying to convince these people to sequester from their relationships and be online. And part of the problem is just as their brain is getting wired through puberty, you're teaching them to have constant visual stimulation and be staring at a certain, I mean, there's even, there's even evidence now that their posture is changing. So leaning over. Yeah. Unless you have the back to your neanderthal, right? Unless you have collective action. And I do think these bands, you know, people, schools aren't going to allow you to have a phone. If you're, if you're a preschool or middle school, you're not allowed to have a phone. Or I mean, anyways, I think this is, it took us 30 years to figure out tobacco or regulated. It took us 20 years with opiates. It looks like social went on mobile in 2013. It looks like it's going to take us exactly about 20 years. But I think this is a great thing. Europe is leading on this. It's weird to describe Europe as an innovator on regulation, but as somebody who has grown up with kids in the kill zone, exactly the wrong age at exactly the wrong time, you know, a people, a lot of people will say to me, I'm really worried I have a five and eight year old. I'm like, no, no, no, you're fine. We'll have this figured out by the time they're 13 and 14. But if you went through COVID as a teenager and grew up with social media, I really think you face some significant headwinds in terms of emotional regulation. I do. Can I make another answer? First of all, as I said, it's a sign that society thinks it's important, just like we did with cigarettes or seatbelts. Not everywhere seatbelts, not lots of teen smokes. Guess what? Lots of teens drink even though we have rules. It's the society saying to its citizens, we think this is bad. You can cheat and they will. No question. I think that argument is so false. Like, oh, teens will get it anyway. I'm like, OK, they'll get liquor anyway. They'll get everything. So I think that's number one. It says something about your society that you care enough and it isn't mandating. It's just saying, like, as with cigarettes, as with drinking, we shall our teens shall not do this. And I think that's perfectly fine. And, you know, the people that say it's not there, they're not paying attention to everything else. The second thing is I do think social media is on the decline among young people, not among our people who are addicted, fatally addicted to these things. But I do think I watch a lot of young people and I know a lot of them are on there, but I think the age is a little higher. I would put an asterisk on that. I think it's declining among wealthy, informed young people who have strong, parental influences and the money and the resources to get engaged in other things. I think if you're the child of a single mother, home alone a lot, I don't know. You know, I mean, even among young men, do you know supposedly men ages 20 to 30 are spending more time in less time outdoors in prison inmates? They're on a fucking screen. And just to just to go to. Gaming. I know, I think I'm talking about social media. Some of this gaming, I agree. But just the big tax excuse has always been we can't find it would be impossible for us to detect underage underage users. Guess what? When Australia passed an act, the platforms deactivated nearly five million teen accounts in just one month. They were able to figure it out. And meanwhile, that very same detection is being withheld from Americans because our federal government has no interest in protecting children from the harms of social media. The Kids Online Safety Act passed the Senate 91 to 3 and then died when House GOP leadership refused a floor vote. So the bill has been reintroduced and is stalled again. A March House markup was pulled amid partisan fights over preemption and 40 bipartisan state attorney generals are begging Congress to act, warning the House version would gut state child safety laws. So this is like you bringing the data. Well, the last federal law protecting kids online was COPPA and it was in 1998. So wait, let me you don't think the world has changed in 28 years regarding technology and the potential harm for children. Come on. I would not ask you. I don't I think Australia is not working is not the question. It is teens will find a way. But I do think a society stepping out and saying it. And let me just note, I don't know if you saw this, the trailer just came out for the social reckoning, which is the follow up to the social network. Jeremy Strong is from Succession is playing Mark Zuckerberg. He's got the voice on down pat, although he looks too old. I have to say at least oddly looking old, but it's all about this. It's all about and it's, you know, it's about the story of Francis Hogan really pretty much and and this Facebook files and how this they had all they knew what they were doing and they did it anyway. And this was the first to me. This was the moment that that Zuckerberg went villainous, right? That he that he started understanding the something that I've written about in the times of 2018, this came out in 2019, 2021 period. But this was the moment. And I think this movie will be really interesting by Aaron Sorkin. Once again, revisiting this issue is that this guy is living large on the backs of teens, on the backs of kids, on the backs of everybody. And I don't think it's going to be great for the image. And I think it's to say it again and again is has to happen, including these rule, these laws, these movies and everything else. And Jeremy Strong will literally sound so much like them. It's disturbing. Well, the the ability of Big Tech to wash over Washington and separate them from the best interests of our children with money. You know, it's gotten the way of the kids online safety act, better known as COSA. It forces platforms to exercise open quote, reasonable care in designing features so they prevent and mitigate specific harm to minors, things including content, promoting suicide, eating disorders, sexual exploitation and compulsive use patterns. Big Tech is fighting those things. You know, that's because they go, oh, it could be used for this. It could be they go behind their First Amendment nonsense that they tend to try to push out there. Yeah. You can't anticipate every. I just want the society to say no to this, just like kids with phones and schools. No, no, no. And that's what is that's what a civil society does to these companies, whether they're cigarette companies, liquor companies, by the way, liquors on the decline. This I think social media is going to decline more than you think. I think that's my that's my prediction. Anyway, all right, Scott, one more quick break. We'll be back for predictions. So the 2026 midterms is shaping up to be an all out brawl. But the biggest fight may not be between Democrats and Republicans, but over the congressional maps itself. Jerry Mandarin is not a good thing. We don't like it. And then all of a sudden we're going out and telling people vote for this. So I'm in Ashland, Virginia, a small town just outside of Richmond, which calls itself the center of the universe. And that checks out because it's the center of the political universe, at least when it comes to the 2026 midterms. That's because Ashland sits in Virginia's first congressional district, which is one of only about 35 or so that are actually competitive. That makes Virginia particularly important when it comes to the question of Jerry Mandarin. The Jimi manning is a major problem, but it's not like Democrats drew first blood with this one. Donald Trump doesn't think he should be held accountable by anybody. So he's trying to change the rules because it doesn't like the game. We've shown what we're capable of. Now let's keep up the push through the midterms. America actually will be in your feeds and on YouTube every Saturday with an interesting interview in politics or culture. OK, Scott, let's hear up prediction. Well, one is a simple, funny one and the other one is more serious. But the simple one is sure about to see revenues at the hundred biggest podcast go up 20 to 30 percent. Yeah, that's an additional just from. Like everybody, everybody make their wages. Pivot is about to get a great deal of money. And so is every other big podcast to be the quote unquote to be the exclusive. They've already come knocking. I don't care if it's Yahoo, Scout or Gemini. These guys are all going to. We're about to remember all that cheap, cheap money that was thrown around at 99. That was mattresses. That was mattresses. I mean, you're about to see the podcast universe have the tsunami of money. Just to say, hey, Joe, we'll give you 10 million bucks if you decide that you only use open AI. Anyways, that's my stupid, simple one. But the more specific one is that, I mean, look, the fix is in. And I just think it's so fucking obvious. Musk called Trump after doing a lot of analysis as his bankers and said, you know, I spent $250 million to get you elected. He probably said, no, you didn't get me like, you said, well, can you acknowledge that I helped? And so, yeah, I was like, I'm considering putting two and a half billion into the midterms. How would you like that, President Trump? Well, I like it a lot. Well, if you can get Paul Atkins over the SEC to wave that stupid rule that doesn't allow retail investors from participating in great companies like SpaceX. I just have this hankering to put in two, three, maybe $5 billion into the midterms. The hankering, hankering, yes. And again, what does that do? It sends 30 to 50 billion dollars in incremental dollars hunting for 100 billion in available shares of SpaceX. This is all of a sudden there's 50 percent more people looking for homes in San Francisco than there was with any other previous IPO. And let's just do the math. Say that takes the price of SpaceX up just let's be conservative, 10 percent. That two trillion, that's 200 billion. He owns 40 percent. So he gets $80 billion. Why wouldn't you promise the president 10 billion in the midterms? Citizens United, he can do whatever the fuck he wants. So if he called the president and said, hey, call Paul and tell them to do away with this stupid rule such that retail good Americans can't invest in the best companies. And I got a hankering to put $10 billion to work in the midterms. I mean, quite frankly, wouldn't he be stupid not to do that? Yes, absolutely. That's how it works. That's how it works. And anyways, my prediction is the fix is in what people aren't focused on is this the wave the waving of the NASDAQ 100 rules that you got to wait a year and let price settles is going to create the ultimate false flag signal of pricing on the day of this IPO. That's what they're doing. Oh, they're all talking it up and you're like, oh, you people and 70s. Right. Morality has nothing to do with it. I could never be an investment banker. I couldn't be a lawyer either. I wouldn't. I'd be like, you're guilty. You should go to jail. I'm going to turn you in. I just couldn't do it. I just couldn't do it. Same thing. That's you suck. I'm not going to take you public. I just couldn't. I just couldn't do it. I don't know. Well, whatever. Someone has to. Anyway, that was a great prediction. I think you're absolutely right. And about the podcast thing. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. For us. But we'll cash those checks though, but you investment bankers are evil people. You know what I mean. Let me say how fucked am I that he's going to be a trillionaire? I've got to fuck, aren't I? Well, I'm all on board now. I love this kind of populist economist out of the UK, Gary Stevenson. And he totally changed my frame of mind. And that is taxes are Kevlar against corruption. Because when people aggregate too much money, they become corrupt. You know, power corrupts and absolute power absolutely corrupts. And our taxes are what stands between us and having one person who can decide when to turn off and on battlefield technology and the invasion of Europe. Yeah. Yeah. Do you think you'll like hire an army just for me? I don't know. Or I just like, oh, no. He was irritating before, but now I'm fucked. Anyway, elsewhere in the Karen Scott universe this week on Proph G Conversation. Scott spoke with Anne Applebaum. What are my favorites, too? Anne Fiona Hill. Wow. What a pair about how Ukraine is rewriting the rules of warfare, the hidden weaknesses of authoritarian regimes and the future of global power. Let's listen to a clip. I think actually what Ukraine could show is that the beneficiaries of all of this ought to be society, the private sector, the innovators, and that we need to find some kind of model after this refresh after all of the dust has settled here, while the dust is settling to basically get ourselves back into gear again. So a trillion plus defense budget that's going to be top down is not the way to go at all. You're absolutely right. That is not the model. A lesson from this is that soft power is underrated and hard power is overrated. Correct. And we've just gotten it all wrong. Scott, I'm glad you did those two ladies. They're they're bad asses. Yeah, it was our 400th episode and they asked me who I would want on the show. And I said either Anne Applebaum or Fiona Hill. And they said, we'll get both. So I was really excited to have them on. The women shall save us. Yeah, impressive women. Anyway, we want to hear from you. Send us your questions about business tech or whatever's on your mind. Go to NYMag.com slash Pivot. Submit a question for the short call 85551 Pivot. OK, that's the show. Thanks for listening to Pivot. Be sure to like and subscribe to our YouTube channel. We'll be back next week. Today's show was produced by Lara Naiman, Zoe Marcus, Taylor Griffin and Todd Wiseman. Belia Jackson, engineer of this episode. Thanks also to Drew Bros, Ms. Rivera and Dan Chalon and Shakira's Vox. Media's executive producer of podcasts. Make sure to follow Pivot on your favorite podcast platform. Thanks for listening to Pivot from Vox. Media. We'll be back next week for another breakdown of all things tech and business.