Science Friday

One Year Into Trump’s Term, Where Does Science Funding Stand?

18 min
Jan 13, 20265 months ago
Listen to Episode
Summary

One year into Trump's second term, science funding has stabilized with bipartisan Congressional support for agencies like NSF, NASA, and NIH, though early 2025 uncertainty caused significant damage to research pipelines and student recruitment. Despite recovery in federal funding levels, the U.S. faces competitive pressure from China in critical fields like renewable energy and material science, requiring sustained investment to maintain global research leadership.

Insights
  • Bipartisan Congressional support for science funding proved resilient despite early 2025 policy uncertainty, with appropriations bills passing with minimal controversy
  • Uncertainty in funding timelines causes cascading damage to research pipelines—NSF had to cut graduate fellowships from 2,000 to 500 initially, losing top-tier talent regardless of eventual restoration
  • China is outpacing the U.S. in breakthrough innovations (solar energy, material science, mathematics) because it's translating research into economic and national security advantages faster
  • Trust in science is rebuilding through direct scientist engagement in long-form media rather than institutional credentials, requiring scientists to participate more actively in public dialogue
  • Basic research funding decisions today determine economic competitiveness 10-20 years forward; cutting foundational science now (like AI research) has delayed downstream innovation benefits
Trends
Shift from institutional trust to individual scientist credibility in public discourseChina's acceleration in renewable energy and material science as primary competitive threat to U.S. research dominancePolicy-driven funding uncertainty creating multi-year talent pipeline damage even when budgets are eventually restoredBipartisan support for science funding as political consensus despite partisan divisions elsewhereLong-form media and direct scientist engagement as primary mechanism for rebuilding public trust in researchFederal funding as explicit policy priority signal—budget cuts communicate deprioritization regardless of political rhetoricAdvocacy coalitions (patient groups, industry, philanthropy) proving more effective than scientist-only advocacy for fundingDownstream economic value of basic research becoming clearer to policymakers (gene therapy, AI, renewable energy examples)
Topics
Federal Science Funding Appropriations 2026National Science Foundation Budget and Graduate FellowshipsNASA Funding Levels and Space ResearchNational Institutes of Health Funding and Gene TherapyDOGE Early 2025 Contract and Grant TerminationsU.S.-China Scientific Research CompetitionRenewable Energy and Solar Technology LeadershipAI Research Funding and Basic ScienceGraduate Student Recruitment and RetentionTrust in Science and Public EngagementMaterial Science and Energy Storage InnovationPatient Advocacy in Research FundingAtmospheric Research Policy ConcernsScientific Enterprise Resilience and Morale
Companies
American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
Primary organization advocating for science funding; CEO Sudip Parikh is main guest discussing policy impact
National Science Foundation
Federal agency receiving ~3% education budget cut; funds 2,000 graduate research fellowships reduced to 500 due to un...
National Institutes of Health
Major federal science agency; expected small increase in FY2026; patient advocacy critical to funding support
NASA
Federal space agency with relatively flat FY2026 budget (less than 1% decrease); industry advocacy supported funding
Department of Energy Office of Science
Federal research agency receiving small increase; leading Genesis mission for AI-enhanced scientific research
National Institutes of Standards and Technology
Federal agency receiving relatively large budget increase in FY2026 appropriations
Agricultural Research Service
Federal research agency receiving small budget increase in FY2026 appropriations
People
Sudip Parikh
Primary guest discussing science funding policy, Congressional advocacy, and U.S. research competitiveness
Flora Lichtman
Podcast host conducting interview about science funding and research policy
Jeff Hinton
AI researcher whose early work on neural networks was initially mockable but foundational to modern AI economy
Daria Gill
Leading Genesis mission to integrate federal data for AI-enhanced scientific research
Quotes
"The United States has been investing in science for 80 years, and we could tear a lot of that down with the stroke of one signature and the votes of the legislative body."
Sudip ParikhOpening warning from previous episode
"Damage was done in 2025. My colleagues in the scientific enterprise feel it because of the uncertainty that was there. They feel it because of grants that were either terminated or slowed down."
Sudip Parikh
"If we adopted the recommended numbers from the administration, which was a cut of over half to the National Institute of Health, over half to the National Science Foundation, that we would no longer be in the race."
Sudip Parikh
"Policy is money. If you don't put money somewhere, then that's not really your priority. It's not really the thing you care about."
Sudip Parikh
"Some of the most important things we're building our economy on today were made fun of when they were being studied at first. AI is the perfect example."
Sudip Parikh
Full Transcript
Hey, I'm Flora Lichtman and you're listening to Science Friday. Last year around this time, about 30 days into President Trump's second term, we had on Sudip Parikh, CEO of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, the AAAS, on the show. And he issued this warning. The United States has been investing in science for 80 years, and we could tear a lot of that down with the stroke of one signature and the votes of the legislative body. So much has happened since January 2025, so I wanted to take stock. Where are we now with science funding? What has been the fallout of Doja's early work in 2025? And where does the science research community go from here? Sudip, thank you for joining us again. Thanks for having me, Flora. What a treat. The pleasure is all mine. Okay, let's start with a temperature check. When we talked to you the last time about a year ago, you sounded worried and you were quite forceful. How are you feeling today? Yeah. Look, damage was done in 2025. And I want to start by saying that my colleagues in the scientific enterprise, they feel it because of the uncertainty that was there. They feel it because of grants that were either terminated or slowed down before they finally made it out the door. They saw it in reduced numbers of students going into the sciences. So let me just say that up front. That said, the quote that you played is about funding for science. And we are just about at the point where we're going to finally get final numbers for the US investment in science for fiscal year 2026. And I have to say it looks really promising. I said that we could change all of that with folks in the legislative body and the stroke of a pen. Well, the legislative body, our Congress just released numbers for a big part of the scientific enterprise, the National Science Foundation, NASA, other parts of federal funding. And they look good. What they show is that the bipartisan support for science in Congress is not just still there. It is strong. It is strong. We're going to end up seeing small increases in some of these agencies. Yeah, let's get into the details. Tell me, break it down for us. What do we see right now as of this recording? What we're seeing right now, and so this as of the time that we're talking is that Congress has released bills that fund the National Science Foundation and NASA. Both of those look relatively flat. NASA has a small, less than 1% decrease. The National Science Foundation has a decrease of about 3%, all in the education part of NSF, the science portion being flat. The Agricultural Research Service has a small increase. The Department of Energy Office of Science has a small increase. The National Institutes of Standards and Technology actually has a relatively large increase. We're waiting to see the big, sort of the big domestic discretionary science agency, which is the National Institutes of Health. My expectation is that we're going to see a small increase there as well. That is remarkable. When you think about where we were the last time we talked, Flora, it was touch and go. I will say that it didn't happen by accident, and it wasn't that politicians suddenly came to their senses. It was the fact that there was advocacy. It was the fact that we went to the trouble of saying, why should we be champions of science? There was a concerted effort to do that. Who was doing that work? Yeah. I'm proud to say that I was doing part of that work. I will say that patient advocates were doing that work in a way for the National Institutes of Health that is just remarkable. It's one thing for a scientist to say that we need funding for science at the National Institutes of Health. You can view that as, gosh, you just want to fund your own science. Patients make the why possible, which is why are we doing that research? Why is it important? When you see some of the advances that we saw this year, for example, baby KJ in Pennsylvania and the cure of a metabolic disease for an infant. This was a gene therapy for a disease that a baby had. It was really a remarkable story. We covered it on Science Friday. This was customized treatment. This was customized treatment to cure a person, a human. We know that's the downstream of what can happen if you invest today. Patients were able to make that case. When it came to the physical sciences and NASA, what we saw was industry. We saw philanthropy. We saw the private sector speaking up on behalf of the science that the federal government invests in. Then we saw scientists themselves making the case for what is possible because of all the prior investment that we've made. We are on the cusp of remarkable things. The only reason we're here is because of investments that the US government made. Nobody else. On Thursday, January 8th, the House passed these appropriation bills. I was looking at the votes and they weren't even particularly controversial. They sailed through, essentially. They sailed through. Isn't that something? I think it's really telling. There were points during this year. When I say that damage was done in the early part of 2025, the work of DOGE was really nonspecific. It was just going through the federal government and turning off contracts, turning off grants. To some of us, it seemed almost random in terms of the way it was taking place. Much of that has now calmed down. I will say there are still policies that I worry about and there are still policies that I will have conversations with the administration about. But some of that has calmed down. Then what we've had is the Appropriations Committee. I testified at a hearing in April of last year. I saw bipartisan support. I saw the Republicans and Democrats ask me together to come and testify at that hearing. We talked about NIH and NSF in the same breath and the reasons for supporting those agencies. I think on the whole, when I look at this, I look at the resilience of the American Scientific Enterprise, of the scientists in that enterprise, the graduate students and postdocs. I see it working its way up into the legislation that has been passed, legislation that not only has money in it, but that also has protection against some of the more damaging policies. Some of those protections are in there. I see an enterprise that is resilient and strong and that will continue to be competitive worldwide. Now, there is still damage that is done and we can talk about that if you want. But there are things that we can work through. If you lose dollars, you never get them back. Yeah. Well, I wanted to talk about some of the damage because I think one of the things that we have heard over the last year from scientists is that it is so difficult to deal with the uncertainty around funding. Can you speak to that? Yeah, uncertainties are really crazy things. So let me give you a really specific example. The National Science Foundation funds something called graduate research fellowships. And these are fellowships that go to our best potential graduate students in the country. They're going to go in every field, mathematics, the physical sciences, biology, the life sciences, social sciences, and we funded 2,000 of them in 2024. 2,000, the 2,000 top, top young graduate students in this year. Because of all the uncertainty, the National Science Foundation had to pull back on what they were going to fund because they couldn't they didn't know for certain what they were going to get from Congress. And so they cut that down to 500 at first. So really taking a three quarters cut to the total number of of these of these fellowships. Now, at the end of the day, I think we've ended up somewhere around 1500. And because of the funding level, I expect that maybe even more of those will be restored. But what does that mean? It means that you've lost this ability to plan if you're a graduate student and you don't realize and you don't know if you have the the money yourself for graduate school. You don't know if your your scientist advisor has the funding for your research. It's really hard to plan. And so we lose that generation of scientists, that generation of cream of the crop scientists. We see that all across the board. And so certainty has been a really powerful part of our scientific enterprise. For 80 years, we sort of known the in mind, I mean, giant increases, but we knew that there was stability. I'm hoping that we return to an era of stability. I think Congress's vote of confidence makes a big, big difference. You know, you spoke in front of Congress last spring and said that the U.S. was in danger of losing its status as a leader of global research, a leader of scientific in the scientific research fields. What's happened? Have we? Are we? Yeah. Yeah. It's a more complex story than than just a simple yes or no. You know, what I said in that hearing is, look, if we adopted the recommended numbers from the administration, which was a cut of over half to the National Institute of Health, over half to the National Science Foundation, that we would no longer be in the race, that there was no way to be competitive with China, with other parts of the world. If we're going to do that kind of damage to our scientific enterprise, that did not happen. That did not happen. And so, yes, we are still in that race. We are still, we are still a behemoth when it comes to the sciences in the world. That said, when you look at the bleeding edge, when you look at the the breakthroughs of the year that are in Science Magazine this year, the breakthrough the year itself was the fact that solar energy is now creating more electricity than coal worldwide. That is a remarkable thing, a really remarkable thing. But where is that happening? Well, the vast majority of it is happening in China. The vast majority of it. They're putting online solar energy production at a much faster pace than we are. When I look at a series of indicators that were put together by the by some folks in Australia about who is leading in certain critical areas, material science, mathematics, biology, China was leading in many more of them than the US is. And so we have to be thinking about that. Now, it's not because I think that you have to win for winning's sake. It's because I think that the country that is leading in those areas is also the first to turn them into things that are valuable for society, whether they be products that grow our economy, whether they be innovations that power our national security, or whether they be things like a cure for baby KJ. Those are all things that the benefits will accrue to the country that leads. We have to take a quick break, but don't go away. More on this when we come back. What a scream. We installed telephone wires across rural Britain over a century ago, and you're still paying to use them for your broadband today. If it ain't broke, what? Stop your days of selling phone age broadband are over. Plast. I've spilled the beans. Upgrade to 100% full fiber, giga clear, faster broadband for rural Britain from only 19 pounds a month. Price may rise during contract. T's and C's apply. Check availability at gigaklear.com. How does AI even work? Where does creativity come from? What's the secret to living longer? Ted Radio Hour explores the biggest questions with some of the world's greatest thinkers. They will surprise, challenge, and even change you. Listen to NPR's Ted Radio Hour wherever you get your podcasts. I mean, can we recover? Let's talk about renewable energy because, you know, we're investing in oil at the moment, oil in Venezuela. Do you see us recovering leadership in that field? There are spaces. Look, there are things that I'm excited about, even the, the Genesis mission that's been described by the Department of Energy. The undersecretary for energy is a guy named Daria Gill has put forward this, this idea called the Genesis mission, which is this idea that we're going to grab data from across all the different parts of the federal government enterprise and use those to, to enhance the AI work that we can do so that AI can be used in the sciences. It's really, it's really a terrific idea. It's, it's at the bleeding edge. And when I look at things like the material science needed for the next generation of solar energy, the next generation of, of energy storage, we have it, we, we have the opportunity to compete there. The challenge is everybody else isn't standing still and that this stuff takes money. It takes dollars. It takes resources. You know, sometimes a long, long time ago, I worked on the Appropriations Committee in the Senate. And I can remember senators saying that, you know, policy is money. If you don't put money somewhere, then that's not really your priority. It's not really the thing you care about. And so funding matters. And so as we're thinking about renewable energy, as we're thinking about the life sciences, if we don't put federal funding there, then we can say all the things that we want to say, we're not going to keep up with our competitors. But why is it cool to be like, well, let's cut the NSF's budget by 50 percent? You know, what's the culture around that? Yeah, you know, it's easy to make fun of things, Flora. I mean, you've seen it. You've seen it in the, in some of the fun stuff that we want to talk about in the sciences, you know, there are projects that you can easily make fun of. There are projects about lizards and projects about, you know, shrimp running on treadmills. And those are our favorite studies on Science Friday. I'll have you know. They're the fun ones, right? I mean, some of them are really, they catch your attention. They're also easy to make fun of in terms of why are we wasting our tax dollars on them? And the thing we have to remind ourselves of is that some of the most important things we're building our economy on today were made fun of when they were being studied at first. AI is the perfect example. You know, Jeff Hinton's work being funded when he was out alone in the wilderness thinking about AI and how it looks like a brain map. He was alone and it was easy to make fun of and could have been seen as a waste of money. And so I think we have to be able to make that case, but it's a perpetual issue. And we always have to be willing to speak up on behalf of that incredible discovery science, basic science that forms the basis of not today's economy, but the economy for my kids. I want to talk about trust in science. Do you have a prescription for how to deal with that, this problem? If I did, then, you know, I would have, I would have already written that prescription and would be, would be running off with it. Here's what I think. I do think there's an answer. We are living in a world where trust is not just given because of a certificate or a diploma or a name brand. And I think that is across everything, not just science across every institution. And I think that what has really been able to build trust is relationships. And so those are the kinds of relationships that you have in person. But also it's, it's relationships like people build with you, Flora, in long form venues where you can have a conversation and you can get to know the authentic person that is doing the science and get to see what their motivations are. And I think that many scientists have not been eager to participate in those. And so the narrative, the story gets told by others. It gets told by others. And so there are some people who would say that we haven't made any scientific progress since the year 1990. I think that's baloney. When I look at the level of, at the level of discovery that has happened, when I look at where we are in the physical sciences, the mathematics and the biological sciences, we are in a remarkable, remarkable place and the pace of innovation is growing. Now, does that mean that there's not a lot of slop out there? There is. There absolutely is. And so we have to be able to find the signal in the noise of all of that. It is there. And, and so what I, what I hope that we can get to in trust in science is that if scientists are more engaged and able to build those relationships either in person or virtually through long form, that we start to rebuild that trust, not around institutions, not around brand names, but around actual scientists and actual individuals, because that's where it's at. Right now. And, you know, and, and we can't long for the days of 20 years ago, I think we have to lean into where the world is because that's a bigger, broader societal trend, not one about science itself. You know, it's, it seems like you are hopeful about where we are today, but I suspect you feel like there's probably more work to be done. Are there things you're worried about? There are. Now, like I said, the, the, the funding levels for this year, they make me feel pretty good. The challenge is the minute they pass, we're going to step into execution and that's going to bring up a lot of challenges. Will the agencies spend that money? Will certain projects, certain things that are related to atmospheric research, will they be canceled? And so we have to be, we have to be vigilant for that. We also have to be vigilant in terms of the morale and the resilience of our young scientists, even with those dollars passed, there's still a lot of challenges to getting them funded. And so we've got to make that happen. And so the work continues. I'm going to continue to energetically advocate on behalf of science. And I know that many, many others will. Sudha Parikh is the CEO and executive publisher of the AAAS. Thank you for joining me today. Thanks so much, Flora. This podcast was produced by Kathleen Davis, and we love hearing from you. And you can reach us 24 seven on our listener line, eight seven seven four sci-fi. We'll see you next time. I'm Flora Lichtman. What a scream. 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