Consider This from NPR

The U.S. went to war without its allies. Now it wants their help

8 min
Mar 16, 20263 months ago
Listen to Episode
Summary

President Trump launched a war against Iran without building an allied coalition, and now faces difficulty enlisting seven countries to help secure the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping route through which 20% of the world's oil travels. Key allies including Germany, the UK, France, and others are reluctant to participate, citing concerns about the war's legitimacy, security risks from Iranian drones and fast boats, and lack of prior consultation. The episode examines whether Trump can secure international support and whether the mission is even feasible given modern threats.

Insights
  • Unilateral military action undermines diplomatic leverage—Trump's decision to launch war without allied consultation has made it significantly harder to build coalition support for follow-up operations
  • Modern asymmetric threats (drones, fast boats) make traditional naval escort missions far more complex and risky than historical precedents like the 1987 Kuwaiti tanker convoy
  • Economic leverage creates strategic entrapment—by disrupting global oil flow, Iran now has leverage over Trump's ability to exit the conflict without economic consequences
  • Allied hesitation reflects both policy disagreement and political fatigue—countries are distinguishing between supporting the US and endorsing specific military decisions
  • Scale and complexity mismatch—1,000+ ships in the Gulf versus 20 US Navy ships creates a logistical challenge that coalition support alone may not solve
Trends
Erosion of US-led coalition-building capacity due to unilateral decision-makingRising importance of drone and asymmetric warfare in maritime security operationsAllied nations reasserting independence in foreign policy decisions despite historical US security partnershipsEconomic weaponization of critical infrastructure (oil chokepoints) as geopolitical leverageShift toward defensive posturing by European allies rather than proactive coalition participationIncreased complexity of naval escort missions in narrow waterways with modern weapons systemsGrowing disconnect between US military capability and diplomatic credibility with traditional allies
Topics
Strait of Hormuz SecurityUS-Iran Military ConflictInternational Coalition BuildingOil Tanker Escort OperationsIranian Drone and Naval ThreatsUS-European Alliance RelationsGlobal Oil Supply Chain SecurityUnilateral Military Decision-MakingMaritime Security OperationsGeopolitical Leverage and Economic SanctionsNaval Warfare TacticsInternational Diplomacy and ConsultationCritical Infrastructure ProtectionMiddle East Regional Stability
People
Donald Trump
US President who launched war against Iran unilaterally and is demanding seven countries send warships to secure Stra...
Keir Starmer
British Prime Minister who stated UK will not be drawn into wider war despite political pressure from Trump
Greg Meyri
NPR National Security Correspondent providing analysis on historical naval escort operations and current threats
Franco Ordonez
NPR White House Correspondent explaining Trump's demands and allied reluctance to participate in mission
Mary Louise Kelly
NPR Host moderating discussion on US military strategy and allied coalition challenges
Quotes
"I would really am demanding that these countries come in and protect their own territory because it is their territory. It's the place from which they get their energy and they should come and they should help us protect it."
Donald TrumpEarly in episode
"This is not our war. We did not start it."
German Defense MinisterMid-episode
"The UK will not be drawn into a wider war, despite any political pressure."
Keir StarmerMid-episode
"Iran can easily launch drones from land and target ships in the narrow, straight of Hormuz. It's just 21 miles wide at the narrowest point."
Greg MeyriMid-episode
"Iran controls the oil flow and could continue to exert this control if Trump decided to end the war and just pull out U.S. troops."
Greg MeyriEnd of episode
Full Transcript
Who is going to secure the narrow waterway through which 20% of the world's oil travels? We're talking about the Strait of Hormuz and about President Trump's demand that about seven countries send warships to reopen the vital shipping route. On Saturday, in a Truth Social post, Trump called out China, also France, Japan, South Korea and the United Kingdom to help the United States protect the area. Trump added he hopes they would, quote, send ships to the area so that the Hormuz Strait will no longer be a threat by a nation that has been totally decapitated, end quote. Here's Trump speaking to reporters on Air Force One on Sunday. I would really am demanding that these countries come in and protect their own territory because it is their territory. It's the place from which they get their energy and they should come and they should help us protect it. They should help us protect it, he's saying. Now all of this is happening three weeks after the U.S. and Israel launched war against Iran and without having built a coalition to protect the world's oil. Consider this, can the U.S. get its allies to help after going to war with Iran? And if they do, can the Strait of Hormuz really be secured? For NPR, I'm Mary Louise Kelly. At this year's Oscars, one battle after another took home the award for best picture. Michael B. Jordan won for lead actor. And the telecast had plenty of jokes at Timothy Chalamet's expense. Listen to a recap on pop culture happy hour via the NPR app or wherever you get your podcasts. Consider this from NPR. President Trump launched the war against Iran without building a coalition of U.S. allies. Only now is the president trying to enlist allies to help end Iran's effective shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz. And many of the countries he's asked are rejecting Trump's request. To talk this through, I am joined by NPR national security correspondent Greg Myrie. And White House correspondent Franco Ordonias. Hi, Franco. Hi there. I'm Michael Saffronko. President Trump wants other countries to help make the Gulf safe for oil tankers to pass through. Our other countries is inclined to help. Yeah. I was with him this weekend in Florida when he said he was actually demanding that seven countries send warships to help escort these oil vessels through the critical choke point. And he called on specifically China, France, the UK, Japan, and South Korea to help. And today he teased that they'll be announcing a number of countries who are going to help, but he would not name any specific ones. But he also acknowledged that some longtime allies don't want to get involved, and he was clearly not happy about that. Numerous countries have told me they're on the way. Some are very enthusiastic about it, and some aren't. Some are countries that we've helped for many, many years. We've protected them from horrible outside sources, and they weren't that enthusiastic. Franco, explain why U.S. allies are not that enthusiastic to use the president's words. Is this because they are opposed to the war, or because they think this particular mission is dangerous, or because President Trump has been insulting them regularly? Yeah, Mayor Lewis, I think it's a mix of all of those. I mean, the German Defense Minister, though, declared that this is not our war. We did not start it, adding that he wanted a diplomatic solution. The British Prime Minister, Kier Starmer, he said at a news conference that the UK will not be drawn into a wider war, despite any political pressure. Trump, again, is particularly unhappy with the UK. So definitely some political differences, but Trump also seemed to indicate some security concerns. He talked about the Iranian Navy and Air Force having very little firepower left. He seems to be aimed at reassuring these allies that there's only a small risk for helping them out. Greg, just to back us up, walk me through how oil tanker escorts have worked in past, because the U.S. has done it. Remind us when and how. Yeah, that's exactly right. Iran and Iraq fought this brutal war through most of the 1980s, and both those countries attacked the ships and oil facilities of the other side. And by 1987, the U.S. agreed to launch a naval convoy to protect Kuwaiti oil tankers from Iranian attacks. U.S. flags were raised on Kuwaiti oil tankers, and the U.S. Navy ships escorted these tankers from one end of the Gulf to the other. This is 600 miles or so. And overall, this went very well. It achieved what it was trying to do, but there were some serious problems along the way. During this operation, an Iraqi plane mistakenly fired on a U.S. ship, the USS Stark. The Iraqis thought this was an Iranian ship, and 37 U.S. sailors were killed. Which dozens of U.S. sailors being killed is obviously not something anyone wants to repeat. And could this perhaps even be more complicated now? Absolutely. And one key reason is simply drones. They just weren't a factor in the 1980s. Now Iran has them by the thousands, and it's probably impossible to eliminate all of them and fully extinguish this threat. Iran can easily launch drones from land and target ships in the narrow, straight of Hormuz. It's just 21 miles wide at the narrowest point. And Trump says the U.S. has wiped out Iran's mine-laying boats, more than 30 of them. But Iran has these small speed boats or patrol boats that they could use to attack as well. So the U.S. is inflicting this major damage on Iran's traditional weapons, but it'll be very difficult to account for all the small, mobile weapons, particularly fast boats and drones, and just one final key point on that. This would be so much larger than it was before. Today there are more than a thousand ships in the Gulf trying to get into the Gulf or out of the Gulf, and the U.S. has around 20 Navy ships in the region. But Franco, Team President Trump has created and now finds himself in a tough situation. Was this avoidable? Yeah. I mean, clearly the U.S. made a choice to go at this alone with Israel. And as with so many other global issues, Trump moved forward with little to no consultation with European allies. And those allies were very surprised and have since kind of taken this defensive posture, both tactically and politically. So I think you do have to wonder if the U.S. had consulted with these allies before, would such an ask that he's making now be different? Maybe he never would have gotten the buy-in, but if he did, I think you can say it could be different. Greg Bottomline, can President Trump end this war before he finds a way to reopen the Strait of Hormuz? Well, that's looking increasingly difficult. Initially, it seemed he could end this war more or less when he wanted. Now he's looking at a global economic problem that didn't exist before this war was launched and one that would be very hard to walk away from. So as of today, Iran controls the oil flow and could continue to exert this control if Trump decided to end the war and just pull out U.S. troops. All right. NPR correspondent Greg Meyri and Franco Ordonez, thanks to you both. Sure thing, Mary Louise. This episode was produced by Jeffrey Pierre and Karen Zamora with Audio Engineering by Ted Mebane. It was edited by Andrew Sussman, Rebecca Metzler, and Courtney Dornig. Our executive producer is Sammy Yonaghan. It's Consider This, from NPR. I'm Mary Louise Kelly. At this year's Oscars, one battle after another took home the award for best picture. Michael B. Jordan won for lead actor and the telecast had plenty of jokes at Timothy Chalamet's expense. Listen to a recap on PopCulture happy hour via the NPR app or wherever you get your podcasts.