TWiV 1292: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin
45 min
•Jan 31, 20263 months agoSummary
Dr. Daniel Griffin discusses the US withdrawal from the WHO, the appointment of an anti-vaccine pediatric cardiologist to lead immunization policy, measles resurgence across multiple countries, and the effectiveness of vaccines and antivirals for flu, COVID-19, and other infectious diseases.
Insights
- US withdrawal from WHO undermines global disease surveillance and pandemic preparedness despite 78-year commitment
- Leadership changes at CDC and ACIP have introduced anti-vaccine ideology into public health policy, pausing critical disease surveillance databases
- Measles elimination status is being lost in multiple developed nations including UK, Austria, Spain, and Germany due to declining vaccination rates
- Vaccine effectiveness remains substantial (43-53% for flu, ~50% for COVID hospitalization) despite waning immunity and variant emergence
- Real-world data demonstrates antivirals like Paxlovid reduce severe COVID outcomes by 42%, yet uptake remains low due to cost and physician skepticism
Trends
Politicization of public health institutions eroding scientific credibility and institutional capacityMeasles re-emergence in developed nations signaling vaccine hesitancy crossing socioeconomic boundariesCDC data surveillance degradation creating information gaps for disease tracking and responseAntiviral underutilization despite proven efficacy, indicating education and access barriers in clinical practiceShift toward off-label vaccine use (HPV in adults 45+, Shingrix in 40-year-olds) based on emerging evidenceHealthcare provider knowledge gaps on newer antivirals (Zofluza) despite availability and efficacyPost-pandemic decline in antiviral prescribing rates for hospitalized children suggesting access disruptionAsymptomatic COVID infections potentially underestimated in vaccinated populations with minimal seroconversion
Topics
WHO Withdrawal and Global Health GovernanceVaccine Hesitancy and Immunization PolicyMeasles Resurgence and Elimination StatusCDC Surveillance Database PausesInfluenza Vaccine Effectiveness in ChildrenCOVID-19 Vaccine Effectiveness in Older AdultsPaxlovid Efficacy and Uptake BarriersAntiviral Therapy for Influenza (Tamiflu vs Zofluza)RSV and Respiratory Illness SurveillanceHPV Vaccination in Adults Over 45Shingrix Vaccine and Dementia PreventionPemgarda Monoclonal Antibody EfficacyPost-Exposure Prophylaxis StrategiesHealthcare Provider Education on AntiviralsAsymptomatic COVID Detection and Serology
Companies
Pfizer-BioNTech
Discussed COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (BNT162B2 KP.2 variant) with 49% efficacy against hospitalization
Roche
Manufacturer of Zofluza (baloxavir marboxil), single-dose influenza antiviral discussed as alternative to Tamiflu
Gilead Sciences
Manufacturer of Paxlovid (nirmatrelvir/ritonavir), COVID-19 antiviral showing 42% reduction in intubation/mortality
GSK
Manufacturer of Shingrix vaccine discussed for use in adults under 50 for shingles and dementia prevention
Microbe TV
Podcast network hosting This Week in Virology and fundraising for Parasites Without Borders
People
Dr. Daniel Griffin
Infectious disease physician providing clinical updates on viral outbreaks, vaccines, and antivirals
Vincent Racaniello
Host of This Week in Virology podcast, virologist discussing public health policy and disease trends
Dr. Kirk Milhone
Pediatric cardiologist and chair of ACIP advocating for optional vaccines, criticized for anti-vaccine stance
Dr. Paul Offit
Vaccine expert cited for Substack article critiquing Milhone's false claims about vaccine safety studies
Ronald Reagan
Referenced as actor-turned-president who initiated anti-government rhetoric undermining public health institutions
Immanuel Kant
Philosopher quoted on human nature: 'Out of the crooked timber of humanity, no straight thing was ever made'
Helen Keller
Credited with quote 'Nothing safer than safe' regarding vaccine safety and efficacy
Quotes
"Out of the crooked timber of humanity, no straight thing was ever made."
Immanuel Kant (quoted by Vincent Racaniello)•Early in episode
"We live in a world where the parasites, the pathogens know no borders. And this whole idea that we're going to just stay here and be fine without working together with the world is just disastrous."
Dr. Daniel Griffin•WHO withdrawal discussion
"This is why we have vaccine requirements for getting in school in most states because otherwise we would still have huge outbreaks of polio and measles and other infectious diseases."
Dr. Daniel Griffin•Vaccine mandate discussion
"You give your kid the flu shot and you've reduced their chance of either ending up in the emergency department or the hospital by about half. It's a no brainer."
Vincent Racaniello•Flu vaccine efficacy discussion
"That plastic ET tube in your mouth tastes really bad."
Dr. Daniel Griffin•Paxlovid side effects discussion
Full Transcript
This Week in Virology, the podcast about viruses, the kind that make you sick. From Microbe TV, this is TWIV, This Week in Virology, episode 1292, recorded on the 29th of January, 2026. I'm Vincent Racaniello, and you're listening to the podcast, All About Viruses. Joining me today from New York, Daniel Griffin. Hello, everyone. You're too far away for me to see your tie, but it looks like purple and reddish. Yeah, you know, it's one that if you're beavers, does that ring any bells? Beaver fever. Beaver fever. Is that giardia? You got it. It's beaver fever. It's giardia. I was raised with giardia. I was watching that. What is it, a YouTube short about, I was raised with STDs. STD. You know, your father was a surgeon, so, you know. But no, so, you know, reminds me of Colorado, right? You get a lot of snow out there, Daniel? Well, for our listeners, I guess, around the entire world, it's been really cold. Our bay is frozen all the way across. We got about a foot of snow. And then like the last hour or two, it was a freezing rain. So if you did not dig yourself out, the freezing rain came down and turned into concrete. So we had like a foot of concrete ice everywhere. I actually fired up my snowblower and cleared the driveway on Sunday morning. And I haven't done that in years because I don't like doing it. But I hired someone, you know. So – but he wasn't going to come till the evening and I said, this is not good. So I got rid of most of the powder. It was very powdery in the morning, very interesting. In the morning? Oh, in the morning it was beautiful. It was just fluffy powder. I like it. You know, it's very – it's very social, right? Everyone in the neighborhood, at least my neighborhood, everyone's out, you know. And so I shovel like the sidewalk of my neighbors on either side and then one of my neighbors on one side shovels mine. And then, you know, it's just like everyone sort of takes turns, like, you know, taking care of each other. And it's nice to see everyone out there. It's bonding. I'll tell you, there's a guy walking around with a shovel offering to shovel. Ice picked him up. Oh, my gosh. Really? Yep. This is the country we're living in. I don't want it, Daniel. But it also extends to public health. Did you know how screwed up it is? Yeah, it really does. It's horrible. Well, we've got a lot to talk about. So I actually, maybe people can decide whether or not this quotation is a reflection of our view on what's going on. And this is Immanuel Kant. Out of the crooked timber of humanity, no straight thing was ever made. So you think humanity is basically crooked, Daniel? I just think there is some crooked timber among the humans. Oh, the crooked timber. So there's some straight timber to that, right? There really, I mean, most people are just, like I was relating, like most people in my neighborhood, I mean, they're just helping each other out. The people next door to me are a bit older than I am, right? I don't want to use the word elderly because at some point people will refer to me that way. But they're a bit older and they were out of town and everyone like took care of their driveway and their newspaper and their sidewalk and anonymously. No one was like – what was it? Washington Irving. Like the best thing in life is do something anonymous and have someone discover it. No, this is just people being decent and people are – in general, people are decent. I don't know, Daniel. Your neighbors, if you ask them, they might say they support ICE. I don't know. You can't tell about people. Yeah, it's tough. Well, all right. So speaking of impacts on health, first we have regarding the World Health Organization. The US has finalized its withdrawal from the World Health Organization one year after President Donald Trump announced America was ending its 78-year-old commitment in kind of classic style, like still owing like $160 million or something. But we're leaving, you know. So that is not just bad for the world. It's going to be bad for us. It's a really ignorant decision and there's just no way around it. It would be better for everybody if we were there, including us. It's just stupid and I can't wait to have it reversed one day. Yeah. I mean it will be reversed one day. It's just going to take time and, yeah, have to try to figure out what's going on there. But no, I mean if you have an issue with the WHO, you don't just leave. You don't just grab your ball and go home. You work with the organization. You can reform. You can improve it. But yeah, we live in a world where the parasites, the pathogens know no borders. And this whole idea that we're going to just stay here and be fine without working together with the world is just disastrous. It gets worse, Vincent. The next headline, rejecting decades of science vaccine panel chair says polio and other shots should be optional. So Dr. Kirk Milhone, a pediatric cardiologist who leads the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices. I didn't really realize that, you know, training in pediatric cardiology would really be the credential for leading the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices. but what world do we live in? This gentleman said a person's right to refuse a vaccine outweighs concerns about illness or death from infectious diseases. Dr. Kirk Milhone, pediatric cardiologist, who's chair of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices, said they did have concerns that some children might die of measles or become paralyzed with polio as a result of a choice not to vaccinate. But he said, I'm also sad when people die of alcoholic diseases. adding freedom of choice and bad health outcomes. In the case of an infectious disease, a personal choice to decline a vaccine may also affect others, including infants who are too young to be vaccinated or people who are immunocompromised. But a person's right to reject a vaccine supersedes these risks, Dr. Milhoun said. Another idiot cardiologist, Daniel. We saw lots of these during COVID, a couple of them, and now we have another one. I just don't understand how he can compare protecting kids against infectious disease with alcoholism. They're just not even close, not even close. But Daniel, don't you think that for public health to work, you have to make sure that people are vaccinated? Do you have to lose a little bit of your rights? I mean, don't you have to wear a seatbelt? Don't you have to stop at a red light? There are lots of things like that in life, right? Apparently, I'm not allowed to drive drunk. They frown on me firing my handgun or rifle in the backyard of my suburban neighborhood, right? I mean, this is living in a society. You living in a society are forced to do certain things that maybe you wouldn't want to do because you're not really supposed to kill your neighbor. And no, and that's what he's saying. I'm sad to hear that the kids are going to die and get paralyzed, but I really just don't want people to lose their personal choice. I mean we were talking today about pertussis in the hospital and about those children down in Alabama that died. A number of children died down there in Alabama. And unfortunately, you know, little babies until they're about six months of age and then up to a year, right, for polio, they can't necessarily be protected. So we're really relying on our community. I mean you should have the freedom to bring your baby out in public, not worrying that they're going to be killed by some disease that your neighbor just doesn't really want to help address. This is why we have vaccine requirements for getting in school in most states because otherwise we would still have huge outbreaks of polio and measles and other infectious diseases. I mean, I think that's – yeah. So I'm glad you raised that because we're not talking about like a country where they say everyone has to follow the vaccine schedule to the letter. But we do say if you're going to be in a communal situation like a public school where everyone is required to go to school. And so if people are there because they're required to get educated to go to school, then we are required as a society to make that a safe space. and I think the risk of death or paralysis, you're saying like, okay, sorry, you are now going to be required to go to school. You might end up dead or paralyzed, but we don't want anyone else's freedoms to be compromised. I mean, what comes next? Honestly, what is the argument? Can we now drive drunk? Can we now fire off our handgun in the backyard? It's just a non-illogical argument. That doesn't make any sense. The guy's an idiot to begin with. They can't think outside of a paper bag. By the way, there's a great interview. There's a great piece on Paul Offit's Substack where he cites an interview that someone did with Milhoun. For example, the interviewer asked, do you think vaccines are appropriately studied for safety? And he says, no, they haven't been. They're only studied for efficacy, which as we know is a lie. It's completely wrong, right? And then he says, we don't need rubella vaccine. I've never seen a case of congenital rubella affecting a child in my career. As a pediatric cardiologist. Right. Because that's who you would call up if you saw, you know, congenital. But it's because we vaccinate that he hasn't seen it. Is he really that dumb? Well, I think it's even beyond that. Like, he's not going to see that. Like when someone was like, hey, we've got a really severe COVID case and they're hypoxic and we're thinking about starting remdesivir. Let's call the pediatric cardiologist so we can come in and see this. And then finally, he says, you know, we don't have to worry about polio. We have good sanitation now. Doesn he know that polio became epidemic because of sanitation This man Daniel is ignorant and he allowed to head the ASIP This is such a problem Yeah No I mean these are problems because like the last one for instance on the surface you're like, oh, gosh, huh? Is that true or not? But he fails to understand the history. We had brilliant people who understood that with sanitation, delayed timing of that initial exposure is when we started seeing all this paralysis. So, you know, paralytic polio can be a result of the sanitation levels that we have. He's just – I don't know if he's that ignorant or lying or both. It's just – I think he's ignorant. I really think like he's – I mean, one, he's never seen congenital rubella. So he's been living in whatever part of his world. This comment about polio and then come on. Vaccines have only been studied for efficacy. We have talked repeatedly about every single study on vaccines and the safety component. And not only do we follow that in the RCTs, the initial trials, but we then have post-marketing surveillance. Of course. Yeah. That's how we pick up rare side effects like clots and myocarditis and so forth. Guillain-Barre. So he's just ignorant of all this. And he's also an anti-vaxxer. So that's why he's had a VASIP. Yeah. I mean fortunately the American Academy of Pediatrics, pediatricians, doctors, we all basically have realized that this is some sort of a political anomaly. There currently is no reliable guidance coming out of the CDC. It's become basically a place for a bunch of anti-science, anti-vaccine people to push their agenda. But all right. It gets – I don't know if it's worse but it just keeps going. You know, if we don't have the information, if we don't see what's going on, right, how do we respond? Well, the article, Unexplained Pauses in Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Surveillance Erosion of the Public Evidence Base for Health Policy, big long title, was published in Annals of Internal Medicine. And this is getting a lot of attention. You know, if you don't look, right, you do not see how big a disaster they're creating. But in 2025, some U.S. CDC databases seem to have unexplained pauses and ceased or delayed updates. So the CDC public data catalog was audited to identify paused databases that had previously been updated at least monthly, evaluated their characteristics. of the 1,358 catalog records examined. They do this on the 20th of October. 82 were previously updated at least monthly on the basis of each database's stated periodicity, allowing for being like a 30-day grace period. They classified them as current or paused. 54% were current, 46% were paused. Almost half of them were paused. And then you can actually, I actually like this table. They have a table because you can see like, you know, which of these databases are they going after. So all the vaccination ones are paused, right? Infectious disease stuff is paused. Injury and behavioral mental health, we're seeing a number of those paused. They really seem to be going after infectious disease and vaccines here. Really, the CDC is finished as a trustable source. It's paused. For the moment, it's on pause. For the moment, we're not looking to the CDC for guidance until political winds change. Well, the problem is they fired so many people, it's hard to just switch the switch and turn them back on again. It's going to take some time. It really is. And then people are going to want to go back. I mean people can have a little bit of PTSD, be a little gun shy to take a job after this. Wondering that is this like every four year changing of the guard. Daniel, it used to be that we depended on the government to protect us. And so people working for the government were secure and now they're not anymore. It's quite clear that a cowboy can come to office and just fire everyone at will. And even though it's unconstitutional, it's been found by courts that it's unconstitutional. You can't do anything because the bloody Supreme Court gave him immunity. It's all screwed up. Yeah. No, I mean, you know, I apologize to all cowboys out there because when we did actually have a cowboy in the presidency, it's a little different. We don't have a cowboy. We have some flat-footed, you know, Dodge drafter. Who was the cowboy you're talking about? Reagan. Yeah, well, he started all this nonsense, the nonsense about the government being too big and it can't help people. This is the culmination of his nonsense. He played a cowboy on the big screen. He wasn't really a cowboy. He was an actor. Okay. All right. So moving into measles. Oh my gosh. So nice headline here, bad headline here. UK among six European countries losing measles elimination status. This is like everyone. So six countries in the WHO European region have reestablished endemic measles transmission, according to 2024 reporting reviewed by the European Regional Verification Commission for Measles and Rubella Elimination. Countries that have reestablished endemic measles transmission included Armenia, Austria, Azerbaijan, Spain, the UK, Uzbekistan. And we already have a bunch that are classified as edemic before we add these new ones on. So France, Georgia, Germany, Italy, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Poland, Romania, the Russian Federation, Serbia, and- What's with Italy for gosh sakes? Come on. I mean, all the countries, I can understand some of them may not have the immunization programs, but come on, Italy, France. This is crazy. Well, the US, you know? I can't really cast stones, can I? Germany, right? You know? Germany is surprising. Yeah. So. All right. Well, here in the US, we have the MMWR measles outbreak associated with an infectious traveler, Kauron May, June 2025. I mean, this is one of those where you got to read past the headline, right? Because you hear this, you're like, oh, those travelers bringing it into our country. This is not a traveler bringing it into the country. Let's go through this story. This is a guy in the US who got it in the US traveling around, you know. So May 20th, 2025, CDC notified the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment of a measles case that an unvaccinated non-Colorado resident who had arrived in Denver Airport on an international flight and traveled through the Denver International Airport while infectious. Now, the patient acquired measles in the US before traveling international. This is a disaster, right? So he gets measles, travels around the world, comes back, spreads it around Colorado. Nine secondary cases and one tertiary case, right? So he gives it to someone, they give it to someone else. Associated with his traveler were confirmed among the Colorado residents. Seven additional cases reported by other jurisdictions, right? So not just Colorado. Four of the nine secondary cases occurred among persons who had received two doses of the MMR before the exposure. Three unvaccinated patients and one with unknown vaccination status were hospitalized. All the patients had a rash, but the vaccinated patients reported fewer and milder symptoms overall. Now, a little pearl here that they throw out is that when they're doing the diagnosis, routinely collecting urine specimens for measles testing actually improve the identification of cases. So think about not only, you know, the test, but setting off that urine for the measles virus. So normally you would do a nasal swab? You might do a nasal, yeah, that would be. All right. And big news, South Carolina, measles cases hit 789 this week, surpassing Texas. This is more than the Texas 2025 outbreak total. And they reported a surge up to 789 on this past Tuesday. And because Texas, they peaked at 762. Here we are at 789. Biggest state-level outbreak in the country. The latest count includes 89 new cases since Friday, right? So this is Friday to Tuesday, 89 new cases in like three days. This is all preventable if the head of HHS, the head of CDC encouraged vaccination. Yeah. Yeah. And just to sort of compare these numbers, right? So I'm telling you, we already have 789 in measles, you know, in South Carolina. The CDC, and this is data only up to January 22nd, a little bit of wiggle I'll give you, but they're saying 416 confirmed. So by next week, we better see that number much higher or we're going to be a little suspicious about how the CDC is taking its time counting these cases. It's a nice – it's a good vampire. The Johns Hopkins measles tracker is really nice. You can see these are scattered all over the country. Yeah. It's endemic again. I mean we're going to lose our elimination status unless they can somehow find some technical loophole to avoid that. And yeah, so there's also – we'll leave the link into the Hopkins. It's always like a little bit behind the CDC as far as days, but it's great to have multiple sources, right? Mexico has confirmed its first measles death of 2026. And they're up to almost 1,000 cases just this month. We're not even through January. So like the US, Mexico will lose its elimination status when the Pan American Health Organization meets this April. All right, flu, flu, okay, maybe a little bit better, right? So we're still at high levels, but you can start to see a little bit of, I don't know, green, limey green, a little bit of things dropping to moderate and low in certain parts of the country. We're still in the high area here in most of the Northeast. But we are seeing that the epidemic trend is that couple areas in the Northeast, right? Like so Maine and New York New Jersey we throw that in there We actually seeing declining likely declining You know the rest of that country it interesting is still growing Yes Yeah So Well you know flu persists until really March, April, right? It can drag a little bit. It is interesting though. So we're going to talk about a couple of things. So one, just do want to mention before we talk about, yeah, the sort of incidence peak. So we're already up to a dozen, well, 44 pediatric influenza deaths so far this year. 44 in one month. Yeah. So 12 just in the last week and 44 just – we're not even into the end of January yet. So by the time this drops, it's going to be right at the end of the month. Yeah. So – all right. But yeah, let's talk about like what happens with flu. And I've got this graph that maybe David will have up for everyone where you can see each season. I mean we get a flu peak every season. It's just like death and taxes. We get flu every winter. And so sometimes it peaks really early like 2022. It was a really early peak. But usually right about December is when we see it peak and that's what we've seen for multiple seasons. And then it can come down and then the Super Bowl occurs. And you got a 50-50 chance and it depends where you are. when this happens. Either it'll drop down, which is done about 50% of the time, or if it's still above that threshold, we often see a second peak or a second plateau. And it can last out to, you are right, it can last out in some seasons to like end of March. Yeah. So it's often like this three, four months. Every so often, we do get these short periods. When is this Super Bowl thing? It's a week from this Sunday. Okay. So it's the first week of February, right? It's usually like the first September or so, first Sunday in February, something like that. I don't know. Yeah. I'm rooting for Seattle if that you know. Are you going to have a party and introduce infectious diseases into your home? You know, as long as the party doesn't start until I finish working, which will be about eight or nine o'clock at night. Right. So, all right. Vaccination, you know, there are things you can do. So we have the article, Influenza Vaccine Efficacy Effectiveness Among Children With and Without Underlying Conditions, published in Pediatrics. U.S. study, right? They enrolled U.S. children aged six months to 17 years at seven pediatrical medical centers. This is within the new vaccine surveillance network during five influenza seasons, so 2015 to 2020, so right up until the COVID pandemic. They're going to look basically at 2,821 kids that tested positive among 15,875 children that were included. The vaccine efficacy, we're going to go through against which different things. So vaccine effectiveness against influenza-associated emergency department visits or hospitalizations as a combined endpoint was 43% for children with underlying conditions and 53% for those without. That was sort of interesting, right? So it works even a little bit better on the kids without underlying conditions. Yeah. But it's a good number. It's about 50% either way for all the kids, about 50%. You give your kid the flu shot and you've reduced their chance of either ending up in the emergency department or the hospital by about half. It's a no brainer. How can you not want that? I don't get it. There's nothing safer than safe, right? Do you remember who said that? I don't. I think that was Sabin. One of those polio guys. Let me look it up. Yeah. Check. Nothing safer than safe. dramatic pause. I don't know. Who said it? All right. Well, while you're looking, I'm going to do another article. So, right, we talked about vaccines. Everyone should be getting them. It makes sense. Helen Keller. That's Helen Keller. Nothing safer than safe. All right. I like that. Yeah, we have the Helen Keller Institute just down the road. And we always, well, we, you know my wife and i are kids yeah i guess we we all we all run in that um every year it's a fundraiser run and this is the one i don't know if you remember this story where my wife was complaining she's like oh i'm just i just you know i'm getting older i'm not as fit as i used to be i just can't run as fast and i was like jessica you just won you just won the race I mean, you're going to upset everyone. All right. So the article, Influenza Antiviral Use in Hospitalized Children Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic, was published in Pediatrics. These results come from active surveillance among U.S. children with acute respiratory illness at seven sites in the new vaccine surveillance network before the COVID-19 pandemic. So again, sort of similar, right, 2016 to 2020. And then they're also going to look at what they term the late pandemic period, so 2021 to 2023. So they reported that among 1,560 children hospitalized with influenza, antiviral use ranged between 48.3% and 56.8% pre-pandemic. But then it drops down to 38% in 2021 and 2022. but then we saw it increase back up to 46.1% in 2022, 2023. Really interesting, right, that we saw that. Yeah, I guess people weren't able to get a prescription during the pandemic. Might have been an access issue, yeah. All right, RSV levels are still high, and it's a mix. Like some of the country, we're seeing that it's still growing out west. In New York, we're kind of on a plateau. Some other areas we're seeing that it's likely declining. So it's still out there. And COVID, maybe I have good news here. Levels are still high when you look across the country. But if we look at our multicolored curves, it looks like things are on the way down. Yeah, well, it's pretty behind, right? It's only January 17th, and today's the 29th. Yeah, so that's a problem, right? Like the data is old. It's not being updated as regularly as we would like. Because if you look at the previous year, there were kind of some up and downs, right? It was going down. Then there was a little peak. And then it goes down. Then there's another peak. So I don't think it's all the way down. I mean, the Midwest, if you look at this, it's still just right at the high, very high area. Yeah. So, yeah. I mean, the Northeast, it's still in the high area. So. But what to do? you can get a vaccine, right? We keep mentioning that, you know, so we get some, you know, some of those wonderful comments. But again, when I discuss vaccines, it's footnoted. I'm discussing the science, the data. So the article, Effectiveness and Durability of the BNT162B2KP.2, that's the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine, against COVID-19 hospitalization and emergency department or urgent care encounters in U.S. adults. This is published in Open Forum Infectious Disease. So the vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 hospital admissions, 49%, 45% against ED and urgent care encounters. Pretty impressive, about a 50% reduction in ending up in the hospital, about a 50% reduction in ending up in urgent care or an emergency department. Is there any age group here or is this just everyone? Let me take a look. I'm trying to remember what was the – Yeah, it said older adults. Older adults. Okay. That's why it's not higher because it's hard to protect an older adult even with a good vaccine. Yeah. Yeah. It's really interesting because the older adults don't respond quite as well, but they have a higher risk. So the absolute benefit tends to be more significant. And younger people, and as we've seen in children, they get great protection, but they already have a lower risk. So you sort of the absolute numbers are lower. All right. And what happens if you get COVID? Is there effective antiviral therapy? Well, here is a study out of Shaman University, the Association of Nermitrolvir, Ritonavir, that's Paxlovid, with intubation or mortality risk in severe COVID-19 patients, a comparative study published in BMCA Infectious Diseases. So these results of an analysis of a retrospective cohort from the first affiliated hospital of Shaman University, ranging from December 15, 2022, to February 15, 2023. They were looking at the association between the use of Paxlovid, so Nermotrilovir, Rotonavir, and the risk of intubation or in-hospital mortality among severe COVID-19 patients using real-world data. So a total of 1,436 consecutive patients with COVID-19 were included. 265 were included in the final analysis, of whom 169 received treatment, 96 did not. They found that getting Paxlovid was associated with a reduced risk of this composite endpoint, 0.52. So really about a 42% reduction in your risk of ending up on a ventilator or dying. Also not bad. It's not bad. And what I thought was nice was if you look at, they have a nice table where you can actually see like what was the absolute. And so basically it had almost 40% of the folks that did not get Paxlovid either ended up intubated or dead. And you drop that to 20% by treating with Paxlovid. I mean, people are still getting intubated. People are still dying. People are still ending up in the hospital, the urgent care, the emergency room with COVID. So it still hasn't really reach that just a bit of sniffles level. Why don't we have more uptake? I mean, I think the price is one of the problems, right? I think the price is a huge problem. Price is a huge problem, but also I think education. Yeah, I think even a lot of physicians think it doesn't work, right? There are side effects and it's just not right. They're worried about the side effects. Oh, you might have a bad taste in your mouth. I say, you know what tastes really bad? That plastic ET tube in your mouth. So that was what this study was demonstrating. So yeah, don't give them steroids Give them antivirals for the viral infection All right Well that will wrap up You know a little bit shorter I say a little bit shorter Here we are half an hour in A little bit shorter half an hour than our usual No one is safe until everyone is safe. I think this is going to be like the last chance, right, for the Micro TV fundraiser. So we're trying to get up to that maximum donation of $20,000. We're matching your contributions. I think we're going to get there between you and me, Vincent. So maybe a little last push by our people donating. Go to parasiteswithoutborders.com and click donate. It's time for your questions for Daniel. You can send yours to Daniel at myclub.tv. Gail writes, Daniel, I was told that Pemgarda is no longer thought to be protective against current variants of COVID and that while it's still available now, it won't be available in the future. Is that correct? And even if it's only partially correct, would you recommend getting another infusion for someone who barely mounted an antibody response to the last vaccine they had and who has a T cell count in the 80s? All right. So first off, Gail, who told you that? You should name them. I was told by whom? Someone who was not in the know. No, there may be some decrease in the efficacy of PemGarda from when it was first released, but we've done like post-marketing. We're still seeing a significant reduction in people ending up in the hospital and dying, and we've shared some of those studies on our prior podcasts this week in virology clinical updates. So no, PemGarda looks to still be effective. Remember, it's really important to follow the efficacy of the product because as we've talked about, there could be some FC-mediated benefits, even if you're starting to see a lack of neutralization in some of those pseudoviral assays that we use. So no, I think it still makes sense to continue to use this product. You know, bad information really spreads readily, and good information doesn't. Why is that, Daniel? It's amazing that when someone doesn't know something, the level of confidence they can bring to the table, right? I mean, it's often a relative. I heard that Pemgarda doesn't work. And then maybe Gail hears that and say, I heard, but you didn't hear. It's just someone passed on bad information to you. We have to go into the journals. You have to go to Dr. Daniel Griffin's clinical update to hear the right stuff. Yeah. It's interesting, right? Let's say you did that. Let's say you told someone, you said, yeah, I don't think that really stuff works. And then they decided not to get Pemgarda and then they ended up dying of COVID. Would you feel bad that you're giving like bad medical advice to people that you're interacting with? I mean, you should. I mean, you know. Jason writes, thank you so, so much for all your great work. I remember you discussing Zofluza several weeks ago and the advantages it has over Tamiflu. Recently, my infant tested positive with flu and the pediatrician prescribed Tamiflu. I believe Zofluza is only approved for over five years old. My wife went to urgent care to inquire about taking Zofluza as a PEP. Post-exposure prophylaxis. The urgent care doctors were happy to prescribe it for both of us. As an aside, we saw different doctors and neither was familiar with Zofluza, though they looked it up and were then comfortable with it, which is a credit to the doctors who were willing to educate themselves. The cost of Zofluza was $187 at the New York City pharmacy we got it from. I stupidly forgot that you had posted a coupon. That said, the coupon only reduces the cost by a maximum of $70. We can afford the medication, and it's worth it to us because we're trying to miss as little work as possible while taking care of a baby with the flu. That said, not everyone can afford this even with a coupon. I just wanted to report to you on how much this actually costs in some places, which may be a barrier for some people, and to remind people to use the coupon and even educate your doctor about the availability of a Zofluza if you find yourself with the flu. All right. So, Jason, I'm going to leave in the link to Zofluza.com. And if you click on that, are you ready? Cash pay price of $50, and they will send the Zofluza to your home. But still, $50. You know, you $50, your wife $50. It adds up. It does start to add up. So yeah, that is, you know, I mean, Zofluza, again, a barrier to people getting it can be price. Also, really some crummy marketing, right? But you're doing great marketing, Jason. They should have given it to you for free after educating these doctors. Tracy writes, my primary care doctor will not write a script for the HPV vaccination for me because I'm older than 45. Is there a downside to getting vaccinated in my early 50s, or is it just because clinical trials have not been conducted in adults over 45? I've had HPV before, which cleared, and I have also had cryosurgery in my 20s for cervical dysplasia. Any information is appreciated. Yes. So, Tracy, we actually discussed, and Vincent, you guys did a deeper dive into this study where you take someone who's had HPV, who's actually developed dysplasia like you did, and getting the vaccine can actually have a curative effect. So you're using it in a different manner. You're using it, you would say, off license, but it's been studied in adults over 45 in that study that we talked about. So, you know, I would talk, you know, there might be someone else that you can discuss. Maybe it's not the primary care doctor. Maybe it's the the gynecologist or a gynecological oncologist that you can talk to. But yeah, it's, you know, clinical trials have been conducted in adults. This would be an off-label indication in the United States. I don't see a downside. I'll put a link to that discussion in the paper. Maybe you can show it to your primary care doctor. Li Ping writes, recently I received the Shingrix vaccine as a 40-year-old. I want to let you know that it is very doable and the reaction is not too bad. The second day, my entire body is aching, particularly my head, but the symptoms are mostly gone by the third day. I'm very glad I received the vaccine at 40 instead of 50. If there are audiences of yours that are considering that, just go for it. I wish they had the study of the vaccine on 40-year-olds. Interesting. You know what's going to be interesting is this next generation, right, that isn't getting infected with the chickenpox virus. Well, I say that and then I realize like those days, like that was the trajectory we're heading in, right? Chickenpox is going to be gone. People are only going to get vaccines. Pretty soon, you know, everyone who had gotten chickenpox would be over the age of 50, but now all that is on its head. It's within our reach to really make a substantial decrease in dementias. right, by immunizing people with Shingrix earlier, I presume. Yeah. I mean, it really looks like it. And it might be too late after the fact. There was that study at Columbia where we put people on antivirals for periods of time. Maybe we didn't do it on enough people, but you do the vaccine and the vaccine really can decrease your risk of dementia. The vaccine can really decrease your risk of cognitive decline. Yeah. Anne Carmen writes, I'm a longtime listener, curious to hear your thoughts. I'm a middle-aged science educator in good health with no evidence of previous COVID infection. Early on in the pandemic, I was part of a clinical vaccine trial, so I was tested for COVID regularly for two years. Since then, I've been part of other studies which have also tested for COVID, though not as regularly and only using rapid tests. I live in New York City, ride public transit, and work with hundreds of people on a weekly basis. Because of this, I wear a mask regularly and test for COVID as needed. I know for a fact I've been exposed to COVID at least three times, not including the household cases which I directly managed. Is it really possible that I have never contracted COVID before? Although there's been no evidence of infection, I'm starting to wonder if it's possible that I'm just one of those asymptomatic people who never get sick, never test positive, and whose viral load stays just below the threshold. What's your hypothesis? Thanks for your time and everything you do in the name of science. Yeah. So, I mean, there definitely are, well, there's definitely people out there who have been exposed to COVID, who had an asymptomatic case. Maybe they spread it on to others or they didn't. I mean, my one episode, right, is I'm hanging out with you, Vincent and Dixon and some other folks, Chuck Knirsch, and we're at the American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene meeting. And I come home and I'm about to go for a run, right? And my throat, I got a little bit of scratch in my throat, you know? So I'm obviously feeling good because I'm about to go for a run in like November. And I'm like, you know, before I go, I should just do a test. And I did the test, right? And it was a faint line. So I'm like, oh my gosh, I got COVID. And I spent like a week working on like the, you know, eighth edition of parasitic diseases. But I tested again the next day. It was negative. I actually felt 100% fine after that. Just don't tell my wife she doesn't listen to TWIV anymore. So, you know, but I was, of course, like worried that I would spread it to her. That's why I was in the room working on the book. But so, you know, I could have, you know, I could have missed that if I had just said, you know, I'll test tomorrow and go for my run now. So there probably are some people that have had minimally symptomatic COVID. I guess that's why I'm telling that story. There are people that have asymptomatic, minimally symptomatic. And And then there probably are some people out there who, despite exposures, have just been lucky so far. So at this point, I'm not sure. You might be just one of those folks who remains asymptomatic, doesn't get sick. You may end up just ever missing when, you know, you had a threshold positivity. We even saw, right, in serology studies that particularly people who've been vaccinated, some of them never even seroconvert, even if you, like, did daily tests of PCRs and picked up that there was some sort of viral replication going on. So I don't know. I don't know. I mean, she could look for antibodies to nuclear protein, right? So that's the interesting. So we thought early on that, hey, you know, that you'll know for sure. But that was the vaccine study where people have been vaccinated, sometimes never even mount the NICAP-CID. It's like 25% of people who never have symptoms, never even convert. So, yeah. Well, Mrs. Carmen, we don't know. That's TWIV Weekly Clinical Update with Dr. Daniel Griffin. Thank you, Daniel. Thank you, and everyone be safe.