La Estrategia del Día México

Los ‘cómos’ del Plan México, Amazon Vs. FedEx y UPS, Fibra Next y Anthropic

14 min
May 5, 202626 days ago
Listen to Episode
Summary

Mexico's President Claudia Sheinbaum announced concrete implementation measures for Plan México focused on reducing bureaucracy and accelerating investment approvals. Amazon's expansion into third-party logistics threatens FedEx and UPS, causing significant stock declines. Moody's downgraded Sinaloa's outlook to negative, while Fibra Next launched an acquisition offer for Fibra McQuarrie, and Goldman Sachs and Blackstone partnered with Anthropic to create an AI services firm.

Insights
  • Mexico's investment strategy is shifting from conceptual planning to operational execution through specific bureaucratic reforms and streamlined approval processes
  • Amazon's logistics network expansion represents a fundamental competitive threat to traditional parcel and freight carriers across North America
  • Regulatory credit rating downgrades signal growing investor concern about state-level governance and financing stability in Mexico
  • Strategic partnerships between traditional finance and AI startups indicate a race to embed AI capabilities across enterprise sectors
  • Simplified permitting processes for renewable energy projects under 20 megawatts could accelerate Mexico's clean energy transition
Trends
Bureaucratic streamlining as competitive advantage for emerging markets attracting foreign direct investmentTech giants verticalizing logistics and supply chain services to capture adjacent market opportunitiesCredit rating agencies increasingly factoring political risk and governance changes into sovereign and sub-sovereign assessmentsAlternative asset managers and traditional finance entering AI services market to compete with pure-play AI startupsRenewable energy permitting acceleration driving investment in distributed generation and battery storage infrastructureRegional credit market fragmentation in Mexico creating differentiated financing costs across statesReal estate investment trusts consolidating through cross-border acquisitions in logistics and retail segments
Companies
Amazon
Announced expansion of logistics services to third-party customers, threatening traditional parcel and freight carriers
FedEx
Stock fell 7.4% following Amazon's logistics expansion announcement, worst day in over one year
UPS
Stock declined 8.9% in response to Amazon's third-party logistics service expansion strategy
Anthropic
Partnered with Goldman Sachs and Blackstone to create AI services firm for enterprise cloud operations
Goldman Sachs
Co-founded AI services company with Blackstone and Anthropic to provide cloud-based AI solutions
Blackstone
Co-founded AI services company with Goldman Sachs and Anthropic for enterprise AI deployment
Fibra Next
Launched acquisition offer for Fibra McQuarrie to expand retail and logistics real estate portfolio
Fibra McQuarrie
Target of acquisition offer from Fibra Next to strengthen geographic and asset-type diversification
Forward Air
Logistics company experiencing double-digit stock decline following Amazon's logistics expansion announcement
GXO Logistics
Logistics company experiencing double-digit stock decline following Amazon's logistics expansion announcement
Old Dominion Freight Line
Trucking company stock declined over 5% following Amazon's logistics expansion announcement
COFEPRIS
Mexican health authority reduced permit requirements and resolution time from 100 to 24 days
Banobras
Development bank participating in Plan México implementation with Jorge Mendoza as representative
Moody's
Changed Sinaloa's credit outlook from stable to negative due to governance and financing access concerns
S&P Global
Previously issued negative outlook for Sinaloa, followed by Moody's similar assessment
Santander
Provided 500 million peso financing to Sinaloa state government
BBVA
Provided 1 billion peso financing to Sinaloa state government
Apollo Global Management
Investor supporting Anthropic AI services partnership with Goldman Sachs and Blackstone
General Atlantic
Alternative asset investor supporting Anthropic AI services company formation
Sequoia Capital
Venture capital investor supporting Anthropic AI services partnership
People
Claudia Sheinbaum
Announced Plan México implementation measures and bureaucratic reforms to accelerate investment
Altagracia Gómez
Business advisory council leader describing Plan México as 'a push with affection' for investors
José Merino
Government official leading digital transformation initiatives for Plan México implementation
Jorge Mendoza
Development bank representative participating in Plan México coordination and investment facilitation
Víctor Hugo Borja Aburto
Health authority head announcing reduction of permit requirements from 100 to 24 days
Lucelena González
Energy minister announcing 60% reduction in permit processing time for energy generation projects
Edgar Amador
Finance official working to eliminate bureaucratic delays and non-tariff barriers
Raquel Buenrostro
Tax authority official addressing double taxation and non-tariff barriers for businesses
André Elman
Real estate executive discussing potential benefits of Fibra Next acquiring Fibra McQuarrie
Raúl Gallegos
Real estate executive explaining geographic and asset-type synergies of Fibra McQuarrie acquisition
Jimena Tolama
Podcast host and narrator covering daily business and economic news for Mexico
Quotes
"El Plan México no es sólo una estrategia económica coyuntural, es desde nuestra perspectiva una visión de largo plazo"
Claudia SheinbaumOpening remarks
"Un empujón con cariño para quienes no se han decidido a invertir en México"
Altagracia GómezMid-episode
"Esto podría ser un punto de inflexión para las empresas de transporte de carga de Norteamérica"
Morgan Stanley analystsAmazon logistics discussion
"Menos incertidumbre, menos costos, menos tiempo detenido and more capacity to invest"
Víctor Hugo Borja AburtoCOFEPRIS reforms
Full Transcript
This episode of the day is brought to the annual Council of the Americas in Buenos Aires. The next 21st of August, unite to the forum that will reunify high-runs and distinguished representatives from the private sector to explore opportunities of investment in a key moment for the economy of the country. Registrate or look at the transmission on us-coa.org. Good morning. The president Claudia Sheinbaum applies the first Comos al Plan México. Amazon tumba las acciones de FedEx y UPS. Les vamos a contar por qué. Perspectiva negativa para Sinaloa. Es ahora Moody's la que se suma a S&P Global. Fibra Next lanza su oferta por Fibra McQuarrie y Goldman Sachs. Y Blackstone ya eligieron a su chatbot favorito de inteligencia artificial. No olviden hacer click al botón de seguir del podcast, activar la campana para que puedan recibir la alerta de un episodio nuevo cada mañana. ¿De qué estamos hablando? But we also heard them, heard them, heard them all, and today we respond to these demands that the sector product has been doing in the last few months. disminuir trámites para acelerar las inversiones. El Plan México no es sólo una estrategia económica coyuntural, es desde nuestra perspectiva una visión de largo plazo. Es la certeza de que podemos seguir avanzando sin perder nuestra soberanía, de que podemos competir sin renunciar a nuestros principios y de que hoy podemos decir con responsabilidad y con hechos que vamos bien, But also with conviction and hope I say we're going better. Aplausos for four announcements in particular. It was what received the President of the President Claudia Sheinbaum the morning of 4 May of May, on behalf of the empresarios, during a event that reunished this sector with the members of the Secretary of Economía, of Hacienda, of Energy, of Buen Gobierno, with the area of digital transformation that encabe José Merino and with Banobras of Jorge Mendoza, Además de la presencia de los secretarios de Desarrollo Económico de todos los estados de la República, para dar seguimiento a lo que han venido planteando desde que se presentó el Plan México hace más de un año y lo que se viene presentando también desde inicios de este año 2026, para detonar la inversión en el país de una vez por todas. Digamos que en esta ocasión evolucionaron del qué a los cómos. O como lo dijo Altagracia Gómez, la líder del Consejo Asesor Empresarial de la presidenta Sheinbaum e inseparable del gobierno. Un empujón con cariño para quienes no se han decidido a invertir en México. Este encuentro, que incluyó la firma de varios decretos por parte de la presidenta para poner ahora sí el plan de acción en concreto, puede resumirse en una sola palabra. Clave y muy obvia, el dolor de cabeza de todos los tiempos. La burocracia. Lo que presentaron los funcionarios del gabinete fueron una serie de acciones inmediatas, precisamente para acelerar los procesos de una inversión en el país, que se definieron después de que la misma presidenta se sentara con los representantes del sector empresarial para escuchar lo que no funciona. Muy a su estilo, porque a ella le gusta tener el control y escuchar de primera mano lo que más le aqueja al sector, aprovechando también la costumbre que tiene de pedirles personalmente que hacia afuera hablen bien y manden mensajes de optimismo. Dentro de esa serie de acciones se crea vamos a empezar la Oficina Presidencial de Inversiones que va a estar a cargo de una persona nombrada por la presidenta del cual todav no one knows the name Also a committee of inversions that will emit a constant authorization of projects of investment in a longer than 30 days, a partir of the presentation of a project of investment. And with this approval, the investments will be executed in an immediate way. For the rest of the private investments, we order the maximum resolution of todos los trámites federales en 90 días o si no se darán por autorizados y ahí vino el primer aplauso también se firmó un decreto que crea la ventanilla única de trámites de comercio exterior este es uno de los temas de mayor demanda por parte del sector empresarial y lo que hará es que en un solo lugar se concrete el seguimiento de los 132 trámites del gobierno en materia de exterior. Se crea el Expediente Único de Comercio Exterior, además que permite a las empresas tres cosas. Presentar requisitos una sola vez, la trazabilidad de sus permisos, autorizaciones, certificados e inscripciones, y además identificar y ser notificadas de sus operaciones. Ahí vino el segundo aplauso. Y el tercer aplauso se lo llevó el doctor Víctor Hugo Borja Aburto, titular de la COFEPRIS, la autoridad sanitaria en México, cuya fama le antecede por las trabas en los permisos y autorizaciones que suele haber. Anunciaron que redujeron los requisitos y bajaron el tiempo de resolución de 100 a 24 días, que se verán reflejados además en trámites de este año. Borja prometió 50% menos requisitos y 76% menos tiempo de espera, lo que para las empresas, según sus palabras, se traduciría en menos incertidumbre, menos costos, menos tiempo detenido and more capacity to invest. COFEPRIS, for the relevance that has, is entered in the fire. And in terms of energy, the secretary of Lucelena Gonzalez said that they are coordinating all the changes and they are reducing the time to offer permits to generate energy in 60%, because they were like 2.5 years that they tarded in to make. And the fourth and last applause for me, and that I could hear, and that was the most relevant, also came with the following. All those who have 20 megawatts or less, the permit will be simplified completely. That is, only one single permit to the Secretary of Energy and will be authorized according to the requirements that require. Además, the Secretary González said that this week, this week, they will be able to meet the winners of the 11,000 megawatts of mixed investment, which includes 81 projects of renewable energy. And this same week, as well said, there is also a new process for projects of mixed investment, another process for projects of private investment and a process for the generation of plantas of almacenamiento with batteries. This series of actions that are announced serve to convince companies to invest, but also solve the pain of pain for the mexican companies, large, medium and small companies, the pymes, ni se diga, of which, by the way, the president said, that next week comes a announcement for this motor of the Mexican economy in around the facilitation and the improvement of different conditions for these companies. Also, that will be done in this moment all the announced announced. This may be a guiño with miras to the review of T-MEC, because other dolencias have been the barriers no arancelarias, the barriers that also difficult to operate a company by the tramitology the autorizations and hasta la double tributation There is where the secretaries Edgar Amador of Hacienda and Raquel Buenrostro of the part of the anti who, with the leader of COFEPRIS, do that to eliminate the lentitude, to be vigilant and to vigil that there are no longer trans and that there are no longer been retroceded 15 years ago, as the mexican people say, and the peticions, certainly by the commercial side. Respecto a lo que dice la presidenta Sheinbaum de que el Plan México no es una estrategia económica coyuntural, sino una visión de largo plazo, como pudimos escuchar en sus palabras al principio, pues eso sí, no hay de otra. El tiempo solamente lo dirá. Acciones y reacciones Golpazo que tuvieron las acciones de empresas de logística este lunes 4 de mayo por un villano que tienen en común Amazon. Las acciones de FedEx cayeron hasta 7.4% en la que fue su peor jornada en más de un año. Las de UPS bajaron hasta 8.9% y otras empresas como Forward Air y GXO Logistics sufrieron caídas a doble dígito. También las acciones de empresas camioneras como Old Dominion Frightline que retrocedieron más de 5%. ¿Qué fue lo que pasó? Pues que Amazon anunció una estrategia de expansión de sus servicios de logística, ya no solo para repartir lo que sale de sus almacenes propiamente. Y esto es lo que la convierte en el rival más importante para estas empresas de paquetería y de carga aérea. Amazon tiene años desarrollando su red de distribución, que es enfocada en ser más rápida que Speedy González a la hora de entregar lo que ustedes piden por la plataforma. but now is opening that network of logistics to companies outside of its platform. It will offer transport, distribution, delivery of requests, and envies of packages to customers independent, from the industrial manufacturer, for example, that is 3M, to a minorista of products for activities at the air. Are you aware of the magnitude? The analysts already give their point of view. For example, from Morgan Stanley, escriben que esto podría ser un punto de inflexión para las empresas de transporte de carga de Norteamérica. Las empresas de carga aérea y los transportistas de paquetería serían los más afectados. Camioneros, ferrocarriles, navieras y operadores de almacenes también están en riesgo. En resumen, Amazon busca aprovechar su capacidad adicional, que tiene ya su red muy bien trabajada y muy bien pensada, and that has gone perfection with the years, to offer the transport of goods as a service, even when it is not related to its main business, which is the e-commerce. And this amplia the total market that Amazon can handle and then amenaza with rest a lot of business to UPS and FedEx. This is not a lie. They're planning it for years. And now it's a reality. First was S&P Global and now it's the Moody's, the that changes the perspective of negative for the state of Sinaloa. This is for a greater risk in the access to funding funding that could have as a result of what caused the formal of the United States to the now governor with license, Ruben Rocha Moya, who said that he would not ask, but he would ask. The creditors of the state of Sinaloa remain in A.MX, which is the third scale in the national scale of Moody's, and for the Thank you Bancos Santander por 500 millones de pesos y con BBVA por mil millones de pesos se ubica en AAA que es el nivel m alto Esas calificaciones crediticias no cambiaron pero la perspectiva de estable a negativa ya lanza un primer aviso Comparando lo que dijo S&P Global con lo que dice Moody's, esta calificadora se pone en alerta. Reconoce también que Sinaloa tiene una dependencia recurrente de financiamiento bancario de corto plazo, but that its level of total debt is relatively low and has registered positive margins and a recaudation of appropriate income. However, he advises that if the state has faced restrictions relevant in access to financing, particularly in short term, and this to the end of this year 2026, then its credit card would be affected by an important way. Who is going to buy? lunes 4 de mayo y va a concluir el próximo 1 de junio con posibilidad de extender ese plazo, o sea, de que haya una prórroga. ¿Por qué Fibra Next iría tras McQuarrie? Según el CEO de Fibra 1, André Elman podría ser de ayuda para el segmento retail dentro del portafolio de Fibra McQuarrie. Mientras tanto, Raúl Gallegos, quien es el CEO de Fibra Next, dijo en una llamada con analistas la semana pasada por motivo de su reporte financiero que de concretarse esta transacción sería una gran combinación desde el punto de vista geográfico y de tipo de activo por el enfoque en distribución y logística, además de que les daría mayor fortaleza en los principales mercados de manufactura en el norte del país. El último sorbo. Y los que dicen Joconanthropic son Goldman Sachs y Blackstone, quienes se asocian para crear una empresa de servicios de inteligencia artificial, Basically, it's a firm of services that will display cloud in the main operations of the companies. The Apollo Global Management also supports this firm, along with other investors of alternative activities like General Atlantic, Leonard Green & Partners, JEEK and Sequoia Capital. Remember that part of the competition between these companies like Anthropic and OpenAI is to love companies and banks to use their tools. So, these startups get access to these companies from the same sector, the same sanitary, the manufacturing, the financial services, the immobiliar, the infrastructure and retail, the sectors preferred for the investment in the sector of risk. What are you, Team Cloud or Team OpenAI? The best of the economic and business information is here in the Strategia del Día. We are on Spotify, but also on Apple and Amazon. Remember that you can see the daily transmissions on YouTube and also on Twitter, on Instagram. You can see the Strategia del Día and me find out as Jimena Business. Have a great day. This was the day of the strategy, written and narrated by Jimena Tolama, produced by Arturo Luna and Daniel Hernandez. That's a very productive day.