Pivot

The End of Human Driving? with Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi | On With Kara Swisher

47 min
Dec 20, 20254 months ago
Listen to Episode
Summary

Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi discusses how AI powers nearly every aspect of Uber's business—from ride matching to autonomous vehicles—and explains why AVs represent the company's greatest long-term opportunity despite near-term challenges around safety, regulation, and labor displacement.

Insights
  • Uber operates as an applied AI company across pricing, matching, routing, and customer service, but the real value comes from translating AI into physical-world outcomes, not just digital optimization
  • The autonomous vehicle transition will be gradual and hybrid, with human drivers and AVs coexisting for 20-30 years; Uber's advantage is demand density and network efficiency, not manufacturing
  • AI implementation in customer-facing applications (like support) requires careful design—overly rigid rule-based AI underperforms compared to AI given general guidance to use common sense
  • Developer productivity is currently the highest-impact AI use case for Uber, with AI tools enabling engineers to become 20-30% more productive, driving hiring rather than layoffs
  • The company faces an unresolved challenge: how to provide alternative work for 8-9 million drivers as AVs scale, acknowledging the problem exists but lacking a comprehensive solution
Trends
Applied AI ROI is measurable in practical business outcomes (hundreds of millions in Uber Eats personalization) rather than speculative valuationsHybrid human-AI networks outperform pure automation in near term; responsible transition requires keeping human workers economically viable during technology shiftAV manufacturers will adopt multi-channel strategies (direct apps + platform partnerships) similar to restaurant chains, maximizing utilization across channelsEV adoption in US stalled due to economics and consumer willingness-to-pay, but AVs will drive EV transition since autonomous fleets require electric powertrainsRegulatory and societal acceptance of AVs lags technical capability; society expects human fallibility but rejects robot mistakes despite superior safety statisticsFleet ownership model shifting from company-owned to financed by private equity/debt and operated by small/large fleet operators, similar to hotel REIT modelChina manufacturing advantage in cost-effective AV-ready vehicles is widening; US competition advantage is in software and network demand, not hardwareAI labeling and alternative gig work (cell signal measurement, translation) emerging as bridge labor for displaced drivers, but scale insufficient for millionsDeveloper tools (Cursor, etc.) and AI agents for on-call engineering represent immediate, high-ROI AI applications with measurable productivity gainsSafety-first industry approach to AVs driven by catastrophic cost of failure; liability framework still unclear (software driver vs. platform vs. fleet owner)
Topics
Autonomous Vehicle Safety and LiabilityApplied AI in Ride-Matching and PricingAI-Powered Customer Service AutomationDeveloper Productivity and AI ToolsLabor Displacement and Worker TransitionHybrid Human-Robot Network ModelsEV Adoption Economics and Consumer BehaviorAV Regulatory Framework and City PlanningFleet Ownership and Financialization ModelsMulti-Channel Strategy for AV PlatformsAI Hallucination and Trust in AutomationChina Manufacturing Advantage in AVsAccessibility and Equity in AV RolloutCongestion and Urban Mobility OptimizationSidewalk Robots and Last-Mile Delivery
Companies
Waymo
Leading AV partner with direct reservation system; expanding to Peninsula but not Oakland, raising equity questions a...
Tesla
Developing proprietary AV ride-share without Uber partnership; ordered to pay $240M in autopilot crash case; represen...
Aurora
Autonomous vehicle company in which Uber has invested to gain technology insights and help ecosystem development
Pony AI
Chinese AV firm; Uber considering partnership with Travis Kalanick to fund American subsidiary bid, diversifying AV s...
Lucid
Luxury EV manufacturer partnering with Uber and Neuro to build autonomous vehicles for Uber's fleet
Stellantis
Automotive manufacturer with Uber collaboration on autonomous vehicle development and deployment
Neuro
Software driver technology company partnering with Lucid and Uber to develop autonomous vehicle systems
Amazon
Referenced as comparable technology company operating in physical world, not just digital; mentioned in context of re...
Starbucks
Referenced as example of brand maintaining direct channel while working with marketplace platforms like Uber Eats
McDonald's
Referenced as example of company maintaining direct channel while partnering with Uber Eats for additional distribution
Marriott
Referenced as model for asset-light business where company doesn't own properties; Uber exploring similar model for A...
Ford
Wrote down $19.5B EV investment, slowing momentum; illustrates broader EV economics challenges affecting Uber's fleet...
NVIDIA
Referenced in context of private equity financing AI infrastructure (data centers, chips) similar to future AV fleet ...
Retool
Sponsor offering low-code platform for building custom internal tools with AI; enables faster development without eng...
People
Dara Khosrowshahi
Discusses Uber's AI strategy, AV partnerships, labor transition, and vision for autonomous future; steered company to...
Kara Swisher
Interviewer; claims credit for informing Khosrowshahi of his CEO appointment; challenges him on EV goals and mapping ...
David Plouffe
Former Obama 2008 campaign manager, Harris 2024 advisor, former Uber chief advisor; asks about AV city planning and r...
Travis Kalanick
Quoted as saying removing drivers is best for Uber; reportedly seeking Uber backing for Pony AI US subsidiary bid
Quotes
"If an AV is provably 50 times safer than a human being, do you think we should allow human beings to drive?"
Kara SwisherOpening and closing question
"I don't think we should allow human beings to drive now. So, yes."
Dara KhosrowshahiClosing segment
"We are not building the picks and shovels, but we're riding on top of that spend."
Dara KhosrowshahiAI infrastructure discussion
"The cost of a hallucination in this business is a disaster."
Dara KhosrowshahiAV safety discussion
"I don't have a plan for other kinds of work for those nine million plus. So I don't think we're getting it wrong. We just don't have an answer right now."
Dara KhosrowshahiLabor displacement discussion
Full Transcript
So, if an avi is provably 50 times safer than a human being, do you think we should allow human beings to draw? It's on! Hi everyone from New York Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast Network. This is On with Cara Swisher and I'm Cara Swisher. Today I'm talking about Applied Artificial Intelligence with Dara Kasrashahi, the CEO of Uber. While a company that's known mostly for ride-jers and food delivery may not seem like an obvious AI pioneer, the truth is almost everything Uber does is powered by AI. I've known Dara for years, in fact I was the first one to tell him he got the CEO job at Uber. And since then he's steered the company through tough times and into profitability and now he's leading the charge as they move aggressively into autonomous vehicles. Uber has partnered with almost every global avi company in the world. And although the transition will take decades, Dara expects that eventually all Ubers and potentially all cars will be driven by software. I want to talk to Dara because he's very straightforward and very clear about where he wants Uber to drive to, get the joke. But it's also critically important to understand other issues around avis like safety and the importance of AI in creating the ability for these cars to do the things they do, which is miraculous in many ways. This is the fourth installment of the Discovery series on AI which is jointly presented by Johns Hopkins University and Vox Media. It was taped live at the Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg Center in Washington DC. Our expert question comes from David Pluff, who was the campaign manager for Barack Obama's 2008 campaign, a senior advisor to Kamala Harris's 2024 campaign, and a former chief advisor and board member at Uber. Stick around. Support for the show comes from Retool. Many companies run critical operations on duct tape spreadsheets, slack workflows, and whatever else they could cobble together. Not because they want to, because building internal tools means weeks of waiting on someone else's backlog. That's where Retool comes in. Build custom internal tools just by describing what you need. Prompt something like build me a revenue dashboard for our Salesforce data, and Retool actually built it. On your company's data in your cloud with enterprise security built in. Go to retool.com. We all need to retool how we build software. Thank you for joining me here at Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg Center in Washington DC for this special live conversation. I want to focus with you on beginning with artificial intelligence because Uber uses it in a myriad of ways. There's so many applications where AI changes the equation of a business. And one of the things that I think isn't getting enough discussion is applied AI, where it actually works in companies that are not AI companies. Everything from ride matching, root optimization, surge pricing, improving search results on Uber Eats. You're doing a good job by the way. I like Uber Eats a lot. Uber's also become a platform for workers to do AI labeling and it's partnered with almost every global autonomous vehicle company. So are you an applied AI company or a company that uses a lot of AI? Because a lot of companies are trying to work their way through this. I mean AI has been part of our genetics for a very, very long time. Now AI is a big word so in the time it was like deep learning or machine learning. But you're right, which is most of the aspects of how Uber touch you in terms of the price that you get presented with, the price that we pay drivers, whom we match you up with, the routing that you take, even the algorithms that recognize your driver's license to make sure that you are the right person. All of that has been driven by AI. And so we have been an AI, applied AI company, I guess you call us like one of the cool things about Uber that I love is we're a technology company, but we're a technology company that operates in the real world. Like Amazon. Like in Amazon. Yeah, yeah, we're not just digital in scope. And so the application of that AI is it's a physical manifestation of getting a ride or getting your deliveries, etc. But we have long been driven by AI in all things pricing matching, etc. What's changed is one is there are AI applications internally for internal tools and systems and developer productivity. If you want to get into that, we can. And then with a large language models, obviously autonomous driving is a big, big application that we can talk about as well. But the ability to just build larger models now. So for example, if you're on Uber eats, you have a sort that's unique to you based on your past behavior and just patterns that that we know about you, what your favorite restaurants are, etc. And we don't want to just serve you those favorite restaurants. We also want to help you explore new places, etc. These models as they get larger and as we get better silicon are just getting more and more powerful and capable so that our everyday AI use cases that we use, all of that is getting more powerful. Well, you're also collecting enormous amounts of data. So you have driver data, you have food data, you have interest data, you have all kinds of. Yes, we have a lot of data about how you live your life. We use that data essentially to improve the service for you so that we can be an everyday party of your service, whether you're going someplace or getting something. That's essentially what we do. So it just it affects every single part of our business. And you know, you can debate whether or not there's a bubble, etc. In terms of valuations. What do you think of that? That's the obvious question. I mean, the spending is so massive. The spending on the data centers, etc. Is massive. And, you know, I am happily not a stock market analyst. I used to be a banker and I left that alone on time ago. I can tell you though that the value creation, not in the space age stuff, but in the very practical stuff of, hey, if you, if you are shopping with us and you choose oat milk, what's the next thing that we show you? These larger models are enormously more effective than the last generation of models. And they are translating into, you know, hundreds of millions of dollars of benefit to us. And so the spend for us in terms of AI has been well worth it. And then some right, but you're riding on their rails for the most part right now, which is like you and Apple. There's other companies that are benefiting from the massive spending, but not necessarily. We are not building the picks and shovels, but we're riding on top of that spend. Absolutely. And the impact that we see on our business is very, very positive. Where is the most of the impact when you think about it? Is it having all this data, being able to get insights out of the data when you're thinking about AI? So I say, honestly, right now, the area where I would say it's got the most impact is actually our developer productivity. So 80, 90% of our developers and, you know, they are by far the most expensive talent that we have in-house. They are using AI developer tools like Cursor and many others. But it's not just the developers and coding, but it's checking the code, code documentation, on-call. You know, we have hundreds of engineers that are on-call and, you know, we operate in 70 countries, 15,000 cities. Something is going wrong somewhere all the time. And so you need engineers to be on-call all the time to fix the issues. And essentially now we have AI agents that are on-call. And if there's something wrong, whereas previously the engineer had spent hours and hours, you know, you got these calls together, 20 engineers, what's going on, where's it going on? These AI agents are constantly, essentially, looking at all of our systems and then they come to our engineers with a hypothesis. Something went down here, pricing error, here's a hypothesis, and then the human can look over the shoulder of the AI agent. Does that mean fewer people? It could. Now, my attitude in this is... You and I both know well at a travel company saying, oh, I had 5,000 croters, now I shall have 1,000 next year. You know, the good news for us is we're growing really fast. And so we're growing top line 20, 21%. My attitude is if an engineer can be 20, 30% more productive, you could take one view, which is, well, then I need 20, 30% less engineers. I just think they become superhumans. So I want more engineers. So we are actually hiring more engineers because every engineer got more valuable to me. And to your point, most tech companies that I talk to right now are using the opportunity to essentially keep headcount flat. You know, I can grow the company, but I only need to grow headcount. So basically margins increase. You know, you see the technology margins are out of this world, and it's because people can do more with the same number of people. So we're hiring. So where doesn't it work? So most companies are trying to figure this out. You've been deep into AI, but a lot of... I talked to a lot of non-tech companies and they just buy it because they think they have to have it. And then they're like, I'm not using it. Our people aren't using it. We build it. Now, I'll tell you, it can be hard. So one example, and there's a little involved, but customer service is another area that we use AI for. We have hundreds of millions of customer service interactions, whether if you get your delivery late, etc. And we've automated some of that stuff. But when it gets an agent, you know, if you break down what an agent does, agent, first of all, has to understand, you know, a carer called, is she a good customer or is she a fraudster? We have a lot of fraudsters. You're a great customer. Terrific. Good customer. She said that her delivery was 30 minutes late. That's your claim. The agent then goes against our own fact base. And, you know, there was an order place. There was a courier who delivered it. There was a restaurant who prepared it, said it's ready. Was it really 30 minutes late or not? Okay. It was 30 minutes late. Carer is a great customer. Based on that, what's our policy? 30 minutes late. Hey, you get your money back because you are one of our best customers. And the last is how do we communicate that to you? Each of those elements, what kind of customer are you? What was the claim translate the claim into something that can be solved by logic? Compare that claim with a reality on the ground. Based on that reality on the ground and the claim, what is the policy that we have? And then how do I communicate that to my customer? All of that can be powered by AI. And essentially we are, and we will take a foundation model or a cheap Chinese open source model. That's in the open source. And we will use those models to build all these solutions. And initially what we are doing is, for example, using that to empower the agent. And so the agent, instead of doing all this work themselves, the AI agent goes and does all the work and comes and says, Carer is a good customer. This is what she claimed. We thought this was going to be great, right? 5% of the time, give or take, the AI makes a mistake. Because they do hallucinate sometimes. And if they can't find the data, they'll make something up. So now what we have is the agents are reading the AI recommendation. They don't trust the AI recommendation. So they go do their own thing. So as opposed to like saving time, it's actually the agents like kind of doing double work. And it was not a net benefit. So that's an example of our trying it, it not working now. So we are now going to more of a pure AI solution, which is actually having AI solve the problem. So they made mistakes before, so you'll give them the whole thing. It's actually interesting. So we have customers, we are having them solve problems where the cost of a mistake isn't very high. And then we will learn from that. And eventually we'll get good. I say that to a lot of people eventually. A pure tech company can do what we're doing, which is like we're putting the work, figure it out, iterate, iterate, iterate. A traditional company is not going to go through because it is a journey. This is taken over a year. And they don't know what to do about it. It's just very hard to actually translate this stuff into the real world. And what's funny is that the latest that we've had is if you ask the AI to follow rules, sometimes it makes mistakes. We're now kind of freeing the AI and we're like, treat your customers well. You know, go check what's going on. We give them very general guidance and that is turning out to have the best results early on. So we actually throw away the rules and we give them like, if you're a smart person, as a carer, use your common sense, here are some guidelines, here's what I'm trying to do. The AI seems to be working really, really well there. Yeah, until it kills you. No, I'm kidding. You said one of the things that I'm interested in is autonomous vehicles. And for many people, AVs might be the most visceral form of AI they experience. I think it is a visceral feeling when you get into an autonomous vehicle. For those of you who haven't tried, definitely try it. We work with over 20 partners now, both in terms of our mobility business, but also for delivery and for trucking. And what we're finding is consumers love the product. There's something to be said for privacy, like I love talking to my Uber drivers and all that and getting their stories, but it's also nice being alone in the car. The technology is working and it is, I think, generally the industry is taking a safety first approach, which is wonderful. Well, some people are. Yeah, I mean, I hear some undercurrents there, but I won't comment. I mean, I think generally the industry is taking. It means another fucking camera on those cars, but go ahead. I think the industry is being appropriately careful because the cost of a hallucination in this business is a disaster. Right. So for you too, if you're affiliated. Of course, of course. And that's why we have our own safety protocols and we have to make sure that our partners pass those safety protocols as well. But our view is we will work with the ecosystem. And just like I want every great qualified driver on the platform, I want every great qualified robot driver on our platform as well. And so we're taking a bit of a platform approach and I'd say it's very, very early. You know, we're doing millions of rides, run rate a year, AV rides. But we do, you know, 35 million rides a day. Yeah, it's a small percentage. So it's a very small percentage, but it's absolutely coming. The experience is delightful and it is. It's a great example of how AI really can change how you live every day. Right. Because, you know, the pricing stuff, it's like cool, but who notices it doesn't make a difference. But this, these cars are pretty incredible products. Yes, they are. So Dave Risher, the CEO of Lyft recently said there was zero likelihood that self-driving cars will replace human drivers anytime soon. He thinks the technology isn't ready, including the AI. AVs are expensive and riders, well, they're mixed on human drivers and it depends on who you are. However, you said that AVs is single greatest opportunity for Uber. Why do you see it so differently? How do you look at the different feelings and why are you so bullish? I still referenced that quote that I got out of Travis Kalanick many years ago, where he said the best thing for Uber will be to get rid of the guy in the front seat. It was kind of clottish at the time, although I appreciated him telling the truth. Yeah, yeah. But talk a little bit about why you think it's an opportunity. So, you know, number one, I would say the opportunity is safety. I do think the industry overall understands that the cost of the mistake here is enormous and the AI driver will be safer than a human driver. They don't get distracted. They don't text. They don't get tired. And the AI algorithm is getting better all the time. You know, the you and I are driving isn't going to continuously get better. The AI drivers are going to get better. They have better. And, you know, they've got cameras, LiDARs, everything. So one is this is going to be safer method of transportation over a long period of time. That's a period. Right now, the business has to scale up. So the manufacturing of these cars is in there at scale. The cars are super expensive. Eventually, it will also be a cheaper form of transportation. Now, that eventually is 10 to 15 years from now. And I think David, to some extent, is right in that, you know, by 2030, maybe in the U.S., this is 10% of the trip volume. For a mix, people would prefer. What do you want? Yeah, I mean, our belief is is actually like a hybrid network is the best way forward because it allows you to responsibly transition over to AV over per to time. And it allows us to identify there are certain customers who are going to self select. I want an AV and there are certain customers who are very, very happy with the person. And our kind of a hybrid network allows us to keep humans busy. But then essentially as a transition happens, that was again, more and more AVs on the road, introduce a technology to more customers. But because of the advances in AI, AVs are more likely to win out, correct? I think eventually AVs will win. Right. Now, I think it'll be 20, 30 years from now. But incrementally, you're going to see AVs increase and they will become more and more part of our everyday lives. And it won't be like, oh my God, this is incredible. I'm getting an AV. Like, and, you know, the experience that you have in Austin or Atlanta is you just choose an Uber. And once in a while, if you're in the city centers and that's where AVs are starting, will match you up with an AV. We'll say, hey, do you want to take this AV or not? The majority of people say yes, not everybody. And the ones who say yes, you know, rate the AV drivers at a four nine. Well, nobody's there. Well, you know, it's a great driver. Perfect score. Exactly. Five star. So you had tried to do this yourself. Yes. You had an accident or a self-driving Uber. Yeah, it was a terrible tragedy. Killed the pedestrian. You handled it. It was a difficult time. But the backup driver was also distracted and she was ultimately held responsible. But you abandoned attempts to do it yourself and you partner. As you said, longer term, shouldn't you go back to that as difficult as that was? I don't think so because ultimately I think that the way that I see this technology going 10 to 15 years from now, every new car sold is going to be out for autonomy capable. And I don't want to be in the car business. I don't want to be in the car manufacturing business. And there are many other companies that are developing this technology. So I can essentially benefit from the technology without the enormous investments. And the benefits that we bring to AVs are enormous in that, you know, these are pretty expensive cars. And we can essentially drive more business for these cars than anyone else in the world. And we can launch into, you know, 15,000 markets assuming that the regulatory framework is there. Meaning Waymo is doing this to make proof of concept is what they're doing. They have their own reservation system. Yeah, I mean, they, and I would expect like a player like Waymo to listen, they're always, it's a great brand. And so just like a Starbucks has their own app and has their own direct channel. And they work with our marketplace because they want as many orders out of that box that's making coffees. Any AV company is going to want to maximize the revenue of that box with wheels. But that doesn't mean that they're not going to have a direct channel. I fully expect Waymo to keep building their brand and hopefully work with us and many other and continue to work with us and we'll build our business together. And many other AV providers will do the same. So you're partnering with a lot of autonomous vehicles, as you said, companies. You have investments or collaborations with Aurora, Lucid, Stellantis, Pony AI. You're reportedly considering partnering with Travis Kalanick, Uber's controversial founder and ex-CEO to help fund his bid for an American subsidiary of Pony AI, which is a Chinese AV firm. Talk about how you're thinking about this, like in terms of partnering to just give you more choice or to play bets. We want to help the ecosystem develop. And our investing in these various companies allows them to raise more money from external partners. It gives them credibility and it gives us a better look into their tech development and their talent. So we get to know the product better. We get to know the companies better. We help them develop. And essentially we are helping out the entire ecosystem because we want this technology to develop as long as it's developing safely. That's essentially what the goal is. So as the ride-hill industry transitions in this way, it's a question of who bears the cost of owning cars, for example. Right now drivers do. You used a quote that I wrote a column back in 2019 saying owning a car would be like owning a horse someday, right? Like horseback riding, essentially. But autonomous vehicles are much more expensive, as you know. So you've suggested that private owners will finance and operate large fleets of robotaxis on Uber platforms. Explain that. Yeah, so it's... Meaning you don't want to own these fleets. We don't want to own those cars. Now early on as the marketplace develops, as the ecosystem develops, we will initially buy cars. So for example, our partnership Lucid, it's with a company called Neuro, terrific technology company. They're the software driver. Lucid is building the cars and we will buy the cars initially. Once we prove out the revenue model, and you know, these cars, again, they don't get tired. They do. The average Waymo in Austin, Atlanta does more trips than 99% of our Uber drivers. So these things bring in a good amount of money. They're working all the time. Yeah, once you prove out the revenue economics of the car, then we will have financial companies. You know, all this stuff is going to financialize. So just like you have like these private equity and private debt companies that are financing these data centers and buying NVIDIA chips. The same ecosystem is going to be buying fleets of cars. And just like Marriott doesn't own any of its own hotels. These things call REITs, real estate and investment trots. Same thing, you're going to have fleets essentially. So it's the benefit of Uber in that case. Yeah, and Uber brings demand to these and these financial owners are, again, they're going to want to maximize the revenue from the car. And the way that you maximize revenue from the car is put it on the Uber ecosystem because we've got more demand than anyone else. So as with hotels, a bunch of dentists will own the cars and then. You know, it could be. Yeah, I mean, I do think that there will be an institutional, it'll be big institutional players. And then I think in the suburbs, etc., it'll be smaller fleet operators who, you know, they'll buy 10 cars, five cars, etc. And we actually now work with 15,000 fleet operators, large and small, who are, you know, entrepreneurs in this business all over the place. So, you know, many of those autonomous AV manufacturers have their own, as I said, ridehill platforms. You can use Uber to order a Waymo Robotex in Phoenix, but in San Francisco, riders have to use the Waymo app. Tesla is starting to roll its own AV ride share. It hasn't partnered with Uber. Talk about, is that a competition or were they eventually, because you do have more data, you have more information. I think it is competition and also co-opetition to use that overused word. And again, I'll use the food example. McDonald's is going to have its direct channel and they're going to work with Uber Eats, because I can drive the highest utilization. Ultimately, I think that's where the industry is going. There may be some players like, you know, that are tech only that don't want to have a front end, because they don't want to invest in a front end and they will work directly with us. But I think you will have an ecosystem of some players who want to build a brand and want to work with us. And hopefully we'll have everybody work with us one way or the other. You know, we'll see how it turns out. So one of the issues is obviously regulatory is, including around AI, privacy, safety, everything else. So every episode we get an expert to send a question for our guests. And for you, we got someone who knows Uber very well, used to work for it. Let's play it. It's not Travis, don't worry. Hey, this is David Pluff. And my question for Dar is this. When I was in Uber, so many of the discussions with elected officials and regulators in the beginning was about whether ridesharing should be permitted. And if so, how? Usually having to think through how you force it into regulations that permitted taxis that were decades old. But the best conversations were the ones that happened with city officials, state officials, leaders in countries who thought, OK, we're going to have more people getting around their cities with ridesharing. How should we change? Should we reduce parking requirements for new construction? Should we think about how ridesharing connects to mass transit? So my question is, do you think about the autonomous future where so much of the debate currently is still around whether to permit it and how? What do you think city leaders and state leaders and leaders of countries should be thinking about in terms of, you know, parking requirements? Obviously there's storage questions around these vehicles. How should we think about changing our public transportation system if more people are getting around using autonomous in addition to current ridesharing options? I'm just curious from a city design and vision standpoint, what you think the best approach is to really get the full power of this new technology? I never got to work with David, but he has a great reputation. The issues that we are starting to talk to regulators around and the really good issues are one is kind of accessibility. The other one is congestion. And I say that the last is the transition, right? And just talking about each of them, you know, like very early on when this is a little bit before my time, but I kind of came into it as well, when we were launching our service or expanding in various cities, there was this idea, and I think it's a really important idea, which is affordable transportation should be available to everybody. And the thing about taxis was taxis like only serve city centers because that's where you have the most rides. And one of the magics of Uber is because of the network, etc., we were able to serve the whole city, not just the middle of the city where the rich people live, the outskirts, etc., especially transportation deserts where there is no mass transit, etc. I think that's going to be one question and one dialogue that we're starting to have with as it relates to rideshare and autonomous rideshare, which is you see most of the AV players start in the high density areas where more wealthy people tend to live. Is that the right thing for society? You know, Waymo is expanding into the peninsula. They haven't expanded to Oakland yet. Is that the right decision or not? Right? Now, I can't make that decision for them, but those are, I think, important questions for society ask. You know, if this technology is going to be introduced, should it be for the next five years, a wealthy person technology, or should it be made available to everybody? We, because we already have built essentially density of both supply and demand in these areas, I understand. It's going to be hard for an AV player to make a business work in kind of, let's say, less fortunate areas of a town. Because we have density there, we can actually do it affordably. So we think we have a lot to bring, not just to the AV players. If the prices remain low, meaning? Yeah, but we can, we don't have many dead head legs. You know, we are very, very efficient in terms of matching the right driver, whether it's a robot or not to you for your ride, to make sure that as much of the miles are spent with you paying, so to speak, which allows us to lower prices for everybody. And allows us to have a service that doesn't just work, you know, DC Center, but in the outskirts as well. Doesn't work in Chicago Center, but works in the South Side too. It makes sense for them to start there. It totally does, but we think we can help expand into other areas of town. The second is obviously congestion, which is the more the cars are driving around empty, looking for another ride, the more congestion there is in the city. And usually as a service gets better, there's more demand for the service. We think that this is a trillion dollar plus opportunity because AV will help the service get better. Demand is going to go high, higher, and again, a network like ours can make sure that cars are full as much as possible. Or not driving around. Yeah, or not driving around, or position for that next ride. And then the last, of course, is how do you make sure there's a responsible transition? So if AV is coming to a network, the network becomes a better network. And so both humans and robots are getting more business. And so it's not like AI isn't happening to our drivers. It's kind of happening with our drivers. Yes, but I do think Travis is still telling the truth back then, was your business is better without people, except for the people in the back. I don't think that that will be true for the next 20 years. Okay, because in the next 20 years, having this hybrid network is going to be the better solution, is going to be much more efficient. I think 40 years from now, yeah, I think that's right, because it'll be safer, it'll be cheaper. And that is ultimately done. So one of the issues, of course, is environmental goals, which Uber and other companies are everyone's far short of their stated environmental goals. You had pledged to reach 100% electric vehicles in 2030, and now it's 9% in North America. You've discontinued EV bonuses for users and emissions are higher, but everybody's playing this game right now. Just today, Ford wrote down $19.5 billion investment in EVs, slowing momentum for EVs. How is that going to affect it? And then after, Uber is of course profitable and growing rapidly, but you don't expect AVs to be profitable for a few years going forward. You said that because of the high costs. So talk about those two things where electric vehicles, even though there was an upsurge is now this at the best. So there continues to be an upsurge for in places like Europe, for example. So we are pushing EV miles into Europe and it's 15% plus percent of the miles. That continues to work. The good news on AV is that AVs are EVs. So I actually think that the EV transition in the US, the rest of the world, is going to get a big boost by AVs. So I do think that the EV transition is going to continue, but it definitely took a step back. It definitely took a step back and the economics aren't working from Ford and we have had to adjust our economics as well. But I do think that a higher and higher percentage of our fleet will continue to be EVs. They're actually very, it's a really good product. I don't know why it hasn't resonated with consumers in the US. It is definitely resonating with consumers in Europe and Latin America, et cetera. And what about growing on Uber when they don't care what they get? We have Uber Green, but consumers care. They say they're willing to pay more, but they won't pay more. They won't pay more. Now, what we do find with consumers is they're willing to pay with time. So an Uber Green ETA might be six minutes and X ETA might be four minutes. They'll pay with their time, but they're not going to pay more for an Uber Green. I see. All those minutes are a lie just so you know. Everyone who is. You just noticed when we get it wrong. You only know this when you get it wrong. No, no, no, no, no. Those maps are bullshit. We do our best. Can you say those maps? We do our best. Just say those maps are bullshit. They're not bullshit, Kara. Those maps are bullshit. You, hold on. You were the one who told me we'd never get profitable when we proved you're wrong on that one. Did I? Okay. Yes. That was wrong. It's a long time ago. Thank you. Did you just say you're wrong? Yes, I did. Wow. Can I remind you? No. I did get you your job though. Why, thank you. You're welcome. I did. It's true, sir. I did call him and tell him he got his job. I know. It was crazy. He hadn't been called yet. She knew before I did. Go figure. That was an easy one. So you're right. No, you, you, you know why? Because you really believed in Uber Eats. So let's talk about that very quickly. Yeah. Now you have sidewalk robots delivering food again. Yeah. We got drones. Do you have drones yet? We're working with drone companies. Yeah. Fly trucks. It's pretty cool. Like Carol in Pluribus, like you're going to drop the food. I haven't watched that show. I've heard it's really cool. It's really cool. I'll try it. It's really cool. She has a drone deliver her food all the time. I didn't know that. Okay. Yeah. But how do you balance innovation with concerns about walkability, livability? You know, it's not hard to picture a dystopian comedy where lunch robots kill people. Whatever they think. No. The, the, so the number one, I would say Uber Eats is, is an absolute star in our portfolio. Absolutely. Like it was, it was 10% of our business when I took over. It's almost 50%. The team is doing a great, great job there. Um, the, the, there isn't going to be, I think AV for mobility is clear because the first mile and last mile taken care of, like you walk to the car, you walk away from the car with delivery. It, it's actually an amalgamation of, of solutions. So we have sidewalk robots for short deliveries within a mile, mile, mile and a half. But for a three mile delivery, it just doesn't work. Um, for those three mile deliveries in urban destinations, we're probably going to have to use either AVs that go on bike lanes or go on the road as well so that they can get there faster. I'd say that is behind in terms like sidewalk robots are coming first and then in suburbs, et cetera, it's going to be drones. And we are far from commercializing that technology. We're in the experimentation phase, but it'll be the three of those. And then the question is who's going to take care of the first mile and last mile restaurant still, they're busy. They don't like coming out of the restaurant, putting the food in the robot, et cetera. And people are lazy. You know, they don't want to come down to, if they're in a high rise. I remember when I was delivering a food, like it's amazing people, people would deliver from a Chipotle three blocks away because they just didn't want to get, you know, they just want the food at their doorstep. So the first, well, you know, Hey, I love it. It's, it's, it's a big part of our business. So the first and last mile is still to be solved. But I do think AV is also going to be a huge application as it relates to eats. And I think our eats business is ultimately potentially going to be bigger than our mobility. Absolutely. So earlier this year, Tesla was ordered to pay over $240 million in a crash involving autopilot. It's a big number. Things can go wrong with them. Who's responsible when you think about these questions around AI are also about the responsibility when it gets it wrong. And when they give you a stupid answer of who, you know, that George Washington like to do salsa or something like it doesn't matter, right? It's stupid, but it doesn't matter. You are, have a bigger responsibility to people because it's actually physical. So if the AV belongs to the fleet owner and uses technology from the manufacturer and technology owned by Uber, talk a little bit. I mean, when you're thinking about this, because you're relying on AI and AVs to make decisions for AV for the AI for the AV. Totally. Now, now I, I do truly believe that AVs are going to be much, much safer than humans. The issue is that society expects humans to make mistakes. And when a robot makes a mistake, it's unacceptable. And I think that the thought experiment is in the U S there's like 35,000 automobile fatalities a year. If the AVs are 10 times better, they'll be killing 10 people a day. Right. And is that acceptable even though the 10 times better? The logical me would say, of course that's better, but I don't know if society can accept even that kind of an improvement. The technical answer to your question is the driver is the one who is responsible. So Tesla driver, Waymo driver, whoever the driver is, but by putting that driver onto a platform, there is a responsibility that we take up. It may not be like official legal. But if there's nobody in the front seat, who then? It's, well, again, it's a software driver. Right. They are the responsible party, but we have a whole host of tests, et cetera. We have essentially a safety case that we make sure that our AI driver essentially passes, our AV driver passes, because I do think the network bears some responsibility to say, Kara is a great driver. Kara robots a great driver. We're going to put her on the road because we think she's going to keep you safe. Right. Right. Presumably. So, I'm not going to say that we're going to be able to do that in the future, but you did say there's no doubt that humans will be less safe than robots as technology matures, no doubt whatsoever. No doubt. So should we allow humans to drive on the open road? It's a real question that's cited. You're going to ask themselves. Eventually. Yeah. It's scary for a lot of people. As I said, when I wrote this piece in 2019, I got all these people calling me, I want to drive my truck. I said, you keep driving your truck, sir. So if an AV is provably 50 times safer than a human being, do you think we should allow human beings to drive? I don't think we should allow human beings to drive now. So, yes. There we go. Yes. But I think, but I remember the pushback when I did this, it was insane. Like how you don't understand city slicker that here in the country, I'm like, yeah, but you can have autonomous vehicles there too. Totally. Right. It works everywhere. Right. So how do you, what's the trade off there? And then related, you know, you've had different struggles with drivers. What responsibility do you have as a tech company when AI and AVs are replacing human labor at scale? What is then their job? What are people's job? Or is it a job people shouldn't have, as you said? I mean, I think the responsibility that I see is for us to be truthful about the direction that we're going in and then to act, I would say, in a human manner. The example, it's a small example, Kara, but, and it's kind of obvious, which is in Austin, you know, about call it 20% of our driver turnover naturally. Okay. Right. They go do something else. In Austin, when we know that we're introducing a bunch of Waymo drivers, we slow down our human driver recruitment because we want the drivers who are driving in Austin to still make money. We don't want to, we don't want to kind of flood the market with drivers, with human drivers and AI drivers. But you're not hiring more people. We're not hiring more people. So I do think that there will be a gradual transition into more and more AVs being a part of our service. Our service has grown 20 plus percent. So I think 10 years from now, we're going to have more drivers on Uber than we do today, even though a significant percentage of our rides are going to be AV rides. So I just think we have to handle it in a human way. They're going to be, you know, we've got over 8 million drivers on our network. That's only going to grow over the next five to 10 years. And I just think you got to be humane about it. You have to transition. Who should pay for that? You, technology companies, who should pay for those things? Now you're sort of further down the stack than say a Google. I mean, I think these are transitions that society has to make. I think it's overall, it's a cost to society, governments, et cetera. I mean, training, you know, training programs, et cetera. It's one of the reasons you started up with it, which is we are then actively finding other ways of working on the platform. You know, if you think about Uber, one way of looking at us is we're a transportation platform, whether it's moving people or things or freight. Other way of looking at us is we are the world's largest platform for flexible labor. And so we're finding other kinds of work, AI labeling. I'm like, well, if AI, if AI to some extent is going to take some of the demand that would otherwise go to humans. AI labeling is workers actually label. Yeah, workers label, they translate. We have now drivers driving around measuring cell phone signals. Right. In their downtime, they help train. Yeah. By the way, it could be more than downtime. Right now, it's downtime and drivers are just making more money. You know, they can work from home if they want to, if they don't feel like driving. But eventually kind of we're building other forms of work to help again take some of this, some of the demand over and give them alternative ways of working. So two last questions. China is way ahead in many ways on this. I don't know if they're way ahead, but they're moving faster. Why is that? What's wrong? I think, listen, China is a very entrepreneurial culture. They move fast. We work with, you know, we ride. We ride. They're killing us or crowning the world on EVs, correct? And the China's bill of materials, their ability to manufacture AV-ready cars at a reasonable price is way ahead of the rest of the world. So if there's one area, you know, I don't know, they're not better than we are in terms of the models today, but in terms of building these very sophisticated cars at a reasonable price, they are ahead. And that lead is growing. Across the globe. So I think AV obviously in the US is safe from China, if you want a Chinese competition, but we're working with a number of Chinese partners outside of the US to bring this technology to bear in a really affordable way. So last question, you also have said 20 years from now driving a car, but of course back riding. You can say I was right. But when we get there and we look back at this moment when autonomous vehicles are just starting to ramp up. What do you think we're getting right right now? And what do you think we're getting wrong? You can start with wrong if you'd like. Whichever. I think I don't know if it's if it's wrong. We just, I don't have a ready answer for it, which is that the question that you asked, which is, you know, job displacement and who's responsible, like we're doing what we can, like let's find other ways of work so that we're not part of the problem. So to speak, we are a solution. But if I've got nine million plus drivers on our platform, and again, I think that number is going to grow over the next 10 years. When I fast forward 20, 30 years from now, that number is going to start coming down. And I'm not at least today, I don't have a plan for other kinds of work for those nine million plus. So I don't think we're getting it wrong. We just don't have an answer right now. And there will be, we have time, but we don't have all the time in the world. Morgan Wright is, I just think it's taken like 20 plus years for this tech to be developed. This is not an overnight success, but it is a great, great product that will make the world safer, will make our streets safer. And I think it'll be great for our business. So, you know, I'll take a win-win on that one. So what do you say to people who, and there's probably many here, I'm not getting in one of those fucking things. Don't. Then, you know, no, it's, that's, that's a whole point. That's a real selling point there. Don't get in our question. By the way. If they don't want to, we have, we have lots of human drivers. I mean, I do think seriously, like it should be up to the customer. Right. I would tell you that most people who experience AVs love it. At first, you know, for the first five minutes, they're amazed. And then, you know, seven minutes, they're texting and it's just like being, you know, in any car. But you want to give them a choice. But we, we got it if you like them. We, we got it if you don't like it. Okay. So, I'm going to tell you, let me pay you a compliment. Your share commercial is epic. Thank you. All right. On that note, thank you very much. Thank you. Thank you very much. Thank you. Today's show was produced by Christian Castor-Roselle, Michelle Aloy, Megan Burnie and Kailin Lynch. Nishat Kerwa is Vox Media's executive producer of podcasts. Special thanks to Aimen Whalen and Madeline LePlant-Duby. Our engineers are Fernando Arruda and Rick Kwan, and our theme music is by Trackademics. If you're already following the show, you get to keep driving cars for as long as you want. If not, your Uber driver is circling the block forever. Go wherever you listen to podcasts, search for On with Kara Swisher and hit follow. Thanks for listening to On with Kara Swisher from Podium Media, New York Magazine, the Vox Media Podcast Network and us. We'll be back on Monday with more.