Up First from NPR

US Hits Iran Amid Talks, Russia-Ukraine War Intensifies, Texas Primary Runoff

13 min
May 26, 2026about 2 months ago
Listen to Episode
Summary

The US launched strikes on Iran while pursuing ceasefire negotiations, Israel continues military operations in Lebanon despite ceasefires, and Russia escalated attacks on Ukraine's capital in response to Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil infrastructure. Additionally, Texas Republicans held a high-stakes Senate primary between establishment incumbent John Cornyn and Trump-endorsed Ken Paxton, with Democrats positioned to potentially gain ground.

Insights
  • US military actions against Iran are occurring simultaneously with diplomatic negotiations, suggesting a pressure tactic to force concessions on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear program discussions
  • Ukraine's long-range drone strikes on Russian oil infrastructure are proving strategically effective, reducing Russia's refining capacity by 10% and slowing battlefield gains to near-zero
  • The Texas Republican primary reveals a fundamental ideological split between the party's establishment and MAGA wings, with potential consequences for general election viability
  • Air defense systems are becoming a critical bottleneck for Ukraine, with demand exceeding supply due to competing global conflicts
  • Democratic strategy in Texas involves staying silent while Republicans spend $100M+ attacking each other, positioning Democrats to capitalize on voter anger over inflation and Latino voter realignment
Trends
Simultaneous military escalation and diplomatic negotiation as competing pressure tactics in geopolitical conflictsEconomic targeting of adversaries through infrastructure strikes (oil refineries, ports) as alternative to direct military engagementCritical shortage of advanced air defense systems creating strategic vulnerability for UkraineRepublican party fracturing between populist MAGA movement and traditional establishment wing with electoral consequencesHypersonic missile development and deployment raising concerns about air defense system obsolescenceLong-range drone technology becoming primary tool for smaller nations to inflict economic damage on larger adversariesLatino voter realignment away from Republicans toward Democrats in traditionally red statesCeasefire agreements failing to stop military operations, suggesting diplomatic frameworks lack enforcement mechanisms
Topics
US-Iran Ceasefire NegotiationsStrait of Hormuz ReopeningIranian Nuclear ProgramIsrael-Lebanon Military OperationsRussia-Ukraine Oil Infrastructure StrikesAir Defense System ShortagesHypersonic Missile TechnologyLong-Range Drone WarfareTexas Republican Senate PrimaryMAGA vs Establishment Republican SplitUS Sanctions on IranUkrainian Military StrategyRussian Economic TargetingDemocratic Strategy in TexasLatino Voter Realignment
Companies
Institute for the Study of War
Think tank cited for analysis showing Ukrainian drone strikes have slowed Russian battlefield gains to nearly zero
People
Daniel Estrin
Reported on US strikes on Iran, ceasefire negotiations, and Israeli military operations in Lebanon from Tel Aviv
Joanna Kakesis
Reported on Russian missile and drone attacks on Kyiv and Ukrainian long-range strikes on Russian oil infrastructure
Claudia Grisales
Covered Texas Republican Senate primary between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, analyzing party ideological split
Steve Inskeep
Co-host of Up First podcast episode
Leila Fadel
Co-host of Up First podcast episode
Benjamin Netanyahu
Israeli leader insisting military campaign in Lebanon will continue despite ceasefire agreement
Yair Lapid
Israeli opposition leader criticizing Iran nuclear deal as bad for Israel and region
Volodymyr Zelensky
Ukrainian president calling for advanced air defense systems and accelerated European production
Ken Paxton
Trump-endorsed Republican Senate candidate in Texas primary runoff against incumbent John Cornyn
John Cornyn
Incumbent Texas Republican senator facing primary challenge from Ken Paxton with Trump endorsement
Donald Trump
Endorsed Ken Paxton in Texas Senate primary and claimed Iran peace deal largely negotiated
Brandon Roddinghaus
Analyzed Republican party ideological split between MAGA movement and establishment wing
Chuck Rocha
Discussed Democratic strategy of staying silent while Republicans spend $100M attacking each other
James Tolerico
Democratic Senate nominee who avoided runoff, positioning party to capitalize on Republican divisions
Quotes
"The deal is bad for Israel, bad for the region. This deal means two things. First, that this will not be the last round of war. Second, that Netanyahu has failed to achieve every single one of the war's objectives as he himself defined them."
Yair Lapid, Israeli Opposition LeaderIran nuclear deal discussion
"We could overwhelmingly send a message, we're not doing this anymore, we're going to change this country and we're going to go help Donald Trump get it done."
Ken PaxtonTexas primary rally
"These are Ukraine's versions of sanctions on Russia our way of forcing the Kremlin into a peace that is fair to Ukraine."
Yuki, Ukrainian soldierLong-range drone strikes discussion
"If a Paxton were the nominee this would be the first chance they've had in 30 or 40 years or longer to pick up a statewide office."
John Cornyn, US SenatorTexas primary analysis
"One thing you don't do in politics is if your enemy is digging a hole, you don't run over and take the shovel out of their hand."
Chuck Rocha, Democratic StrategistDemocratic strategy in Texas
Full Transcript
The United States launched news strikes on Iran. This says the U.S. is also trying to negotiate an end to the war. We hear from Israel, where the Prime Minister insists that his military campaign in Lebanon will continue. I'm Steve Inskiep with Leila Fadal, and this is up first from NPR News. Ukraine keeps hitting Russia's oil infrastructure. Russia responded over the weekend with heavy attacks on Kyiv. Ukraine says it needs more air defense systems, which are in short supply because of the war with Iran. And voters in Texas choose their Republican candidate for Senate today. Incumbent Senator John Cornyn says if President Trump's candidate can Paxton wins, it could benefit Democrats in the midterms. This would be the first chance they've had in 30 or 40 years to pick up a statewide office. Stay with us. We'll give you the news you need to start your day. New shows, new music, new movies, keeping up with pop culture sometimes feels like a full-time job. Thankfully over at Pop Culture Happy Hour, it's literally our job. We break down what's actually worth watching, listening to, and pretending you already knew about. So the next time someone says, did you see that? You can say, yeah, obviously. Follow NPR's Pop Culture Happy Hour wherever you get your podcasts. The United States launched new attacks on Iran in the midst of a ceasefire. The U.S. Central Command says it targeted missile launch sites and boats trying to lay mines. The U.S. describes this strike as self-defense while the U.S. tries to negotiate an end to the war with Iran. President Trump raised expectations for peace with a claim over the weekend that an agreement was largely negotiated. Trump and other officials have since said they need more negotiation. Israeli officials have insisted they will continue attacking in one of the fronts of the war in Lebanon where there is also supposed to be a ceasefire. NPR's Daniel Estrin is following all of this from Tel Aviv and joins me now. Good morning, Daniel. Good morning, Layla. So what were these U.S. attacks on Iran trying to achieve? U.S. Central Command says it attacked targets, including Iranian boats trying to place mines. And Iran named at least four Navy officers killed. Iranians' state TV also reported big explosions around the city on the Strait of Hormuz. We know that Iran laid mines in the Strait of Hormuz during the war, blocking oil and gas ships from passing through. And that's the main issue in these talks, to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. That's where a fifth of the world's oil and gas exports passed through before the war. So these new U.S. attacks may be an attempt to pressure Iran on that. Iran says it shot down a U.S. drone overnight. So we don't know how all of this will impact the talks, but we do know that trust between the U.S. and Iran is very low. Yeah. So what do the negotiations stand right now? The deal is being negotiated in Qatar. Iran's semi-official state media says that this would be a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within one month, and then within two months to try to reach an agreement on Iran's nuclear program. One main sticking point here is about U.S. sanctions. Iran wants a deal to unfreeze Iranian money that's being held abroad. And also President Trump says Iran's enriched uranium should be destroyed. In Israel, Israeli officials think this is a bad deal. They say it would reopen the Strait of Hormuz, but it would not guarantee any progress on preventing Iran from creating a nuclear weapon. I want you to hear what the Israeli opposition leader, Yair Lapid, said on Monday to reporters. The deal is bad for Israel, bad for the region. This deal means two things. First, that this will not be the last round of war. Second, that Netanyahu has failed to achieve every single one of the war's objectives as he himself defined them. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had said the war would eliminate the Iranian threat against Israel, but Iran still has missiles. It still has proxy militias like Hezbollah in Lebanon. And many people in Israel say they think it's just a matter of time before there's another round of war with Iran. You mentioned Lebanon. Iran wants that to be part of any deal. What is the latest there? Yeah, there's a ceasefire there, but fire has not ceased and it actually has increased. Netanyahu said yesterday Israel would increase its attacks against Hezbollah because Hezbollah has been firing attack drones that have killed several Israeli soldiers in recent days and weeks. Israel last night attacked scores of targets throughout Lebanon. Lebanese state TV says one strike killed at least 12 people. Israel is expected to increase its strikes despite this declared ceasefire and the US is fully backing Israel. So the question is, will the US restrain Israel so it doesn't spark a new war and jeopardize the Iran deal? NPR's Daniel Estrin and Tel Aviv, thank you Daniel. You're welcome. Russia is warning that it will continue mass strikes on Ukraine after weekend attacks hit every district of the Ukrainian capital. The renewed Russian targeting of Kyiv is seen as a response to Ukrainian strikes. Ukraine has been striking deep into Russia. Recent attacks hit Russian military targets and also Russian oil facilities. Joining us now is NPR's Joanna Kukasis who is in Kyiv. Hi Joanna. Hey Layla. So the strikes this weekend targeted all over the capital where you live. How bad is the damage? Well Layla, the strikes sounded really bad even while they were happening. We heard hours of very, very loud explosions like these. And you know by dawn the air smelt burned and fires were all over the city. Ukraine's emergency services said at least four people were killed and dozens wounded. One of Kyiv's oldest markets was incinerated in a subway station where people actually seek shelter from these attacks was hit and damaged. And did Moscow use more weapons in these strikes? Well this was one of the biggest attacks of the war. Ukraine's military says Russia launched 600 drones and 90 missiles. Ukraine has developed weapons to shoot down drones but ballistic missiles remain a challenge. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Ukraine needs air defense systems to target these missiles like the US made Patriot and this is now in short supply due to the US-Israel war on Iran. Here's Zelensky. So he's saying Ukraine is looking for options like accelerating the production of advanced air defense systems in Europe. Even so this weekend Russia launched a very powerful hypersonic missile called the Irushnik. Okay so would a more advanced air defense system be able to shoot this missile down? The one you just mentioned? Well in 2024 Russian President Volodymyr Putin said the Irushnik can bypass any air defense and that the missile is quote as fast as a meteorite. Russia has launched the Irushnik three times at Ukraine. This weekend it hit a city about 50 miles south of Kyiv. The missile has not caused the level of damage that many feared it would. However the idea of the Irushnik does scare Ukraine's Western partners because Putin says it can carry a nuclear warhead. Why Joanna is Russia escalating its attacks right now? Well Putin says Russia is retaliating for a drone strike. The Russians say killed more than 20 people many of them teenagers at a college in Russian occupied eastern Ukraine. Ukraine denies targeting the school and says it hit a Russian elite drone unit nearby. But the Kremlin is also really agitated by Ukraine's use of long range drones to target the lifeblood of the Russian economy which is oil. Ukraine has struck Russian oil refineries and depots as well as ports. Are these long range drone strikes turning things around for Ukraine? Well it certainly seems that way. Zelensky said that the strikes have reduced Russia's oil refining capacity by 10 percent. And the Institute for the Study of War in Washington DC says these strikes have slowed Russian battlefield gains to almost zero. We recently joined a Ukrainian military team as they launched these long range drones. And at the request of Ukraine's military which cites security reasons we are identifying soldiers using their military call signs. A soldier called Yuki watched the drone fly into the night sky. And he said these are Ukraine's versions of sanctions on Russia our way of forcing the Kremlin into a peace that is fair to Ukraine. That's NPR's Joanna Cacces. Thank you Joanna. You're welcome. Texas Republicans are voting today in the most expensive Senate primary in history. Wait a minute. The most expensive anywhere ever? Yep. More than $100 million. Okay. Everything is bigger in Texas. State Attorney General Ken Paxton drew President Trump's endorsement for the U.S. Senate nomination. Senator John Cornyn is in danger of losing that nomination which would be for his fifth term. He says his defeat would help Democrats. If a Paxton were the nominee this would be the first chance they've had in 30 or 40 years or longer to pick up a statewide office. NPR congressional correspondent Claudia Grisales traveled to Texas and she joins me now. Good morning Claudia. Good morning Layla. So Texas has long been a reliable and influential state for Republicans. How did the Senate primary become such a high stakes race? Well, this race exposed a crack in the red wall of Texas. It pit the party's populist movement against its establishment wing. Senator John Cornyn, a fixture of the establishment, was already facing a tough reelection fight. Now with President Trump's endorsement of controversial MAGA loyalist Ken Paxton, the Cornyn campaign is on life support. Here's Paxton at a rally in the Houston suburb of Katie, Texas, the day after that endorsement. We could overwhelmingly send a message, we're not doing this anymore, we're going to change this country and we're going to go help Donald Trump get it done. How's this playing with Paxton supporters? Well, they see Paxton as a fighter like Trump, so voters were really energized at this rally. That includes Ricardo Vidalra, who explained his dislike for Cornyn in Spanish. Vidalra says there that voting for Cornyn is like voting for a Democrat. Paxton supporters say Cornyn should not have worked on bipartisan gun legislation, for example. What does this race tell us about the Republican party writ large? While I put that question to Brandon Roddinghaus, a political science professor at the University of Houston, he says this is part of a bigger national struggle. The Republican party is pulling itself apart. Ideologically, this has been a long time coming. The MAGA movement grew the party more than a decade ago. Now the question is, is the party's tent shrinking over Trump administration policies and its falling poll numbers? You also attended several Cornyn events. What did you hear from supporters there? Many feel betrayed by Trump's endorsement and they worry the MAGA wing is cannibalizing the party's establishment wing. I talked to supporter Vicki Fullerton at a Cornyn event in Houston and she said a Paxton nomination could cost the party dearly. We're going to have to pour so much more money in to protect the seat and to have a less viable candidate. Now Democrats are laying low during this race. Why is that and what's at stake for them? Well I talked to Democratic strategist Chuck Rocha about this. He noted that Republicans spending more than $100 million attacking each other has put them on center stage. One thing you don't do in politics is if your enemy is digging a hole, you don't run over and take the shovel out of their hand. So he said Democrats avoided a runoff with their party Senate nominee James Tolerico and that means the primaries gave them a playbook for the general election. In addition, the electorate is angry over rising prices and Latino voters are coming back to Democrats. He and others argue when in Texas could help Democrats win the Senate in November. That's NPR's Claudia Grisales. Thank you Claudia. Thank you. And that's up first for Tuesday, May 26th. I'm Layla Faldon. And I'm Steve Inskie. Today's up first was edited by Miguel Macias, Tina Crya, Anna Yucananov, Mohamed Elbert DC and John Stolis. It was produced by Ziad Bach and Neha Demos. Our director is Christopher Thomas, who is trying to be patient with me today. And we get engineering support from Zo van Genhoven. Our technical director is Carly Strange, even more patient than Christopher. Our supervising senior producer is Vince Pearson. Join us tomorrow.