The Headlines

The Republicans Who Disapprove of the War, and a Wave of College Closures

9 min
Apr 15, 2026about 2 months ago
Listen to Episode
Summary

This episode covers growing Republican dissatisfaction with the Iran war despite Trump's decision to attack, diplomatic efforts to resolve the Lebanon-Israel conflict, Eric Swalwell's resignation following sexual assault allegations, tax cut distribution ahead of midterms, and a wave of college closures across the U.S. including Hampshire College.

Insights
  • Young Republicans show significantly lower approval of Trump's Iran war decision than older Republicans, revealing a generational split within the party despite overall support
  • A culture of silence on Capitol Hill enabled misconduct allegations against lawmakers to persist unchecked for years, as acknowledged by Senator Ruben Gallego
  • Tax cut benefits are unevenly distributed, with middle-class families benefiting while poor Americans face net losses due to cuts to safety net programs like Medicaid
  • College closures are driven by demographic decline in Northeast/Midwest regions and shifting student preferences toward business/technology programs over liberal arts education
  • International tourism concerns including visa restrictions, border searches, and immigration enforcement fears could significantly impact World Cup attendance in the U.S.
Trends
Generational divide in Republican foreign policy support, particularly on military interventionsInstitutional accountability gaps in Congress regarding misconduct allegations and reportingRegressive tax policy outcomes despite marketed middle-class reliefConsolidation and closure wave in higher education sector, particularly affecting liberal arts institutionsDemographic migration patterns driving regional economic challenges in Northeast and MidwestStudent career-outcome focus reshaping higher education curriculum and institutional strategyInternational tourism decline in U.S. due to policy and perception concernsPrice inflation for major sporting events creating accessibility barriers for fans
Topics
Republican opposition to Iran warU.S.-Iran military conflictIsrael-Lebanon ceasefire negotiationsHezbollah conflictEric Swalwell sexual assault allegationsCongressional misconduct cultureTax cut distribution and policyMedicaid and food stamp funding cutsCollege closures and higher education crisisHampshire College shutdownLiberal arts education valueDemographic decline in Northeast and MidwestWorld Cup 2026 transportation costsInternational tourism to United StatesImmigration enforcement and border concerns
Companies
Hampshire College
Liberal arts college in Western Massachusetts announced closure due to declining enrollment and financial struggles
Ipsos
Polling firm that conducted survey showing 51% of Americans believe Iran war has not been worthwhile
Reuters
News organization that partnered with Ipsos on polling about American views on the Iran war
People
Tracy Mumford
Host of The Headlines podcast episode
JD Vance
Addressed youth-focused conservative group Turning Point USA about disagreements on Middle East policy
Marco Rubio
Hosted talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials in Washington to address Lebanon-Israel conflict
Eric Swalwell
Resigned from Congress following sexual assault allegations from multiple women
Ruben Gallego
Acknowledged hearing rumors of Swalwell's misbehavior for years but regretted not confronting him
Ken Burns
Hampshire College alumnus who criticized higher education as hijacked by transactional focus
Quotes
"I don't think we have any business being over there. I don't think it's America first at all."
Republican respondentEarly in episode
"I actually voted for President Trump all three times."
Republican respondentEarly in episode
"I'm not saying you have to agree with me on every issue. What I'm saying is don't get disengaged because you disagree with the administration on one topic."
JD VanceMid-episode
"higher ed has become, quote, hijacked by the transactional."
Ken BurnsCollege closures segment
"This is a process, not an event. This is more than just one day. This will take time."
U.S. officialLebanon-Israel talks segment
Full Transcript
Rural Britain, is there any greater value out there than giga-clear full-fiber from only 19 pounds a month? It's out of this world! Speed and reliability! Fast upload and downloadiness! Right here in Rural Tranquility! Saturn's Dreams! Is that a bull? Gigaclear! Faster broadband for Rural Britain from only 19 pounds a month! Season C's apply! 18-month contract! Prices may rise during contract! Check availability at gigaclear.com From the New York Times, it's the headlines. I'm Tracy Mumford. Today's Wednesday, April 15th. Here's what we're covering. This warrant I ran, what are we doing? I don't think we have any business being over there. I don't think it's America first at all. The amount of money and resources has gone into that's ridiculous. The Times has been asking people across the country what they think of the war with Iran. What are we doing here? That's concerning. Well, you said you're a Republican, so did you support him and could you vote for President Trump? So, I actually voted for President Trump all three times. Even among some Republicans, there is growing dissatisfaction with the conflict. While others say they support Trump's decision to attack Iran. I guess I have faith that the President decided it was time we had to act. I sometime get a little unnerved by the President's rhetoric, but I elect the guy to do things. Not to worry about what he says about what he's doing. Overall, a new poll from Ipsos and Reuters shows that 51% of Americans think the war in Iran has not been worthwhile. 24% think it has been and 22% aren't sure. One pronounced split in the data is that young Republicans specifically are far less likely to approve of Trump's decision to go to war than older Republicans. I recognize that a lot of young voters don't love the policy that we have in the Middle East. Okay, I understand that. Vice President JD Vance seemed keenly aware of that last night at an event for the youth-focused conservative group Turning Point USA. I'm not saying you have to agree with me on every issue. What I'm saying is don't get disengaged because you disagree with the administration on one topic. Get more involved. Make your voice heard even more. Vance's comments appear to be an acknowledgement that many of Trump's supporters had backed his campaign because of his promise of no new wars. Meanwhile, the U.S. says it's trying to help diffuse the conflict in Lebanon, where Israel's been carrying out attacks in its fight against Hezbollah, the Iran-backed militia that's based there. The ongoing violence has threatened to derail the fragile ceasefire with Iran. This is a process, not an event. This is more than just one day. This will take time. Yesterday, Secretary of State Marco Rubio hosted Israeli and Lebanese officials for rare talks in D.C. It was the first time the two countries have sat down together in decades. The talks underscored the fact that both Israel and Lebanon have come to share a common goal of disarming Hezbollah. There was no immediate breakthrough, though, and this morning the Israeli military continued its attacks, launching a new wave of deadly airstrikes according to Lebanese state media. Lebanon's health ministry says that in the past month more than 2,000 people in the country have been killed. Now, two other headlines from Washington. First. Yesterday, another woman came forward to accuse Democratic Representative Eric Swalwell of sexual assault. On the same day, he officially resigned from Congress after facing a swirl of other allegations. The woman said she had come to Swalwell in 2018 for advice on her own political career when he drugged and raped her at a West Hollywood hotel. Her lawyers said they plan on sharing evidence with law enforcement. The Times has not independently confirmed her account. A lawyer for Swalwell said yesterday that he, quote, unequivocally denies each and every allegation of sexual misconduct and assault. What were the rumors that you heard? It was flirty. That was flirty. And that was his plan about what year it was. I mean, that was true. We've heard that throughout. When asked about Swalwell's behavior, Democratic Senator Ruben Gallego, a friend of Swalwell's, told reporters that there had been whispers of misbehavior for years. He said he never witnessed him engaging in any harassment or abuse, but he regretted not confronting Swalwell about the rumors he had heard. Gallego suggested that turning a blind eye like that has become an unfortunate part of a culture of silence among lawmakers on Capitol Hill. In a second update from DC, taxes are due today, and Republicans are hoping that Americans will now start noticing the tax cuts they passed last year, potentially giving the party a boost ahead of the midterm elections. An estimated two thirds of Americans are expected to see lower taxes, and the average tax refunds so far have been about 10% higher than last year. Still, tax experts say the benefits are unevenly distributed. For example, while many middle-class families will get tax relief, just a fraction of the lowest income Americans will see new cuts to their taxes. And overall, poor Americans are likely to be worse off going forward since Republicans offset some of the costs of the tax cuts by cutting funding for safety net programs like Medicaid and food stamps. In Western Massachusetts, the small liberal arts school Hampshire College has announced it is shutting down. It had been struggling financially for years, as enrollment dropped to just about 600 students, half of what it was 20 years ago. The closure is part of a wave of colleges and universities shuttering across the U.S. According to one analysis, in the last two decades or so, more than 300 have closed, often after facing the same kinds of issues as Hampshire. Some of what is staring down these schools is a demographic issue. According to one expert in higher ed, schools in the northeast and Midwest specifically have been struggling because those states have shrinking populations. And since students generally stay close to home for college, those schools have taken a hit. Another factor at play is how more and more Americans are questioning the value of a liberal arts education. The higher ed expert said students have been migrating towards bigger institutions that often have programs in business and technology. Hampshire's president said it's all part of an increasing focus on what students will earn after graduating, not what they're learning in school. And Hampshire's most famous alum, the documentary filmmaker Ken Burns, agreed, saying that in his view, higher ed has become, quote, hijacked by the transactional. And finally, $95. That is what it's going to cost to take a bus from around Boston out to the stadium for a World Cup game this summer. And it could cost more than $100 for the train ride from Penn Station to the New Jersey Stadium, a ride that normally costs about 12 bucks. These prices, news of which has been trickling out recently, are coming on top of other sky-high costs for fans traveling to the games. The tickets alone have been going for thousands of dollars, and the mounting price tag could be one factor that keeps people away. With the first kickoff less than two months out, the 11 U.S. host cities are watching closely to see how many people are actually going to make the trip, especially from other countries. Last year, the U.S. was the only major nation to record a decline in international tourism. For potential World Cup visitors, it's not just about cost, but also concerns about visa restrictions, stories about people's phones being searched at the border, and fears about immigration agents. According to my colleagues at the athletic, senior FIFA officials have talked about asking President Trump to stop ice raids while the World Cup is on. Those are the headlines. Today on The Daily, three times reporters on the strategy behind Trump's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and whether or not it will work. You can listen to that in the New York Times app or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Tracy Mumford. We'll be back tomorrow. Thank you all so much for being here at our wedding. 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