On the Onda Cero, Julia en la Onda, con Julia Otero. important, although it has been a little time, has been the commercial agreement between the European Union and India. We have talked a little bit about this, and, however, it is a capital issue. So the president of the European Union, Ursula von der Leyen, this martes was. Prime Minister, distinguished friend, we have delivered the matter of all. We have created the mother of all the agreements. We have created a market of 2.000 millions of people and this is the alliance of two giants, the second and the fourth economy most big in the world. Two giants that eligen asociarse in a way truly beneficial to everyone. The mother of all the agreements, said Ursula von der Leyen. What is really this agreement? What is it going to say? Because the world is prepared to give the back to the United States, to Donald Trump, to seek the life, to the castañas, more than the United States, that is evident. Exactly, I think it's the forefront of this issue, now we'll comment on it, but for this point, to what you asked, the fundamental point of this agreement is the increasing reduction of the most of the products that they commercialize between both parties. For that we make an idea, Brussels estima that this agreement will be in about a rate of 4.000 million annually of euros in tariff, which is said soon. No have been an easy negotiations, as well as happened with Mercosur, the European Union and India have been in conversations since the year 2007 and between 2013 and 2022, those negotiations were taken. However, it is true that the return of Donald Trump to the White House has accelerated that final round of negotiations. And to situate a little bit of which are the most beneficial sectors, we have, above all, the industry of the automobile, with that competition with China, or the machine that has now faced with arancels of up to the 110%. No hay que olvidar que India es uno de los países más proteccionistas a nivel económico del mundo. También es verdad que va a haber otros bienes como el vino, el aceite o los productos farmacéuticos que se pueden beneficiar, pero hay que decir que el acuerdo tiene sus limitaciones porque excluye varios productos del mercado agrícola indio, como los lácteos, los cereales y las aves de corral. Y también, además, esta reducción de aranceles no será inmediata, sino progresiva. O sea, que aunque sea la madre de todos los acuerdos, también tiene sus limitaciones. You said, you know, the industry, all the industry, the vitivinic oil, that can be beneficial. That can be beneficial. But there are prohibited products, let's say, no we import from India any meat, any meat, any meat, and what else you say? Aves of corral, that's also. Aves of corral, yes. That's what it is. And cereals, okay. So that it's an agreement to open markets, but not 100%, but there are some limitations. And of course, of the night to the morning. The most significant agreement with India is that it was just a little after that the European Union also signed with Mercosur, with all the South America. And all this, while Trump's in danger with anexioning Groenland. So we are facing a strategy, we can say, Blas, geopolitical Europe, that tries to give a Trump's skin. Yes, you said, Julia, you said, give the flag to the United States or look for the castanets to the United States. And it's just that. Groenland is an example, but in reality we see a very clear strategy of the United States of being a country, a country even a country, a country even a country, a country rival of the European Union. And in that sense, the European Union has begun to understand that they have to find alternatives. We have already signed agreements, as you said, with India and Mercosur. We have already signed agreements with other countries like Mexico, Korea, New Zealand or Japan. And also they are negotiating other agreements with Australia, with Malaysia, with Thailand, with Philippines. It's a very important country that is not Mercosur or India, but that are important in their markets and they allow us to make a little bit of an alternative to the US. That is the only one, but that is not the only one, but that is not the only one, and that is a little more margin of maniobra. And, as well, this is not the only bloke geopolitical that is doing this, because it is also done for example Canada or the United States, which has been in recent weeks, its leaders respective have been in China, also doing negotiations and agreements with the Chinese, for the same, to give a message of that although we are still countries occidentals alienated with the United States we are not going to turn the door and much less to negotiate with other people including with the great geopolitical United States with China So look at Donald Trump because we have alternatives It curious because in the United States precisely this midnight night, it's about to complete the six years since they came from Europe, from the Brexit, just this morning. And who would say, in the United States, who would say to the British that Starman would travel to China, as like Canada also did, looking for commercial agreements and routes of exit to the new act of and tosk and tosse of Donald Trump. Europe is doing more things, besides the commercial agreements to distance from the United States. Yes, the truth is that, as it may seem to be seen, Europe is moving in different fronts, perhaps in a lenta, as Macron said in Davos, but without pauses. In fact, in a few days, the Wall Street Journal published an article in which they informed that the European countries had doubled their defense in one decade. In fact, it is estimated that for the year 2035, that is, within nine years, Europe will spend military equipment the equivalent of 80% of the Pentagon, the Department of Defense of the United States, when in 2019 this percentage was inferior to 30%, for that we see that difference. It is true that we still depend on the United States in fabrication, in drones of long range, but that turn to the autosuficiency in defense avanza. There is to say that not all is a matter of defense. For example, a few days ago, a very curious news of the French government that announced recently that it would stop using software of video conferencing of the US fabric, like Zoom or Teams, for a local platform. And this, which may seem anecdotal, really no is because it is part of a more broad strategy within the European Union, that, among other things, is looking to push its own network a network of data providers to not depend on the US companies and have more digital sovereignty. So, as we see, Europe is not only in the commercial, but also in other fronts. Well, but, you know, there is no longer to use Zoom and Teams, then. Yes. Well, it's very good. Well, they are small steps, but they have much more weight and much more strength than what we can imagine. You know, you remember, of, well, I'm sure, of that child of five years old that arrested the ICE in Minneapolis, with his backpack, that everyone has broken his heart, he has been detained. We have known that this morning a judge of Texas has ordered that he is leaving Liam, that child of five years old, that he arrested, and also his father. He accuses the administration of Trump, the same magistrate, of act with cruelty. It's supposed to be that in the next hours, if the judge lo ordena, I say, in a normal country, If the judge ordened it, the authorities government would have had the case. In the case of the United States, I don't know what to think. But we have seen in the last hours a Donald Trump reculing slightly with the issue of the ICE. Because the murder of that enfermer of Alex Pretty, surely has been a point of inflection. Incluso, he has relevoed to Greg Bovino, as he is the name of that in that energum, that is the chief of all this ofensiva migratoria ¿Cuáles son las verdaderas intenciones de Trump? Porque igual estás solamente disimulando un rato Yo creo eso, Julia, por desgracia Sí que creo que Alex Preti Ese asesinato a sangre fría de los agentes en la calle de ese enfermero que protestaba y que grababa con su teléfono pacíficamente ha sido, digamos, un punto de reflexión en el sentido de que ya ha demostrado que el ICE está totalmente descontrolado y que había que ponerle límite, ¿no? Y ha empezado a generar un movimiento en contra de ese ICE tanto en la calle, por supuesto, hemos visto manifestaciones muy grandes y a ese Bruce Springsteen con su nueva canción, ¿no?, movilizando a la gente. También en la política, porque había un riesgo muy grande de que hubiera un cierre de gobierno por la falta de acuerdo en el Senado en torno a la financiación federal, sobre todo porque los demócratas no querían dar más dinero al Departamento de Seguridad Nacional, que es el departamento en el que está embarcado el ICE, es decir, no más dinero para esta gente mientras sigáis haciendo así. Y luego también se empezaba a hablar de una investigación contra la directora de ese departamento, es decir, a possible impeachment contra that minister of national, Christine O'Hare, who is a very Trumpist, very radical, and was the one who said that Alex Petty was terroristic, for example, and that not to say that he was assassinated, but let's say that he was assassinated. So, all this has become a very popular issue for the government and for Donald Trump, also for the Republicans, even because there was people who defended the second amendment, that is, the right to wear weapons, and said, hey, this guy has assassinated because he has a pistol, but it's supposed to be the right to use the right to use the US even with the right people have to use this but I think it's only a temporary pause, it's just a temporary pause to turn to another thing before the microphone we talked about here in the studio with David that Trump is very friendly to move the wall from one place to another now we are with Minnesota we be able to Iran surely and within a month or two we be back to the internal issue because the ICE on all has put 12 more agents this last month, Julia, which is a crazy... 12.000 more. Yes, 12.000 more, with a brutal amount of money. It's people who have no preparation policial, no have experience, but they get very quickly and with a very high income, and with many, digamos, primas, and the idea is to spread them in the democratic countries simultaneously in several places at the same time. If you talk about Chicago, New York, Los Angeles, it's to say that Minneapolis was the experiment, let's say, small and controllable, that will then try to try this in places more complicated and more large. This is not going to happen. I think the Financial Times has studied 10 different areas and has reached the conclusion, if you have a chance to search it in the Financial Times, you can find it. in 10 areas different and they get to the conclusion that the United States is going to be much more than any other country in the last years. Absolutely. It's a information from the Financial Times. For example, we also saw how in Milan ayer there was a great manifestation against the agents of the ICE, because remember that for the Olympics of winter, the president norteamericano, Donald Trump, and in theory he was going to take those energúmenos to protect him. But it was very interesting to see the event yesterday in Milan with thousands of Italians protested against these agents of ICE, who have not arrived, but they put the tear before the wound, because it's obvious. But it's interesting because it's the version of the XXI of Yankee Go Home, it's ICE Go Home. Yes, totally. Also, remember that the Olympics Olympics will be celebrated in Milan. And it reflects first also the international repercussions that they are having, I was going to say, but this operation already a large scale of violence and persecution against opositors, including migrants. And then, in second place, how the ICE has become almost a body of police at the service of the United States. Con rollo fascistoide, porque la imagen que tiene tal Bovino es que es un señor de la SS, es que es terrible. Otro asunto importante en Estados Unidos ha sido la elección del presidente de la Reserva Federal este viernes. Tomará posesión en mayo, creo que es verdad, que es cuando Powell acaba su mandato. Hay algo inquietante y es que Donald Trump ha dicho que va a ser el mejor presidente de la historia de la Reserva Federal. If Trump seems to be a good idea, it will be no only for his country, but also for the world. What do we know of the new president of the Federal Reserve? That is a little bit the central American. It is, in fact, the central bank of the United States. And what we know is that, a priori, Kevin Wors, who is the man who has chosen for this job, is perceived as the more minor in the markets. Because the other candidate, Kevin Hassett, is a member of the administration Trump. He worked with his partner, Jared Kushner, and is very close to the president. Walsh has been governor of the Federal Reserve between 2006 and 2011, he was considered for the position in 2017, or at least he has a certain experience, and he looks like a president that can be able to content Trump a short term, flexibilizing the interests of the interest, but that has the capacity to maintain the independent of the Federal Reserve. Insisto, we see if that happens at the end, but it is a independent that, of course, is in the end of the day after Trump, or the Department of Justice of Trump, and iniciara una investigación criminal contra el actual presidente de la Reserva Federal, que es Jerome Powell, al que Trump ha presionado para que reduzca drásticamente los tipos de interés. Vamos a ver si Wors se pliega al final ante esas órdenes de Trump. Desde luego, lo que está claro es que una política monetaria de la Casa Blanca va a tener enormes implicaciones también en España, a nivel internacional. Claro, en todo el mundo, claro. Eso es el tema. Pero al final daña la credibilidad de la Reserva Federal, agrava la pérdida de confianza en el dólar y en los bonos del Tesoro estadounidense, que son la base de la hegemonía de Washington a nivel mundial. De todas formas, hay que decir que ese nombramiento todavía está pendiente de ratificación en el Senado y algún Senado republicano ya ha dicho que mientras no se resuelva la investigación contra Powell no va a apoyar a ningún candidato. Así que veremos qué sucede. Y lo del ataque, atacar Irán, porque hace unos días esto decía Trump. Y por cierto, hay otra hermosa armada navegando hermosamente hacia Irán ahora mismo. Así que veremos. I hope they make a deal. I hope they make a deal. This is a social disease. It is to say, Trump, with a short and a short and a long time, that there is a beautiful army naveging beautiful towards Iran and people are shouting and applauding as if they were watching a rock concert It is tremendous What will happen hacia Ir y la gente chilla y aplaude como si estuviera viendo un concierto de rock Es tremendo a ocurrir algo as puede ser intervenida por Estados Unidos militarmente Mira, Julia, sin fibrilizar, llegamos a la oficina del orden mundial esta última semana, estas últimas dos semanas, pensando si va a ser cualquier día de estos. O sea, puede ocurrir, ¿eh? Sí, sí. En resumen, creemos que va a ocurrir un ataque contra Irán desde Estados Unidos. and also it is something that is very the style of Trump, also we see with Venezuela it begins with a press of diplomats, it begins with those messages that he sends in his social in conferences of press, etc it goes up the press of diplomats saying that you do what we want or we will attack, in parallel also despliega a sus buques of war frente to the coast of Iran, also with the Caribbean and Venezuela, they have come the war that were in other places of the world to that Gulf of Persia to be able to attack Iran when they have to do it, also, by the way se ha puesto en alerta las fuerzas estadounidenses en Oriente Próximo y también las de Israel, que es crucial, porque sabemos que Israel no solamente también ayuda a Estados Unidos a atacar a Irán, sino que también puede recibir los golpes de Irán si llega el caso, con lo cual también se tiene que preparar. Digamos que está todo preparado para ese ataque. La gran pregunta es realmente qué quieren hacer con el ataque, porque pensemos que Irán no es Venezuela. O sea, tú no puedes entrar en Teherán, en la capital del país, con 10 helicópteros y secuestrar en una operación relámpago a su presidente, como se hizo con Maduro. Iran is much more armed, much more prepared for that war, and that operation would be much more complicated. It seems that Trump's going to be a deal with a nuclear agreement, but it's contradictory with what he did last year. It seems that in June of 1925, they launched another attack against Iran, in which, according to Trump, he ended up with the nuclear agreement. That's what he said. He had to be a problem, he said. Of course, that was a lie, because he didn't get it. He said that he wanted to be a nuclear agreement, but he said that he had to be a nuclear agreement. But it seems that he had to be a deal with the nuclear agreement. Well, the case is that I see very complicated a quick solution. I'm going to try to attack a military military, or even try to assassinate a leader of the regime, maybe even a Yatollah Hamenei, which is in a bunker from at least 15 days, he's been hiding for that to not to carry it. But once you do that, what will happen after? It's that the US is not a internal plan, not a strong opposition in Iran with which can be done with a change of regime. It's more probable that if something happens, be a an internal attack that is power to the military in Iran, to the revolution, but that no necessarily create a new regime amigo of the United States. In the contrary, it could be even worse. And in the bottom, I think, Julia, the possibility... I think it's tomorrow when Iran has announced some military military in the Mishra of Hormuz, which is the port of the oil that comes from the Gulf of Persia, of course of Iran, but also of Kuwait, of Iraq, of Saudi, and if there is a deal there, the oil will be in the world. Yes. Uy. Complicated. Uy, que la cosa se puede complicar en los próximos meses. En fin, hoy hace también, me parece, 47 años de la llegada al poder de Khomeini, que luego traicionó a todos aquellos que confiaban en él. Bueno, muchísima gente que confiaba después del régimen del Shah. Pues hoy creo que se cumplen hoy 47 años. Bueno, vamos a resolver la pregunta que habéis planteado. Era, ¿qué país de Oriente Próximo cuenta con más soldados estadounidenses? Qatar, Kuwait o Emiratos Árabes Unidos. What have voted the audience? Eulalia, do you have the data? Yes, so on Twitter As on Instagram What majorly have voted the audience Is Kuwait Kuwait And the correct answer is Kuwait Ole They have been in Kuwait There are 13.500 militantes And now they are despleging 13.500 Then Qatar with 10.000 And the next No is on the list is Bahrain, with 7000. So, well, Emirates also is important, but not so. Not so. Kuwait, eh? It's a little bit for a pill. Well, well. Well, I would have thought more in the Emirates, eh? But, well, I'm wrong. I'm wrong. I've been wrong with you. It's complicated. Bahrain is the sede of the 5th front of the United States in the Orient Próximo, with which it's also an important site. In Canada, there is also the main base aérea of the United States in the region, in Aludate. But Kuwait has a relationship with the United States since the war of the Gulf of 1991. and they keep being the main... 13.000 people, 13.000 soldiers. No, it's a good figure. Well, here's the report of Blas Moreno and David Gómez. The next week, we'll see what we have to do within 7 days. No, I'll anticipate it, honestly. This is Dragon Khan. The international political is Dragon Khan. Until the next week. Adios, good morning. Adios, adios, adios. In the next week, we'll see you in the news. I'll see you in the next week. I'll see you in the next week. I'll see you in the next week. I'll see you in the next week. Adios. And on the news, we're going to go with the random hour and the autotune, which our doctor in engineering will tell us about what is the autotune. In Onda Cero, Julia and La Onda.
