OpenAI Trial "Soap Opera," ChatGPT's Stock Picks, and Remembering Ted Turner
70 min
•May 8, 202623 days agoSummary
Kara Swisher and Scott Galloway discuss Ted Turner's legacy as a media pioneer and philanthropist, analyze the OpenAI lawsuit as a 'soap opera' driven by Elon Musk's regret over selling the company, and examine how AI is reshaping media, finance, and corporate acquisitions through emerging trends like crowdfunded buyouts.
Insights
- The OpenAI lawsuit is fundamentally about contract law and seller's remorse, not about who would be a better steward of AI—emotional arguments about character are legally irrelevant
- AI will widen the gap between institutional and retail investors; individual investors using ChatGPT for stock picks face sophisticated algorithmic competition they cannot beat
- European skepticism of tech billionaires reflects broader concerns about concentration of power and alignment with political figures, contrasting with America's tech-driven GDP growth advantage
- Crowdfunding + AI-generated legal documents + social media could enable retail-led acquisitions of distressed assets within 12-36 months, democratizing corporate buyouts
- Traditional media's decline accelerated after the AOL-Time Warner merger; the 24-hour news cycle innovation was corrupted by profit-driven sensationalism, not Turner's original vision
Trends
Retail investor participation in US equities at 20% of daily trading volume (up from single digits pre-COVID), signaling potential market froth and overconfidenceCrowdfunded acquisitions emerging as viable alternative to traditional M&A, enabled by AI compliance automation and social media mobilizationInstitutional AI adoption (hedge funds, asset managers) creating structural advantage over retail; margin compression for traditional financial advisorsEuropean regulatory and cultural skepticism toward US tech billionaires intensifying, linked to Trump alignment and perceived lack of accountabilityStreaming profitability inflection point reached; Disney, Paramount, and Warner Bros. moving from subscriber growth to margin expansion and price optimizationAI-powered legal document generation and compliance automation reducing barriers to complex transactions and capital formationTech executive unhappiness and litigation despite extreme wealth suggesting misalignment between financial success and personal fulfillment among billionairesCapital formation gap between US and Europe widening; US AI companies (Anthropic, OpenAI, SpaceX) raising $250B+ while UK raised $2.4B in 2024
Topics
OpenAI Lawsuit and Contract LawTed Turner Legacy and Media InnovationAI in Investment Management and Retail TradingStreaming Service Profitability and Subscriber EconomicsCrowdfunded Corporate AcquisitionsUS-Europe Tech Sentiment and Regulation GapMedia Consolidation and Cable News EvolutionElon Musk and XAI StrategyAnthropic Computing Power PartnershipsFinancial Advisor Margin CompressionRetail Investor Participation TrendsAI Compliance and Legal AutomationWarner Bros Discovery and Paramount MergerDisney Stock Valuation and Activist PotentialCapital Markets and Venture Funding Disparities
Companies
OpenAI
Central to lawsuit discussion; Musk seeking control/compensation; company valued at $850B+ after his departure
Anthropic
Experiencing 80x growth; securing compute power from SpaceX AI; positioned as most credible AI company leadership
SpaceX
Acquired XAI; now providing compute infrastructure to Anthropic; part of Musk's AI strategy pivot
Tesla
Mentioned as company Musk wanted to use for secret AI work; part of broader Musk control narrative
CNN
Founded by Ted Turner; pioneered 24-hour news cycle; later corrupted by sensationalism and opinion programming
Warner Bros Discovery
Reported $2.9B net loss in latest quarter; linear networks bleeding subscribers; Paramount merger closing Q3
Paramount
Beat earnings expectations; streaming revenue up 17%; added 700K subscribers; doubling film slate post-Skydance deal
Disney
Strong earnings under new CEO Josh D'Amaro; streaming margins broke into double digits; potential activist target
Netflix
Discussed as potential merger partner with Disney; would create dominant streaming/IP powerhouse
Spirit Airlines
Subject of crowdfunded acquisition attempt by 32-year-old TikToker; raised $132M in non-binding pledges
Chipotle
Example of company Galloway was involved with early in career; mentioned as potential acquisition target
XAI
Acquired by SpaceX in February; being dissolved and folded into SpaceX AI brand
Palantir
Defense systems company debated for use by European media organizations; top of mind for tech scrutiny
Time Warner
Acquired CNN; AOL-Time Warner merger cited as worst acquisition in history; destroyed shareholder value
Vanguard
Recommended as low-cost ETF option for retail investors; preferred by finance academics and professionals
People
Ted Turner
Died at 87; pioneered 24-hour news; donated $1B to UN Foundation; remembered as visionary entrepreneur
Elon Musk
Suing OpenAI for control/compensation; acquiring XAI; providing compute to Anthropic; described as regretful and liti...
Sam Altman
Defendant in Musk lawsuit; accused of manipulation; testimony pending; described as capable but controversial
Dario Amodei
Reported 80x growth; securing SpaceX compute; described as most credible AI leader despite skepticism
Greg Brockman
Testified in Musk lawsuit; described as most sympathetic defendant; kept detailed notes on company decisions
Mira Murati
Testified she couldn't trust Sam Altman; accused him of creating chaos; had undisclosed children with Musk
Siobhan Zillis
Had four children with Musk; failed to disclose relationship; emails show Musk's Tesla/OpenAI integration plans
Jane Fonda
Ex-wife of Ted Turner; remained close friend; praised his vulnerability and strength; recently interviewed by Swisher
Christiane Amanpour
Early CNN hire; praised Turner's news vision; had lunch with Swisher when Turner death was announced
Josh D'Amaro
New Disney CEO; first earnings call showed strong beat; credited to Bob Iger's prior work; raised buyback targets
Bob Iger
Credited with Disney's strong earnings; grew parks revenue 40%; positioned Disney+ as digital centerpiece
Dana Walden
Named to key position; described as smart, elegant, and essential to retain talented executives
Hunter Peterson
32-year-old crowdfunding Spirit Airlines buyout; raised $132M in pledges; demonstrates new acquisition model
Ken Griffin
Example of institutional investor with AI advantage; employs 2000 PhDs; outperforms retail investors systematically
Kara Swisher
Co-host; speaking at Nordic Media Days; recently interviewed Jane Fonda; based in New York
Scott Galloway
Co-host; touring ProfG Markets; active in stock market; uses AI for investment research; based in New York
Quotes
"I just was hanging out with goats calmly in Norway and here I have to deal with this bullshit."
Kara Swisher•Opening
"He was a different kind of billionaire... he took his seat and his privilege and his wealth as an obligation to serve and connect nations with each other."
Scott Galloway•Ted Turner discussion
"This deal was better than sex."
Ted Turner (quoted)•AOL Time Warner merger reference
"If you sell your house and they wreck the patio, you need to shut up. You sold the house."
Barry Diller (quoted by Kara Swisher)•Turner regret discussion
"I would argue in the UN actually meant something... his legacy very important, even though it morphed into this scream fest that it has become."
Kara Swisher•Turner legacy analysis
"This is regret and a Messiah complex cosplaying a legal argument. Judges and courts aren't concerned or aren't moved by anger and indignance and sellers regret."
Scott Galloway•OpenAI lawsuit analysis
"None of them are qualified to run, be in charge of AGI. None of them. This is what this is showing. What tiny, petty, angry, unhappy people, they all are."
Kara Swisher•OpenAI trial conclusion
"You are showing up with a very elegant squirrel gun and they have a fucking howitzer."
Scott Galloway•AI investment advice discussion
Full Transcript
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They build a plan, pull from the secure data sources, run subagents in parallel, and draft work product ready for your review so you can delegate work and own the judgment. Trusted by more than 60% of the AM, Law 100, and leading Fortune 500 legal teams, Harvey is an AI operating system designed specifically for legal work. Harvey, AI tailored for law. Learn more at harvey.ai. Support for this show comes from the Futurology podcast. With so much changing every minute, it can sometimes feel useless to think more than a few days ahead. But looking at what's to come can completely reshape how we take on the future, and that's exactly what they're talking about on Futurology, a new podcast from the Begruen Institute featuring some of the world's brightest minds focusing on what the future looks like and how to design a better one. Subscribe to Futurology wherever you get your podcasts or watch full episodes on YouTube. You know, I just was hanging out with goats calmly in Norway and here I have to deal with this bullshit. Hi, everyone. This is Pivot from New York Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast Network. I'm Kara Swisher. And I'm Scott Galloway. Guess where I am, Scott. Where are you? Norway. Really? I'm in Norway, yes. Are you in Oslo? Where are you? No, I'm in Bergen, which is beautiful. That sounds like a speaking gig with you. Speaking gig with some serious zeros on it. I'm doing actually a favor. It's not a paid speaking gig. It's for this Nordic media days. They've been driving me crazy to come. The Norwegians are big on us, Scott. We're big in Norway? We're big in Norway. It's only five million people. Anyway, it's this group of people, like all the different newspapers and broadcasts and podcasters and everything else, and they do this thing called Nordic media days. And the woman who runs it has been peppering me for a long, long time and so I have agreed to do it because I was in London, which I was also in London for Tina Brown's thing. Didn't contact me? Didn't stop by? Didn't say hi? I wrote you several times and you were in Hamburg. Didn't invite me for tea? Didn't say hello? I invited you for dinner where I got to meet the girls. It just uses me to cash big checks. No, this is such a lie. Would you like me to show the text? I'm in Hamburg. What kind of excuse is that? I'm in Hamburg. Were you in Hamburg? I wasn't Hamburg. I was either eating sausage and having beer. I loved it. By the way, just going to Norway. I'm going to finish my story, but go ahead. I'm sorry, go ahead. This leaks into your story. I don't know about you. I am much more liked or less disliked in Europe than in the US. I think it's because in the US, the moment you get assigned to some sort of political party or not, 50% of America hates you. And in Europe, they really don't care. Maybe they just don't know you well enough yet to hate you. Maybe that's where we are. That's fair. I'm like, give it time. Give it time. Anyway, so I went to London to do this. Tina Brown does this really amazing cause for our journalism. It's a great conference where she puts together for her late husband, Harry Evans, who was an astonishing journalist. And she brings together amazing people. So we, it was with a Craig Newmark, Christiane Aminpour, and Don Lemon, I had a thing on stage. Don Lemon was in London? London, he was. He didn't call me either. Again. Guy uses me. He doesn't call me. He did, but you weren't available. Okay. Anyway, so don't, because we asked you, don't even start. So they just said, can you fly up to Bergen, which was an hour and a half flight. And so here I am. It's beautiful. It's sort of the entry to the fjord area. Northern Europe in the summer is. It's cold today. Oh, but it's so beautiful. Everything, the light, the water, the sky at night, I mean, it's just incredible. I just had giant shrimp. This fish up here is astonishing. And then I walked to the top of this fluggen, faven, flagen, whatever. Everything reads like an akiya piece of furniture here and then in the Nordic areas. And, and I, up the top, this is in a funicular. I love a funicular. And then there's, I get up there and there's goats up there just hanging out goats. So. Really? Yeah. As I said off my goats can digest anything. My great dain cannot. If I feed my great dain 30 minutes earlier late, it becomes literally a shit cannon roaming around the house decorating fecal matter across the most expensive items we have. So goats are not like my great dain lay up. Just so you know. Well, there was goat poop up there on the goat. On the top of the mountain. I didn't eat anything. I really, I really. If you give it a tennis shoe, no problem. I know. It was really cool. I was like, you know, you're not expecting goats and then there are goats. It was like, oh look goats. You liked that? I did. I was like, oh, this is cool. You want to hear my Nordic stories? Should we bring this back to you? In one second. And then I'm going to go after the London thing, which is, I had a lovely lunch with Christian Amenbore when we heard the news about Ted Turner, but I'll get to that in a second. My little European jaunt, which I did ask you to dinner at a fancy person's house where there's celebrities. You know, I don't like other people. It was nice. It was beautiful. I will spend half an hour with you and then I'm done with other people. Okay, but you would have liked this dinner. Anyway, I don't say I don't invite you. I'm going to Stockholm for Brilliant Mines or at least I have RSVPDS. So my story about Stockholm was I went there a couple summers ago on a guys trip and I was walking around on a Sunday and it was the most beautiful day, fountains, public squares everywhere. And I noticed so many people out and I noticed it was all 80% of the people out where like a 55 or 65 year old woman and a teenage girl or a woman in her female in her twenties, all holding hands, walking around. And I didn't know what was going on. And I literally asked someone next to me, I'm like, what's with all the women holding hands? No, the women holding hands is that, oh, it's a tradition here, mothers and daughters on Sundays. I don't know if it's every Sunday. Get together. And there must have been, I'm not exaggerating in this square, there must have been 300 mother, daughter duos walking somewhere hand in hand. I thought, fuck it, I'm moving to Northern Europe. They know it's really lovely. I don't have to say. It really is. I mean, these people get it. One thing that's interesting though, I have to say is, and I was talking to a bunch of media types here, they're beside themselves about Trump. They just, he has really spun them up. And I said, well, we've had it for 10 years, so we'll have to, I'm sure he's on his way out, but it's, they're just, I was like, it's time to just, you're going to have to take control of your own destiny at this point. You can't rely on us in that regard. Yeah, I agree. Same thing in Germany. And the emotion I registered from them is that they're actually, they're very worried, and they're actually in a weird way. It's like, you don't appreciate something until it's gone. They miss the old America. And I think that there's a certain kind of bereft, like we were fond of America and we hope that it is still America. The second thing, maybe you got it too. The second thing is, how did the tech people become villains? It's here. That brand is here, like completely, like how awful the tech people are. And before they like had antipathy, that's for sure. With all the different rules they created, and they were sort of onto them before everybody else was, but it's a real like, it's the same trends that are happening in the U.S. The AI is not trustworthy, the tech villains, they suck up to Trump to get their stuff. It's really a theme here, and it's linked to Trump, of course. The tech people are very linked to Trump. And so they have more than antipathy towards tech now. It's really, that's interesting to me too. But I got some questions about that, about how did tech come off the rails? But I'm like, okay, but you have to couch it in the following context. I get a little bit defensive around this, and you get that a lot. How did tech and how did American tech brothers become so terrible? I'm like, okay, just to slow your roll a little bit. In 1995, GDP per capita, an hourly wage was about the same and productivity was about the same between Europe and the U.S. The U.S. has blown away Europe. I mean, up 20 or 30% while Europe is flat. And most of that is capital formation in tech. Anthropic, which was founded five years ago, if it had been founded in Europe, it would be one of the five most valuable companies in Europe. I'm like, for all the villainy or villainry or bad vibes that you're getting from tech, keep in mind, these companies have created unbelievable economic value that has quite frankly left you in the dust. Yeah, no, that's been happening for a long, that's the first cycle, the second cycle, the third cycle. No, it's absolutely true, but one of the things that was interesting is they're debating whether to use Palantir and some other defense systems. So it's top of mind for these people of who these people are. So it was just interesting. I'll be interested to see what happens at Cambridge, like what the questions they are. But it's nice to check in with other people. Just the IPOs, just the IPOs of Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX that they go through are estimated to earn or raise about $250 billion, just those three companies. Do you know how much money was raised in the capital markets in the UK last year? Probably what? In the billion maybe? 2.4 billion. Yeah, couple billion. Now, granted, that was an especially weak year. But the capital formation in Europe is just not there. It's interesting, it's there for seed stage companies and also the tax policy. You get a 30% tax credit here in the UK for seed stage investments. You get 30 cents on the dollar back right away. So they're really good about seed stage. What they don't have is in the US, if you show any promise or scale, especially in AI right now, you can go out and raise $100 million for your BNC round. That just doesn't exist here in Europe. Yeah, no, it's true. But nonetheless, they're still in with us, technologically speaking, and they have to use our companies. So they're very interested in what's playing out with Trump and the tech people. Anyway, we have to get to the news. Speaking of great entrepreneurs, Ted Turner, the media mogul CNN founder who helped create the 24-hour news cycles, died at 87. Turner was also a major philanthropist, making a record $1 billion donation to establish the United Nations Foundation. He was a different kind of billionaire, although he was also the, it was called the mouth of the South. Beyond media and philanthropy, Turner pursued countless other passions from his Montana Grill, his eco-conscious restaurant chain, being named Yachtman of the year multiple times. He was Larry Ellison before Larry Ellison. He announced he had Lewy Body Dementia, progressive brain disorder in 2018. Jane Fonda, one of Turner's ex-wives who remained a close friend, remembered him saying, man, like Ted, aren't supposed to express need and vulnerability. That was Ted's greatest strength, I believe, and he was. And she, I recently interviewed her and she had told me he was quite ill. I talked to him a little bit from my books, Linnae O'well. He was real mad about the sale and everything else, except that when he sold the company, he had that famous quote where he said, and this deal was better than sex. Do you remember that? He was, he always had something cookie to say at any one moment. And I, you know, a lot of people are like, oh, he's the reason we have terrible cable. His vision of cable was not this, what has happened. So I sort of pushed back against that because his idea was that you can get news to sort of democratize the news a little more from the big three. And so I consider him a real important, his legacy very important, even though it sort of, you know, morphed into this scream fest that it has become. But his was, you know, it was real news. And I was, happened to be with Christiane Amanpour, who got there pretty early, not right away at the beginning. And she had nothing but great things to say about his tenure when he was sort of doing real entrepreneurial news, news and other things, you know, and a very, a very generous and charitable person at the same time. And also funny and weird and interesting. Yeah. This guy is, you know, he kind of defined the term that you don't hear anymore, a captain of industry. And the term captain, he was the, something people don't know about him is I think he may be the only billionaire who was also an elite world class athlete. He won the America's Cup. Yeah, he did. And there are just not very many billionaires who've reached the pinnacle of a sport. And maybe Roger Stabak, is he a billionaire now? Anyways, but he built CNN from nothing. It's really interesting how it emerged. So news when we were growing up was a public service and that is ABC and CBS sold a shit ton of ads from Tang and Chevrolet running against all in the family and Mash and the Partridge family and the Brady Bunch. And they felt that it was a public service to have 23 minutes of news and seven minutes of commercial in this money-losing thing called the local news. And he said, he correctly figured out that there was money in a market for 24 by seven news. And it was very scrappy. If you look, go back, it wasn't very well produced. And he started the whole thing. Now where it came off the tracks was quite frankly with Robert Murdock recognizing that the part of the news, they made an observation and that is a K ABC news with Jerry Dunfee back in the 70s had something called Point Counterpoint and SNL used to mock it. You know, Jane Ewing and Slot. Jane Ewing and Slot. That's our show pretty much. So they recognized something called Point Counterpoint and it was Bruce Hershenson and Jim Tunney. And they would start yelling at each other. And someone did the analysis and found out that's what people were tuning in for. And that was really the key and arguably the most dangerous insight that Rupert Murdock made. And of course, what did he do? And that is, no, this isn't about balance. It's enough news to keep to create a halo of legitimacy. And quite frankly, CNN was guilty of it too, Crossfire. And CNN now has a show like that where they all just start yelling at each other. That's where Tucker Carlson started. Yeah. And Michael Kinsley. Remember, Tucker and Michael just going at it. And that seems civil compared to Rick. It actually, when you watch it, it's actually is. It seems patrician. It seems intelligent. It's intelligent. Good sir, I beg to differ. You know, anyways, it is digressed and has become something that is, I don't know, it's a longer talk show. Let's get back to Ted Turner. He gave away a billion dollars. He actually gave away a billion dollars to the UN. I would argue in the UN actually meant something. Something also, people constantly asked me for male role models for kind of a positive or aspirational form of masculinity. I think Ted Turner is a great role model. One, let's just go to the male stuff. Very aggressive. Also politically incorrect. And Time Warner, when Time Warner was acquired by CNN, Gerald Levin introduced the whole thing and said, and now I want to introduce my best friend, Ted Turner. And Ted stood up and said, best friend, I've never been to your fucking house. Yeah, he was great. And then my favorite was when he did it in all hands. And it was Ash Wednesday. And there were a bunch of people in the audience with ashes on their forehead. He's like, shouldn't you be working at Fox? Oh. I mean, the guy was, I think there's a certain charm in a world now where everything is so I don't know, especially corporations. Yeah, but it was a different kind of... Well, it's good natured. He wasn't mean. He was called the mouth of the South. Remember, he called himself that too. I mean, and so it was a different time period. He wasn't malevolent. But he was charitable. He was visionary. He was aggressive. 14 grandchildren, 14 or 12 grandchildren. And married to Jane Fonda. She's still awesome. She told me she was, she's still... An environmentalist. And also took his seat and his privilege and his wealth as an obligation to serve and connect nations with each other. He funded something that didn't work called the Pan American Games, but it was meant to be a more, a less corrupt Olympics. I call it the Pan American Games. It's called the Goodwill Games. Oh, right. It was an effort to ease tensions between the US and USSR. Anyways, he was very serious about uniting nations and trying to promote world peace. He saw his wealth and his seat as an obligation that he was, he was optimizing for service, not for attention. I would urge people if they're blaming what cable is now on him not to, it's not what he, that was not his vision. I was around for that. And it became that and it was not his. He may have created the 24. And they did take advantage. Remember the thing that really sent them over the top was that the girl down the well, remember the girl down the well story? Oh yeah. That's what Christian was. He's just like, oh, that's the thing that really got people watching. That in the Iraq war? Yeah, the Iraq war. And that's where Christian showed up. You saw moments of that where, remember the studs, God, Arthur, there's Arthur Kent? Like it started to turn. That's when you started to sort of see the beginnings of kind of the circus acts of these cable stations. And I was thinking that as I was, you know, I went on Sky News and BBC and stuff like that. And like the constant hunt of, and I think it's a very serious, I'm worried about a haunted virus, but the constant, let's go back to the cruise ship. Let's go back to the, and I was like, this actually we're in a war in Iran. I feel like perhaps we need to head over there and take a look at what's had the cruising going on in the Strait of Hormuz. But he is a great legacy. Remember Bernard Shaw? Bernard Shaw, amazing. Daniel Shore. Yeah. Oh, my dad's favorite for the wrong reasons, Bobby Batista. Lois Hart, I grew up on CNN. And Christian. And also, I genuinely believe a decent administration would be CNN anchors. Dana Bash, the president. She is smart, she is elegant, and she could smother you in your sleep. She's got that edge to her, which every president needs. If you crossed her, Anderson should be vice president. Any problems with the Pope? He just goes over there, just talks about grief. Everybody loves him, confident enough. Wade Zacharias, secretary of state, hands down. Hands down. All right. Michael Smirkonish, he could be secretary of commerce or labor. Okay. Do I get anything? I'm a contributor. Do I get like an ambassador ship to something? Oh, you're an ambassador to Guyana. Oh, thank you. You've already decided this. We're going to move on because- You're saving me for myself here? I'm saving you for yourself because it's interesting. I don't think Ted Turner, he didn't like the AOL Time Warner deal. That I did speak to him about, but first he was like, it was better than sex. The deal was the best thing I ever did, better than sex. And then afterwards he like totally publicly decried it publicly. And one thing that Barry Diller, I think, told him was like, if you sell your house and they wreck the patio, you need to shut up. You sold the house. And I didn't necessarily agree with him on that, but it was- He definitely had much regrets and he probably wouldn't be thrilled where, from the latest numbers from Warner Brothers Discovery, the company reported a net loss of 2.9 billion in the latest quarter. That's essentially a $2.8 billion termination fee tied to the Netflix deal. Paramount agreed to cover the cost, but the expense still sits on Warner's books until the deal officially closes. For people who don't see why that was that big of a loss. But nonetheless, the first quarter revenue was down 1% year over year and ad revenue slid 7%. Total streaming revenue did rise 9%. Largely by HBO Max went international. Paramount had slightly better news report beating revenue and earnings expectations in the first quarter. Paramount added 700,000 subscribers during the quarter helping streaming revenue grow by 17% year over year. The company's film studio did well with revenue up 11%. And they said they're making great progress on the Warner Brothers deal with late Q3 closing still on track. There's still some pushback to it. At the same time, I'm going to add one more earnings. Disney's under the first new CEO, Josh Demaro. The numbers were strong with revenue climbing. 7% to 25 billion operating income across Disney's entertainment sports and experience division beat expectations. The company says it expects earnings per share to grow 12%. That's solid in the fiscal year. And one week spot, a dip in attendance at its US theme parks probably due to fewer international trailers are going to see repercussions from gas prices, I'm guessing, and other prices. But it's only down 1%. Maybe the next quarter is where you're going to see it over the summer. That will be the real indicator there. The thoughts on the Warner and everything, they're just sort of bumping along these companies. So Warner Brothers 117 adjusted gap versus estimates of 9 cents, which is actually pretty good. They had a 45% beat. Operating margin was down, but are mostly flat. The linear networks continue to bleed. The revenue fell 8%. With domestic pay TV subscribers down 10%. And free cash flow was 476 million and net leverage sits at 3.4X. The Paramount deal is expected to close Q3, which will form a company with 69 billion in pro forma revenue. If there's a book, if you wrote a book called The Worst Acquisitions in History, you could just call the book Time Warner. Yeah. They are at the center of the, I mean, three of the five worst acquisitions in history all involve Time Warner. Yeah, with 182. They are all, right? And this one. And this one, I think we'll go down is in terms of shareholder value destruction, Paramount posted a clean beat and streaming turned its first real profit revenue of 7.35 billion versus 7.28 EPS of 23 cents versus 15 cents expected. I mean, companies are just, it's just incredible. Companies are just blowing away their earnings. Their direct to consumer revenue was up 11%. Paramount plus revenue up 17%. I wonder how much of that is land. They added 700,000 net subscribers to reach 79.6 million in total. Direct to consumer EBITDA improved to 251 million. TV media revenue fell 6% to 3.7 billion as cord cutting continues. And Paramount has nearly doubled its film slate for 2026 versus 2025 since closing the Skydance deal last August, which to their credit. Yeah, he's been promising that. He has been promising that. Yeah, everyone's been saying, oh, they're going to get Hollywood and they're coming out swinging and they're doubling their film slate. The thing is, is it going to make money? Right? That's the issue. Let's see what happens. What happens? Yeah. So let's just wait until they, you can spend the money. I mean, that's what British people do, but let's see if they make it. If they have some hits, if they have some hits. And so Josh Demarro's first earning call at CEO reported a really strong beat. Shares gained roughly 7% after the report. But here's the thing, 100% of this beat, the credit goes to Bob Iger. One doesn't impact earnings two weeks after they take the CEO job. This beat was really ringing the bell for Bob Iger. Revenue at 25.2 billion versus 24.8 expected. Earnings at buck 57 versus 149 expected. Streaming operating income jumped 88% to $582 million. And Disney's streaming margins broke into the double digits at almost 11%. Their streaming revenue hit $5.5 billion, up 13%, driven by price hikes. In Disney's no longer report subscriber numbers, which is a shame, but their experiences that you reference was up 7%, which must be an increase in prices because as you mentioned, numbers are down at a price. Attendance is down. And they also have raised their buyback targets, similar to what Apple did last week, and guided for two. I think Disney is a buy. And tomorrow, he came out of the parks, in which grew nearly 40% in revenue under his watch. And he called Disney plus the digital centerpiece of the company on Wednesday's earnings. He fired fuel and consumer spending. Dana Walden, who I know you know, named President and Chief Creative Officer. That was an important keep for that company, the keeping her, because she was the CEO, she was the top contender. Well, not only that, they're all, I mean, quite frankly, a lot of these people are probably, I mean, this is the challenge when your stock is below where it was 10 years ago. You have to get the most talented people in the room and say, I'm going to issue new options and please stick around. Because you've got to think a lot of these people are looking at- So what is their option? Yeah, because- Produce is the harder now. You can't be as good a print. You can't do those sweet, sweet deals anymore. Yeah, but if you're a talented Disney executive, you could absolutely land. I would stay. See, now I would stay because you have power. We're one of the last pieces of wood floating. I don't know. I just thought I would stay. Oh, that's interesting. I hadn't thought of that analogy. I like that. It was from the Devil Wears Prada too, but go ahead. I thought it was from the Titanic. It is, but she just said that. She goes, we just got him the last few days. I was wondering how long it was going to be before you mentioned the Devil Wears Prada too. Just saying. Yeah, no, it's great. Let's go over every movie that's actually making money. It is making money. Yeah, it's making a ton. It's going to change the world. You can't see it in print. Lawrence of Arabia meets The Sound of Music meets The Sixth Sense. All right, let's move on. Disney stock is down more than 10% year-to-date despite back-to-back earning speeds. I don't know if it's because everyone's giving up on traditional media or because AI is sucking all the oxygen out of everything. Everything. Company of the other 490 in the S&P. But I think Disney actually right now is a really good buy and I wouldn't be surprised if it's put in play in the next three to six months. You keep saying that. By whom? To Apple too. Because Apple was looking at perplexity allegedly. An activist. Oh. An activist comes in and says, you need to cut 20% of your staff or you need to put the company up for sale. Right, which they did with Iger. I mean, Iger went through that, right? Several times, I think. Yeah, but Iger had so much credibility he was able to back this stock. So he gets me because this is a new CEO, right? The stock. Disney has this unbelievable franchise or it might be corporate restructuring, go good bank, bad bank, spin out the parks into its own business. They decided not to as you know. They were going to get rid of ABC at one point and then they decided to keep ESPN. I think that's one of tomorrow's first decisions. And an activist will argue that their decisions have been really poor because this company has probably the greatest collection of IP in the world of booming parks business and yet the stock is trading below where it was in 2016. This is sort of, I gotta think there's a lot of activists out there. Which activists? The same old sort of unpleasant like per-mother activists? No. If I had to bet on any firm that shows up forcefully at dignified, it would be Elliot. Elliot. And by the way, I don't know anything. I haven't talked to him about this. But I wouldn't be surprised. Unfortunately, it'll probably be someone like Helz, but he's more consumer. Or I wouldn't put a pass. The last one I think was per-mother. Remember? I don't know. I think Netflix and Disney, the merger between Netflix and Disney could never happen under an administration that didn't have, it didn't have a FTC or a DOJ that was in a slumber. So if there was any desire to do that, it would then now would be the time. No, it's not, Brenda is not, it doesn't like Disney. It's in his sights. Who doesn't like Disney? He didn't car. Brenda, I call him Brenda. Yeah, but well... He's specifically called out Disney, like by name, saying he doesn't like what they have to do. Yeah, but he doesn't get to decide any trust. Right, yeah. It goes, it's the, I mean, I guess could he lead it? The bottom line is Disney and Netflix right now, Disney is cheap right now. So Netflix and Disney in a wind-up would be game over. If you took Netflix's IP, including Wednesday, Stranger Things, Bridgerton, and used it to go vertical and create experiences in parks, I just think it'd be incredible. By the way, it shouldn't happen. It would be too much concentration of media, but from it, I would buy shares in that company. Yeah, absolutely. I don't think it'll happen. I think it probably wouldn't. Although I don't know why it shouldn't because they have a lot of companies to go up against these tech companies, but I don't know. Anyway, well, interesting to see. It was fine. It was perfectly fine. It was like, okay, it's so funny. You know, when Ted Turner, when that deal happened, I mean, media, that was the top for media, wasn't it? When AOL Time Warner happened, I think it was like, they were running the fucking show. They were the kings of the road, and then they weren't. It's been a downward, downward, downward slide for traditional media. The fall of traditional media for me is embodied by, when I first moved to New York in 2000, and all single people in the 30s, we would pile eight people into a house and bridge哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎哎 It was like the internet person and they like treated me like shit. Like they were like, oh, you're part of the internet. Tech was boring. You know, and you're, no, the, no, it was Ponzi scheme. It was Ponzi scheme. Oh, it's nothing. It's gonna, it's all a bunch of, it's gonna go away. And the media reporters was such snot bags. I have to tell you they just were. And I was like, I don't, I think you're in trouble. I was, and they were like, you don't know, they're gonna run the show in media, media, media. And I was like, well, I think there's got some vulnerabilities there. I'll never, it was the same thing. It was sort of, it was, well, too bad. That's what happened. Anyway, let's go on a quick break. We come back and Thropet gets into bed with Elon and SpaceX. Support for the show comes from Faragamo. On Mother's Day, Faragamo wants to celebrate the everyday moments between a mother and her loved ones where style, confidence and grace are naturally communicated. Faragamo presents there. The things I have learned from you collection, where the deepest form of love and elegance are showcased because these lessons are not formally taught, but rather absorbed through the small everyday gestures that define a lifetime. Their new hug soft XS bag is the true protagonist of the selection. It's compact, but never confined. The hug soft XS translates Faragamo's craftsmanship into a form designed for a modern rhythm. Graceful in the hand, effortless in motion, versatile across occasions. 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Anthropic CEO, Daria Amodi says the company planned for 10x growth this year, but is now seeing growth closer to 80x, creating a massive need for more computing power. Enter SpaceX or rather SpaceX AI. SpaceX acquired XAI back in February, but Elon Musk has just revealed XAI will be dissolved and its AI products will be part of the SpaceX AI brand, of course, because everybody left. It didn't have quite the traction that he had hoped. As I said, folding it right in. Everything's going to get folded. Tesla's next. Under the new deal, Anthropic will get compute power with SpaceX AI data center in Memphis, the one that's polluting people. As it works to keep up with surging demand, everybody needs power. A real turnaround for Elon, who earlier called Anthropic evil. He's now saying he was impressed after meeting with senior executive, adding, no one set off my evil detector. Again, look in the fucking mirror, dude. Is this the enemy of my enemy as my friend because of chat GPT? This is an interesting thing. I mean, obviously, Lentz has not had the success he had hoped to dominate. It's all about his beef with Sam Altman, but in this case, this is what he's doing. I would be careful if I was Dario in general, but I think he's savvy enough to deal with Elon though. He seems to have enough pushback. Any thoughts on this? I'd rather talk about me and the odds and reminisce a little bit longer. Is that okay? Just for a second. I started. I want thoughts on this. In 2000, I had, I'm moving to New York from San Francisco. I had just been abused, ridden hard and put away wet by Sequoia Capital, kicked out of the band I started, kicked off of the board of the company I started, just like, got divorced. I just wanted to never go back to San Francisco the rest of my life. Can I ask you a question? Did you deserve it just a little bit? Did I deserve what? What happened with Sequoia? I'm just curious. Oh, I was an obnoxious, aggressive entrepreneur that was arrogant and reckless. But also, Mike Moritz is a small vindictive man. Okay, got it. So yeah, I think there's enough blame to go around for everyone. And also, the board was a bunch of obsequious people getting, anyways. It doesn't hurt. I'm still not triggered. I'm clearly over it. I'm clearly over it. All of you are still to this day. I'm clearly over it. Anyways, I moved back to New York and I started an e-commerce incubator backed by Goldman, JPMorgan, Maveron, Howard Schultz's company. And it was near impossible to recruit people to come to work for a technology incubator. And I would take people out who were working at traditional media, who were making five or $600,000 a year. And I'd say, I can only pay you $200,000, but I'm going to give you two million options on two million shares. And I would have to walk them through what options were. Oh, wow. The ecosystem, I couldn't even use a New York-based law firm because they didn't do venture. People don't realize New York in 2000 was about finance. It was about media. There were a couple little ones. Guilt. Yeah. Guilt is right. There was a guilt and there was... Guilt. I forgot about that. There was guilt in the Kevin Ryan's company and then there was the one ad company that got sold to... It was a media company, which we call it the Gawker. There was Gawker. Well, that wasn't an internet company. I know. That was a gossip magazine, a digital gossip. There was a digital ad company in New York. There was no technology. It really wasn't. What so ever? Oh, the one that was bought by Yahoo. Tumblr. Tumblr. Tumblr was in New York. Tumblr. The worst acquisition in history. The worst acquisition in history. I broke that story. Nice to meet you, but yeah. Yeah. Maris, within the same 60 days, Mark Zuckerberg made the best acquisition in history for a billion he bought Instagram. It's now worth, I think, probably a half a trillion to a trillion dollars. Marisa Mayer said, I'm a baller and she bought Tumblr for a billion dollars, which seven years later got sold for how much? A couple million to... Three million dollars. It was a collection of blogs. It was a collection of blogs. Dirty sites, dirty blogs. They were dirty. And then when they shut down the porn, I got into an online battle with, what's the guy with the bad Caesar's haircut, the venture capitalist? There were two or three. There were two. Two ventures. Anyways, they still told Tumblr they were no longer going to fund this bag of shit that was making no money, but he convinced Marisa Mayer to buy it for $1.1 billion. Anyways. Anyways. I'll walk down memory lane of New York. This has been fun. I've really enjoyed this. Okay. All right. And then I joined. And then my incubator collapsed within like six months founding it after the dot-com implosion. And I joined the faculty at NYU where my first year salary was $12,000. Nice. Good times. Nice. Okay. Good times. Back to XA. Anyways, back to Anthropoc. What do we talk about? I've said this. I wish I have never bet on a prediction smart kid. I said this a week ago. Calci had Musk winning at 51 or 52%. Now it's all of a sudden fallen to 38. Winning at what? Winning? Winning the case. Oh, the case. The Musk wins the case. Yeah. Yeah. He's got to make some moves. Yeah. Going from, there is no moves. Going from a $10,000,000 to a $10,000,000. You can go from a nonprofit to a for-profit. You're allowed to do that. Yeah. And when you- In California already approved it. Speaking of the late 90s, I bought a home for $720,000 in Noe Valley near where you live, which was a lot of money for me at the time. And two years later, when I moved to New York, I sold it for 960 and thought I was a fucking real estate genius. It ended up that house is next to where Mark Zuckerberg moved. It's got to be worth $10 million right now. This is the equivalent. Six. Yeah, six. Yeah. This is the equivalent of me going back to the owners and suing them. This is regret and a Messiah complex cosplaying a legal argument. I would agree. Judges and courts aren't concerned or aren't moved by anger and indignance and sellers regret. They're moved by evidence and argument and there's none here. So I will say this trial, I was thinking, you're watching the text go back and forth and Miram Arati doesn't like Sam really, even though she pretended she did. And the girlfriend who was on the board, I'm blanking on her name, I don't really care because Siobhan Zillis who has- Isn't that his girlfriend? Well, it's his partner and then they had four children and she didn't manage to tell the open eye people that she had two children with him. And obviously she was- That's not a conflict, Kara. She's like a spy in there, right? That's not a conflict. You might give that piece of information if you're in a beef with someone. If you're fiduciary for all shareholders making decisions around someone's compensation and you're having their children, that's just like- Yeah, yeah. She probably just forgot to mention it. She wasn't doing compensation. Anyway, so the whole thing and they're like going back and forth in this trial and I think this is a soap opera but the most boring people, most awful boring people in it. I'm like, I could give a fuck that whether Miram Arati likes Sam Altman or not, I don't care. I don't care. Like, oh, he was manipulative? I don't care. Like, what does that have to do with anything? Like honestly, you hear that of course about Sam being manipulative and telling one person, one thing and another. And as I'm reading it in the trial, I'm like, so? But is this illegal? Is he just a jerk or you didn't like him or he was deceptive? Did he do anything illegal? Because otherwise, your internal corporate hijinks, I don't care. I do think she should have told people she had his babies in my opinion. But the whole thing is like a bad soap opera that you want to like turn off. Like, and it's just bad for AI. It's bad for the companies and therefore he's going to do another deal like this. That's where we, that's why we're where we are. He's trying to glom himself onto a successful. Ron Wayne was one of the founders of Apple. He owned 10% of it. He sold his 10% for $2,300 back to I think jobs in Wozniak. That is now worth $400 billion. Yeah, he feels bad. And guess what? It sucks to be a grownup. He signed the legal documents. Private property, key to private property is when like Elon Musk and my favorite defense is oh, he didn't read the fine print. No please. He's the wealthiest man in the world with the most sophisticated legal team in history. But oh, he didn't read the fine print. I would like to, I would just love to see someone show up who sold, the guy who sold Tesla to Musk or the rights to it, I forget his name, show up and say, oh, I didn't realize it was going to be worth this much and I didn't read the fine print. Just to see how that goes over. Yeah, instead he's like, baby daddy. I'm like, come on, like stop it you people. And then the notion, these are the smartest people on our planet. They're trying to make, they're trying to make an emotional argument that he's trying, that I wanted it to be a nonprofit. And what did I do? Go on to found a for-profit AI company that arguably has less guardrails than any other AI company. A jury of actual people. I know. I think this is a great buy at 38%. I'll take the other side of this. I don't. Yeah, nobody likes these people. I have to say, Brockman came out of all these sort of loathsome people. I'm waiting for the Sam Altman testimony, but of all the people so far, Greg Brockman comes off the best. And I'm not a particular fan of his either, like the one that keeps notes of everything. So some of the highlights of the testimony, let's say emails from Zillis showing Musk suggested opening, I become part of Tesla potentially as a B Corp subsidiary. Musk tried to recruit Sam Altman to join the world-class AI lobby within Tesla, even offering him a board seat. They didn't had no interest, Sam Altman and Greg Brockman. Two days before the trial started, Musk tested Brockman asking if he was interested in settling the case. Musk supposedly wanted full control of open AI in part to help him raise $80 billion to colonize Mars and was using open AI employees to do secret work for Tesla. Open AI president said the Musk lack of understanding. This is Brockman. AI was a concern for the company. That was factual. When I heard that, I'm like, I get it. And open AI's former CTO, Mira Murati, was a very nice person. She testified saying she couldn't trust Sam Altman's words and saying he created chaos. Mira, I like you, but I don't care. Like then leave. Leave. Leave. None of this matters. Nothing matters. None of it, right? It's not who's a better person. It's not who would be a better shepherd of AI. It's contract law. I know. When you sell an asset, it doesn't matter who the bigger asshole is, the seller or the buyer. I know. He sold. He gave up his ownership and government rights. Baby daddy gave up his ownership. Baby daddy did. And the whole, immediate is trying to turn this into who would be better at running it. It doesn't fucking matter. Please don't follow along with what these people said. When you sell an asset, it doesn't matter who's the better person or steward of the home you sold. It is instructive to look how sloppy it is. I keep saying to people, they're like, oh, they're masters of the universe. I'm like, they're kind of sloppy. Google, everybody in the beginning of Google, they were all like fucking each other. And it was a big mess, and it was chaos, and they all hated each other. They liked each other. I could care less, right? That's the thing until professional management got in. Microsoft early on was like this, kind of a mess. But who cares? The fact that it's coming out in court just makes you realize how dumb and dumb, dumb, dumb this trial is, like how dumb it is. It's about money. It's all it is. This is, I sold something that ended up being worth $850 billion. Yeah, you're right. You're not sick of it. And it's, I'm the messiah who's going to put us on Mars who should control autonomous in the US, should control space. And oh, by the way, the one part of the technological revolution that I don't control and I can't seem to catch up in is AI. Just nursing his angry wound. Yeah. Six years after I've decided, oh, I need, I should own it. I need it back, or I need money back, or I need to get in the way of their progress so XAI can, I mean, pretty soon it's going to be, I don't know, I had a conversation with Dario Amade, I should own, you know, I should own Anthropics. It's ridiculous, these people. $80 billion to colonize Mars. That's what Elon, you have it, spend it and have a good time, have at it. Good luck, bye, take your children, go. We're thrilled for you, we're excited. We'll write a, we'll write a poem for you, like, when on your way out. In 19... So stupid. I think it was 1986, was it in 1986 or 1996? Mike Tyson at the peak of his career thought Marvis Frazier and knocked him out in the first 30 seconds. I think legally, Elon Musk is Marvis Frazier. I just think the guy... I don't even know what you're talking about. It's a boxing analogy. I don't like boxing because I don't like to see young men beating each other up like that. But if you want to talk, oh my gosh, whenever the reels come on of Mike Tyson's 10 greatest knockouts, Jesus Christ, I met him at a restaurant. Did you? Yeah, he came up to me with smoking. You didn't talk to him in the first place, I hope. Oh my, I was so scared of the guy, I just thought, be nice to him. Okay, one of the most dominant athletes of all time. Anyways, this is, this should and I believe will be a first round fucking knockout. And all this drama and all the media say, who would be better at opening? What happened? None of them. Who's fucking who? It's like when Iran and Iraq were out war, I used to say, I hope the bullets win. I don't, both... We don't care. I went on CNN and they asked me, who would be a better steward? It doesn't matter. None of them. It doesn't matter. The answer is none. Private capital and private property means it sucks to be a grown up and if you sell your house, it ends up being next to fucking Mark Zuckerberg and could be worth eight or 10 million right now. Okay, it's done. You sold it off. Let me make one final observation about these people. These are the richest people on earth and they're so manifestly unhappy. They just can't shut the fuck up. They can't stop fighting. They have so much money. None of them are qualified to run, be in charge of AGI. None of them. This is what this is showing. What tiny, petty, angry, unhappy people, they all are. Every single one of them and you're like, none of you deserve what you've got here. None of you has the dignity or character to look good and meanwhile, over the left, Dario Modi's sucking up all the attributes of goodness. I don't even trust him and I like him. It doesn't even matter at least people. Anyway, there's problems. There's a problem is we shouldn't have to trust these people. We should be able to elect representatives we can trust to do the right thing and regulate these companies. And then we can fire them easily. Anyway, let's go on a quick break. We come back. We'll talk about managing a stock portfolio via ChatGPT. Support for the show comes from Odoo. Running a business is hard enough. So why make it harder with a dozen different apps that don't talk to each other? Introducing Odoo. It's the only business software you'll ever need. It's an all-in-one fully integrated platform that makes your work easier. CRM, accounting, inventory, e-commerce and more. And the best part? Odoo replaces multiple expensive platforms for a fraction of the cost. That's why over thousands of businesses have made the switch. So why not you? Try Odoo for free at odoo.com. That's odoo.com. Canva helps you make that thing a thing. Canva is a simple online tool thing. It's a way to design with our magic AI tool things. You can social media your thing, generate images or videos of your thing, make decks for presentations to show your thing. Whatever needs to be done for your thing, Canva can make it an even better and bigger thing. Canva, the thing that makes anything a thing. Odoo for the show comes from Hostinger. Ever had an idea for a business or side hustle but never actually launched it? With Hostinger you can turn that idea into something real in minutes instead of weeks. Hostinger is an all-in-one platform that brings everything into one place. Your domain, website, email marketing, AI tools and AI agents. You can create websites, online stores and custom apps with simple prompts. Then, use AI agents to automate tedious tasks and grow your business. Go to hostinger.com slash vox to bring your idea online for under $3 a month. Plus, get an extra 20% off with promo code VOX. Scott, we're back with just one more quick story over the past few months. I'd love to know what you think of this. A Wall Street Journal reporter asked ChatGPT for investment advice to see if AI could really realistically manage a stock portfolio. It actually makes sense. Speaking of Anthropic, they just did an interesting deal where it would make decks and pitch decks and things like that. It's a company. I can't remember the name, but it's interesting though. ChatGPT, there's a lot of interesting smaller AI companies being made that actually sound useful so this is what the reporter did. ChatGPT generally identified market risk but also made simple math mistakes, suggested questionable market timing strategies and sometimes veered into overly complex ideas like options trading. The chatbot often told the user what they seem to want to hear highlighting a bigger concern that AI could sound confident and persuasive even when it's advice may be flawed or risky. Sounds like a lot of brokers I know. About 30% of everyday investors report using AI for their portfolios. So apparently not so good yet and in lots of really problematic ways. I mean, with a person you're looking at, you sort of have a sense when they're sort of trying to sell you something you don't want. I was curious, it's just like with law or medical, it's not there. It's not there and this personalized investment advice is just the latest wrinkle. I don't mind them making decks, pitch decks and things like that, but huge risk for lawsuits I would assume just the same with legal or medical or anything else. Any thoughts? Well, I think it was tempting to believe in the 90s you could use Lotus 1, 2, 3 to beat the market by doing all sorts of analysis and calculations and you might have had an edge for a minute. But what I would argue is that the individual thinking they can use, and I'm guilty of this. I've been asking Claude like crazy using co-work to come up with different options and hedging strategies and to identify stocks. I'm guilty of it. I love the markets. I like to gamble. It's my means of gambling. You do. That's why I'm asking you this. Yeah. But here's the bottom line or what I think. Ken Griffin will hire 2000 PhDs and he will weaponize them with AI and they will outperform the market. But you believing with your $20 a month Claude co-work weapon can compete against these folks? You are showing up with a very elegant squirrecon and they have a fucking howitzer. So this is what you do. You invest in low-cost ETFs like Vanguard and people who know and understand technology can use it, understand how to use AI. But this will further diminish or create or widen the delta between individual investors and institutional because institutional investors will have the capital. The bottom line is every time you place a trade, you got to keep in mind on the other side of that trade is likely somewhat smarter than you that has broader technology. So what you want to do in my view, unless you... I get a lot of psychic income around playing the market. So 30% of my net worth. You like doing it. I enjoy it. It's fun for me occasionally I have access to a deal that other people don't have access to so fine. But the retail investor would be better off finding low-cost ETFs where the management team there is really technically competent. That's what I do. That's what I do. I just put it in there. Exactly the right way to do it. I'm not interested in it. I know I could do slightly better if I'm a little smarter than most people and have a little more insight. You're smarter in an area that has nothing to do. That's done in Kruger. Be careful thinking that. No, what I mean is I have some thoughts on some things that I probed. I'm talking about the average bear, but I don't think I'm smarter than the market. Well, you understand technology. That's right. So I could be like, I wouldn't bet on this company. I would bet on this company. Not only earlier than other people, but I still wouldn't win. Still. The problem is people have emotions in the market, and you can't trust your emotions in the market. So when the stock gets cut in half, your emotion is to sell it because you can't take any more pain. That's probably when you should be buying more. And then you literally have Ken Griffin out there looking at all the trades and seeing where emotion is spiking or irrationally plummeting, and then moving in a millionth of a second and then moving out and absorbing millions of different data points. So you do not want to plan traffic here and believe that just because you're going to get up to the mound where a guy is pitching 105 miles an hour because you got a new aluminum bat that you think is going to, that you're going to be able to hit a home run, now you're going to get beamed in the face. So I do think AI is going to be a huge unlock and also it will compress margins because what will happen is financial advisors, unless they're really good and can go upstream into tax planning, a mediocre financial planner at your local bank, no, you could probably do almost as well using AI or better and save 1% a year. I remember when my mom passed away and I was looking at her estate, this guy was charging her one or 1.5% of her assets every year to put her in eight S&P stocks. I'm like, okay, that's just not that hard. Why are we paying you 1.5%? Right, yeah. So what I would say is, I think by the way, I think people should use AI to try and pick stocks. I just don't think they should buy them. I think it's fascinating to see the logic, to see what it comes back with, to start asking them more questions. I've been trying to figure out option strategies and I'm not going to strangle strategy. I'm learning a lot. Although sometimes you don't know if it's accurate, right? That's the issue. Some of it, the sycophanticness is still a problem because it's not going to challenge. I think the article says it's no more than having a smart assistant, right? They're no smarter than anything else and there's an assistant part which doesn't displease you and then it's just a smart person, but you're never going to have an edge with AI. You can normalize for that. There's a co-work feature in Anthropic where you ask this council of people, one's a cynic, one's an optimist, one is grounded in historical context, the other's like an analytical, unemotional person and all of these quote unquote agents look at your question and then they distill their answers up to a quote unquote chairman who distills it and gives you an answer back. You can also, I lead a lot of prompts with give me the brutal truth because I don't like, I hate it when it says to me, great question. The other thing you should do is, and I can't do this because I unsubscribe from chat GPT, you can beta test the same, do the exact same prompts somewhere else. I did that before I quit and I was on other things like show me a book title, show me a book cover. I got to say, Claude was hands down the best. It just was. It just was so clearly better. When you taste test things, you're like, oh, that tastes like shit and that's good, right? Or the coffee or something like that. But yeah, you're right. But anyway, it's very interesting. I mean, you should all try it out to see what happens and do one of those tests, but this was a great article in the journal and I think it showed that it's just doesn't, it's not as ready for prime time as they say. And about 30%, a third of retail investors are already using AI for their portfolios. And so everyone's looking for a shortcut, Scott. But this, one of the greatest grips I believe legal grips in corporate history was the financial advisor or institutional investors. And by the way, the majority of the grift has happened amongst the richest. Yeah, rich people like, rich people like to believe that they deserve something better. So they want to get into these really high profile, well marketed hedge funds they believe, oh, I have access to Alson or I have access to this, you know, D, Shah, whatever. Okay, fine. Guess what? If you added up all alternative investments and hedge fund returns for the last 50 years, they have underperformed the S&P by the amount of their fees. It's a, and some outperform Berkshire Hathaway has outperformed, my buddy at Anchorage Capital has outperformed, you know, I've another buddy at Mudrick Capital has outperformed, but generally speaking, over the long, medium and long term, they all underperform the market by their fees. By their fees. That's correct. And every piece of data analysis, if you go to the finance department at a world class university and ask them where they invest, they're like Vanguard. Me too. And they don't pick stocks. Do you know what I do? I put, I don't know, someone's like, how are you just talking to them? Like, I have no idea. And I, I'm not going to look until I need, and I don't really need the money. So I just, I'm like, I just put it there and then it goes away. It's like, it's like a bank at Gringotts. I don't care. Like, I, the more I think about it, the more upset I get, right? Like, what am I missing? What did I get wrong? Did I buy gold? Should I do this? And then I'm like, why am I that fucking person? It's a great point because in addition to the capital, you're investing, you want to talk about the emotion you're investing. And that is, I do get psychic income. You like it. You like it. I started buying stocks when I was 13. I worked at Morgan Stanley. I find it fascinating. I really do enjoy markets and it served me well. Having said that, it also takes a real emotional toll staring at your fucking phone. And then when you buy a stock and you're convinced you're a genius and it gets cut by 40% in two weeks after you buy it, you're really going to beat yourself up. You are. It's just, it's better not to pay attention. 100%. It is. And the other thing is, can I just say for people, again, if you like it and it's fun, that's one thing and it starts to get to an obsession, it's another. The only thing I wish you wouldn't do is put so much of your medical information into these people because they're not bound by HIPAA. Same thing with legal. I'm like, please don't. I mean, unless you find one of these ones that is bound by the same law as everybody else's, I just worry about that over time. What's that? Wait, is it a technician? Whenever you put a lot of your, you always like, oh, I load it up. Sometimes you don't even realize you're saying this to me. I put away all my medical thing into this and I was like, really? Not sure I trust these people to have all Scott's medical information. I'm very promiscuous with my information. You are. It makes me worry. I'll be honest with you. I think, oh dear, no, don't do that. Because do you think at some point they're going to get all of it and weaponize it against us? They're not, they could because they're not bound by HIPAA. They're not bound by legal things. And who knows if they had a security breach? I just am like, oh, I trust my lawyer because I can sue him. I trust my doctor because I can sue him. You know what I mean? Like, and they're bound by, sorry, anyway. Anyway. I wonder if I should just send out a preemptive apology to Angie Dickinson and Emily Radikowski right now. Why? Well, it's just all the things I've asked daily about. Oh no. Okay. We're moving on. We got to go. All right. All right, Scott. One more quick break. We'll be back for predictions. Support for the show comes from Odu. Running a business is hard enough. So why make it harder with a dozen different apps that don't talk to each other? Introducing Odu. It's the only business software you'll ever need. It's an all-in-one, fully integrated platform that makes your work easier. CRM, accounting, inventory, e-commerce and more. And the best part? Odu replaces multiple expensive platforms for a fraction of the cost. That's why over thousands of businesses have made the switch. So why not you? Try Odu for free at odu.com. That's odo.com. With the AI control tower, you see all your AI across the business in one place. What it's doing, what it's done, and what it's about to do. So you stay in control. To put AI to work for people, visit servicenow.com. Complex and unprecedented, the Spanish authorities are calling it. Passengers who'd been stuck aboard the Hanta or maybe Hantavirus-stricken Dutch cruise ship disembarked in the Canary Islands this weekend, prompting the highest stakes game of where are they now since maybe COVID? Some of the evacuees, American and French, have since tested positive for the virus. And yet public health officials seem remarkably calm. We do have one individual who was taken to the biocontainment unit early, early this morning. And we assess that individual. Possibly because this is not the one to freak out over. Today Explained drops every weekday afternoon. Okay, Scott, let's hear a prediction. Do you have a prediction for us? There was a really interesting story this week that I think kind of indicates or portends what might be in store for us around potential acquisitions. And I made a similar prediction a few years ago, but it didn't pan out. And that is a 32-year-old TikToker just crowdfunded $132 million in nonbinding pledges to buy a bankrupt Spirit Airlines. Did you see this? No, I didn't. He said, look, Spirit helps keep airline prices down. Let's do what we did with the Green Bay Packers and let's mutualize it. And he's very talented. And Spirit said it was going to shut down at 2 a.m. on Saturday. And this guy, Hunter Peterson, had a TikTok of the same day, a website for the next, and 6 million views within days. And more than a hunt, get this, Kara, more than 133,000 people have pledged on average about $1,000 each, totaling $132 million. And essentially what he's saying is that, okay, 20% of American adults paying the average Spirit fare of $30 to $40 equals enough to buy an airline. And they say, okay, let's try, it's unlikely to close. But the idea with an era of AI and compliance AI, where you could spin up the legal documents and have people sign them and with PayPal, I think you're going to see in the next 12 to 36 months, someone pulled us off, where they say, hey, who wants to buy Estee Lauder? Or who wants to buy, you know, they'll start with a small stock. It wouldn't be Estee Lauder because that's too big a company. But it'll start with a small company that goes out of business. They'll say, okay, Dick's Sporting, whatever it is. And someone talented who's very charismatic, who will weaponize social media and AI to collect legal pledges for funds and will buy something. I think crowdfunding is going to happen. And also retail participation in US equities has risen by nearly 20% of average daily trading volume, which by the way is usually a sell signal, up from low single digits before COVID. So it's like when everybody got it, one of those accounts. That's right. And rather than fading, retail flows hit fresh records in 2025. Because the stock market's up. Everyone's like, what am I missing? That's right. Everyone thinks they're a genius now. Everyone's like, oh, I'm okay. I like that. Why don't you do it? Why don't we buy something? Well, that's what I used to do for a living between 2000 and 2008. What are we trying all kinds of stunts? What could we buy? What would we buy? All kinds of stunts. Like Chipotle or something. Chipotle is expensive. Chipotle is expensive. I don't want to buy an airline. Do you know they send me, I used to tie, I was in the original. It's not the plot of Wall Street. They send me a card. This is the most impressed my sons have ever been with me. I got a card for free lifetime Chipotle and I sold it, or I didn't sell it. I've lost it. But I love Chipotle. Oh, you want one again? That's what this was about. Little call for help. I didn't get paid. They sent me a card. No, if they do it again, I want serious cabbage. Yeah. Yeah. I like that prediction. It's a really, really good prediction. By the way, I predict the government is going to lose that idiotic case against the New York Times about the hiring, the DEI, and then attacking the woman who did redistricting. These people make Chowchesku look kind. It's ridiculous. They're going after all their enemies with the FBI and they're attacking. Here's what I predict. It's going to end in tears for those people. They attack the New York Times for DEI in a lawsuit. Then they're going to use the Justice Department to try to get E. Jean Carroll's money that Trump owes her, the 83 million, which is insane. And then they attack the woman in the 82-year-old woman. They raided her off as to try to find corruption. This bad-ass lady in Virginia who did all the redistricting that kicked their ass. Then they are investigating the reporter for the Atlantic who no shit Sherlock did the story about Cashpatel being a drunk. Of course, she immediately answered it by showing off a bottle she bought on auction where Cashpatel gives out whiskey to people with his name on it, Woodford Reserve whiskey. No one's having any of this nonsense that they're doing. It's just so clod-ish and thuggish. None of it's going to work. That's my prediction. Can I just, again, help it. I agree with you. Private companies get to do what they want with that's none of the government's business. I'm my view unless it's, they're claiming a reverse racism. I think that I will say- Let the guy sue the New York Times. I don't care. A search warrant is not proof of guilt, but it is a serious threshold. Federal judges do not casually approve raids on senior state legislators. Why her? Why her? Because, well, okay, you could argue that the investigation, the fact that it was even launched this politicized, but a sitting federal judge, they do not issue- This is my high-profile corruption probe. They often look strongest at the raid stage and weaker later once the evidence is scrutinized publicly. Yeah, like with Patricia James, right? But to be fair to the other side, a search warrant is a, you know, it has to pass a serious threshold that a federal judge does not casually approve on senior state legislators. I understand that, but there's a reason they didn't pick 20 other Republican ones. This is what they do all the time. This is a weaponization of the power. They complained about it happening to them, and then they're doing it. So stop it. Just cut it out. Anyway, we want to hear from you. Send us your questions about Business Tech or whatever's on your mind. Go to nymag.com.pivot to submit a question for the show. We're called 85551 Pivot. Elsewhere in the Karen Scott Universe this week, Scott, ProfG Markets is going on tour this month. Tell us a little bit about it. It's kicking off May 27th. It's going to San Francisco, LA, Miami, Chicago, and New York. You go to ProfGMarketsTour.com for tickets. Tell us a tiny bit about this and why people should go. Well, thanks, Kara. It's similar to what we did with Pivot. It's a live tour. We have a bunch of great guests across different cities. It's interesting. It's interesting what sells out the quickest. New York and San Francisco, we were worried that San Francisco wouldn't like us because we're constantly ship-posting tech people, but New York and San Francisco are going to sell out in the next 24 hours. Anyways, it's just a live tour with me and Ed Elson. We sold out San Francisco first on Pivot. Was it Toronto and San Francisco? Oh, Toronto and Boston. We sold out Boston. We sold them all out fast, I'll be honest. LA happened to be a huge theater, so it took a little longer. It'll be after the show. It'll be a bunch of people coming up to me and asking me if Ed Elson is single because their daughter is looking for a nice husband. It's my Prophecy Markets live tour. Go to ProphecyMarketsTour.com. It's starting at the end of May and first week of June. Great. That's fantastic. We're going to be doing Pivot in the fall with another Pivot tour in the fall. You're going to be on the road, Scott Galloway. We're doing another tour? Yes, you know that. Do you know that? We are. I didn't know that, but I'm excited about it. You did know. We literally had a call about it. What's happening? We didn't have a call about another tour. We literally discussed it. We're having a tour in the fall. You were on the call. You weren't listening, but you were there. I don't remember. Where am I? Well, we're having one. Anyway, that's the show. Thanks for listening to Pivot and be sure to like and subscribe to our YouTube channel. We'll be back next week. Today's show is produced by Larry Neiman, Zoe Marcus-Taylor Griffin and Todd Weisman. Earn your time to do this episode. Rich Shibley edited the video. Thanks also to Jibros, Misvira, and Dan Chalon. You shot Coro's Vox Media's Executive Producer podcast. Make sure to follow Pivot on your favorite podcast platform. Thanks for listening to Pivot from New York Magazine and Vox Media. We'll be back next week for another breakdown of all things tech and business care. Have a great weekend. This is hard enough. So why make it harder with a dozen different apps that don't talk to each other? Introducing Odoo. It's the only business software you'll ever need. It's an all-in-one, fully integrated platform that makes your work easier. CRM, accounting, inventory, e-commerce, and more. And the best part? Odoo replaces multiple expensive platforms for a fraction of the cost. That's why over thousands of businesses have made the switch. So why not you? Try Odoo for free. At odoo.com. That's odoo.com. Support for the show comes from Odoo. Running a business is hard enough. So why make it harder with a dozen different apps that don't talk to each other? Introducing Odoo. It's the only business software you'll ever need. It's an all-in-one, fully integrated platform that makes your work easier. CRM, accounting, inventory, e-commerce, and more. And the best part? Odoo replaces multiple expensive platforms for a fraction of the cost. That's why over thousands of businesses have made the switch. So why not you? Try Odoo for free at odoo.com. That's odoo.com.