Business Wars

Spotify vs Apple Music | Dehumanizer | 2

43 min
Apr 8, 202611 days ago
Listen to Episode
Summary

This episode chronicles Spotify's decade-long battle with Apple over music streaming dominance, from Apple Music's 2015 launch through Spotify's eventual victory in 2025. The narrative covers key competitive moments including Taylor Swift's artist payment controversy, Spotify's Discover Weekly innovation, the company's IPO, antitrust complaints, and Apple's attempted obstruction of court orders. By 2026, Spotify emerges as the world's largest music streamer with 300 million paying subscribers versus Apple Music's 100 million.

Insights
  • Platform control and ecosystem lock-in can be temporarily overcome through regulatory intervention and public pressure, but companies will persistently seek loopholes to protect revenue streams
  • Data-driven product features (like Discover Weekly) can create stronger competitive moats than exclusive content deals when they improve user engagement and retention
  • Narrative framing in regulatory battles matters as much as legal facts—Spotify's 'referee and player' argument simplified complex antitrust issues for public and regulators
  • Companies with diversified revenue streams can reset markets overnight by bundling premium features for free, making carefully crafted competitor pricing strategies obsolete
  • Long-term profitability often requires difficult trade-offs: Spotify achieved $1B+ profits only after laying off 20% of staff and raising prices twice in two years
Trends
Regulatory pressure on Big Tech app store practices is shifting competitive dynamics in digital services marketsAI-generated music flooding streaming platforms poses an existential threat to traditional music licensing economicsMusic streaming services are diversifying into podcasts, audiobooks, and physical books due to unsustainable licensing cost structures (70% of revenue to labels)Antitrust enforcement in EU is more aggressive than US, making Brussels a more favorable venue for challenging Big Tech dominanceFreemium models with large free user bases create strategic advantages in subscriber conversion but complicate profitability timelinesPersonalization algorithms and machine learning are becoming primary product differentiation factors in commoditized servicesPrice increases in streaming services are approaching consumer resistance thresholds after years of $9.99 standard pricingCourt-ordered compliance remedies require ongoing judicial oversight as companies find creative ways to circumvent rulings
Topics
Companies
Spotify
Swedish music streaming startup that battles Apple Music for market dominance, eventually becoming world's largest mu...
Apple
Tech giant that launches Apple Music in 2015 and uses App Store control to restrict Spotify's ability to compete on iOS
Apple Music
Apple's music streaming service launched in 2015 as strategic component of broader content subscription ecosystem
Beats
Headphones manufacturer acquired by Apple to fast-track Apple Music launch and gain music industry credibility
Epic Games
Fortnite developer that sued Apple over App Store practices, creating legal precedent benefiting Spotify
Tidal
Music streaming competitor that charged premium prices for lossless audio before Apple made it free
YouTube
Music streaming alternative that pays significantly less per stream than Spotify or Apple Music
iTunes
Apple's digital music store that was disrupted by streaming services, demonstrating market shift from downloads
Audible
Audiobook platform and podcast distributor that produces and sponsors this Business Wars episode
European Commission
EU regulatory body that investigates Apple's antitrust violations and fines the company $2 billion in 2024
People
Taylor Swift
Publicly rebuked Apple Music for not paying artists during free trial, forcing Apple to reverse policy
Jimmy Iovine
Apple Music executive who negotiated artist payment terms with Taylor Swift's record label
Tim Cook
Apple CEO who authorized paying artists during free trial and later approved 27% commission on external payments
Eddie Q
Apple executive who negotiated with Taylor Swift's label over artist payment rates
Scott Borchetta
Head of Taylor Swift's record label who negotiated payment terms with Apple on behalf of the artist
Daniel Ek
Spotify founder who led company through IPO, antitrust battles, and eventual profitability; stepped back to executive...
Martin Lorenzen
Spotify co-founder who became multi-billionaire after company's 2018 IPO
Luca Maestri
Apple CFO who proposed 27% commission on external payments to protect App Store revenues
Philip Schiller
Apple executive who questioned legality of 27% commission fee in response to court ruling
Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers
Federal judge who ruled against Apple's app store practices, ordered compliance, and later referred Apple for crimina...
David Brown
Narrator and host of the Business Wars podcast episode
Tristan Donovan
Writer and producer of the Spotify vs Apple Music episode
Quotes
"Well, yes she does. She's saying people should get paid for their work. It's hard to argue against that. Well, then we should pay."
Jimmy Iovine and Tim CookJune 21, 2015 - Apple Music launch crisis
"Apple is both the owner of the iOS platform and its app store, and a competitor to services like Spotify. They've set themselves up as both referee and player in the world of audio streaming."
Daniel EkMarch 2019 - Berlin competition law conference
"Sometimes the most powerful tool isn't a product, it's data. And the kind of evidence Spotify just gathered changes the conversation, not just in the boardroom, but potentially in the courtroom."
Narrator2018 - Android experiment results
"I strongly believe that we should charge a commission on transactions made externally. It's the best way to protect our revenues. We should set it at 27%."
Luca MaestriJuly 2023 - Apple executive meeting
"It's taken almost a decade, but Spotify is finally free of Apple's cage."
NarratorApril 2025 - Court ruling on external payments
Full Transcript
Audible subscribers can listen to all episodes of Business Wars ad-free right now. Join Audible today by downloading the Audible app. It's June 21st, 2015. In nine days, Apple Music will go live. But right now, the launch is in crisis. Earlier this morning, pop star Taylor Swift publicly rebuked Apple because it doesn't plan to pay artists for music streamed by users during Apple Music's three-month free trial. Her criticism spread quickly online, threatening Apple Music's attempt to brand itself as the more artist-friendly alternative to Spotify. Inside his Southern California home, Apple Music creative consultant Jimmy Iovine joins an urgent call with Apple executive Eddie Q and CEO Tim Cook. Q brings Cook up to speed. Taylor's criticism is getting a lot of traction. This risks becoming the entire narrative around Apple Music. Okay, Jimmy, does she have an argument? Well, yes she does. She's saying people should get paid for their work. It's hard to argue against that. Well, then we should pay. You two figure out how much. 10 minutes later in Nashville, Tennessee, Scott Borchetta, the head of Swift's record label, answers Iovine's call. Hey, Jimmy. Hi, Scott. I've got Eddie Q here with me. Hey, Eddie. Sorry about the noise. I'm at a pool party. This is about Taylor's Tumblr post. Yeah, Apple wants to do the right thing here. So how do we resolve this? Well, Eddie, the good news is you haven't launched Apple Music yet, so you can still fix it. Uh-huh. So what's the right rate per stream? Bear in mind we're getting zero revenue from users during the first three months. Well, you know what Spotify pays. Q does just over a half a cent for every song streamed on average. Beat that. A few hours later, Q makes peace with Swift by agreeing to pay for song stream during Apple Music's free trial. Exactly how much they agree to pay isn't made public. Some reports say it's just a fifth of a cent per stream, well below Spotify's average. But after the trial period ends, Apple Music averages one cent per stream, almost double what Spotify pays. Either way, Apple Music's costs quickly skyrocket. It will now take even longer for the service to recoup the cost of recruiting each new subscriber. But Apple can afford that hit. It has more than $150 billion in the bank. And there's simply too much at stake for Apple to do anything else. Apple was caught napping by the rise of music streaming. Now it's racing to catch up with Spotify. Apple Music is also the first step in a much larger strategy, launching a whole suite of content subscription services designed to keep people within Apple's ecosystem and buying its hardware. In other words, Apple Music is strategically vital. And Apple is determined to make it a triumph. Even if that means busting budgets, breaking antitrust laws, and failing to comply with a court order. From Audible Originals, I'm David Brown, and this is Business Wars. In the last episode, Swedish startup Spotify overcame skeptical music executives to make music streaming a reality. But now, with Spotify eroding iTunes market share, Apple is muscling in. The American tech giant has already acquired headphones manufacturer Beats to fast-track the launch of Apple Music. But while Apple prepares to strike back, Spotify is dreaming up new tricks. This is Episode 2, Dehumanizer. It's a Monday morning in 2015. In Spotify's Manhattan office, a marketing employee fires up the Spotify app on her computer and slips on her headphones, ready to focus on the report she needs to finish. When the homepage loads, something catches her eye. A playlist she's never seen before. It's called Discover Weekly. It has 30 songs, none of which she's heard before, but they all seem to fit with her taste for Gothic Metal. Intrigued, she clicks shuffle. And that's when she notices the playlist's description. It explains that Discover Weekly is a new feature being tested internally, and its aim is to brighten users Monday mornings with a personalized playlist tailored to their musical tastes. The inspiration for Discover Weekly had come several months earlier, during Spotify's annual year-in-music marketing campaign in late 2014. Usually, the campaign simply recapped what people had listened to that year, but this time, Spotify added something new. Along with their listening statistics, users received a playlist called Play It Forward, a collection of songs Spotify's recommendation algorithms thought they'd enjoy based on their listening history. From a technical perspective, it was straightforward to create. Spotify had already built a music recommendation engine for its Discover page. The company just repackaged those recommendations as a playlist, as an end-of-the-year treat for users. And the results? Surprised everyone? Four million users listened to Play It Forward, far more than Spotify ever imagined. And that sparked an idea. Spotify's Discover page had never been popular. Few users bothered to wade through its album selections to find new tunes. But by presenting the same information in the familiar form of a playlist, it caused engagement to spike. By reusing its existing infrastructure in a creative way, the company struck gold, and Spotify is eager to capitalize on it in an even bigger way. In an even bigger way. So, during an internal hack day, a team of three engineers start a project to give users a personalized playlist every Monday morning. When the first test launches, Discover Weekly goes viral with Spotify's employees. Almost 80% of those who try it keep listening week after week. But the team knows better than to trust that result because Spotify employees aren't normal users. For them, Spotify is front of mind in a major part of their lives. But customers? Not so much. The average user doesn't spend their days thinking about Spotify. So while employee tests are cheap and sometimes valuable, they can be misleading, as the results don't always reflect real world behavior. So, Spotify runs a second test. It gives 1% of its users access to Discover Weekly. And this test confirms that its personalized playlist is as sticky as glue. In July 2015, less than a month after Apple Music's launch, Spotify rolls Discover Weekly out to all of its 75 million users. The feature quickly becomes one of the most beloved parts of the service. Within the first six months, Discover Weekly generates 1.7 billion streams and bolsters user engagement. It also introduces emerging artists to millions of listeners, helping to ignite the careers of acts like Halsey, Turnstile and Borns. Discover Weekly also highlights a growing divide between Spotify and Apple Music. Spotify is leaning into data and machine learning to personalize the user experience. But Apple is betting on the human touch. Now this isn't just product differentiation, it's philosophy. Apple is betting that people still matter when it comes to musical discovery. Businesses often talk about features, but the deeper battle often comes down to worldview. And companies that win tend to pick a philosophy and push it relentlessly. By the end of 2015, Apple Music is approaching 10 million subscribers. Spotify is still far ahead with 28 million subscribers. But Apple has achieved its numbers in just six months, whereas it took Spotify six years to achieve similar results. A big reason is Apple's hardware advantage. Every iOS device now comes with Apple Music pre-installed. It also has a price advantage. Apple Music costs $9.99 a month. So does Spotify, except if you pay through its iOS app, where Spotify costs $3 more. That's because Apple charges Spotify and other app developers a 30% commission on in-app purchases, including subscriptions. Here's the price of entry to Apple's ecosystem. Spotify refuses to absorb this cost, so it passes the fee onto customers who subscribe through its iOS app. Technically, Apple users can still subscribe at Spotify's standard price if they sign up on the Swedish company's website. But few know this, because Apple's rules prevent apps from directing users to alternative payment systems. Apple says this protects customers from fraud, but Spotify and other app developers say it's really about protecting Apple's revenue. Faced with the growing threat from Apple Music, Spotify decides it can't live with this arrangement any longer. In May 2016, it removes the option to subscribe through its iOS app. Then, it tries to update the app so users can request an email explaining how to subscribe elsewhere. Just as Spotify expected, Apple blocks the update. And armed with this refusal, Spotify's lawyers start preparing to sue Apple for monopolistic behavior. But while Spotify secretly prepares its legal arguments, Apple Music starts signing exclusive deals with major artists. It reportedly pays $19 million to make Drake's new album, Views, exclusive to the service for several weeks. It strikes similar deals for new albums from Dr. Dre in Frank Ocean. Spotify refuses to respond in kind. The company doesn't want to deepen its losses by paying huge sums to top artists. Besides, it's not sure that big-name artists will move the dial as much as Apple believes. Behind the scenes, Spotify is experimenting with a different strategy. The company is populating its official playlists with songs created by background music suppliers who charge less than the major labels. These tracks are cheaper because they're created by musicians for a one-time fee. This means the musicians aren't owed any ongoing royalties, so the companies that hired them are willing to charge Spotify less per stream than most artists. The move horrifies some of Spotify's playlist editors who see these songs as junk filler, the equivalent of patting out a sausage with cereal grains to save money on meat. But executives ignore the objections. Using cheaper songs will increase the company's profit margins, and they believe most users won't notice or won't care. And often, users don't notice because these tracks are frequently credited to fake artists with fictional biographies. Soon, songs like Polar Circle by Ekfat are getting millions of listens. Ekfat's biography claims he's a classically trained Icelandic beatmaster. In reality, he doesn't even exist. When Spotify's strategy is exposed publicly, it sparks controversy and reinforces the perception that Spotify underpays artists. Estimates suggest Spotify pays an average of .4 cents per stream, significantly less than Apple's .7 cents. But Spotify does pay out more overall because of its larger user base. It also pays far more than YouTube, which is estimated to pay less than a tenth of a cent per stream. Spotify's embrace of these filler tracks is part of a broader attempt to improve its finances. The company is still losing eye-watering sums of money in its ongoing quest to scale, which means it needs two things, more capital and a way for its early investors to cash out. The solution is obvious. It's time to go public. Before it's listing to go well, Spotify needs to get into better financial shape. Padding out playlists with cheaper tracks is just one tactic. The company is also using promotional offers to convert more free users into paying subscribers and upgrading its accounting practices to better manage costs and cash flow. It's also trying to reduce how much of its revenue goes to the music industry. When Spotify started, it had little leverage and was forced to accept the major labels terms in order to get music licenses. But now, those labels need Spotify just as much as Spotify needs them. Music downloads are fading. The future is streaming. For years, Spotify has paid 85% of its revenue to the music industry. Now, it wants to cut this down to 75%. You might expect the music companies to refuse point blank. But there's a complication. They aren't just Spotify's suppliers. They're also shareholders. Together, the major labels own 10% of Spotify, which means they're in line for a windfall worth billions if Spotify's stock market launch goes well. So, they agree to let Spotify pay less. It's March 2018 and in Manhattan, Spotify CEO Daniel Eck is charming Wall Street analysts. Spotify is about to list on the New York Stock Exchange and Eck is here to build excitement ahead of the debut. And he's no longer the young scruffy entrepreneur either. He's now 35, bald and exuding confidence. Over the next two hours, he and his team hype their business for the analysts. Spotify now has nearly 160 million users, including 71 million paying subscribers. And the company's revenues are just shy of $5 billion a year. Even so, it's still deeply unprofitable. In 2017 alone, Spotify lost more than $460 million. But Eck sells this as an investment in the future. He argues that Spotify shouldn't be viewed as a mature 12-year-old business. Instead, it's a company that's just getting started. Spotify has yet to launch in India, Russia and Africa. Eck predicts that in time, as many as three billion people will subscribe to music streaming services. But reaching profit will take time. Whenever Spotify converts a free user into a paying subscriber, it takes 12 months to recoup the cost of acquiring that customer. Only after that does the user become a source of profit. In other words, profitability will come with scale. And patience. A few days later, Spotify shares begin trading on the New York Stock Exchange. There's no bell ringing, champagne or confetti. Eck and his co-founder Martin Lorenzen don't even show up. The only hints that a tech firm worth $25 billion is going public are a few signs on the trading floor. And a Swiss flag flying outside the building, raised by a stock market employee who mistook it for the Swedish flag. It's an understated debut, very much in keeping with the company's Swedish roots. But there's nothing low-key about the money being made. Eck and Lorenzen are now multi-billionaires. Combined, the major record labels now own Spotify stock worth around $3 billion. It's a hell of a payday. But there's a shadow looming over it, because Apple Music is growing fast. Fast enough to threaten Spotify's position as the number one music streamer in the U.S. But Eck's not sweating yet. Because as a newly public company, Spotify now has easy access to plenty of capital. And more importantly, he's ready to launch an all-out attack. Not just against Apple Music, but against Apple's entire business model. It's 2018, and all over the world millions of Spotify users are being turned into unwitting assistants in a plot to strike back at Apple. In the United States, Western Europe, Brazil, Mexico, and Australia, the owners of Android devices are quietly being served different versions of the Spotify app. On the surface, the four versions all look the same. But each one offers a different path for upgrading from a free user to a paying subscriber. One version lets people subscribe directly inside the app, just like the regular Android experience. Another sends users to an online checkout outside the app. A third tells people to go to Spotify's website to subscribe. And finally, there's the fourth version, the one that replicates the Apple device experience. In that version, users can't subscribe in the app and receive no information about how to do it elsewhere. Spotify wants to measure how these different pathways affect the chances that a free user converts into a paying one. And the results confirm exactly what the company long suspected. Apple's rules reduce the likelihood that people will subscribe to Spotify. But now, for the first time, they can put a figure to it. Apple's restrictions are reducing signups for Spotify subscriptions by 20%. And that translates into millions of lost customers on iOS. You know, sometimes the most powerful tool isn't a product, it's data. And the kind of evidence Spotify just gathered changes the conversation, not just in the boardroom, but potentially in the courtroom. It's another piece of compelling evidence for Spotify's legal team. Ever since Spotify stopped offering subscriptions through its iOS app in 2016, the company's lawyers have been assembling a case. And now, the data from their Android user experiments shows how Apple is using its position to hurt Spotify and leave millions of consumers confused about their options. It's bad for Spotify and bad for listeners. Spotify wants the right to let users buy subscriptions without Apple taking a cut. And it hopes this evidence will persuade antitrust regulators to force Apple to change its ways. In March 2019, Spotify files a formal antitrust complaint against Apple with the European Commission in Brussels. The company did consider making its complaint to US regulators, but it found a reluctance in Washington to challenge Apple's power. In comparison, the European Commission had already proven it's a good deal. It's willingness to fight Apple in a major dispute over Irish tax breaks. There was also a lingering feeling that, as a Swedish company, Spotify would get a more favorable hearing in Brussels than in DC. Spotify's filing accuses Apple of limiting competition and consumer choice in order to give its own music service an unfair advantage. It argues that Apple's policy of taking a 30% cut of subscription payments is an unfair tax, one that forces Spotify to charge more than Apple music. It also details how Apple blocked its app upgrades and restricts its ability to communicate with Spotify users. A few days later in Berlin, Spotify CEO Daniel Etk takes the stage at a conference on competition law and turns his speech into a rallying cry. Apple is both the owner of the iOS platform and its app store, and a competitor to services like Spotify. In theory, this is fine, but in Apple's case, they continue to give themselves an unfair advantage at every turn. The words, Apple isn't playing fair, appear on the screen behind him. They've set themselves up as both referee and player in the world of audio streaming. We have to make a choice. Do we want a few select dominant players to have the power to strong arm others and tax the rest of the ecosystem, taking away the ability for smaller companies to effectively compete? Or do we want a healthy ecosystem where real competition flourishes and where consumer choice wins? It might be strange to see the CEO of a $25 billion corporation with a rep for underpaying musicians, casting itself as the underdog. But Apple is 35 times bigger than Spotify. In this showdown, Spotify is a house cat swearing up against a leopard. But you see what Daniel X doing here, right? He's not just fighting Apple in court. He's fighting them in the court of public opinion. By framing Apple as both referee and player, he's turned a complicated antitrust argument into something anyone can understand. This is why your story matters. The narrative you tell regulators, journalists, and customers can matter almost as much as the facts themselves. Apple's response to Spotify's attack is no less aggressive. In a statement, it accuses Spotify of wanting all the benefits of its App Store ecosystem without contributing anything in return. It insists it only blocked Spotify app updates when the Swedish company tried to break the rules. Apple also seizes the moment to remind people that Spotify is making ever smaller payouts to musicians and songwriters. It points out that Spotify is suing to stop the U.S. Copyright Royalty Board from forcing it to pay more to music creators. Apple ends its statement by declaring that Spotify is a company trying to make money off of other people's work by squeezing artists and Apple alike. But for the moment, Apple Music looks anything but squeezed. Just one month after Spotify filed its complaint with the European Commission, Apple Music overtakes Spotify in the U.S. Apple Music now has more than 28 million American subscribers, two million more than Spotify. But Spotify's free tier means it's still the most popular streaming service in the U.S. And globally, it's far ahead of Apple Music. But it's once dominant position, no longer looks so secure. The two rivals battle becomes a non-stop rumble as they try to outflank each other with new features. Apple launches a web player so subscribers can listen on their work computers. Then, it introduces Replay, its answer to Spotify's hugely popular year-end roundup wrapped. But unlike wrapped, Apple's Replay Playlists update continuously all year long, becoming a time capsule of each listener's musical history. Apple also introduces real-time lyrics for those wanting to sing along. Spotify quickly copies that feature. Both companies also step up their international expansion in a race to capture listeners. Spotify launches in India with a heavy focus on its free tier. Apple Music makes a major push into African countries. In February 2021, Spotify announces a new plan to gain an edge over Apple Music, a super premium subscription tier called Hi-Fi. It will be the company's most expensive option, aimed at audio files who want high-fidelity, lossless playback. And it's set to launch by the end of the year. But just three months later, Apple Music reigns on its parade. It adds lossless audio and Dolby Atmos spatial audio to its service, at no extra cost. It's a might drop moment. Spotify's plans are totally derailed. Until now, music streaming services like Tidal had charged more for superior audio quality. But Apple's decision to give it away for free instantly reduces the added value of lossless audio to zero. It also beats the intended launch date of Spotify's Hi-Fi tier by months. See, this is one of the brutal realities of competing with a company that has multiple revenue streams. When profit from one product is an essential, a giant can reset the market overnight. And when that happens, carefully crafted pricing strategies can vanish with a single announcement. By the end of the year, all 90 million tracks on Apple Music are available to stream in lossless audio. And Spotify's Hi-Fi tier is still missing in action. Eventually, four years later, Spotify gives its regular subscribers lossless audio for no extra cost. But while Apple scores victories on the features front, it's losing the battle over its App Store rules. It's April 2021. And in Brussels, there's good news for Spotify coming out of the European Commission. Today, the Commission has sent a statement of objection to Apple. Our preliminary conclusion is that Apple abused its dominant position for the distribution of music streaming apps through its App Store and distorted competition in the music streaming markets. Apple is now on notice. The European Commission's preliminary findings are that the company violated antitrust laws. Apple still has time to make a counter argument, but if the Commission ultimately confirms this finding, the penalties could be enormous. Under EU competition laws, Apple could be fined as much as 10% of its annual global revenue. And a few months later, Apple suffers another legal defeat that plays into Spotify's hands. In the U.S. District Court of Northern California, Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers delivers her ruling in an antitrust fight between Apple and Epic, the makers of the hit video game Fortnite. She sides with Apple on most points, but does rule that Apple's ban on app makers telling users about alternate payment options outside of iOS is anti competitive. And she orders Apple to remedy the situation. If this decision survives the inevitable appeals, that will benefit Spotify too. After years of being stymied by Apple, the scales of justice seem to be tilting in Spotify's favor. Soon the company might have a better chance of convincing iOS owners to subscribe to its service instead of Apple music. But Spotify shouldn't celebrate too early, because Apple has no intention of surrendering control that easily. It's July 2023, and at Apple's futuristic Frisbee shaped headquarters in Cupertino, California, CEO Tim Cook and other senior executives are weighing how to respond to the U.S. District Court's ruling. The court has ordered Apple to allow iOS app developers to direct users to external payment systems. But if users take that option, Apple will lose its cut from those transactions. So now the company is searching for ways to make those external payment options as unattractive as possible. Cook and his executives have already discussed restricting how external payment links look inside apps. Instead of colorful buttons, developers will only be allowed to use plain links that are less eye-catching. And every time a user clicks on an external payment link, they'll see a warning message about potential security risks to try and put them off of proceeding any further. But Apple isn't just trying to deter customers from using alternatives to its payment system. Chief Financial Officer Luca Maestri tells his colleagues that his team has an additional idea. I strongly believe that we should charge a commission on transactions made externally. It's the best way to protect our revenues. We should set it at 27%. It'll cost developers at least 3% to process each transaction. Add that to our commission, and external payments will become more expensive compared to our system. Apple Store Boss Philip Schiller interjects, he's the only person in this room who has read the entire court ruling. Well, I'm not sure charging a commission fee is the right response here. It feels out of line with the court's decision. The court wanted us to let developers link to an external payment system, right? We're doing that. A commission fee is the best way to reduce our financial risk, especially when no fee is the alternative. Even so, we're looking at a reduction in App Store revenues. Uh, still, I feel this is at odds with the ruling. Tim, where do you stand on this? Cook adjusts his glasses, then replies. There's a lot of revenue at stake. We should introduce the commission fee. The decisions made. Apple is going to let Spotify, Epic and other app developers direct iOS users to external payment systems. But it will make the process so challenging, unappealing and uneconomical that few developers and even fewer users will ever take up this option. But while Apple is busy protecting its app store revenues, another problem is squeezing the music streaming industry. Inflation in the aftermath of the COVID pandemic costs are spiking everywhere, and both Spotify and Apple are under pressure to raise their prices. In October, 2022, Apple Music blinks first. It increases its monthly subscription by $1, bringing the total to $10.99. But Spotify doesn't follow suit. It chooses to keep its price at $9.99. It hopes that by holding out, it will pick up more subscribers. Besides, higher prices don't benefit Spotify as much as people might assume. Almost 70% of any extra revenue it gets goes straight into the pockets of record labels and music publishers. Spotify sticks to its price point for nine months, before it caves to inflationary pressure and raises its prices to match Apple Music's. But the gamble largely pays off. Spotify ends 2023 on a high note, having recruited a record number of new subscribers, 31 million in a single year. It now has almost 240 million paying subscribers worldwide, more than twice as many as Apple Music. Then, in March 2024, the European Commission hands Spotify another win. After four years of investigations and hearings, the Commission concludes that Apple broke antitrust laws by restricting Spotify's ability to compete. It estimates this costs Spotify more than 3 million potential subscribers. And as a punishment, the Commission finds Apple $2 billion. Spotify's wins don't stop there either. In 2024, after 16 long years of losses, the company finally becomes profitable. And its profits are huge, exceeding $1 billion. But this profit breakthrough came with a cost. To get there, the company laid off nearly 20% of its workforce. It also rung more out of its subscribers by increasing its price by $1 for the second time in two years, a move that now makes Spotify more expensive than Apple Music. But while Spotify thrives, Apple is back in court. It's April 2025, and in California, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzales-Rodgers is furious. Four years have passed since she ordered Apple to let app developers direct consumers to purchasing systems outside the iOS platform. She thought the case was wrapped. Instead, it's boomeranged right back into her courtroom. And that's because Apple tried to undermine her ruling. But now, Apple's subterfuge is laid bare. The 27% commission charge designed to eliminate any savings from external purchasing systems. The security warnings intended to frighten users from following external links. Apple CEO Tim Cook's decision to put revenue before compliance with the court and testimony from an Apple vice president that the judge concludes was false under oath. And now, Judge Gonzales-Rodgers is going to make Apple pay. In a new ruling, she declares she will refer the matter for criminal investigation for contempt of court. She also revises her original decision, tightening the legal language to strip Apple of its ability to dictate how app developers communicate external payment systems to users. Spotify seizes the moment. The day after the ruling, it submits an update of its iOS app to Apple. In this new version, Spotify users will be offered a clear and simple way to subscribe without having to use the app store payment system. And this time, Apple approves the change. It's taken almost a decade, but Spotify is finally free of Apple's cage. Five months later, in September 2025, Spotify co-founder Daniel Ek announces he's stepping back from the CEO role to become the company's executive chairman. He says he wants to focus on long-term strategy rather than day-to-day operations. It's now approaching 20 years since he started the business. Back then, in a world of downloads, piracy, and hostile music executives, his chances of success seemed slim. The idea that a Swedish startup could take on Apple and win was almost unimaginable. But now, Ek is 42 with a net worth of almost $10 billion. And Spotify is the world's biggest music streamer. More than 750 million people use Spotify every month. And close to 300 million of them are paying subscribers. Apple Music lags behind with around 100 million subscribers. And it's no longer the leader of the pack in the US either. Recent estimates suggest Spotify has 50 million US subscribers versus Apple's 42 million. Spotify is so confident in its position that in January 2026, it hiked its prices for the third time in under three years. Its individual subscription now costs $12.99 a month, $2 more than Apple Music. But few expect this will damage Spotify's position. Spotify once had to dance to the major label's tune. Now, it towers above them. Musicians continue to gripe about how little it pays per stream. But few listeners seem to care. The question now is, can Spotify be toppled? History suggests it's possible. Once upon a time, iTunes looked unbeatable. But Apple fumbled its grip on the music industry when it hesitated to embrace streaming. And technological shifts are happening again. Artificial intelligence is threatening to upend music, already flooding platforms with AI-generated songs. Will bot music deliver the next wave of growth? Or will it become a title wave that drives listeners to new platforms? Maybe AI won't be a big deal. Maybe the bigger problem lies in music streaming itself. For years, Spotify has been trying to diversify by moving into podcasts, audiobooks, and most recently, physical books. And that's in part because music licensing is costly. No matter how big Spotify gets, it can't unlock many economies of scale because it still has to pay 70% of its revenue to record labels and music publishers. And Spotify knows this issue is less of a concern for rivals. Sure, these companies want their music streaming operations to be profitable. But it's not the only way these services can add value to their businesses. But whatever's next, this time around, few are going to bet against ECH. So, follow Business Wars on the Audible app or wherever you get your podcasts. You can listen to all episodes of Business Wars ad-free by joining Audible. From Audible Originals, this is episode two of Spotify versus Apple Music for Business Wars. A quick note about the recreations you've been hearing. In most cases, we can't know exactly what was said. Those scenes are dramatizations, but they're based on research. If you'd like to read more, we recommend this Spotify play by Sven Carlson and Jonas Leonhufet and after Steve by Tripp Mikkel. I'm your host, David Brown. Tristan Donovan of Yellow Ant wrote and produced this story. Our senior producers are Jenny Bloom and Emily Frost. Karen Lowe is our producer emeritus. Our managing producer is Desi Blaylon, fact-checking by Gabrielle Drolet, sound design by Kyle Randall. Executive producer for Audible, Jenny Lauer Beckman. Head of Creative Development at Audible, Kate Naven. Head of Audible Originals North America, Marshall Louis. Chief Content Officer, Rachel Gheatsa. Copyright 2026 by Audible Originals, LLC. Sound Recording Copyright 2026 by Audible Originals, LLC. Audible Originals North America, Marshall Louis.