WSJ What’s News

Trump Administration Ends Its Immigration Surge in Minnesota

12 min
Feb 12, 20262 months ago
Listen to Episode
Summary

The Trump administration ended its immigration enforcement surge in Minnesota after facing backlash over chaotic operations and citizen deaths. The episode also covers spreading financial stress among middle-class Americans, stock market declines driven by AI concerns, and tight corporate bond spreads indicating strong investor demand.

Insights
  • Immigration enforcement operations face political limits when they generate high-profile incidents and bipartisan criticism, forcing policy reversals despite claimed success metrics
  • Financial distress is moving upstream from low-income to middle-class households, with credit counseling clients now averaging $70,000 income and using debt for survival rather than discretionary spending
  • Corporate bond markets remain resilient despite AI bubble concerns, with investors prioritizing tech company bonds due to expected Fed rate cuts and relative yield advantages globally
  • Housing market recovery remains fragile, with winter weather and sustained high mortgage rates (6%+) creating buyer hesitation despite spring season typically driving demand
  • The Trump administration is conducting covert operations to support anti-regime activities internationally, including smuggling Starlink terminals into Iran for protest support
Trends
Middle-class financial stress accelerating as cost-of-living pressures force households to prioritize survival spending over discretionary purchasesCorporate bond demand outpacing supply despite AI disruption concerns, suggesting investor confidence in tech sector fundamentals and Fed policy expectationsImmigration enforcement policy becoming politically untenable when operational incidents generate bipartisan criticism and local economic damageHousing market volatility driven by persistent mortgage rate floors above 6% and elevated home prices limiting buyer pool expansionAI market concerns spreading beyond tech stocks to impact broader equity markets and investor risk assessment across software and financial services sectorsFederal government funding uncertainty creating delayed urgency due to staggered federal worker pay cycles and partial departmental funding already securedCovert digital infrastructure operations becoming part of U.S. foreign policy toolkit for supporting anti-regime movements
Topics
Immigration Enforcement Policy ReversalMiddle-Class Financial Stress and DebtCredit Card and Mortgage DelinquenciesAI Market Bubble ConcernsCorporate Bond Market DynamicsHousing Market Decline and RecoveryFederal Government Funding CrisisDepartment of Homeland Security Shutdown RiskAntitrust Enforcement Leadership VacuumMortgage Rates and Home AffordabilityTech Company Bond IssuanceIran Protest Support OperationsStock Market VolatilityCredit Spreads and Bond YieldsConsumer Confidence Indicators
Companies
Google
Subject of major antitrust case being pursued by DOJ under departing antitrust chief Gail Slater
Apple
Subject of major antitrust case being pursued by DOJ under departing antitrust chief Gail Slater
Visa
Subject of major antitrust case being pursued by DOJ under departing antitrust chief Gail Slater
Live Nation
Subject of major antitrust case being pursued by DOJ under departing antitrust chief Gail Slater
Realtor.com
Real estate platform advertising home search tools with commute-based filtering capabilities
People
Tom Homan
Border Czar announcing end of Operation Metro Surge in Minnesota and redeployment of ICE officers
Michelle Hackman
WSJ immigration reporter analyzing Trump administration's immigration crackdown in Minnesota and its reversal
Tim Walz
Minnesota Governor criticizing immigration surge operations for causing economic damage and generational trauma
Gail Slater
DOJ antitrust chief departing after 11 months due to clashes with senior officials over merger oversight leniency
Pam Bondi
Attorney General who lost trust in departing antitrust chief Gail Slater during her tenure
John Thune
Senate Majority Leader expressing downbeat outlook on DHS funding deal negotiations with Republicans
Imani Moise
WSJ personal finance reporter analyzing credit counseling data showing middle-class financial stress spreading
Sam Goldfarb
WSJ bonds reporter explaining tight credit spreads and strong investor demand for corporate bonds
Alex Oseleff
Host of WSJ What's News PM edition covering daily business and political headlines
Quotes
"Operation Metro Surge is ending. And in the next week, we're going to deploy the officers here in detail back to their home stations or other areas of the country that are needed."
Tom Homan, Border Czar
"They left us with deep damage, generational trauma. They left us with economic ruin in some cases. They left us with many unanswered questions."
Tim Walz, Minnesota Governor
"We stood up to ICE and we won. We drove them out of our state."
Minnesota Democrats
"They're seeing debt move from discretionary to survival. So it's not just I'm charging my family vacation to the credit card. It's I'm paying for groceries, I'm paying for gas."
Imani Moise, WSJ personal finance reporter
"The higher quality the investment bonds the yields that you get on them the gap between those and the yields on ultra safe treasuries those are the tightest spreads that we seen in almost 30 years."
Sam Goldfarb, WSJ bonds reporter
Full Transcript
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I'm Alex Oseleff for The Wall Street Journal. This is the PM edition of What's News, the top headlines and business stories that move the world today. The Trump administration said today that it's ending the immigration crackdown in Minnesota. Here's Border Czar Tom Homan speaking this morning. Operation Metro Surge is ending. And in the next week, we're going to deploy the officers here in detail back to their home stations or other areas of the country that are needed. For more on the end of the operation and its impact, I'm joined by WSJ immigration reporter Michelle Hackman. Michelle, what were the administration's goals in Minnesota and did it achieve them? Holman framed it that way today. He said, we've accomplished everything that we've wanted to here in Minnesota. But if you read between the lines, I think they are actually looking for a way to de-escalate. They did make a lot of arrests. It remains to be seen how many of those people will actually be deported. There's been a lot of tension both in Minnesota and in Washington after federal agents shot and killed U.S. citizens. There were protests and the fight over funding for the Department of Homeland Security. Michelle, let me play you a clip of Minnesota Governor Tim Walz after Homeland's announcement. They left us with deep damage, generational trauma. They left us with economic ruin in some cases. They left us with many unanswered questions. Did the backlash to the administration's policy play a role in the end of the surge? Absolutely. You saw the administration do an about-face. They were proud of their work in Minnesota, I would say, pretty much up through the shooting of Alex Preddy in Minnesota a few weeks ago. And at that point, criticism of their operations boiled over. It wasn't just Democrats. It was coming from Republicans saying this looked too chaotic So they reversed course They put in Tom Homan They sort of cut off the chain of command that had already been there in Minnesota How have Democrats responded to the announcement that the operation is ending Democrats in Minnesota are saying, we stood up to ICE and we won. We drove them out of our state. The governor of Minnesota, Tim Wells, also noted that local businesses suffered, as the journal has also reported. What is the economic impact expected to be after immigration agents leave? I think it's going to be extensive. You saw immigrants, even citizens of foreign descent, staying home, not working because they were afraid of ICE. And when people don't go out, it means far fewer people going to restaurants, going to bars that will take time to recover. That was WSJ reporter Michelle Hackman. Thanks, Michelle. Thank you. In Washington, Senate Democrats blocked a bill to fund the Department of Homeland Security. They said negotiations with Republicans to put new restrictions on immigration enforcement hadn't made enough progress. The failed vote now puts the department on the verge of a shutdown. A short-term funding measure expires after tomorrow. To understand where the Senate goes from here, I put in a quick call to Lindsay Wise, a journal reporter covering Congress, who was still in the Senate after the vote. After this failed vote, the Senate Majority Leader John Stoon said that he thought there was no sense in keeping senators here. They're also expected to be on recess or out of session all of next week. He was pretty downbeat about the potential for a deal. But he said that if there is a deal reached in the coming days, he's told people to stay flexible and senators should come back quickly within a day or two. There's actually a sort of a lack of urgency over here in Congress right now, in part because this is only one department. All the rest of the federal government has been funded through September already. Also, just the way the pay cycle works for most of these federal workers, they're likely to get at least partially paid through the end of this month into early March. So I think that things will start to heat up here a little bit more when people start to miss paychecks. In other political news, Gail Slater, the Justice Department's top antitrust official, is leaving her job. During her 11 months in the role, she clashed with senior officials who sometimes were in favor of more lenient oversight of mergers. Her departure leaves a leadership vacuum while big cases are going on against major U.S. companies like Google, Live Nation, Apple, and Visa. Slater had lost the trust of Attorney General Pam Bondi and other top leaders. That's according to a person familiar with the Trump administration's thinking. Slater didn't respond to requests for comment. More Americans are falling behind on their mortgage and credit card payments WSJ personal finance reporter Imani Moise says the pain is spreading beyond low people The latest data from a trade group that represents credit counselors is showing that more middle middle Americans are also falling behind on their bills. And the data from this organization is particularly alarming because credit counseling is typically seen as the last step before bankruptcy. Credit counselors, They're nonprofits. It's still seen as a private sector solution before you take it to the courts and get a formal restructuring. What they're seeing is that the average client now makes $70,000. So that's still considered middle class, middle income. It's not high income. But bad outcomes are coming for higher and higher earners. Imani says inflation is making it more difficult for people to stay out of debt. The head of the trade group that represents these counselors put it best that they're seeing debt move from discretionary to survival. So it's not just I'm charging my family vacation to the credit card. It's I'm paying for groceries, I'm paying for gas. And if you are struggling to pay for those things, then what is the first to go? That would be discretionary spending. The cost of living is getting higher. So everything from housing to groceries to other daily essentials, they're unable to stick to the budgets that they've set for themselves. Coming up, stock markets are sliding. investors can't get enough of corporate bonds, and how the Trump administration tried to get Iranian protesters online. That's after the break. What does leadership really look like? On The Power of Advice, a new podcast series from Capital Group, you'll hear from athletes, entrepreneurs, and executives who've led on the field, in the boardroom, and in their communities. It's not about titles. It's about impact. Discover what drives them and the advice they carry forward. Subscribe and start listening today. Published by Capital Client Group, Inc. Stocks dropped sharply today on more concerns about AI. The Nasdaq led the major benchmarks lower, dropping more than 2%, while the Dow closed back below 50,000. Market fears have spread in recent weeks over how artificial intelligence could disrupt software companies, publishers, financial services firms, and others. Meanwhile, Sam Goldfarb, who covers bonds for the journal, says investors can't get enough of them. You can see the evidence of that in what's called credit spreads. The higher quality the investment bonds the yields that you get on them the gap between those and the yields on ultra U treasuries those are the tightest spreads that we seen in almost 30 years For more lower bonds it the tightest spreads since like 2007 or so That just a sign of demand for these bonds because they willing to accept these yields that are not that much higher than what you can get on government bonds, and government bonds are essentially guaranteed to not default. Sam says that even though there's concerns about an AI bubble, investors have a lot of demand for tech company bonds. Even though the gap between these two yields on corporate bonds and treasuries is small. You're still getting a pretty high yield on corporate bonds relative to what you can get in other parts of the world. Investors also think that maybe the Fed will keep cutting interest rates and that these yields will go down in the future. So they want to buy them now while they still can. And they're relatively optimistic about the economy and that makes them less concerned about potential defaults. The company is building these giant data centers to power artificial intelligence models. They're needing to borrow a lot to fund those investments. Investors have all this demand for bonds for reasons we've discussed. So even though the supply is ramping up with this tech borrowing, it's still not too much to overwhelm the demand for them. Home sales fell 8.4 percent last month, the biggest monthly decline since February 2022. Snowstorms and low consumer confidence slowed a housing market that was showing signs of recovery. Stubbornly high home prices and 30-year mortgage rates that are stuck above 6% are also making buyers more picky. But the coming months are going to be key to see if the housing market is rebounding. Many people go house hunting in the spring. We're exclusively reporting that the Trump administration smuggled thousands of Starlink terminals into Iran after the regime's crackdown on demonstrations last month. It was an effort to keep protesters online because Iran shut down internet access. Tehran has repeatedly accused Washington of playing a role in stirring up dissent in Iran. The U.S. has denied any connection to the uprising. The Starlink operation shows the Trump administration has done more to support efforts against the regime than was previously known. And in another exclusive, we're reporting that a U.S. warship and a Navy supply vessel collided in the Caribbean yesterday during a ship-to-ship refueling. A military spokesman said that two people reported minor injuries and that both ships can keep sailing safely. The cause and exact location of the incident aren't yet clear. And that's what's news for this Thursday afternoon. Today's show is produced by Pierre Bien-Aimé, Anthony Bansy and Alexis Moore with supervising producer Tali Arbel. I'm Alex Osula for The Wall Street Journal. We'll be back with a new show tomorrow morning. Thanks for listening. Thank you.