Short Wave

10 breakthrough technologies to expect in 2026

13 min
Jan 16, 20264 months ago
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Summary

MIT Technology Review's 25th annual list of 10 breakthrough technologies for 2026 highlights emerging innovations expected to reshape industries and society. The episode covers sodium-ion batteries for EVs, private space stations, personalized gene editing, next-gen nuclear reactors, AI data center infrastructure, and genetic conservation efforts, with particular emphasis on AI's dominant presence across multiple breakthrough categories.

Insights
  • Sodium-ion batteries could reduce EV costs by up to two-thirds long-term by leveraging abundant, globally-distributed materials versus concentrated lithium supply chains
  • Private space stations represent a shift from government-only access to commercialized space infrastructure, enabling pharmaceutical and semiconductor research previously unavailable to private companies
  • Personalized gene editing treatments, while currently $800K-$1M per patient, could address thousands of rare genetic diseases previously considered economically unviable for pharmaceutical development
  • AI data centers represent a new infrastructure class requiring specialized cooling systems and hundreds of thousands of GPU chips, distinct from traditional computing infrastructure
  • Embryo scoring services highlight the tension between parental choice and scientific reliability, as genetic prediction for complex traits (intelligence, height) lacks the single-gene certainty of disease screening
Trends
Shift from lithium-dependent EV battery chemistry to abundant alternative materials reducing supply chain vulnerabilityCommercialization of space access moving from government astronauts to private citizens and corporate research missionsPersonalized medicine scaling from one-off treatments to potential treatment pathways for thousands of rare genetic disordersAI infrastructure becoming recognized as critical strategic infrastructure requiring massive capital investment and specialized coolingGene editing advancing from deletion-based CRISPR to base editing enabling precise DNA letter rewrites for personalized treatmentsPrivate space stations designed with luxury amenities and international accessibility, expanding beyond ISS-dependent nationsGenetic screening services expanding from disease prevention to trait selection, raising eugenics concerns and scientific accuracy questionsNext-generation nuclear reactors designed for faster, cheaper construction using alternative fuels and coolantsGene resurrection efforts pivoting from extinct animal revival to endangered species genetic diversity restoration for climate adaptation
Topics
Sodium-ion battery technology and EV supply chainPrivate space stations and commercial space infrastructurePersonalized gene editing and CRISPR base editingEmbryo genetic screening and trait selectionAI data center infrastructure and GPU requirementsNext-generation nuclear reactor designGene resurrection and endangered species conservationLithium mining environmental and labor impactsSuborbital space tourism and private astronautsRare genetic disease treatment economicsGenetic diversity and climate adaptationPharmaceutical development for rare conditionsSpace station luxury amenities and designFDA approval pathways for gene editing treatmentsEugenics concerns in embryo selection services
Companies
Blue Origin
Offers suborbital flights providing weightlessness experience to private citizens, advancing commercial space access.
Virgin Galactic
Provides suborbital flights to private citizens, contributing to commercialization of space travel experiences.
Axiom
Operating private astronaut missions to ISS and designing luxury private space stations with Prada spacesuits.
MIT Technology Review
Published the 25th annual list of 10 breakthrough technologies for 2026, the focus of this episode.
People
Amy Nordram
Executive editor of MIT Technology Review newsroom; discussed breakthrough technologies list and provided expert anal...
Regina Barber
Host of Short Wave podcast; conducted interview and guided discussion through the 10 breakthrough technologies.
Quotes
"We're really looking for high-impact advances that we think will change the way we live and work in the future. For better, like potentially help us solve major problems like climate change or improve our well-being and our health as humans, and for worse."
Amy Nordram
"Lithium supply is very concentrated, it's just a handful of countries, but you can find sodium everywhere. It's the same sodium that you find in sea salt."
Amy Nordram
"Over time, these might actually make EV batteries cheaper. Right now, their sodium ion batteries are not cheaper than lithium ion, but as you scale up and produce more of them, some analysts think that they could someday be about a third of the, as expensive as lithium ion batteries to produce."
Amy Nordram
"It's the first of its kind that's been personalized in this way. There have been other gene editing treatments based on CRISPR in the past, but this one was designed just for KJ based on the misspelling in his DNA."
Amy Nordram
"There's a lot of people that see that in it and are concerned for that reason. And then some of the companies providing this say that's not what we're doing. We're actually giving parents choice over the child that they have."
Amy Nordram
Full Transcript
Support for NPR and the following message come from the William and Flora Hulett Foundation, investing in creative thinkers and problem solvers who help people, communities, and the planet flourish. More information is available at Hulett.org. Short waivers, I know every podcast everywhere asks you to follow them, and it's for good reason. For us, as a show on a public media budget, one of the best ways you can help us grow and thrive is to follow us from wherever you're listening. Thank you. We appreciate you. You're listening to Shortwave from NPR. Hey, it's your waivers, Regina Barber here with a list. Made from our friends over at MIT Technology Review. This is the 25th year actually that our newsroom has put out a list of 10 breakthrough technologies. This is Amy Nordram, executive editor of that newsroom, and she says that this list describes which technologies they think matter most each year. We're really looking for high-impact advances that we think will change the way we live and work in the future. For better, like potentially help us solve major problems like climate change or improve our well-being and our health as humans, and for worse. We also include advances that we think are equally as significant, but might have very negative consequences. We had military drones of the list a few years ago. This year, Amy says a large chunk of the list is on AI technology, because that area has taken off. But they've also included other important advances that may not have risen above the noise for people not paying close attention. You know what's going on in biotech or the latest climate progress, especially at a moment where it can feel like there's not as much being made generally, especially here in the US. So today on the show, we go through some of the top 10 breakthrough technologies of 2026 by MIT Technology Review, including Amy's favorite on the list. This is so not fair, but I mean, I guess I always have a personal favorite, honestly, or one that I'm just kind of most interested in. This time, it's in the space category. You're listening to Shorwave, the science podcast from NPR. This message comes from Wise, the app for international people using money around the globe. You can send, spend, and receive an up to 40 currencies with only a few simple tabs. Be smart, get Wise. Download the Wise app today or visit Wise.com, TZNC's apply. Support for NPR and the following message come from the William and Flora Hulett Foundation, investing in creative thinkers and problem solvers who help people, communities, and the planet flourish. More information is available at huelett.org. Okay, Amy, let's start in the land of EVs. Right now, they're generally made with lithium ion batteries, but mining lithium is harmful to the environment. It can have like poor labor conditions, and it's a finite resource. So you will focus on sodium ion batteries. What's the big deal there? Well, lithium has really been the go-to battery chemistry for decades at this point, and sodium ion batteries could shake that up really for the first time in a meaningful way if they're able to scale up. And these batteries would be much easier to produce. Lithium supply is very concentrated, it's just a handful of countries, but you can find sodium everywhere. It's the same sodium that you find in sea salt. So this could make it much easier to produce batteries, and we're going to need more batteries over the coming decades to store renewable energy, to operate electric vehicles, to do all kinds of things in our lives. What would this switch mean for the EV market in the long term? Well, it would give manufacturers another option for EVs, and one that is made from a material that's much more abundant and less vulnerable to supply chain risks, for example. And over time, these might actually make EV batteries cheaper. Right now, their sodium ion batteries are not cheaper than lithium ion, but as you scale up and produce more of them, some analysts think that they could someday be about a third of the, as expensive as lithium ion batteries to produce. And in the end, that might help bring down the cost of an electric car and make it more affordable for more people. Okay, next tech, we're going to go into space. Okay, so so many like sci-fi books, movies that I love show humans like living in space, but to date, like only a few hundred have actually made that trip. So how do you think that's going to change? Well, we've already started to see a change in the last couple of years. You know, we've seen companies like Blue Origin and Virgin Galactic offer suborbital flights of a few minutes to provide people with the experience of weightlessness and just you know, private citizens, not not professionally trained astronauts. Even NASA has started allowing private astronauts to travel up to the ISS with the company called Axiom. And that's been happening for the last couple of years. But really what's changing now is that there's this whole rash of new private space stations that are due to be launched over the next couple of years, which will eventually replace the international space station, which has been operating for decades. And those private space stations will not just support government missions, but in many cases, also private astronauts from companies that want to do research in space or people who just want to get a view outside, you know, a space station window of the Earth that we all live on. Can you give me like a visual like how bigger these, you know, space stations going to be, what are they going to look like? Yeah, I got to say they're going to look pretty fancy based on some of the mockups that I've seen. Some of the company's active here have been seemingly trying to provide a pretty like luxury space experience for lack of a better word. So Axiom is one that has, you know, contracted with like a famous French architect and designer to design the inside. It has spacesuits designed by Prada. There's different amenities and some of these some of these space stations and they're not nearly as big as the international space station. So they're not in these first iterations. They're a fraction of the size really. Over time, they hope and intend to scale up to that. But in the next couple of years, we'll be seeing much smaller models launching. I mean, space travel sounds cool. Is there a larger impact to us here on Earth? That's a really fair question. I mean, we could see, you know, for example, if this opens up access to more private companies doing research, maybe there will be pharmaceuticals that are developed based on that research or new kinds of electronics and semiconductors that companies, you know, might not have otherwise had time on the international space station to devote to that research. So there could be some kind of second second third order effects like that. And certainly a number of these private space companies intend to provide access to countries that have never before had access to the international space station or been able to send astronauts up there. Let's move on to gene edited babies. We've heard a lot about this for a while. Like, why did this make the list this year? Well, this year we put it on the list because there was a quite remarkable treatment done back in May of 2025 when a baby named KJ was treated for a rare genetic condition that this baby had with a gene editing treatment that was designed just for him. It's the first of its kind that's been personalized in this way. There have been other gene editing treatments based on CRISPR in the past, but this one was designed just for KJ based on the the misspelling in his DNA. And it was done with a newer form of CRISPR, the gene editing tool, called base editing, that actually lets you rewrite individual letters rather than just delete or snip out genes as the first iteration of CRISPR did. So we think it's, you know, it's the first of its kind. And honestly, we don't know quite how it went yet. The baby seems to be doing much better this many months on, but it's the first example of this kind of new highly personalized gene editing treatment that many more people could receive with very rare conditions that, you know, wouldn't otherwise be attractive to a pharmaceutical company to develop a treatment for. What are the hopes and the worries about this technology? Well, well, you know, physicians, researchers that did this at the University of Pennsylvania, they'll need to continue to watch closely and see, you know, what the results were and whether there are any unintended effects, but they do tend to move forward with the trial on this technology so that they can actually get FDA approval for it. You know, it will certainly likely be very expensive because we're talking here about a treatment for literally designed for one person. Yeah. You know, the estimates I heard with this one example were between $800,000 to $1,000,000, which is roughly maybe the cost of a liver transplant, but certainly out of reach for many. What could be the impact in decades to come? It's a great question. I mean, there's potentially thousands of genetic diseases that could potentially be treated this way and are quite rare. And so people do need these personalized treatments. So you might think about brain diseases or muscular dystrophy as potential candidates. So, you know, over time, this could be something ideally that would be available to many more people with many more different kinds of very rare genetic disorders. So this is not exactly the same, but it is on the list and it's kind of related to all of this. Something called embryos scoring. Can you talk about that a little bit? Sure. Yes. So, you know, a lot of times people going through IVF today, they have the option to scan embryos prior to implantation for genetic diseases if they have one that they do not wish to pass on to their child. And this has been done for years. There's a lot of public support for this kind of thing. And many parents choose to do that. And then lately, we've also seen some companies start to advertise other services of similar kinds of tests saying, we're not just going to help you screen for severe genetic diseases that you might pass on, but we're going to help you actually pick your best embryo based on how intelligent that baby might grow up to be or their eye color or their height and your preferences for your child. It goes into eugenics. Yeah, there's a lot of people that see that in it and are concerned for that reason. And then some of the companies providing this say that's not what we're doing. We're actually giving parents choice over the child that they have. But, you know, there's also just scientific questions. You know, a lot of the genetic disorders that this testing had provided guidance on were due to like a single gene or a single base within a gene. Whereas these new traits that some of the companies are advertising, they kind of come from many different interactions of genes. And so, it's probability and there's no guarantee that some of the services would actually reliably give you the outcome that you're wanting for your child, which to their credit, some of the companies do acknowledge with disclaimers on their site. Okay, Amy, we're going to go through a few more rapid fire style number one next gen nuclear. And as your listeners probably know, we need more energy for all kinds of things in the future, whether it's heat pumps or AC or data centers, and one of the power sources that a lot of people are looking to is nuclear. But the problem is there's a lot of reactors in the past that have gone way over budget and taken a long time to build. Now there's a new generation of reactors being designed by a bunch of companies that, you know, could be built cheaper and perhaps more quickly. They're smaller in size that use different kinds of fuel or coolant. Wow. Okay. Number two, you mentioned it data centers, but specifically AI data centers. So everybody's been using, you know, a lot of AI in their daily life, whether they honestly know it or not, it's built into all kinds of things that we use every day. And now there's huge investment going into building more data centers by lots of different companies. And these are really a new breed of infrastructure. There are massive facilities that use hundreds of thousands of specialized chips called GPUs and also require their own kind of very specialized cooling systems. So this new class of infrastructure is something that we wanted to recognize on this year's list because it's unique to our time. And to round it all out, a slightly fun one, in my opinion, a gene resurrection. Well, you've heard a lot about, you know, extinct animals. Maybe that might be coming back according to the claims of some companies. Right. But they might not be coming back. But yes, they might not be coming back. And so we were quite careful with our framing of this. But we think is quite exciting, though, is the efforts around bringing back genes from ancient creatures into modern day animals or plants often for conservation purposes or to help those plants adapt to climate change. There's been a lot of work in this ancient DNA space and now new efforts to, you know, help endangered species get more genetic diversity by reintroducing genes from past organisms. So maybe we're not resurrecting the woolly mammoth, but we might be helping endangered species survive. I think that's the more accurate way to think about it, yes. Amy, thank you so much for coming back on the show. I love hearing about this list every year. Please come back next year. It's been a pleasure. I'd love to talk about it with you again in 2027. We'll link to the 10 breakthrough technologies of 2026 by MIT Technology Review in our show notes. If you liked this episode, check out our episode on last year's top 10 technologies to look for, or our episode on building structures in space. We'll link to them in our show notes. I'm Regina Barber. Thank you for listening to Shorewave from NPR. Support for NPR and the following message come from the William and Flora Hulett Foundation. Investing in creative thinkers and problem solvers who help people, communities, and the planet flourish. More information is available at Hulett.org.