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Artemis II is ending, how long before NASA gets back to the moon?

7 min
Apr 10, 20268 days ago
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Summary

NASA's Artemis II mission successfully completed a crewed lunar flyby after 54 years of human absence beyond Earth's orbit, marking a major milestone. However, the episode examines critical challenges ahead: NASA lacks a lunar lander, faces budget pressures, and must compete with China's lunar ambitions while managing realistic timelines for returning humans to the moon's surface.

Insights
  • NASA achieved a significant PR and engineering win with Artemis II, but the mission's success masks a fundamental gap: the agency still lacks a functional lunar lander needed for actual moon landings
  • The 22-year gap between President Bush's 2004 moon return announcement and Artemis II's 2024 launch reflects systemic delays and political/budgetary volatility in long-term space programs
  • Geopolitical competition with China over lunar resources (water ice, solar-powered mountain peaks) is reshaping NASA's urgency and strategic priorities for the coming decade
  • Modern space missions benefit from unprecedented documentation and scientific capabilities compared to Apollo era, enabling biological experiments and data collection impossible 50+ years ago
  • The realistic timeline for crewed lunar landings remains uncertain despite Artemis II's success, dependent on contractor performance (SpaceX/Blue Origin) and sustained political/budget commitment
Trends
Geopolitical space race intensifying: China's lunar ambitions driving U.S. urgency around Lunar South Pole resource accessCommercial space contractor dependency: NASA relying on SpaceX and Blue Origin for critical lander development rather than in-house capabilitiesLong-duration spaceflight biology research: Renewed focus on understanding human physiology at 250,000+ miles from Earth versus low Earth orbitTrillion-dollar space economy emerging: Moon positioned as strategic platform for future commercial and governmental operationsPolitical volatility in space programs: Artemis plans changing under different administrations, creating planning uncertaintyExtended mission timelines normalizing: 50+ year gaps between major human spaceflight milestones becoming accepted realityScientific documentation advancement: Modern missions leveraging superior imaging and data collection versus historical Apollo missionsResource-driven lunar exploration: Water ice and solar energy potential at Lunar South Pole becoming primary strategic drivers
Companies
NASA
Primary subject; executed Artemis II lunar flyby mission and planning future crewed moon landings
SpaceX
Potential contractor to develop lunar lander for NASA's Artemis program alongside Blue Origin
Blue Origin
Potential contractor to develop lunar lander for NASA's Artemis program alongside SpaceX
Canadian Space Agency
Astronaut Jeremy Hansen participated in Artemis II mission as crew member
People
Jeremy Hansen
Artemis II crew member who traveled 252,756 miles from Earth and challenged next generation to break records
Joel Achenbach
Guest expert who analyzed Artemis II significance, NASA's challenges, and realistic timelines for lunar return
Scott Detro
Host of Consider This episode covering Artemis II mission and NASA's lunar exploration challenges
George W. Bush
Announced 2004 moon return initiative that launched 22-year development cycle leading to Artemis II
Quotes
"We will continue our journey even further into space before Mother Earth succeeds in pulling us back to everything that we hold dear."
Jeremy Hansen, Canadian Space Agency AstronautOpening segment
"Make sure the record is not long-lived. Make sure the record is not long-lived."
Jeremy HansenOpening segment
"NASA needed a win. NASA's had a rough time in various ways, including how long it's taken to get back to the moon."
Joel AchenbachMid-episode
"It just proves that NASA can still do these amazing things. It can send people to the moon and bring them back safely."
Joel AchenbachMid-episode
"There is this notion that we're in a race against China to get to the Lunar South Pole, where there are resources that are coveted by both countries."
Joel AchenbachLate-episode
Full Transcript
After looping around the moon, witnessing an eclipse from space, surpassing... For the furthest distance humans have ever traveled from planet Earth. And yes, doing some high-stress repairs on their space toilet, NASA's four astronaut crew of Artemis II is coming home. Here's Canadian space agency astronaut Jeremy Hansen marking their record-breaking journey. He and the crew traveled 252,756 miles from Earth. We will continue our journey even further into space before Mother Earth succeeds in pulling us back to everything that we hold dear. But we most importantly choose this moment to challenge this generation in the next to make sure this record is not long-lived. Make sure the record is not long-lived, Hansen challenged. Consider this, it took more than 50 years for humans to return to the moon. Is it going to take another 50 before NASA can get back? From NPR, I'm Scott Detro. Next... It's Consider This from NPR. 54 years. That is how long it's been since human beings last traveled beyond Earth's orbit. Since the crew of Apollo 17 left the moon behind in December 1972. This week, NASA's Artemis II mission changed that. Four astronauts flew around the moon aboard their Orion spacecraft, snapping stunning photographs of Earthrise and Earthset, and setting a new record for the farthest humans have ever traveled from Earth. By any measure, it was a milestone, but it also raises a bigger question. One that has followed NASA for decades. Why did it take so long? And given everything we know about the agency's plans, budget battles, and the growing shadow of China's lunar ambitions, is the road ahead actually realistic? Joel Akenbach is a science reporter who's been tracking Artemis since the beginning. Welcome. Well, thank you for having me. Let's just step back a moment. What did this week represent to you? How significant was this for NASA? This was a huge win. It has just been so exciting. The astronauts have been amazing. NASA needed a win. NASA's had a rough time in various ways, including how long it's taken to get back to the moon. You've got to keep in mind, the idea of going back to the moon surfaced after the Columbia Space Shuttle disaster. President Bush, George W. Bush, said, we're going to go back to the moon. That was 2004. So that's 22 years ago. And it's been a start and stop process, many delays. I'll be honest, I often wondered, is this really ever going to happen? Are we really going to send astronauts back to the vicinity of the moon? And you and I are talking hours before the planned splashdown. So that's obviously the big question hanging in the air right now. Let's talk about what NASA got out of this week. Obviously, it got a lot of PR. It got a lot of positive attention and energy from this mission. What do you think the most important engineering and scientific gains from Artemis 2 have been, and what would a successful splashdown prove? Well, it just proves that NASA can still do these amazing things. It can send people to the moon and bring them back safely. You can make an argument that this mission didn't prove that much. NASA doesn't have a lander for its Artemis program to actually land people on the moon. And so that's probably going to take a while before they get their contractor, SpaceX or Blue Origin, to produce a lander. But I was old enough to watch the Apollo program, and it was thrilling and exciting. We did not have back in 1969, in 1970, in 71 anything like the ability to document a moon mission like we do today. So visually, this has been stunning. The astronauts also, they're doing a lot of experiments. There are a lot of biological experiments to see what happens to their bodies. This is different from going up to the International Space Station, which is about 250 miles above the surface. They're out there 250,000 miles away. I mean, yes, we've been to the moon before, and frankly, Apollo 13 did a kind of a similar kind of mission where they did the fly by. But this, we have the ability scientifically to do experiments that no one did back in the in the late 60s or early 70s. Let's just reality check the next few steps, because the plans for Artemis going forward have changed many times, changed again recently under the Trump administration. And you just mentioned the most important thing. They don't physically have the lander to go down and land on the moon as is planned right now. What are your biggest question marks, and what are you looking ahead to over the next few years to reality check this? Well, I mean, there is this notion that we're in a race against China to get to the Lunar South Pole, where there are resources that are coveted by both countries. There's water ice, permanently shadowed craters have water ice in them. There are some mountains there that are always in sunlight, where you could potentially have solar panels and energy sources. And there's a notion that in the coming decades, there is going to be a trillion-dollar space economy, and the moon is a good platform for operating. But this has been a great week for NASA, so let's just applaud them at the moment for how well this has gone and how brilliant the astronauts have been. And it's just been fun to watch, and it's hard not to feel, hey, we're back in the game. Joel Aachenbach, science reporter who's been tracking Artemis and NASA, thank you so much for talking to us. Thank you. This episode was produced by Lena Muhammad and Karen Zamora. It was edited by Courtney Doherting. Our executive producer is Sammy Yannigan. Thanks to our Consider This Plus listeners who support the work of NPR journalists and help keep public radio strong. Supporters also hear every episode without messages from sponsors, and they unlock bonus episodes of Consider This. You can learn more at plus.npr.org. It's Consider This from NPR. I'm Scott Detra.