WSJ What’s News

Tesla Shares Drop on $25 Billion AI Spending Plan

14 min
Apr 23, 20264 days ago
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Summary

The April 23rd episode covers major political and business developments including Senate passage of a $70 billion DHS funding bill, Pentagon leadership changes focused on accelerating U.S. shipbuilding, escalating Iran tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, and Tesla's pivot toward AI and robotics despite strong quarterly profits. Additional coverage includes regulatory scrutiny of the $3 trillion private credit industry, chip sector gains from AI demand, and growing community opposition to self-storage facility expansion.

Insights
  • Tesla's stock decline despite better profits signals investor skepticism about the company's $25 billion AI/robotics pivot away from core EV business, indicating market uncertainty about execution risk on autonomous vehicles and humanoid robots
  • Pentagon leadership instability around shipbuilding priorities reveals tension between Trump's ambitious military-industrial goals and operational constraints, suggesting implementation challenges ahead for naval modernization
  • Private credit industry faces convergence of regulatory scrutiny, investor redemptions, and AI-driven valuation concerns, creating potential systemic risk despite official statements downplaying financial contagion
  • Self-storage industry's explosive growth (160M+ sq ft under development) is triggering NIMBY backlash similar to data center opposition, indicating communities are reassessing land use priorities
  • Iran-U.S. tensions in critical shipping lanes create economic vulnerability for global oil markets despite ceasefire extension, with both sides escalating provocative maritime actions
Trends
AI-driven market volatility affecting software and tech valuations across private credit and public equity marketsPentagon prioritization of domestic shipbuilding and military manufacturing as core Trump administration economic policyRegulatory convergence on private credit opacity and risk assessment across SEC, Treasury, and Federal ReserveCommunity-level NIMBY movements expanding beyond data centers to self-storage and other industrial land useGeopolitical risk premium in energy markets from Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea shipping disruptionsChip sector consolidation and AI-driven demand benefiting memory and semiconductor suppliersCorporate real estate repurposing for emerging technologies (Tesla converting auto factories to robotics)Regulatory focus on financial system interconnectedness and shadow banking sector transparency
Companies
Tesla
Reported better Q1 revenue and car sales but stock fell due to $25B AI spending plan focused on autonomous vehicles, ...
SK Hynix
NVIDIA supplier reported five-fold jump in quarterly net profit as world's second-largest memory chipmaker benefits f...
STMicroelectronics
European chipmaker supplier to Apple, Tesla, and SpaceX posted strong Q1 sales with 23% revenue growth driven by AI d...
Southwest Airlines
Shares down 4% after warning full-year profit guidance at risk due to rising jet fuel prices
American Airlines
Expected to report earnings alongside other carriers noting rising operational costs from fuel prices
American Express
Reporting Q1 earnings as part of broader financial services earnings cycle
Lockheed Martin
Defense contractor reporting Q1 earnings amid Pentagon focus on military shipbuilding priorities
Intel
Semiconductor company reporting Q1 earnings after market close amid broader chip sector AI-driven gains
NVIDIA
Referenced as beneficiary of AI boom through supplier relationships with SK Hynix and other chipmakers
Apple
Referenced as customer of STMicroelectronics and other semiconductor suppliers benefiting from AI demand
People
Luke Vargas
Hosts the AM edition of What's News and guides episode coverage
Damian Paletta
Discusses Pentagon leadership changes and Navy Secretary firing related to Trump's shipbuilding priorities
Pete Hegseth
Fired Navy Secretary John Phelan over perceived slowness on Trump's shipbuilding agenda
John Phelan
Fired by Defense Secretary Hegseth for not moving quickly enough on Trump's shipbuilding priorities
Hong Kao
Promoted to Navy Secretary to accelerate Trump's shipbuilding agenda
Donald Trump
Driving Pentagon shipbuilding priorities and considering sanctions relief for Eritrea; wants Trump-class warships
Drew Dowell
Discusses Iran-U.S. tensions in Strait of Hormuz and ceasefire extension implications
Mossad Boulos
Discussed lifting sanctions on Eritrea to secure Red Sea shipping routes against Iran-backed Houthis
Caitlin McCabe
Analyzes $3 trillion private credit industry regulatory scrutiny and AI-driven valuation concerns
Paul Atkins
Highlighted opacity issues in private credit valuations in recent speech
Becky Peterson
Covers Tesla's Q1 earnings and $25B AI/robotics spending plan shift away from EV focus
Elon Musk
Stated Optimus humanoid robot will be Tesla's biggest product ever, driving next growth phase
Fred Bernstein
Reports on self-storage industry expansion and community NIMBY backlash against facilities
Quotes
"I think Optimus will be our biggest product, not just Tesla's biggest product ever, but probably the biggest product ever."
Elon MuskTesla earnings discussion
"It's one thing to be able to talk to President Trump and text him about it. It's another thing to actually build the ships."
Damian PalettaPentagon shipbuilding discussion
"The risk is that as this goes on and both sides take provocative steps like boarding each other's ships or pulling ships into quarantine, that someone could take a military action that then escalates."
Drew DowellIran-U.S. tensions discussion
"They're dead zones. And so a lot of cities and towns are trying to keep them away or at least confine them to certain industrial zones."
Fred BernsteinSelf-storage industry discussion
"A home is where you keep your stuff while you go out and buy more stuff."
Fred Bernstein's grandfatherSelf-storage industry closing
Full Transcript
The Senate funds ICE and Border Patrol, pushing past Democratic calls to reform how immigration enforcement is carried out. Plus, another shakeup of the Pentagon's top brass. And the NIMBY movement finds its next target. Americans are hiding lots of stuff in self-storage facilities, but now we have to hide the self-storage facilities. It's Thursday, April 23rd. I'm Luke Vargas for The Wall Street Journal, and here is the AM edition of What's News, the top headlines and business stories moving your world today. We begin in Washington, where senators pulling an all-nighter have pushed forward a budget plan to fund DHS in spite of Democratic opposition and calls for restrictions on enforcement operations. The bill, which passed by a 50-48 margin, will hand ICE and Border Patrol an additional $70 billion and see them funded through the end of Trump's term. The bill now heads to the House. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has fired Navy Secretary John Phelan in the latest shakeup at the Pentagon after Hegseth's dismissal of nearly two dozen military officers and amid an ongoing feud with the Secretary of the Army. Phelan didn't immediately respond to a request for comment. Joining me with more is Journal-Washington coverage chief Damian Paletta. Damian, And we report that Pentagon officials told congressional aides that Hegseth had fired Phelan because he felt he wasn't moving quickly enough on President Trump's shipbuilding priorities. That priority will now fall on current Navy Undersecretary Hong Kao, who's being elevated to secretary. What do we need to know about all this? So in getting rid of the Navy secretary, he's getting rid of someone who is in the middle of this Iran conflict, in the middle of this naval blockade that's core to the White House's strategy of trying to pressure Iran. And it's very unusual in the middle of a war to do something like this with someone so senior. The reason that this appeals to President Trump, though, is because part of his whole agenda, his economic agenda, is reviving, and his military agenda, quite frankly, is reviving the shipbuilding industry in the United States after really decades of lower output. And the naval secretary who was just fired actually was very plugged in with President Trump. They would meet at Mar-a-Lago and talk quite often. But President Trump believes that the shipbuilding industry needs to be reborn much faster than is happening. Damien, it seems telling how big a challenge this could all be if someone like Phelan, who said he regularly texted with Trump in the middle of the night about shipbuilding and was actually the one to pitch him on the idea of new Trump-class warships, couldn't get this done. Right. Well, it's one thing to be able to talk to President Trump and text him about it. It's another thing to actually build the ships. And so maybe that's what, after months and months, the president is looking for. President Trump envisions this Trump fleet of naval ships You know he has a personal identity now that he wants associated with these ships But it very complicated expensive and it quite frankly is going to need a lot of cooperation from Congress if they're going to get the kind of output that President Trump is envisioning. And whether the fired Naval Secretary's successor can pull this off is an open question. That was the Journal's Damian Paletta. And a Virginia judge has blocked a new voter-approved measure to redraw the state's congressional map, siding with the Republican National Committee, which had contended that the referendum was procedurally invalid. Virginia's attorney general said he would appeal the injunction and look forward to defending the election in court. If upheld, this week's redistricting vote would give a big boost to Democrats' efforts to reclaim the U.S. House in November. Meanwhile, the conflict with Iran has entered a damaging new phase that leaves the Strait of Hormuz closed and the prospect of escalation looming. Although President Trump has agreed to an indefinite extension of a ceasefire with Iran, tensions are nevertheless continuing to flare in the vital waterway, the U.S. and Iran now boarding ships and taking control of commercial vessels. Drew Dowell is the journal's Middle East editor. Both Iran and the U.S. are talking tough out front with a lot of threats going back and forth. What we had understood is that in the background, There are actually exchanges of messages and some level of engagement that could form the basis for negotiations. But, you know, right now, the situation in the strait has come to the fore. Iran is insisting that the blockade be dropped before it comes to the table. The risk is that as this goes on and both sides take provocative steps like boarding each other's ships or pulling ships into quarantine, that someone could take a military action that then escalates. It's not as dangerous as the outright war was, but it's still fraught and still a significant issue for the global economy, which depends heavily on Persian Gulf oil supplies. While securing access to those vital oil routes is also why the Trump administration is looking to reset ties with the North African country Eritrea, whose coastline faces the Red Sea. We're exclusively reporting that Trump official Mossad Boulos has discussed lifting sanctions on the authoritarian state. That comes as Iran-backed Houthis have threatened to support Iran by shutting the Bab al-Mendeb Strait at the mouth of the Red Sea. However, officials warn that a change in U.S. policy could trigger tensions with landlocked Ethiopia, which says that it has historic claims to Eritrean coastlines. Coming up, Tesla surprises Wall Street with better profits. And we'll take a look at how America's self-storage craze has reached a tipping point after the break. U.S. officials are trying to get a grip on how much risk has built up in the $3 trillion private credit industry. Here finance reporter Caitlin McCabe So sentiment about the private credit industry really began shifting last year and then kicked into overdrive further this year when traders really started to get spooked about AI and how it would affect software companies. Some private credit firms have quite a bit of exposure to software loans. We've also seen investors asking to pull money from these private credit firms. And so now this is just the latest step of really seeing storm clouds growing over private credit. Three different regulators are now probing the sector, with the SEC focusing on valuations and loan selection, the Treasury Department looking into firms' business models, and the Fed asking banks about their exposure to private credit. Though, as Caitlin explains, the watchdogs aren't yet sounding the alarm. Regulators are just starting to ask questions. They're not sounding dire alarms. And the Trump administration has basically said the same. They don't think losses in private credit funds would ripple through the financial system. And that's really similar to what executives and bankers have said, too. At the same time, regulators are honing in on some of the areas of private credit that I think folks really have had issues with. So one of those things is the opacity surrounding private credit, meaning you just don't always know how these loans are valued. Paul Atkins, the SEC chairman, talked about that very issue in a speech earlier this week. Shares of Tesla have slipped off hours, despite the company reporting better revenue in the first quarter compared to last year and rising car sales. But Wall Street isn't really that interested in these numbers. Tesla is in a moment of transition where they say pretty clearly their electric vehicle business is not the focus. That's Journal-Tesla reporter Becky Peterson, who said the big news from the call was that Tesla had a lot of cash in the first quarter and is looking to spend it. This is big news because Wall Street had been expecting Tesla to be making really heavy CapEx investments. This quarter, the CFO reiterated that they'll be spending $25 billion on CapEx. Their focus is on getting the new products up and running. those products, which are autonomous vehicles, the RoboTaxi ride-hailing app, and humanoid robots, which they're calling Optimus. CEO Elon Musk said that cars will remain important to the company, but that those other projects will be what drives its next phase of growth. As you've heard me say a few times, I think Optimus will be our biggest product, not just Tesla's biggest product ever, but probably the biggest product ever. and I remain convinced of that conclusion. Tesla also revealed plans for a massive new facility near its Giga Texas factory that would build 10 million second Optimus robots a year and said it plans to repurpose its Fremont California car factory to build robots Optimus sales are expected to begin in 2027 And NVIDIA supplier SK Hynix has reported a five-fold jump in quarterly net profit, as the world's second-largest memory chipmaker continues to be a key beneficiary of the AI boom. And so too does European chipmaker STMicroelectronics. Its shares surged this morning after the Apple, Tesla, and SpaceX supplier posted strong first-quarter sales and said its revenue climbed 23 percent compared to last year. Meanwhile, shares in Southwest Airlines are down almost four percent in off-hours trading after it warned that its full-year profit guidance was at risk because of rising jet fuel prices. Other carriers have also noted rising costs and will hear from American Airlines this morning. That's alongside results from American Express and Lockheed Martin, with results from Intel due after the closing bell. And finally, you've probably heard about mounting local backlash against data centers. But what about the battle against another perceived scourge on the landscape? When I put my things in storage 35 years ago, there was only one self-storage facility in northwestern Connecticut, and now there are probably 50. That's journal contributor Fred Bernstein, who reports that while the self-storage industry continues to fire on all cylinders, with more than 160 million more square feet of storage under development, communities are pushing back on facilities that they say are hogging land and sapping towns of street life. They're dead zones. And so a lot of cities and towns are trying to keep them away or at least confine them to certain industrial zones. There's at least one that is disguised as a row of houses. That's in Bristol, Rhode Island. So this long facade is dressed up as if it were six or eight separate houses with different materials and colors of paint. And it's not fooling anyone. It's at least a $60 billion a year business in the U.S. And anecdotally, the margins are extremely high for people who own these facilities. 12% of households in the U.S. have at least one remote storage space. Houses are getting bigger and bigger. Family sizes are getting smaller and smaller. And still people need a lot of storage space. Or as my grandfather says, a home is where you keep your stuff while you go out and buy more stuff. Though you might not have used the word stuff. Nice one, Pop. We've left a link to Fred's reporting and your stories about self-storage in our show notes. And that's it for What's News for this Thursday morning. Today's show was produced by Hattie Moyer and Daniel Bach. Our supervising producer is Sandra Killhoff, and I'm Luke Vargas for The Wall Street Journal. We will be back tonight with a new show. Until then, thanks for listening.