Consider This from NPR

Is tit-for-tat political gerrymandering the future of US politics?

9 min
Apr 22, 2026about 1 month ago
Listen to Episode
Summary

The episode examines the escalating partisan gerrymandering battle across US states, starting with President Trump's push to redraw Texas's congressional map and followed by Democratic responses in California and Virginia. Virginia Governor Abigail Spanberger discusses the state's referendum to redraw congressional maps, raising questions about whether tit-for-tat redistricting will become the norm in American politics.

Insights
  • Partisan gerrymandering is becoming a normalized, reciprocal political strategy rather than an isolated tactic, with both parties actively pursuing map changes to gain electoral advantages
  • Voters appear willing to support partisan redistricting when framed as defensive responses to perceived unfairness by the opposing party, rather than as proactive power grabs
  • The current system incentivizes partisan gamesmanship because legislators retain the power to draw their own districts, creating a structural problem that requires systemic reform
  • State-level redistricting decisions are increasingly driven by federal political dynamics and presidential influence rather than purely local considerations
  • Long-term solutions require moving beyond temporary reactive measures toward permanent institutional reforms like independent redistricting commissions
Trends
Escalating tit-for-tat redistricting cycles becoming standard political practice across multiple statesShift from bipartisan redistricting commissions toward partisan legislative map-drawing as political strategyIncreased voter engagement and ballot measures on redistricting as states seek democratic legitimacy for partisan mapsPresidential involvement in state-level redistricting decisions expanding executive influence over congressional representationGrowing recognition that structural reform (independent commissions) is necessary to break the redistricting arms racePurple states becoming battlegrounds for redistricting disputes as both parties compete for marginal seat gainsLegal challenges to partisan maps increasing as courts become arbiters of redistricting disputesMessaging strategy shift: framing partisan maps as defensive responses to opponent overreach rather than offensive power grabs
Topics
Congressional Redistricting and GerrymanderingPartisan Electoral StrategyState-Level Redistricting ReferendumsIndependent Redistricting CommissionsPresidential Influence on State PoliticsElectoral Map ManipulationVoter Disenfranchisement ConcernsDemocratic vs Republican Redistricting TacticsVirginia Redistricting ReferendumTexas Congressional Map ChangesCalifornia Redistricting Ballot MeasuresNorth Carolina RedistrictingMissouri RedistrictingCourt Challenges to Electoral MapsFederal Redistricting Reform Legislation
People
Abigail Spanberger
Democratic Virginia Governor who championed the state's redistricting referendum and discussed partisan gerrymanderin...
Donald Trump
Initiated the redistricting arms race by calling on Texas to redraw maps to gain Republican seats
Glenn Youngkin
Republican predecessor to Spanberger who criticized the redistricting referendum as voter disenfranchisement
Juana Summers
Host of Consider This episode who interviewed Governor Spanberger about redistricting
Quotes
"I think that what it shows is that voters want to take a stand against so much of the chaos that they see in Washington."
Abigail SpanbergerEarly in episode
"The Democrats eked out another crooked victory. Six to five goes ten to one."
Donald TrumpMid-episode
"Certainly as long as legislators can draw their own districts, there are going to be games being played."
Abigail SpanbergerLate in episode
"Voters want to know that there is a sense of fairness, which is exactly why Virginians voted yes, because they see the lack of fairness."
Abigail SpanbergerClosing segment
Full Transcript
On Tuesday, Virginia voters wrote the latest chapter in the ongoing nationwide saga over redistricting. Virginia's approval for redistricting brings Democrats even or ahead of the Republican redistricting push. It's a saga that President Trump started last summer when he called on Texas to change their congressional map to add five Republican seats. I think we get five. And there could be some other states we're going to get another three or four or five. And Texas did just that, followed by two other states with Republican-led legislatures. North Carolina's Republican-led legislature has passed a new congressional map that could help the GOP win another seat. Missouri has joined Texas in redrawing its congressional maps to protect the Republican majority in the midterm elections. Then California entered the chat. In California, voters overwhelmingly approved a ballot measure that will let lawmakers redraw the state's congressional maps. The goal is to try to send five more Democrats to Congress. Now, Virginians are the latest to vote for a partisan congressional map, potentially setting up Democrats to win 10 out of the state's 11 congressional seats. The map faces court challenges, but for now, Democrats hold a slight edge heading into the midterms. Here's Democratic Virginia Governor Abigail Spanberger. I think that what it shows is that voters want to take a stand against so much of the chaos that they see in Washington. And we had the opportunity with the votes of the people to take a stand and push back against that. Consider this. President Trump sought to manipulate congressional maps in Republicans' favor, but Democrats have had wins of their own. Is a tit-for-tat over partisan gerrymandering the way of the future? From NPR, I'm Juana Summers. Hey, Lulu here. Whether we are romping through science, music, politics, technology, or feelings, we seek to leave you seeing the world anew. Radiolab adventures right on the edge of what we think we know. Wherever you get podcasts. It's Consider This from NPR. Virginia is the latest state poised to change their congressional maps to potentially give Democrats 10 seats up from the six they currently have The referendum passed with a thin margin about three points which is a narrower margin than the 15 percentage points Abigail Spanberger beat her Republican opponent in last year's governor's race. When I spoke with her, I asked if she was at all surprised by this narrower victory. No, it's exactly right about the margin of victory that I anticipated. I felt very strongly that the referendum was going to pass. But Virginia is a purple state. Certainly when I won in 2025, I won having flipped it from a Republican governor. And, you know, importantly, when I won in November of 25, it was after campaigning for more than a year on a variety of issues all across our Commonwealth. This referendum, it was one issue, one question, yes or no. And it required, quite frankly, a lot of voter education and engagement on what the referendum was and why there was an election in April. But we did that work and we ended with a successful Yes campaign. But it's it really the results are exactly what I anticipated. And we're proud of that. What does the result tell you about the appeal of partisan gerrymandering by some portion of the electorate that supported you in your race? So I think that Virginia is a place where we very proudly put a bipartisan redistricting commission in place back in 2020. And in response to what we've seen in other states, certainly what happened in Texas, where the president said he was entitled to additional congressional seats and members of their legislature just obliged by redistricting. Virginians, we understood that we have a different option and a potential path to be responsive on a temporary basis. And so the General Assembly moved forward with pursuing legislation that would allow us to redistrict in advance of our 2030 redistricting. And I think that what it shows is that voters want to take a stand against so much of the chaos that they see in Washington that's impacting their lives. And the sort of gamesmanship that the president has pursued, they don't want that going uncontested. And we had the opportunity with the votes of the people, with a referendum, to take a stand and push back against that. Governor, I want to ask you about what President Trump has had to say about this. He posted on his Truth Social platform earlier. He called the election rigged and he wrote, and I'm just going to read part of it here. The Democrats eked out another crooked victory. Six to five goes ten to one. And yet the presidential election in November was very close to a 50 split He went on to say let see if the courts will fix this travesty of justice end quote And I note that he did not provide any evidence for those claims Your response to him? Yeah, I think that this is a man who traffics in lies consistently, both about the results of the 2020 election and every election since then. This is a man who has endeavored to do great damage to our entire system of governance with absolutely no respect for the oath that he swore or any respect for the promises he made to people who voted for him. So him continuing to lie is unsurprising to me. And notably, the No campaign employed these types of lies as well. They spent tens of millions of dollars in TV ads and mailers depicting me and former President Obama saying that we supported a no on this vote. So they've endeavored to try and lie and trick people. But this is consistent with what the president does. Right. Let me ask you about this. Your Republican predecessor, Glenn Youngkin, has also been speaking out about this. He posted on the social media platform X last night, and he made the case that this will disenfranchise the voters of your state. What do you say to that? Well, I say when I was first elected to Congress back in 2018, I won in a district that was a strong Republican district. I was the first Democrat elected in 50 years. I won by a district my predecessor had won by 15 points, and I swung at 17. I represented many, many people who weren't used to having a Democrat represent them. And I represented suburban communities and very rural and agricultural communities. And the requirement on me was for me to get out and work hard to keep those voters, to win them over in the first place, and then to keep them. And so with these competitive districts where by the 2024 numbers, you know, five of the 11 were won by single digits. The reality is that voters have the opportunity and I think the requirement to demand more of candidates and frankly, their legislators. To your point, though, I mean, your state, as you point out, was not the first state to do this. It certainly does not seem like it will be the last. Do you worry at all that this country is going to be stuck in a tit for tat over redistricting for the foreseeable future? You know, I mean, certainly as long as legislators can draw their own districts, there are going to be games being played. But this is really what it comes down to is that there are difficult and I think you know negative incentives when legislators get to draw their own districts which is why we adopted this redistricting amendment the first one the constitutional amendment back in 2020 And so I think as a country, we have to have a much stronger conversation about ensuring that we have commissions or standards and processes and procedures so that, in fact, whether it's to serve themselves or to serve a president they're trying to appease, legislators can't just summarily change the maps, whether they're at the state level or the federal level, as has been the case this time. In an interview earlier today on Morning Joe, you said that when Democrats take the House of Representatives in the fall, there need to be those serious conversations about gerrymandering reform. Give us one reform that you'd suggest. So certainly there have been prior bills that have been put forward related to kind of establishing standards for redistricting commissions across the country and much more formally outlawing any type of partisan gerrymandering. And having this be like a clear central part of the conversation is extraordinarily important because voters want to know that there is a sense of fairness, which I mean, whether your listeners may view that as ironic or not, which is exactly why Virginians voted yes, because they see the lack of fairness and our ability to take this temporary and responsive step to push back against that that lack of fairness that we've seen in places like Texas and North Carolina. But it will be on all of us to really ensure that we are moving forward on the types of reforms that will move us past this tumultuous time. Democratic Virginia Governor Abigail Spanberger, thanks for your time. Thank you. This episode was produced by Matt Ozug and Tyler Bartlom. It was edited by Tenbeat Ermias. Our executive producer is Sammy Yenigan. It's Consider This from NPR. I'm Juana Summers. We all seem to have that mental to-do list with tasks that, though they seem simple, really weigh on us. You don't go like, I didn't do the dishes last night. Let me just pack those up and put them in the car. But you bring your mental load everywhere. In this episode, tips and tools that'll let you finally set down part of that mental load. Listen to the Life Kit podcast in the NPR app or wherever you get your podcasts.