TED Radio Hour

Future You

50 min
Oct 10, 20256 months ago
Listen to Episode
Summary

This TED Radio Hour episode explores our relationship with our future selves through neuroscience, philosophy, and collective planning. Speakers examine why we struggle to connect with future versions of ourselves, how societies can plan for generations to come, and what it means to become good ancestors for people we'll never meet.

Insights
  • The brain perceives our future self as a different person neurologically, explaining why we struggle to make sacrifices today for tomorrow's benefit
  • People systematically underestimate how much they will change over time, creating a paradox where we can see past changes clearly but imagine continuity ahead
  • Long-term societal planning requires learning from historical patterns and collective memory, not just recent events, as demonstrated by Japan's nuclear safety contrasts
  • Future design and intergenerational thinking can be operationalized through specific practices like seventh-generation decision-making and ceremonial future-citizen assemblies
  • Individual and collective future planning require balancing present needs with future obligations through what researchers call 'harmony' rather than constant trade-offs
Trends
Growing recognition of psychological barriers to long-term thinking in both personal finance and climate policy decisionsEmergence of 'time rebellion' movements using legal frameworks and democratic processes to represent future generations' interestsIntegration of neuroscience findings into behavioral economics and financial services to improve retirement savings and long-term planningRising pessimism among younger generations about future planning due to pandemic, climate change, and economic uncertaintyAdoption of indigenous decision-making frameworks like seventh-generation thinking in modern urban planning and policyUse of age-progression technology and visualization tools to increase emotional connection to future selves in financial contextsIntergenerational wealth and knowledge transfer becoming a focus area for family offices and heritage preservationCourts and legal systems increasingly recognizing rights of future generations in climate and environmental cases
Topics
Neuroscience of Future Self PerceptionBehavioral Economics and Retirement SavingsIntergenerational Decision-MakingClimate Change and Long-Term PlanningNuclear Waste Management and Future GenerationsSeventh-Generation Decision-MakingAge-Progression Technology in FinanceFuture Design and Democratic PlanningIllusion of Continuity in Personal IdentityYouth Pessimism and Future PlanningLegal Rights of Future GenerationsHistorical Pattern Recognition in Risk PlanningCollective Memory and Disaster PreventionTime Rebellion MovementGood Ancestor Philosophy
Companies
TEPCO (Tokyo Electric Power Company)
Nuclear operator whose inadequate risk analysis and failure to look far into historical patterns led to Fukushima dis...
UCLA Anderson School of Management
Institution where psychologist Hal Hirschfield conducts research on people's relationship to their future selves and ...
Our Children's Trust
Organization filing landmark lawsuits against governments on behalf of young people to secure legal rights to safe cl...
People
Hal Hirschfield
UCLA psychology professor who conducted landmark neuroscience research proving the brain perceives future self as a d...
Shankar Vedantam
Journalist and host of Hidden Brain podcast who discusses the 'illusion of continuity' and how people fundamentally c...
Beena Venkatraman
Washington Post columnist and author who researches long-term societal planning and intergenerational thinking throug...
Roman Kriznarik
Philosopher and author leading the 'time rebellion' movement to extend human time horizons and promote long-term thin...
Yanosuke Hirai
Japanese engineer whose historical knowledge of past tsunamis led him to build Onagawa nuclear plant with higher seaw...
John Rinka
Featured in Hidden Brain story about his wife Stephanie's terminal illness and how her future self had different valu...
Stephanie Rinka
Subject of case study demonstrating how people change fundamentally over time, wanting life support despite earlier a...
Manush Zamorodi
Host of TED Radio Hour who guides the episode's exploration of our relationship with future selves and intergeneratio...
Quotes
"In the brain, the future self looks like another person."
Hal HirschfieldEarly in episode
"If the brain can distinguish between me and someone else, what would happen in the brain when we ask people to think about themselves now and themselves later?"
Hal HirschfieldResearch methodology discussion
"The illusion of continuity. When we look backwards, we can see enormous changes in who we have become. But when we look forwards, we tend to imagine that we're going to be the same people in the future."
Shankar VedantamMid-episode
"Harmony might be a better word than balance. Harmony implies that two voices can be singing at the same time at different levels and almost work together."
Hal HirschfieldDiscussion of present vs. future self
"We all want to feel like we belong to something greater and what greater thing to belong to than the fabric of time."
Beena VenkatramanClosing reflection on intergenerational connection
Full Transcript
This message comes from Intuit TurboTax. With TurboTax Expert Full Service, match with a dedicated expert who will do your taxes for you from start to finish getting you every dollar you deserve. It's that easy. Visit TurboTax.com to match with an expert today. This is the TED Radio Hour. Each week, groundbreaking TED Talks. Our job now is to dream big. Delivered at TED conferences. To bring about the future we want to see. Around the world. To understand who we are. From those talks, we bring you speakers and ideas that will surprise you. You just don't know what you're gonna find. Challenge you. We truly have to act to ourself, like why is it noteworthy? And even change you. I literally feel like I'm a different person. Yes. Do you feel that way? Ideas worth spreading. From TED and NPR. I'm Manush Zamorodi. And today's show is about you. The future you. The one who will someday reap the benefits or pay the price for what you do today. And the question is, why is it so hard, at least for some of us, to be kind to our future selves? It sounds like a relatively simple question, but it turns out to be a huge can of worms. This is psychologist Hal Hirschfield. He's a professor at UCLA's Anderson School of Management. And he has devoted his career to studying people's relationship to their future. It all started for Hal in grad school, when he was wondering why people struggled to do the things they said they wanted to do, like save money. And we started thinking about, what are some of the psychological reasons why people say that they want to save, but they don't. And so that really got me on this path of trying to figure out, how do people sort of move through time and think about these much older versions of themselves, since ultimately those are the people who are affected by any of the choices that we make. He started looking into the neurological research about our perceptions of ourselves. And there wasn't much there. But another finding really struck him. I had come across this early, what they call social neuroscience article that basically made this interesting claim that in the brain, the self can be distinguished from other people. It turns out that there's part of the brain or region of networks, the cortical midline structures, that show more activity when we're thinking about ourselves right now compared to when we're thinking about another person right now. In other words, different parts of the brain are activated if you're thinking about yourself or another person. So Hal wanted to know, would those same parts be activated if you're thinking about yourself now or yourself in the future? And I had this sort of connect the dots moment, which is, well, you know, if the brain can distinguish between me and someone else, what would happen in the brain when we ask people to think about themselves now and themselves later? Basically, would your brain identify your future self as a different person? So in 2007, Hal devised a test. So we thought, all right, let's ask people to think about their future selves and to think about other people while we scan them. As participants lay down in an MRI machine, the researchers would ask them questions about who they are right now. You know, are you funny? Are you smart? Are you sarcastic? Are you quiet? These sorts of like trait questions. Then they'd ask them the same questions about two people they probably didn't know personally, but who they could picture in their minds. Matt Damon and Natalie Portman. Okay, wait, so you're saying that you would ask them, is Matt Damon funny? Is Natalie Portman funny or smart? Yeah, so you'd be either making a judgment about Matt Damon or Natalie Portman. So one section of the brain lit up when people were asked about themselves and a different part lit up when they were asked about Matt Damon or Natalie Portman, just as previous research had shown. But then things got really interesting, because Hal asked the participants to picture themselves in the future and asked the same questions. Are you funny? Are you smart? Are you sarcastic? Are you quiet? And the same region of the brain lit up as when people were thinking about Matt or Natalie, meaning... In the brain, the future self looks like another person. I mean, this was pretty groundbreaking when you figured this out, right? That you scientifically proved that in our brain, we think about our future self as someone separate from who we are right now. That's exactly right. I mean, I have to say, it was a surprising finding to us. In fact, we actually ran the whole thing again to make sure this was right. And again, we found the same results. And so we started thinking in the same way. There could be a version of myself in the future who I really don't feel all that emotionally connected to or invested in. And if that's the case, I am probably going to live much more for today than tomorrow. Who will you be this year? In five years? In 25 years? Predict all you like, but envisioning how you'll evolve over time is incredibly hard for many reasons. On this episode, we hear ideas about what we can do to better plan our lives while allowing for the unexpected from a neurological, philosophical, and historic perspective. Psychologist Hal Hirschfeld says that when you think about future you, you might as well be thinking about a colleague who you kind of see around the office, but don't really know that well. You know they exist, but you don't really know much about them. And if they were to shoot you a message and say, hey, I have to move this weekend, do you mind helping me out? So it's not that you're selfish or mean, but you'd probably come up with a million reasons why you don't need to help them out. If our future selves look like that co-worker who you kind of know, but not really, and you're not particularly connected to, all of a sudden it starts to make sense why it's often really hard for us to do things today that benefit us later. In other words, like if you want to debate between eating a high calorie dinner versus the healthy salad, you know you should probably eat the salad because the steak and chocolate cake and extra glass of wine, that's going to be bad for your future health. But then you stop and say, well, is that my future health or just some other person? And when you start to think in those terms, in some ways it's almost rational to live for today because these consequences are going to befall some other person. I mean, there's not every person like that, right? There are some people who are incredibly careful about what they eat and always thinking about their health in the future. What's the range of this sort of generosity or meagerness that we feel towards ourself and the future? The question you're asking is so good because I think what you quickly realize with this analogy of the future self as a co-worker you don't know is that there are lots of people in our lives who we are empathetic toward, who we will drop our weekend plans to help move. One of the things that we found is that people do vary in the sense of connection and the sense of similarity that they have to their future selves. But then you start asking, well, what's at the root of that? Now, to some extent, this is a big open question, one that we're trying to figure out. But if I have that sense of closeness, well, then I'm probably going to be more likely to do things that might benefit me later, right? And I guess I'm wondering, why is it so hard do you think for people to connect with their future selves? Is there something innately human that makes it tough? Yeah, we live in the present, right? So anytime you think about these back and forths between current self and future self, it's me right now who needs to make quote unquote sacrifices for that future person. And that future person is abstract, right? There's this great quote from Gracho Marx, which is, what have future generations ever done for us? You'd be forgiven for not really wanting to make all the sacrifice, to do all the pain right now for this sort of uncertain gain. The other thing is that all of the temptations happen right now. You know, being able to buy things with just like my face ID and like anything that I want, I can get it right now. Even when we say we want to do things for our future selves, it can still be really hard to follow through because I'm pulled by all the temptations that exist right now. Here's how Hershfield on the TED stage. We brought people back to the lab two weeks later, and we had them take part in a financial decision making task where they could basically decide between smaller amounts of money, smaller amounts of money right now, and larger amounts of money that they would have to wait for. And these were real choices. We actually paid them. And what we found was that the people who had the biggest difference in the brain between thoughts about the current self and thoughts about the future self were the worst at this task. In other words, the more the future self looked like another person on a neural level, the less likely people would be to save for that future self. Now the question of course is, how can we get people to feel closer to their future selves and take better care of them? Okay, if we know that this future self is another person and we know that relationships matter, how can we make those relationships stronger? And at some point I realized, you know what, this isn't like the first time somebody has asked this sort of question. Charities, they do a really good job at getting you to feel closer to charity recipients so that you'll end up forking some of your hard earned dollars and cents over. They tell good stories, making the recipients vivid, and that makes them more emotional. And we know that emotions are the types of things that really sort of push the ball down the field in terms of behavior. So, you know, early on one of the things we decided to do is try to actually use age progression technology to show people what they'd look like in the future. You know, sag the cheeks and add some age spots and... There's a filter for this, right, where you can see what you look like 20 years from now. When I do it, it's crazy. I look just like my dad. And so one of my favorite aspects of being, you know, in a business school that I get to also work with companies, I'm trying to put some of these ideas into practice. And so we have shown people images when they've been making sort of hypothetical decisions about saving and when they're exposed to these future selves. They express a little more desire to save for the future. We worked with the bank and we had about 50,000 customers and half of them got access to these aged images and half of them didn't. They all got the same message that it's important to make a contribution to their retirement accounts. And the people who got exposed end up being about 16% more likely to make a contribution. Now, the question is, does this work? You know, I don't want to overstate it, right? It's not like I download one of these apps and suddenly I'm living this austere life and doing everything for tomorrow, right? You know, these are relatively small effects, but as a social scientist, that excites me because anything we can do to move the needle that ends up compounding over time is really quite important. But you want to sort of pair those sorts of interventions with context where people can make a decision for some future self, whether it's saving more, signing up to work with a service that can allow you to plan an estate and will, these sorts of things, right? It's another way of making that future self more vivid and more emotional. In a minute, planning ahead even if the future looks pretty bleak. On the show today, Future You. I'm Anush Zamorodi and you're listening to the TED Radio Hour from NPR. This message comes from Capital Group. In a world full of noise, long-term thinking stands out. On the Capital Ideas Podcast, Capital Group leaders explore the decisions that matter most in investing, leadership, and life. 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We're going to be talking about the new product, the new product, the new product, the new product. This product is a product that's available in the market for all customers. This message comes from NPR sponsor Informatica from Salesforce. Everybody's ready for AI to help with the next big breakthrough, except your data. Get your data AI ready at Informatica.com. Informatica, where data and AI come to life. It's the Ted Radio Hour from NPR. I'm Manush Zamorodi. On the show today, Future You. We were just talking to psychologist Hal Hirschfield. His research focuses on our relationship with our future selves, which, as Hal just explained, our brains perceive as a different person. But is it getting harder for some people, especially younger people, to imagine their future selves at all? I'm thinking of this 2022 study that found that young adults feel really pessimistic about what's going on in the world, whether it's coming out of a pandemic, the economy, climate change, and that 45% of people between the ages of 18 and 35 don't see a point in saving money as a result. They want to live in the now. And part of me says, well, how can you blame them? So how do you tell people who feel pretty hopeless about the future that they need to plan for it anyway? I don't blame them. This, to me, is one of the great sort of negative fallouts of all of the world-changing events that have happened over the last several years, especially since I started doing this research originally. But this isn't the first moment in history where people are experiencing this high degree of existential terror and angst. So during the Cuban Missile Crisis, there was quite a bit of existential angst and terror. Now, one could say these are unprecedented events, and the confluence of them is particularly unprecedented. One thing that I would suggest there is that time marches on, time progresses regardless of how we feel about it. So if we want to bury our heads in the sand because the future feels so scary, we can, but that doesn't mean that the future won't come. It doesn't stop it from moving forward. One takeaway from this is that it's still worthwhile to deepen the conversations we have between now and later. I wonder, you know, is there a way to give a little bit more to the future, whether that comes in terms of saving or whatever sort of the flavor of the decision might be? It is a question of figuring out what's the allocation of resources between now and later so that later doesn't become much worse than it is or that we fear it's going to be. And I suppose on a personal level, you're saying that you need to find a balance between smelling the roses, living in the moment, and making decisions that are kinder to your future self. I think harmony might be a better word. Balance implies that we're constantly trading off. You know, you're on the seesaw, you're either up or you're down. You know, harmony, you think about it in music. It implies that two voices can be singing at the same time at different levels and almost work together. I think the same could be said for our current and future selves. There are decisions we can make right now that aren't just for the future, but could be for now and for later as well. I can spend more time with family and away from work that could benefit me now, it'll benefit me later. There also may be times where working more right now is beneficial now and it's beneficial later, but I also need to figure out where I fit in, the family and friends, and sort of create a word that I like as a mosaic, where I'm sort of fitting the pieces in together all at once. But that sort of mindset shift, I hope, sort of takes away some of the constant conflict and tension between now and later. It makes it possible that the two can kind of coexist. That was psychologist Hal Hirschfield. He's a professor in the Anderson School of Management at UCLA and the author of the book Your Future Self. How to make tomorrow better today. You can see his full talk at Ted.com. So that's the neurological perspective. And now for something a bit more philosophical about who will grow up to be in the future. Because ask most kids about their plans for their future and they'll be pretty certain about everything they will accomplish. What do you want to be in the future? A doctor. Make all the sick people better. Using my telescope. Don't you mean stethoscope? Yeah, stethoscope. I just want to be a queen. I want to wear a dress made of diamonds and I'm serious. You're serious? Yes. These are voices from a popular web series called Recess Therapy, where they talk to kids about their lives, their advice for grown-ups, and the future. I think the future is going to be like my dream. What's your dream? It's to be a parent. I'm going to take care of my children and make sure they don't get lost in big spaces. I think it's going to feel good. Start to vote. Do you think you would make a good president? I don't think right now, but probably in the future. I mean, doesn't that sound familiar? In the fourth grade, I said that I wanted to grow up to be an actress and that I was going to change my name to Hillary or Christina. At one point, my daughter told me she was going to be a neurologist and a baker at the same time. And if you asked journalist Shankar Vedantam when he was a child what the future held for him, he would have been just as sure of himself. When I was a small kid, I thought I was going to be a soccer star and I put all my hopes and energies into being a professional soccer player. But as is the case for most of us, that sadly did not come to pass because my talents did not match my enthusiasm when it came to soccer. So in his 20s, Shankar thought he'd picked a more realistic path. I studied engineering in Southern India. And after I finished my engineering college or as I was nearing the end of it, I thought I was going to get an MBA and follow a corporate track, which is very different from the world that I'm in today. Shankar says that most people don't think their hopes and dreams will change much over the years. But actually we grow to be fundamentally different people who want different things. Here he is on the TED stage. When I was 22, I was a freshly minted electronics engineer in Southern India. I had no idea that three decades later I would be living in the United States, that I would be a journalist, and that I would be the host of a podcast called Hidden Brain. It's a show about human behavior and how to apply psychological science to our lives. Now, we didn't have podcasts when I graduated from college. We didn't walk around with smartphones in our pockets. So my future was not just unknown, it was unknowable. All of us have seen what this is like in the last three years as we slowly try and emerge from the COVID pandemic. If we think about the people we used to be, we can see how anxiety and isolation and upheavals in our lives and livelihoods, how this has changed us, changed our outlook, changed our perspective. But there is a paradox here, and the paradox is when we look backwards, we can see enormous changes in who we have become. But when we look forwards, we tend to imagine that we're going to be the same people in the future. Now, sure, we imagine the world is going to be different. We know that AI and climate change is going to mean for a very different world. But we don't imagine that we ourselves will have different perspectives, different views, different preferences. I call this the illusion of continuity. And I think one reason this happens is that when we look backwards, the contrast with our prior selves to who we are today is so clear. When we look forward, we can imagine ourselves being a little older, a little grayer. But we don't imagine fundamentally that we're going to be different people. And so those changes seem more amorphous. The illusion of continuity. I mean, I can think of very sort of mundane ways that's happened to me. I never really liked spicy food. And if you had told me, oh no, you're going to end up being a person who loves spicy food. I would not have believed you. Little did I know pregnancy would change my taste buds. But you have demonstrated on your show that it's not just the little things, this inability or this, I guess it's a lack of imagination in some ways that you will change. You will change who you fundamentally are and what you believe in. It can have huge ramifications. One of the stories that you tell is about a couple. I wonder if you could share that story. Yeah, we featured the story of John and Stephanie Rink, a wonderful story. They married when they were quite young. And then they traveled around the country. John became a basketball coach and Stephanie became a nurse. And they were eventually living in a rural area. And Stephanie would pay house calls to people who were very sick, sometimes people who had terminal illnesses. And she would come back from these visits really shaken. And she would tell John that if she ever was struck by a terminal illness, she didn't want him to do anything that would prolong her suffering unnecessarily. She would say, John, just shoot me. Don't ever let me get to that point. Just shoot me. I heard that. I don't know how many times. As fate would have it, Stephanie in fact did fall sick with Lou Gehrig's disease or ALS when she was in her 50s. And she went downhill relatively quickly. I was hanging my head on. She knows what she's going to do. The most comfortable life until it's time to die and then making sure she died with dignity. Dignity, peace, calm, they were all what I was working towards. And the day came when she was no longer able to breathe on her own and John rushed her to the hospital where a nurse asked her, Mrs. Rinka, would you like us to put you on a ventilator? And she nodded yes. And that's when my jaw dropped. Stephanie wanted to be put on life support. What? No. I just want to say no, she doesn't. No, she doesn't want that. She said yes. John was so surprised by this that he asked her the next day. He said, you know, Steph, is that really what you want? And Stephanie said yes. And the challenge here is that it's not that Stephanie was being inconsistent. I think it's really that Stephanie at age 35, you know, imagining what her future self would be like, imagining what it would be like to have a terminal illness was not really able to put herself in the shoes of Stephanie at age 59, you know, suffering from a terminal illness and gasping for air. I mean, what if Stephanie had been unconscious when her husband brought her to the hospital? What if she hadn't been able to advocate for her new thinking? I mean, the decision would have been made. Yes, the decision would have been made. And then Stephanie had written out an advance directive. The advance directive would have said, you know, please do not put me on a ventilator, you know, do not prolong my suffering. But of course, the advance directive is Stephanie at age 35 or age 40, making plans for her future self. But what if we don't actually know who our future selves are going to be? That's actually kind of both an interesting thought, but also a terrifying thought because throughout our lives, Manush, we are constantly making plans for our future selves. We invest money and save for retirement because we have an image of the kind of people we're going to be in retirement. We propose marriage and get married to people because we imagine that we know what we will want 25 years in the future when we are married to this person. But if in fact we are different people in the future than we are today, we are making plans for a stranger, a stranger who might look back at us with, you know, bewilderment or even resentment and ask us what made you think that that is what I would want? So I think there's a temptation here to quote the old bumper sticker, stuff happens, right? And shrug and be like, well, I don't know, what are you going to do? This is life. But actually in your talk, you share three ideas that you think can help us with our future self. Can we talk about that? And the first piece of advice is accepting this idea that you are going to be different in 30 years time. That's right. So if you buy the idea that you're going to be a different person in the future than you are today, perhaps the important question to ask is, what are things about ourselves today that perhaps we might wish to see changed? Are there elements to our personality to our being short tempered or impatient or unempathetic? Are there things about ourselves that we would like to change? One of the questions then becomes, if you allow for the fact that you're going to become a different person, how do you help construct that person that you're going to become? And I think I like that idea very much because it suggests that we can be the authors of our future self, that we can actually construct this person we're going to become. The engine to do this is curiosity, which is that if we only are doing the things that we're used to doing, if we're only talking to the people who are already in us, in our circle of friends and family, we're never going to expand our horizons to imagine the people we might become. The second piece of advice that I had is to exercise humility, especially when it comes to expressing our opinions on various things. Social media platforms have become vehicles for grandstanding and accusation and malevolence sometimes, and so much of that I think is based on a false certitude that the way I think today is going to be the way that I think tomorrow. And if we had a little bit more humility, if we actually said, I think the way I think today, because my circumstances, my environment, in some ways, has conspired to shape who I am today in powerful ways, my environment is going to shape me to be a different person tomorrow. I might have very different views one month from now, one year from now, or 10 years from now. I've given you a number of ways in which our future selves are going to be weaker and frailer than we are today. And that is true, that is part of the story. But our future selves are also going to have capacities and strengths and wisdom that we do not possess today. So when we confront opportunities and we hesitate, when I tell myself, I don't think I have it in me to quit my job and start my own company. Or I tell myself, I don't have it in me to learn a musical instrument at the age of 52. Or I tell myself, I don't have it in me to look after a disabled child. What we really should be saying is, I don't have the capacity to do those things today. That doesn't mean I won't have the capacity to do those things tomorrow. So lesson number three is to be brave. That's my favorite one, Shankar. This idea that our future selves won't be weaker, won't be less able, and that maybe we need to trust that we will maybe change for the better. Tell me what you think about that. Is there an example that comes to mind for you in your own life? Yeah, you know, I think all of us who are parents have some vision of this, right? So, you know, your six-year-old comes home in tears one day from school and she thinks that, you know, her life has ended because she didn't get the part in her elementary school production of a play and she's sort of heartbroken by it. And you understand this is only a passing breeze that this too shall pass. In some ways, we don't bring that same empathy and compassion to ourselves, right? So we should tell ourselves when we're going through a tough time. So we are going to look back on in ten years' time. And it's possible that we will remember those tough times with a smile and not a tear. I'm not saying that bad things don't happen to people and I'm not saying that those bad things don't stay with people for a long time. But I think the smart thing to do is almost to treat ourselves the way we treat the children whom we love. And if you think about yourself that way, you can extend some of the same empathy you extend to a crying child to your own self when you come home at the end of the day and you're heartbroken about something. Part of me feels like it's, you know, maybe it's futile trying to plan your life when there are new emotions and new weird circumstances that you can never predict. Yes, that's right. What's the point? I think this is something that it's important for people of all ages, but I think especially young people to keep in mind, which is that, you know, we often freight ourselves with so many worries and we ask ourselves, am I doing the right thing? Am I making the right choice? Am I going to the right college? Have I picked the right course? And the truth is that all of these things are going to change in such profound ways in the next 10, 20 or 30 years that the individual choices you make are going to matter less and less. This is not to say that we shouldn't care about anything. We absolutely should care about what's right in front of us. But things are going to change in remarkable ways. We are going to change in remarkable ways. And we and the world are going to be very different tomorrow than who we are today. That's Shankar Vedantam, host of the podcast Hidden Brain. His most recent book is called Useful Delusions, The Power and Paradox of the Self-Diseieving Brain. We also heard from John Rinka from an episode of Hidden Brain and Julian Shapiro Barnum, host of the web series, Recess Therapy. You can see Shankar's full talk at ted.com. On the show today, Future You. I'm Manush Zamorodi and you're listening to the Ted Radio Hour from NPR. We'll be right back. This message comes from AmeriPrize Financial. Chief Market Strategist Anthony Saglanbeni shares how AmeriPrize and their advisors focus on putting clients first. AmeriPrize advisors are really collaborative and want to help. And so those are really great attributes when sitting down with clients who are looking for advice and looking for guidance on their investments. Support for NPR and the following message come from Edward Jones. What does it mean to live a rich life? It means brave first leaps, tearful goodbyes, and everything in between. 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How do we as societies form a relationship to people that we will never know? There's some sense that as long as you do your own future planning, perhaps you'll be okay and the people you know will be okay in the future. But enough to just keep your family healthy and safe. There's something about using history and using our collective memory that's really important when it comes to collectively planning for the future. This is Beena Venkatraman. I'm a columnist at The Washington Post, and my book is The Optimist Telescope, Thinking Ahead in a Reckless Age. Before she wrote her book, Beena was working in the Obama Administration as a science advisor. The leaders of the United States, including mayors, governors, corporate executives, think through their planning for future disasters. There was a sense that this sounds really important, but at the moment my board is basically focused on how we're going to do our quarterly earnings reports, what kind of stock dividends we're going to be paying, very short-term oriented metrics. Couldn't seem to take these threats of the future that seriously. This led Beena on a search to understand why some societies succeed and others fail to plan for their future. In 2017, she went to Fukushima, Japan. It was the sixth anniversary of the nuclear disaster there at Fukushima Daiichi, the nuclear plants, where the tsunamis had breached the seawall of the nuclear reactor. She was monitoring on what looks like a meltdown. After the quake and the tsunami, a blast at the Daiichi nuclear power plant in Fukushima. It's sheer power plain to see. Experts are warning that radiation levels now are rising at the Fukushima nuclear plant. In 2011, a magnitude 9 earthquake hit Japan, causing massive tsunamis, one of which flooded the nuclear plant in Fukushima. Local explosions damaged surrounding buildings. Smoke was everywhere. And so this disaster led to a meltdown of the nuclear reactors and displaced hundreds of thousands of people. We could see cracks in the walls of the stairwells still from the earthquake six years before. There were still more than 100,000 people in 2017, six years later, displaced by that nuclear disaster. One of the things that was so interesting to think about and learn was how the company that ran the nuclear power plant, TEPCO, how they had thought about planning for the future at the time. TEPCO had done a risk analysis, but it hadn't looked far enough into the past. And what was interesting to learn was the high contrast between what happened in Fukushima and what happened in Onagawa, Japan, in 2011. When I was there, I learned about the Onagawa nuclear power station, which was even closer to the epicenter of that earthquake than the infamous Fukushima Daiichi that we all know about. Here's Bina Venkatraman on the TED stage. In Onagawa, people in the city actually fled to the nuclear power plant as a place of refuge. It was that safe. It was spared by the tsunamis. It was the foresight of just one engineer, Yanosuke Hirai, that made that happen. In the 1960s, he fought to build that power plant farther back from the coast at higher elevation and with a higher seawall. He knew the story of his hometown shrine, which had flooded in the year 869 after a tsunami. It was his knowledge of history that allowed him to imagine what others could not. 869. Yes, yes. More than a thousand years before, you have a tsunami that floods a shrine, and the story gets carried forward, the Jogan earthquake of 869. So there was a marker in his hometown shrine, and there are actually markers in other areas of Japan that have survived from that particular earthquake. So there's a place called Murahama, where on the top of a particular hill, in 869, people had fled to the top of that hill, thinking that was a safe place during an earthquake, given the risk of tsunami to flee. And in fact, it was one of the worst places you could go, because two tsunamis, sort of two big waves, crested over the hill and killed the people who had fled to the top of this hill. And so the people who survived this disaster, who weren't on the top of the hill, decided to mark that place and to have that marker stay intact, and the story of it taught to local school children and sort of passed on through the generations. So part of this future planning is taking the long view backwards and forwards. Yes, so one of the principles here is that when we're planning for the future, it's not helpful to only look at what's just happened. And it's very much in human psychology to respond to whatever risk or disaster has just befallen us. So for example, right after Fukushima, Japan actually cut a lot of its nuclear capacity in part over safety concerns, but the net effect of that was a turn to natural gas, LNG, and more fossil fuels, which as we know is contributing to climate change. And other countries of the world have similarly reacted to what happened in Fukushima and pulled back on nuclear power. And that is an example of, I think, sometimes how we can overreact to events that happen in recent historical memory. Can we talk about another example of governments having to deal with figuring out our collective future for people who won't be alive when this finally does happen? And you talk about this a little bit in your book, nuclear waste. Because this is where you dispose of this stuff. It doesn't go away, does it? Is that forcing certain political leaders to really think generations ahead? Nuclear waste is one of those challenges that is similar to the climate crisis in that the time horizon in which people today are implicated is far longer than we are used to contemplating and we're used to imagining. So we're actually obligated to those future generations that are going to live in a world that we have warmed with our decisions about how we use energy. And with nuclear waste, there have been a number of efforts to try to say, how should we imagine if we create a nuclear waste site marking that for future generations, knowing that language has changed, that the oldest living language is only a few thousand years old and some of the time horizons of this waste often extends much farther into the future. Can you share some of the ideas that came up? Some of them are really funny in your book. There have been really interesting cabals that have been brought together to think about the nuclear waste question. An example that I love to talk about in this realm is genetically engineering cats whose fur will turn green around nuclear waste sites. And the idea being that since cats were loved in ancient Egypt and are loved today, they'll probably be loved by future humans. And some of these ideas just really expose the futility of trying to really intimately know future generations. So even things like trying to make a signal, you would think, okay, we can mark this as a hazardous waste site and put a skull in crossbones there. Well, that could also mark like a pirate theme park. It doesn't have to be something that's hazardous, right? So we don't know what people 10,000 years from now are going to want or like or do. But what we can do is we can pass things on that are carried on by each generation to come and explain their importance, explain their value to that next generation, and hope that that next generation then adapts and brings that message forth, carrying the torch to the next one. It sounds like what you're saying is to connect to our future collective selves. We have to see these new generations as real people and we need to see ourselves as future generations for previous generations in some way. We have to see ourselves as part of a continuum. Absolutely. I really believe in this way of thinking about ourselves. We all want to feel like we belong to something greater and what greater thing to belong to than the fabric of time. In the winter of 2012, I went to visit my grandmother's house in South India, a place, by the way, where the mosquitoes have a special taste for the blood of the American born. No joke. When I was there, I got an unexpected gift. It was this antique instrument made more than a century ago, hand-carved from a rare wood, inlaid with pearls and with dozens of metal strings. It's a family heirloom, a link between my past, the country where my parents were born, and the future, the unknown places I'll take it. I didn't actually realize it at the time I got it, but it would later become a powerful metaphor for my work. It was custom-made for my great-grandfather. He was a well-known music and art critic in India in the early 20th century. My great-grandfather had the foresight to protect this instrument at a time when my great-grandmother was pawning off all their belongings. But that's another story. He protected it by giving it to the next generation, by giving it to my grandmother, and she gave it to me. When I first heard the sound of this instrument, it haunted me. It felt like hearing a wanderer in the Himalayan fog. It felt like hearing a voice from the past. ["The Sound of the Sun"] This instrument is in my home today, but it doesn't actually belong to me. It's my role to shepherd it in time, and that feels more meaningful to me than just owning it for today. This instrument positions me as both a descendant and an ancestor. It makes me feel part of a story bigger than my own. And this, I believe, is the single most powerful way we can reclaim foresight by seeing ourselves as the good ancestors we long to be. Ancestors not just to our own children, but to all humanity. Whatever your heirloom is, however big or small, protect it and know that its music can resonate for generations. That was Bina Venkatraman. Her book is called The Optimist Telescope, thinking ahead in a reckless age. You can see her talk at TED.com. So what can we each do to future proof, as Bina suggests, and become good ancestors? Author and philosopher Roman Kriznarik is leading what he says is a movement, a grand mind shift in how to think about a future that we will never experience ourselves. Here's Roman's 2020 TED Talk. It's time for humankind to recognize a disturbing truth. We have colonized the future. In wealthy countries especially, we treat it like a distant colonial outpost where we can freely dump ecological damage and technological risk as if there was nobody there. The tragedy is that tomorrow's generations aren't here to challenge this pillaging of their inheritance. They can't leap in front of the king's horse like a suffragette, or stages sit in like a civil rights activist, or go an assault march to defy their colonial oppressors like Mahatma Gandhi. They're granted no political rights or representation, they have no influence in the marketplace. The great silent majority of future generations is rendered powerless. In the next two centuries alone, tens of billions of people will be born. Amongst them, all your grandchildren, and their grandchildren, and the friends and communities on whom they'll depend. How will all these future generations look back on us, and the legacy we're leaving for them? How can we become the good ancestors that future generations deserve? Well over the past decade, a global movement has started to emerge with people committed to extending out time horizons towards a longer now. I think of its pioneers as time rebels. They can be found at work in Japan's visionary future design movement, which aims to overcome the short term cycles that dominate politics, by drawing on the principle of seventh generation decision making practiced by many Native American communities. Future design gathers together residents to draw up and discuss plans for the towns and cities where they live. Half the group are told they're residents from the present day. The other half are given ceremonial robes to wear and told to imagine themselves as residents from the year 2060. Well it turns out that the residents from 2060 systematically advocate far more transformative city plans from healthcare investments to climate change action. And this innovative form of future citizens assembly is now spreading throughout Japan from small towns like Yahaba to major cities like Kyoto. What if future design was adopted by towns and cities worldwide to revitalize democratic decision making and extend their vision far beyond the now? Time rebels have also taken to courts of law to secure the rights of future people. The organization Our Children's Trust has filed a landmark case against the US government on behalf of 21 young people campaigning for the legal right to a safe climate and healthy atmosphere for both current and future generations. Their David versus Goliath struggle has already inspired groundbreaking lawsuits worldwide from Colombia and Pakistan to Uganda and the Netherlands. So the time rebellion has begun. The rebels are rising to extend our time horizons from seconds and minutes to decades and far beyond. But how can we really think and plan on the scale of millennia? Well the answer is perhaps the ultimate secret to being a time rebel and it comes from the biomimicry designer Jeanine Begnes who suggests we learn from nature's 3.8 billion years of evolution. How is it that other species have learned to survive and thrive for 10,000 generations or more? Well it's by taking care of the place that will take care of their offspring. By living within the ecosystem in which they're embedded. By knowing not to foul the nest which is what humans have been doing with devastating effects at an ever increasing pace and scale over the past century. So a profound starting point for time rebels everywhere is to focus not simply on lengthening time but on regenerating place. We must restore and repair and care for the planetary home that will take care of our offspring. For our children and our children's children. Let us all become time rebels and be inspired by the beautiful Mohawk blessing spoken when a child is born. Thank you Earth. You know the way. That was philosopher Roman Kriznarik. His book is called The Good Ancestor. A radical prescription for long-term thinking. You can see his full talk at TED.com. Thank you so much for listening to our show this week about future you. This episode was produced by Andrea Gutierrez, Rachel Faulkner-White, Wayne Kaplan-Levinson, and Fiona Geeran. It was edited by Sana's Meshkanpour and me. Our production staff at NPR also includes Matthew Cloutier, James De La Houssi, Harsha Nahada, and Katie Montalione. Beth Donovan is our executive producer. Our audio engineer was Ted Mebane. Our theme music was written by Romteen Arablui. Our partners at TED are Chris Anderson, Colin Helms, Michelle Quint, Alejandra Salazar, and Daniela Ballorazzo. I'm Manush Zamorodi, and you've been listening to the TED Radio Hour from NPR. This message comes from eBay. The worst part about loving cars might just be buying them and all the parts. From Toyotas to Aston Martins, eBay has thousands of cars and the largest online selection of vehicle parts and accessories. eBay. Things People Love. This message comes from Mint Mobile. If you're tired of spending hundreds on big wireless bills, bogus fees, and free perks, Mint Mobile is for you. Shop plans at MintMobile.com slash Switch. Taxes and fees extra. See Mint Mobile for details.