This Week in Startups

5,000+ Tech Workers Laid Off This Week. It's Just The Beginning. | E2286

72 min
May 9, 202622 days ago
Listen to Episode
Summary

This Week in Startups episode covers the rapid shift toward AI-first operations across tech companies, featuring GoAbacus (on-premise AI for regulated industries) and Yanez (proof-of-human verification). The hosts discuss massive tech layoffs as a strategic move toward AI efficiency, the emergence of independent startup founders post-layoffs, and the case for state-level rather than federal AI regulation.

Insights
  • Tech layoffs are now primarily AI-driven optimization, not bloat correction—companies cutting staff while raising earnings guidance signals a structural shift in how value is created
  • On-premise AI infrastructure is becoming critical for regulated industries (banking, healthcare) due to data privacy concerns and fixed-cost models versus variable usage-based pricing
  • The future economy is moving toward distributed independent contractors and small founding teams (2-6 people) rather than large corporate structures, enabled by AI tooling
  • Proof-of-human verification is becoming essential infrastructure as AI-generated content floods social networks and financial systems
  • State-level regulatory experimentation (vs. federal control) will drive innovation in AI, healthcare, and other domains by enabling competitive governance models
Trends
AI-first hiring and operations becoming non-negotiable competitive advantage; companies achieving 2.5x productivity gains per engineer post-AI adoptionDecentralized training models (fractional reserve training) allowing smaller companies to build proprietary AI without massive compute budgetsConsumer-led healthcare stack emerging (Whoop, Function, Superpower, Eight Sleep) with on-demand clinician access, bypassing traditional insurance modelsStripe Atlas incorporation data showing step-function increase in new business formation in Q1 2026, suggesting layoff-driven startup waveBitTensor subnet economy maturing as permissionless AI infrastructure layer with 128+ competing subnets and incentive-aligned security modelsOn-premise AI hardware becoming viable business model with 1,600+ orders in 30 days, suggesting enterprise demand for data sovereigntyEarnings growth decoupling from headcount—companies maintaining or reducing staff while growing EPS 26-62% YoY through AI efficiencyBiometric-based identity verification and agent authorization chains becoming critical for commerce and contract enforcement in agentic AI eraRevenge startups and founder-led independent media becoming viable career path as corporate loyalty erodes and AI enables solo/small-team operations
Companies
GoAbacus
On-premise AI infrastructure startup for regulated industries; shipped 1,600 Go One devices in 30 days at $250K+ CapEx
Yanez
BitTensor subnet 54 company providing proof-of-human verification and biometric identity for DeFi and agentic AI appl...
Block
Fintech company cut 40% staff (4,000 people) in Feb 2026; raised 2026 EPS guidance 62% higher than 2025 with 100% AI ...
Cloudflare
Cut 20% of staff; reported 600% increase in AI usage in last 3 months while re-architecting for agentic AI era
Coinbase
Cut 14% of staff (700 people); pursuing smaller teams, manager-ICs, and fewer organizational layers
Anthropic
Raised $50B at $900B pre-money valuation; annualized revenue run rate approaching $45B; likely next addition to Mag-7
OpenAI
Referenced as public AI provider that regulated industries avoid due to data privacy concerns
Microsoft
Major investor in OpenAI; host notes exposure through index funds and early investment in OpenAI
Amazon
Owns 20% of Anthropic; building hyperscale AI infrastructure (Colossus); major customer of AI providers
Google
Hyperscaler building AI infrastructure advantage; competing with other Mag-7 companies on AI deployment speed
Meta
Hyperscaler building AI infrastructure; referenced as competitor in AI infrastructure race
Tesla
Elon Musk company; host predicts will rocket to top Mag-7 position alongside SpaceX post-AI adoption
SpaceX
Elon Musk company; host predicts will be top Mag-7 addition; building Colossus AI infrastructure
Whoop
Fitness wearable adding clinician video chat; leading consumer-led healthcare stack alongside Function and Superpower
Function
Blood panel and health data provider; part of emerging consumer-led healthcare stack
Superpower
Health data and GLP provider; part of consumer-led healthcare stack with concierge consultant services
Eight Sleep
Sleep tracking device; host wants AI-first doctors to start with Eight Sleep data in healthcare decisions
Stripe
Atlas program shows step-function increase in new business incorporations in Q1 2026, signaling startup wave
BitTensor
Decentralized AI network with 128+ subnets; permissionless mining and incentive-aligned security model for AI training
Mistral
On-premise AI provider; host notes their on-prem offerings start at $10-20M, contrasting with GoAbacus pricing
People
David Moscatelli
Pitched on-premise AI infrastructure for regulated industries; shipped 1,600 Go One devices in 30 days
Jose Caldera
Discussed proof-of-human verification and biometric identity for DeFi and agentic AI on BitTensor subnet 54
Jason Calacanis
Host; discussed AI-first operations, layoffs, state-level regulation, and startup formation trends
Alex
Co-host; asked technical questions about on-prem AI, hardware refresh cycles, and business models
Elon Musk
Referenced for Roadster Signature Series deposit strategy and Colossus AI infrastructure build
David Sachs
Referenced as having different views on AI regulation; host disagrees with his approach
Mark Jeffrey
Investing in BitTensor subnets; working on subnet-level investment strategy
Quotes
"You have banks, credit unions, hospitals that want to use AI, but they're not interested in sending their data to any of the public AI providers. They say, how do we use AI, but locally within our network? So none of our data leaves our infrastructure."
David MoscatelliEarly segment
"If there's only one way to really know if your information is being shared or not, which is to not share it."
Jason CalacanisGoAbacus discussion
"Any task you're doing, you have to ask AI first, how could I do this task better? And then any task that you do over and over again, you have to work with AI to let AI do that task, or at least attempt to."
Jason CalacanisAI-first operations discussion
"If you don't have the time to get to it, you don't have a job. That's what startups are doing now."
Jason CalacanisAI-first hiring discussion
"I wouldn't trust Biden or Kamala or Trump or J.D. Vance with AI regulation for everything. Some god kings in Washington, D.C. who are on the grift, who are getting paid by these lobbyists. That system's broken."
Jason CalacanisAI regulation discussion
Full Transcript
So here's the problem. You have banks, credit unions, hospitals that want to use AI, but they're not interested in sending their data to any of the public AI providers. They say, how do we use AI, but locally within our network? So none of our data leaves our infrastructure. You can make your own decision. For me, if you look at the record of some of the executives at some of the companies, it might make one wonder. And if there's only one way to really know if your information is being shared or not, which is to not share it. 25, 30 days ago, and we have over 1,600 orders of this device. I wouldn't trust Biden or Kamala or Trump or J.D. Vance with AI regulation for everything. Some god kings in Washington, D.C. who are on the grift, who are getting paid by these lobbyists. That system's broken. The executive branch, to your point of executive power, control over what AI models I can use terrifies me to no end, Jason. This Week in Startups is brought to you by Iam8Health. Start feeling like your best self every day. Go to Iam8Health.com slash twist and use the code twist to get a free welcome kit, five free travel sachets, and 10% off your order. Every. For all your incorporation, banking, payroll, benefits, accounting, taxes, or other back office administration needs, visit every.io. And Sentry. Your team should be focused on shipping features, not chasing down bugs. New users can get $240 in free credits when they go to century.io slash twist and use the code twist. All right, everybody, welcome back to Twist for May 8th, 2026. I am at my mom and dad's Brownstone, got to see them for the full week, got to take in four Knicks games, Atlanta, New York, New York. And tonight I'll be in Philly or when you're listening to this, I will have been in Philly. Acquired courtside for two out of four. It's a really hard thing to do these days, but I am really excited for my Knicks and I'm really excited for today's episode. Yeah, Knicks are up 2-0 over the Sixers, right? Yeah, and it takes four wins. You play three series in order to get to the finals. And so we have to win 12 games to get to the finals, obviously. And we're halfway there, six of 12, halfway, not bad. Still a long way to go, mission not accomplished, but we really want to get to the finals and then we'll have to strategize from there because we have some great, incredible folks that we're going to be competing against in the final, either the Spurs or OKC. But let's get to the show. We have a lot of great guests and we have a lot of news. So we're going to try to whip through this docket for everybody. I know everybody's got a lot of comments. And at the end of the show, we'll be doing the plugs for the first time. Today, we're going to be doing the AI plugs. So listen to the end of the show for the AI plugs. Let's get started. All right. First up, we have David Moscatelli. He is the founder of a company called Go Abacus. It's a launched-backed startup that wants to deploy on-prem AI for regulated industries. Jason, they have a thing called the Go One. It's a big bunch of GPUs in a box. And I heard that they may have another one coming out. But the idea is, how do we get AI in the door of companies that can't use Azure, AWS, OpenAIs, APIs? That's the plan. So, David, welcome to the show. Good to have you here. Thank you for having me. I'm so excited. Now, the name of the startup, the domain is Go Abacus, but you just go by Abacus, yeah? Yeah, we have an arch nemesis, Jason. So we had to differentiate by adding the Go, which leads to our advantage. And we say, go healthcare, go banking, go finance, go abacus. Got it. Love it. And so before we get started here, always remember to start your Plaud, record everything. And Alex has his on his wrist right there. You need to get the Plaud Note Pin S. Amazing product. If you go to Plaud.ai slash twist and use the code twist, you're going to get 10% off. Alex does it all the time because I'm constantly giving him notes on how to be an amazing co-host. It's true. And yeah, just how to get better and better. Thanks. We applaud, applaud for sponsoring independent media like this week at startups. David, we met, I guess, is it two years now? You were to launch, which launch accelerator class did you go to? I think it was LA 33, but I don't know, Jason, because every day is like a year for me. So it's one of those. Exactly. And maybe just give us an idea of what you're building in as plain English as you can. And we always work on that really simple sentence. And we worked with you really hard in all of our startups to present these startups so well. And one of the great things about, I think, our accelerator and founder university, Alex, if I'm going to give myself a pat on the back here, is that we really help founders communicate what they're doing and why it's important. So you'll see that when David sort of explains it to us versus other folks who come on the podcast. And then I have to re-explain it in plain English. David, what's the mission here? Who are your customers? How do you make money? Okay. So here's where I disappointed Jason and the entire team. So we as a company, what I like to say is we're AI infrastructure for regulated industries. Now, when I say that, people go, well, what's infrastructure? And what do you mean by regulated industries? So here's the problem. You have banks, credit unions, hospitals that want to use AI, but they're not interested in sending their data to any of the public AI providers. OpenAI Cloud. I think they're fantastic companies, but it's just not in their wheelhouse. So they say, how do we use AI, but locally within our network? So none of our data leaves our infrastructure. And how do we box in the cost? In other words, with those guys, you're paying on usage. You know, if you're a bank or a credit union or an insurance company, that's a no go for you. You don't like a variable annuity every month. You want a fixed price. Okay. So they want to accomplish those two things. And then that's what we do at GoAbacus is we provide that on-prem infrastructure through hardware and software so that they consume AI in a safe and reliable way. And, you know, this is something, Alex, we've talked about here over and over again when it comes to running local models, running OpenClaw. And how do we think about all this incredible data I have on startups? We do 2,000, you know, we do about 50 to 100 first calls with founders every week. We have all that data. That data is stored in Notion and other places. We have AI provided to us from them. But we're always thinking, hmm, should this be training other people's models? And do we even believe them that it's not? Do they even have control over their models? Are these trustworthy companies? You know, listen, you can make your own decision. For me, if you look at the record of some of the executives at some of the companies, it might make one wonder. You know, and the history of the Internet writ large, Alex, is privacy is a game people play. And if there's only one way to really know if your information is being shared or not, which is to not share it. Yes. That is the only way to know. So I think this is what corporations really want. is to have an on-prem, and now you have a hardware solution, a software solution. Let's get into the nitty-gritty, and then, Alex, you can tee up your first question. That's right. So we have a piece of hardware. It's called the Go One. We came out with that about 25, 30 days ago, and we have over 1,600 orders of this device. So pray for me, everybody, on the call. Hardware is a completely different business. And we've had all sorts of people call. So we've had health fitness companies call us. We We had one guy who does luxury homes for famous celebrities. He wants to buy one of these to put in the box, to put in the house because celebrities don't want their data for their tech-enabled home going to any of the cloud providers. So there's been a whole bunch of interest that I could have never have anticipated. But I think our core value prop is we have the piece of hardware, which is the Go one. Everything you need to consume in AI is in that device. That device can support up to 2,000 concurrent users at one time. Okay? We ship that device directly to our clients. They unbox that. And in about 15 minutes, they're up and running with on-prem AI. How do we do that? Well, we pre-configure the software, pre-install it on the device. What's the software? We call it GoOne OS. It's a custom-developed operating system that enables the enterprise to have AI and connect to their data. And then that device connects to all the PC terminals of each employee within the organization so they can communicate with that device. We replace that device every year to have the most up-to-date chipset. And in the device, there's redundant systems. So there's three power supply units. There's duplicate GPUs, duplicate CPUs. We do that to maintain a certain service metric with the device as we deploy it to our clients. They can be chained together. So if you want more than 2,000 users, you can chain them together at 4, 6, 8, et cetera. So you have a service level agreement. You want to make sure you hit that 99.59s and you're basically mirroring, duplexing is the term when I was a network engineer we used. But suffice it to say, if a power supply or a card goes out, it's going to still be up and running and you can daisy chain them so you can have unlimited number of users. And I think that means on a security basis, if it's in on-prem, you can say, hey, only these IP addresses, only these specific MAC addresses, these specific hardware, these specific network cards can access it, which is a level of security that you really want if you had, you know, Justin Bieber's home network on. And I'm just making up a celebrity's name. Go ahead, Alex. So the yearly refresh is very interesting to me. What does it cost to buy a Go 1? And then do I have to repay you once a year? Because I presume that newer shares are going to cost more. is going to depreciate while I own it and so forth. It's a good question, Alex. And since I have some of our investors on the phone, i.e. Jason, I have to be careful how I answer this question. So I replace them every year because I want them to have the latest and greatest hardware. And I'm trying to avoid the expense of sending out a technician, Alex. So I have redundant systems and I replace the box every year. I don't have to send out a technician because on the basis of our stress testing, the chances of failure is incredibly low. Okay. That's the main reason. The second reason. It's the worst nightmare of every founder. You've built a product, everything's working great. Then real users start flooding in and suddenly it all breaks. What a disaster. You need to get it back up and running and you got to do that fast. You're looking like an amateur. That's why you need a partner like Sentry. Applications can break in many different ways, but Sentry sees everything. You'll get all the relevant details like stack traces, commits, releases, and even the developers who push that problem code in the first place. With Sentry, you're not going to be jumping around between different tools trying to figure out what happened. And Sear, Sentry's AI debugging agent, uses all this data and context to identify the root cause of the problem and suggest a fix. It can even take a look at your code before it ships and warn you if any problems are likely. Try Sear and Sentry for free. If you're a This Week in Startups listener at Sentry.io slash twist. Use the code twist for $240 in Sentry credits. Make sure you use that code. Make sure you use that URL, Sentry.io slash twist, so they know your uncle J. Cal sent you. The chip technology is changing rapidly, and we want to make sure that our clients have the latest and greatest stuff. So one of the only pushbacks to on-prem as well, as technology evolves, if I have this static thing, how am I keeping pace with what's coming out? And so we have a bunch of ways that we do that, both software and hardware. But on the hardware side, we want them to have the best experience possible. And so we change it out every year. We send them a new box. They migrate the old box to the new one. They wipe the old box. They put the old box back in the box it came and they ship it back to us. And then we decommission it. What am I? So do I pay one main upfront price and then a different amount every year? Do I pay the same amount every year? Tell me about the price I'm going to pay as a bank here. Yeah, it's a really good deal. So you have an upfront fee, which is CapEx, right? So it's a capital expenditure. Then you have a monthly service fee. The box refreshes are included in that initial CapEx expenditure. So every year when we refresh it, there's no additional fee. It's included as part of the service. If anything fails, any of those redundant systems fails, we get a notification of a failure and we immediately ship out a new box. So that's all included in the price. Now, these yearly refreshes, is that how often I, as a customer who has a Go One at my company, can expect to have the models that I can access refreshed? Or do those update more quickly than the hardware refreshes? That's a fantastic question. So the Go One OS includes our own proprietary models. Now, I know, Alex, you're thinking, okay, David, you don't have millions of dollars. How have you done that? You don't have tens of billions of dollars. There we go. So we actually as a company started in 2018, Alex. Back then, this was pre-LLM. It was NLP question-answer matching. And back then, we had the thumbs up and thumbs down button. Now, some dude decided to call that reinforced human learning. We call it thumbs up, thumbs down. So back then, people were really optimistic. And they spent a lot of time writing very editorial about why a question was good and why it was bad. So we had 30 million of those queries, right, as data in financial services. That was our base model training. Now, our core model, we ship out every six months. And our core model in the Go on OS is a collection of tiny models, Alex. So we call those SLMs, small language models, from 3 billion to 7 billion. Each of those models specializes in a very specific task. So in banking, the things that folks are trying to do are not, they don't change very often. They're very specific and they're very deterministic. Okay. So we have a series of specialized models and we have an orchestrator on top. That orchestrator orchestrates to a model, right? And then that model performs the task. Okay. So that's our model apparatus. So what I haven't heard you say is we have a large LLM that you can pick between. Like I'm thinking because this is on-prem, it's going to be mostly open source, open weight models. DPC, Kimmy, what are we talking? So we can, but that's not our preference. So you absolutely can install a localized model, but we have our own models that we've trained. Now, just to kind of talk about this, you might get back to the money. How do we do it? Well, each of our clients has our on-prem system deployed, right? At night, when our clients are not using their system, this is in their SLA, we batch train on their data, and then we take the weights from that training, not the underlying content, just the weights, and it sends to us every night. So we're decentralizing. We call it fractional reserve training. The more clients we have, the more clients that have the go on, the more training we have in our network, that training then comes back to us. So we're able to spread the cost of training across all of our clients, across each industry. And because our models are much smaller, they're faster and they're way less expensive to train. OpenAI and Claude, they don't know if you're going to write a poem or a sonnet. So they have to have massive parameters. Does that make sense? Can I ask a really nerdy question about this? So for the customer, the unit is CapEx and they pay you a retainer. When you're doing the training across customer hardware, how do you figure that out in accounting terms? Is that a cost of goods sold or is that like them giving you income? I can't figure out where the value is flowing there. It's tricky. That's a good question. So on our contracts, we have a monthly price and we say, hey, client, we love you. If you agree to share your weights with us, not the data, just the weights. because if I put my computer scientist hat on for a second, an LLM is a CSV file with weights and software to run those weights. Hate to demystify it for everyone. That's what it is. So we just want the weights. So we say, if you're willing to share the weights with us, we'll give you 20% off each month for the life of your contract. Got it. Or we'll discount the price of a Go 1 by 50%, right? And so that almost always does the trick. Not every time. We do have clients that say, nope, not doing that. And that's completely fine. but we have a fair number of clients that opt into that. Do we get the price of the Go one? Is this like a hundred thousand, $200,000? It sounds like this should be pretty expensive. It's got eight of those cards. Those cards are 5K each, I think. So there's, I mean, I just, off the top of my head, there's 50K in cards and then there's gotta be 25K in power supplies and memory and chips and whatever. So what's the ballpark here? And is that where the margin is or the margin in the service? Yeah. What can people expect, you know, out of the gate to be paying a year? quarter million dollars, half million dollars. Where does this start at? Because this is not a roll your own kind of situation. This is a high level SLA. But it's not a hundred million dollar, $10 million dollar install from a frontier model company that's got a side hustle. Like I had the founder of Mistral on the pod and they do like on-prem themselves, but I got to think their on-prem starts at 10 million or 20 million before they even get out of bed. Exactly right. So the GoOne, just as a CapEx item, starts at $250,000. The GoOne Max, which is coming out, which supports 8,000 concurrent users, that starts at $350,000. Now, most clients choose to amortize that over the life of the contract. And if you think about the math Jason divided by 2 users from limited AI you could ask a million questions 10 million questions 100 million questions It does not matter The price doesn change Your per user cost is pretty reasonable You talking about it kind of a steal in terms of price Hundreds of dollars, low hundreds of dollars per user, maybe. That's right. Which is what a pro account, consumer pro account costs, $250 a year, $350 a year, something in that range. And I think this is, Alex, something we learned when we were deploying OpenClaw agents or doing vibe coating is to get the most out of these products and to get the most out of AI, the caps make you concerned. It's kind of like being a chef where you're like, hey, these are white truffles. This is foie gras. This is Toro. You can't get creative because this stuff is $100 an ounce, $200 an ounce. You're dealing with caviar. So you can't waste it. Whereas if you were making meatloaf or you're making some omelet, you can go all day long. Eggs cost 25 cents each when you're buying them wholesale. So people can have a lot of creativity there and you can experiment. That's, I think, the magic of what GoAbacus is doing here is GoAbacus has a product that gives you unlimited usage. And the next blocker is you're like, oh my God, do I want to have access to my data? That's another psychological blocker. So you think about those two blockers. In order to get value from AI, you can't be watching the register and be scared. Oh my God, what is this agent going to cost? And you can't be scared. Oh my God, what if like, you know, Go Abacus is, we have Go Abacus as cap table. We have Go Abacus as due diligence on, you know, in a location. We have two factor authentication. We've got it encrypted. We got all this stuff. We don't want to have a situation where David calls me one day and says, hey, by the way, Somebody did a search in, you know, chat GPT and our cap table came up because they asked, what's the cap table of GoAbacus? I know this sounds fantastical, but remember when what was the first image generation company that broke out and they were indexing Getty Images? And when they started making images of things, the Getty Images logo started coming up. It was the, and then Getty Images sued them because they were like, hey, hate to tell you, but not only did you get caught red-handed, not only did you steal our images, you're now doing trademark infringement because your goddamn slop AI, it was stable diffusion, I believe. Am I correct, Alex? I believe that's right. I've been doing this job for decades now. Not a lot of people have worked with more startups than me, over 600 investments. But honestly, every .io might be the exception because every.io is working with every new startup. It's the all-in-one finance, banking, and HR app. They understand startups and they're now at over 1,000 startups. And that means first time founders working on their pre-seed rounds, but also veteran teams who've raised a series A or beyond. They can partner with every and they are. And why are they partnering with them? Just to scale up their business, build out their teams, take care of things that are not core to your product or your service. That means banking, payroll, benefits, taxes, compliance, everything you need to run your company is done in one place by one trusted partner. And they're going to give you 3% cash back on all company purchases sent directly to your bank account. So it's time to visit every.io and get back to focusing on what really matters for your business. Every.io is going to help you do that. E-V-E-R-Y.io. Talk about an embarrassing moment, but I do want to say, Jason, right now we're good. So I asked ChatGPT, what is the cap table of Goabicus? And it says, There does not appear to be a fully public capitalization table for GoAbacus. So you're actually, it may have gotten the wrong company now that I look at it. But anyways, so far, so good on that front. Let's do some math, though, Jason, because I think you're making a good point about usage and costs. If GoAbacus is correct and people do want this because they do want to have, you know, meter free AI, the money is huge. 1,600 Go Ones at a minimum of 250 apiece is $400 million. So, David, how long is it going to take you to deliver all those units? Because either you just made the new biggest hardware company in the world, or it's going to take a couple quarters to get those shipped. This is where, you know, I have to talk to our board and, you know, I become the pseudo board therapist. They call me late at night worried and I talk them off the ledge. So hardware is. It's supposed to be the other way around. I just want to point out that the founder having to talk to the VC and the board off the ledge, note to the, I may need to get on this board. You know, you always have, David, I don't do boards anymore because we have too many portfolio companies. You can always push the button. There's the bat signal and you can say the J. Cal bat signal. If you need me to come to a board meeting, I will come with Thor's hammer and Captain America's shield and level set. If you need me to come, I will come. I love that. I take you up on that one day. But yeah, they're worried like, well, David, how are you going to ship this? Well, the good news about enterprise is when they decide to purchase these items, it's not like, okay, we added it to the cart, we hit buy, we put it in our credit card checkout, and it's like shit. There's like a three or four month delay alignment meetings. IT wants to talk about where it's going to go. How is it going to ship? Can we rack it? How do we do that? You know, we have a, you know, a script file that we send out that like collects their network configuration so we can pre-install it. So what am I trying to say, Alex? We have some lead time. That lead time does two things for us. It, it, uh, it removes a lot of the risk around supply chain. You know, we have time to get the parts that we need. And then the second thing is we have time to build, build the thing. Um, you know, now building the thing is a struggle. You know, I'm, I'm a founder, so I love this stuff. I geek out about it. Yes, I'm there helping build Go Ones. We've purchased these robotic arms that help us do it. Do you have a picture of your factory? I didn't know you guys were using robotic arms, but if you have one handy, I would love to see this. Jason, we do love a factory shop. One of the issues with hyper growth startups is the accounts receivable can exceed the operational capital, which then there is two solutions. You can get a venture debt line or just a debt line in general, factoring, whatever. But the better thing to do, and listen, I'm not on the board. I mean, I think we have a board seat. But I think the better thing for us to do in this situation, if I was going to do a little mini powwow here, is we should allow people who pay in full to move to the top of the list. And then people who put a deposit down go next. So there's two options. If you really need this, you put a full deposit down. That's one VIP list. That's the VIP list. and then the second is you put a deposit down, we call you. How do I know this is a great strategy? This is what Elon did with the Signature Series. When I bought Signature 16 of the Roadster, I put $150K deposit down. When I bought the Model S serial number one and serial number 73, I had to put $150K down for each. So he got $450K of my money into the company to be operating capital. I took the risk, but I got the reward. And that's really what you should do is just tell folks, listen, if you put a full deposit down, yeah. So because you're taking a deposit of what, 20%, 50%? It depends. Some clients, surprisingly, are paying up front, which is great. A lot of them are capitalizing it monthly. Oh, right. Because they want to depreciate. Yeah. So there's bonus depreciation, thanks to our incredible, amazing, wonderful, extraordinary. Insert a couple more compliments here, President Trump. You always got to do that just to stay in good standing. you know he did like this uh capital depreciation which was very good for this kind of thing yeah i don't know where it is now for what is the business depreciation in 2026 is it 60 you can just write off immediately it's not 100 i don't think it's nice i know that yeah it was like 100 i think in the first year and then i think it goes down 90 80 10 or something because that would be 10 2026 businesses can utilize 100 bonus depreciation for eligible newer used assets machinery equipment software and so it's 100 yeah that's uh great awesome Great for business. My taxes didn't get, my personal taxes didn't get such a lovely boost. I'm jealous. You do have that actually. I do. Well, no, you have a, you have a corporation. So what that means is if you bought a MacBook or whatever, you could depreciate the whole cost now as opposed to putting it over five years. So that would, now you're, look at you, you're like, huh. So if you want to stimulate the economy, independent of what you think of President Trump or Biden or Kamala, whatever. When you do this depreciation, what you get is a massive rush to build businesses. So a data center or putting a go abacus or two in, people get a little more frisky. They invest a little bit more. They get off the sidelines because if you're going to pay your taxes anyway, let's say even with your one man, two person operation, if you have to pay 50k in taxes this year and i said well you could buy 10k of you know laptops for everybody and a mac studio and you don't have to pay taxes on that you'd be like oh wow it's 35 off it's 40 off yeah yeah it's pretty juicy um and it does get people off the sidelines totally in favor of just one thousand percent if i hadn't seen the recent news that the u.s now has debt greater than gtp i would be i'd be totally in favor um i want to ask before we let david go about chicago because this company is based in really my original technology hub. I have a lot of affection for Chicago, but I haven't been there in a hot minute. So what's the startup scene like? How active are VCs? Did Chicago finally get some later stage investors? Talk to me. Okay. So Alex, I tried to ask my parents tactfully once, like, why do we live here? Like you could have chosen any place, like, but you chose here. And I never got like a straight answer out of them, but I've never really regretted living here because it's just like it's kind of a work city. People here work and it has that Midwestern vibe. And so I just love it in Chicago. I know that I know there are other places in the world that are fantastic, too. But Chicago is always home to me. In terms of the tech scene, Alex, this is a corny answer, but it's true. I'm working, so I don't know. I love it. That's the right answer. Yeah. I don't go to those. Well, what about hiring? I mean, I do think there's been a number of companies that have left. Obviously, people are going to certain states for tax reasons, for freedom reasons. So I wonder if there's a, I know there's been some big companies there from Groupon to others. So there is talent there. Do you have an in-office culture or remote? We have an in-office culture. I was remote for a long time, Jason, but then it's just easier when they're right next to you and you could say, hey, man, let's talk about this. Yes. You know, so we have two offices that we go between Merchandise Smart and Fulton Market. So it's in-office culture. In terms of the talent, there's a lot of talent out here. There's a ton of talent that we're tapping into. And, you know, I love San Francisco, but when I've tried to recruit from there, I love you, San Francisco. I love everyone from San Francisco, a lot of the folks that we try and hire, they want these crazy high salaries, and I think they deserve them. But there's a certain caliber of work that you have to execute on to get that salary. Absolutely. Absolutely. And I'm like- They're also a bit mercenary. When you've been through this through three or four cycles, it's just like four-year vest and the loyalty to the company is second to the next opportunity. So there's a group of folks who just flowed between, they started at Google, they went to Meta, they did Uber, now they're at Anthropic, whatever. And if they leave some shares on the table because they can work Anthropic off of SpaceX, off of OpenAI and say, hey, you got to make up for what I'm leaving on the table. They're more than willing to do that. So I think it's really smart to be the big fish in a smaller pond and then have continuity. And that's what I found. People love living in Austin. I think of 23 people, I'm down to like maybe five, including Alex, who are remote. I like to stay active. You know, I'm getting a little older, but I've started drinking IMH Daily Ultimate Essentials, and it is delicious. I'm starting to notice a real shift. I drink it every morning, and I just feel less tired, right? Which allows me to really, you know, catch up and attack the day. IMH Daily Ultimate Essentials packs the benefits of 16 different supplements into one tasty drink. It's loaded with 92 nutrient-rich ingredients, including vitamins, minerals, adaptogens, along with pre-, pro-, and post-biotics. It's giving me a great energy boost. It calms your digestion, and it's an easy habit to stick with because it tastes delicious. So start feeling like your best self every day with IM8. Go to im8health.com slash twist and use the code TWIST to get a free welcome kit, five free chavarol sachets, and 10% off your order. These statements have not been evaluated by the FDA. This product is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure, or prevent any disease. And what I said to people, I think it was two years ago, you probably remember, Alex. I just said, if you're an ultra high performer, E-H-P, if you're an E-H-P, ultra high performer, you can stay remote. Anybody else has to return to office. And then over time, people who were not in the top, and I said, people said, what's the ultra high performer? I said it before. Our organization, it's the top one third because everybody's a high performer. Ultra high is the top third. Alex would be in the top third. Matt, who's our top sales guy, he's in the top third. Heidi, top hardest working person. So I make an exception for them. Everybody else, I was just like, we'll see. And now I got everybody in office. It works better. You can actually build a culture. And then, hey, you're like, hey, why does Alex get to work from home? Why does Heidi get to work from home? It's like, look at the performance. All right. Listen, we got to drop you off, David. Continued success. I hope we've been helpful to you. You went to Founder University, then you went to the Accelerator. So you're one of the true success stories in the J.Cowl portfolio collection. I'm so proud of you. I think we also did a syndicate too. So you are literally the trifecta of the vision I had, which is podcasts, Founder University, Accelerator Syndicate, which is like, hey, over the life of a company, how could we be helpful? knowledge and community from the podcast, founding university, community, knowledge, maybe a small check, accelerator. Okay. Now we're definitely in business together. We're introducing you to as many great investors. It's got my name on it. People might give you a meeting or two because of that. And then finally syndicate. Okay. We can scale with you and keep our pro rata, sometimes even go super pro rata. So just absolutely great to be on that trifecta of a journey with you, David. Very just, I mean, we knew you were going to be successful, but this is a a level of success, you know, up there with Micro One and Thalamus and, you know, TaxGPT. We've got a number of breakout companies right now and just really excited. No pressure, though. No, just, I mean, here's the good news. Go Abacus is hiring selectively in Chicago for killers. David at goabacus.co will get you directly to the CEO. So if you're extraordinary, if you think you can add value, hey, this is a great rocket ship to get on now. Thank you, Jason. Thank you, Alex. I have to say I feel like my life is now complete because Jason said he's proud of me. My next goal is to get Mike Savito to say he's proud of me. Oh, good luck. If I could get that, then I would be complete. I feel like that's going to be much harder. I mean, I've been working for him since the early 90s, and he still held that. I think he might have said it this year. He might have said, I'm proud of you because I'm matured just a little bit. Okay. Great job, David. We'll drop you off. I have to do a little interstitial before we bring up. Okay. So David said that they have offices in the merchandise mart, which does not sound cool, but I want to just make a little note here. This is the Chicago merchandise mart. If you're on the audio version, imagine a building that is so large. It is the only building, I think in the US, aside from the Pentagon, that has its own zip code. And we were talking about- My Lord. Right? Right? I mean, it looks like something out of a science fiction movie. Who builds a building like that? It must have a giant courtyard, right? So in order to get all the sunlight in there, or is it just that deep? Merchandise, Mark, from the top. I'll see what I can find here. Oh, yeah, if you do. You know what? It might have been a factory building. Therefore, they didn't. But in today's regulations, you need to have light coming in. So the depth and the footprint of that building is so deep, they must have air chutes. So when they built those in, no, it might. Look, there's a cutout there. There might be a cutout, but it is deep and thick. And what it's for, I think, in Chicago, should be putting every single startup in that building. You want to build community? That would do it. Density. Density is it. You have the building. Just stuff it full of tech companies. Next up on the show, we have Jose Caldera. He is the founder of Yanez, which is a BitTensor-backed company of sorts, Jason. Rebranded from Yanez Compliance. if you're on the Googles. And what does it do? Well, it wants to help people determine if a human is present, if a unique human is present, and how to ensure that when an agent is out in the world, the human that gave it permission to go out and do things for it is legitimate. So Jose, you're solving personhood and uniqueness on the internet. Welcome to the show. Nice to be here. I appreciate the time, Jason and Alex. Yeah, so it's a thing that we need all to wrestle with. Moving forward, trying to make sure that every participant that you have, everyone that is in this call, that is actually a human and that is actually unique. Some challenges that we never thought we would face but something that we have to deal on a daily basis now Who is the customer here Who needs to figure out identity and needs to do it through a service like this? There are, I know some services, Alex, I don't know which they are, but sometimes when I'm doing a transaction online, it asks me to take a picture of myself, I think for age verification now. I'm trying to remember what platform recently did this. I know the dating apps do it, so I I didn't experience it there, but I did experience it on, oh, I think I may have experienced it when I was doing Clear or TSA pre. It might have been TSA pre where they took a picture of you. And then I did an age verification really where it, oh, it might have been TikTok. That was what it was. I went live on TikTok recently and it did a scan of my face and it said, I'm just doing an age thing. And it was like, okay, you're old, dude. And it let me start live. So who's using this? What are they using it for? The notion that you need to figure out whether you're dealing with a human, it's everywhere. So if you think about CAPTCHAs, you know, when CAPTCHA was about, it was really about trying to figure out whether the person that you're interacting with was a live human, right? So it would answer a little bit of a challenge. And then by answering that challenge, then you proved yourself that you were there and you were a human. And of course, across the years, that has become a little bit of a nuance and people are looking for alternatives on how to do this. So who is the user? Everyone. Every organization needs in moving forward is going to have to make a distinction in between whether you're dealing with a bot or whether you're dealing with an actual human. And that is different in a way from the types of identity verification systems that you were describing before, where you actually have to prove in a way that you are who you say you are, right? And I think there is a distinction there because as we move forward, the use of identity data and identity systems to kind of deal with fraud and so on are going to be very challenged because of the growth of the fake attacks. What I would take from that as an investor is the service is new. We don't have too many customers right now or we don't know who the customers are using it. Do we have like known customers using it? Our system? Yeah. So we are in alpha state for this product, and we have about five projects that are coming live soon. Got it. But one of them are DeFi protocols, peer-to-peer, moving money, data wallets, that kind of product, that kind of industry. Got it. So crypto really wants this kind of solution, and they understand the crypto ecosystem. And you would just do this through an API. So I have an app. I'm Robinhood. Or I've got an app. It's a dating app. I would just hit it with an API and then it proves that it's a human, correct? Well, you would have at some point to, the solution is biometric based. So at some point you have to do the capture of those biometrics and then a challenge to those biometrics. So you have to do a challenge and a capture. So that means that you are going to sort of hand it off, if you will, to an application that is going to do this verification and the capture of it. And that's the miners on the other side are coming up with algorithms to do that. And that's their role. Ah. Close. How's that hit him? Yes. So the miner is, so when you're trying to prove that you are human, right, you need to prove that, well, you're not an AI generated content. You are there. So what the miners are doing for us is generating the synthetic identity data that we use to challenge these models. So in a way, our models for detection, our models to prove that you are there, that you're a real participant, are always being attacked by our miners. And that's their function. Their function is to attack our system every day as hard as they can so that we can build better and better and better detection so we can keep the arm phrase basically going in that way. Amazing. I think it's really, really cool. And the agentic use case here is why I'm really excited because I would love to be able to delegate to my agent the fact that I, Alex, the human, have given it responsibilities and permissions to interact with my data and financial information. So talk to me about how delegation comes into this and how quickly you think you're going to be able to serve customers in the AI space. Yeah, that is a fantastic case, right? Because agent world is growing very fast and is supposed to exponentially grow within the next year, especially in the e-commerce world. So the idea that you can go and say, these are my agents and I'm authorizing these agents to do this type of activities is something that is going to be fundamental on the other side to prove that Jose actually did this transaction, right? So if you go to a merchant and you go and say, hey, I bought my $1,000 computer or my $3,000 computer and it was an agent that did it, but you can actually tie that agent and give authorization to that. That gives the merchant on the other side the tools required to say, I know for a fact that this agent was authorized to do this transaction on behalf of a human. And that's where the connection into the agent world is going to come. And that is just an example within the commerce ecosystem. But this is true for everything, right? This is true for if you want to sign, say, a contract and you have an agent that is signing that contract on your behalf. You want to make sure that that agent has a chain of custody in terms of the authorization. And one of the things that this technology gives you the ability to is to give that chain of non-repidiation in line, right? Let's show the video. Alex, we have a video, yeah. And then we'll give another question to you. We do have a video. This is from our friends at Varianas, and I'm pulling it up right now. Here it is. Video is worth 10,000 words, and you get sportscasted if you want. Yeah, so basically what you're looking at is a registration concept here is how somebody registers and how the application is capturing your biometrics. And then those biometrics are being processed, cryptographically processed inside your device. And then we generate this privacy preserving set of bio keys that we store in a decentralized registry. And then when that person comes in either to validate itself or try to register again, we can tell whether this already has been registered or not. And that's what the uniqueness is about, right? That you are a unique person in here. So when you are doing things like voting, when you're doing things like try to say, okay, I'm going to give you rewards to this particular human, you actually have to make sure that that human is unique, that you don't have 20, 100 identities attached to the same human. This is what I want for my X.com account and what I try to do with subscriptions. I have 2000 subscribers out of my 1.2 million followers. So sometimes when I don't have time to like look at my replies, I just I'm like, this is going to be a spicy tweet. I'll just let the one dollar a month that goes to charity subscribers post. And by the way, some of them are people who are like MAGA, America First, trolls, whatever. They hate me and they pay a dollar a month to dunk on me. But I'm like, at least I know there's a hurdle here and it can't be there. Nobody has 2000 of them because that would be all 2000 of my subscribers. But I would love to say, hey, anybody who's a subscriber, a blue checkmark and who when they post their post, it recognizes they're human. And I think that's what's coming next to X is they're going to do their own version of this proof of human because social networks are getting filled with AI slop. My replies, I can tell when something's AI slop. And it's so easy to do because you just have a virtual machine come up. You log in. It looks. It's moving a mouse around. It's reading tweets randomly. And then it replies and comes up with a spicy reply. And then, of course, they get followers, yada, yada. It's very hard for them to detect. But proof of human, man, that's going to really change everything. And that would just be wonderful. I mean, I don't mind doing that. And in Korea, you have to have a social security number. the equivalent in order to join a social network. Now, that might be too much for Americans. We might still want to have the ability to have an anonymous or semi pseudo anonymous thing. But for consumers to have that level of control, only show humans in my feed, I think a lot of people would click it. If I could say on Instagram, TikTok, LinkedIn, et cetera, only show humans, only show human written posts, my God, I would love it. So Jose, continued success. What subnet number are you? We're subnet 54. How long have you had that subnet? And maybe explain to people how they can participate in the subnet if they're technical or non-technical and they're just building an app. So we launched in June of last year. We saw BitTensor as a great opportunity to create this network of decentralized attackers into our models. And that's what lured us into BitTensor. How do you take an advantage of all these scientists across the world to do this? So the current miners is, as you know, it's a permissionless environment. So everybody could be a miner. Everybody could be producing data. And we have the incentives. The protocol has incentives to bring these miners into the protocol. So with that, then we are opening the challenge every time. The incentive algorithm. So BitTensor is a network of incentives. So basically, the miners are incentivized, we give them money, and they try to break our systems. And that's kind of the cycle of it. And this is that ever, I mean, that's the reason why we can be, you know, how we're agnostic, that we can actually get a leg up of the froster because, well, we are inviting all of them into trying to break our systems before we build the protections in the solution that we provide to the market. Awesome. And the market cap is but $9, $10 million right now. So if people want to understand why I'm excited about BitTensor, I consider BitTensor my own little Y Combinator launch accelerator tech stars. There's 128 of these subnets currently. They have to fight to be one of the subnets. They have these tiny market caps. You can participate on the subnet level. You can participate on the Tau level and by Tau. And we'll see where this winds up. If Jose doesn't build and deliver, you lose the subnet. If he does deliver, the market cap goes up. It's the wild west. It's permissionless. Disclaimer, disclaimer, disclaimer. But when I see, and now we've had, I think, 20 different subnets, maybe 10 or 20 different subnets here on the program. Still Core Capital, my partner, Mark Jeffrey, is working on that. They're investing in the subnets. I've invested in the Tau on the top. I don't know, Alex, if you bought a little Tau on the side or not yet. Actually, it's on my short list. Once I I get a little long story. No, no. I have an old legacy Citibank account that I can't access that has like 11K in it. I'm just going to YOLO, YOLO, five dimes in. Yeah. So anyway, I think it's like an interesting project. It could go to zero. It could go to the moon. Probably winds up somewhere between those two. Jose, thanks for coming on the program. Thank you, Jose. Thank you so much for having me. No, what they really want is Rapid Fire Founder University. Japan applications are now open for cohort two. Oh, well, that's going to be June 7th when we close the applications. It starts July 21st. I know that because I'll be in Tokyo in July, which is going to be a blast. And I'm really excited because I'm going to bring the fam. You can apply at tokyo.launch.co. The program graduates in October in San Francisco. So the top companies from that program come to America and get to meet a bunch of people here. It's a great program. It's our second one. We do it in partnership with our friends at Jetro. And what else can I tell you? You know, if you're, I think, in terms of what qualifies you to be in it, you can go to the website. They basically want people who are in Japan or citizens of Japan or based in Japan. Go get the details at the website, tokyo.launch.co. We'll see you there. It's going to be fantastic. How did Cohort 1 go? I mean, it was incredible. We had 60 great companies. The top 10 came to America. And they're incredibly innovative. And something magical happened in Japan over the last decade. It used to be your parents pushed you really hard to go get a safe job. There's a term called a salaryman, a little gender bias there. But a salaryman as a concept means you go work for a company for 30, 40 years. You get your retirement. You're loyal to the company, company's loyal to you. That's every parent's dream. And kids who said, I want to go work at a startup, the parents would be like, oh my God, that doesn't sound safe. Today, because they have so many jobs available in those large corporations, young people have said, why not do a startup? Why not join a startup? And the big corporation job will always be there. So if I want to flip to become a salary man or woman, I have that as my safety school. But my primary, I really, the going for the brass ring is now doing a startup. So that culturally is amazing, which is why I'm investing my time there. If it was 10 or 20 years ago when it's kind of hard to get people in Japan to think that way, think startup first, the entire planet is going startup first. Why? Layoffs. Tech layoffs, which I think is a good segue yep we'll start there so this week we saw layoffs from cloudflare we saw layoffs from coinbase and we got some updated news from block the fentech company that went through massive layoffs earlier this year a couple of quick notes here jason cloudflare is cutting i think something like 11 of its staff a large number and they said that their ai use has gone up by 600 in the last three months they are trying to re-architect their company for the quote agentic ai era coinbase Similar idea. They want smaller teams. They want managers that are ICs as well. They want to have fewer layers. And we're hearing it again and again and again. Every tech company wants to get smaller and faster. Jason, I'm kind of blown away, though, by how many people are getting fired. Yeah. Coinbase is 14 percent. And that just happened. That's 700 people. Block was 4,000 people in February. That was 40 percent. Crypto.com, 12 percent. Cloudflare is 20 percent, not 11. Sorry, I got my numbers mixed up. No problem. And so these are not insignificant layoffs. And now certain people are going to want to say these companies were bloated. Certainly that was true. And we saw that starting in the post-COVID era, they had run up too many employees and everybody started the layoffs then. That would be 21, 22, 23 layoffs. Now, when we look at 24, 25, 26 layoffs, A lot of that is people who weren't brave enough or didn't want to take the medicine back then for being bloated. But now it's clearly AI. It's clearly AI related. Now, are some people using the cover of AI to make themselves feel better about it? 100%. Okay. So multiple things can be true. I am not a partisan. I am not trying to defend the Trump administration. I don't have a horse in the race. I'm a moderate independent. Alex, you're a little bit left. Some of my other friends are a little bit right. I'm straight down the middle here. I can tell you exactly what's going on. It used to be that deploying people was how you won. You could use capital and you could use people. Talent and capital were two vectors for beating people. That's now switched. what is the playbook for founders today at scale? It's not the Google playbook and the Facebook playbook of we're just going to hire everybody smart and figure it out later. And it wasn't, we're going to raise as much money as possible and figure it out later, a la Uber. Now we're moving into a new era where it's infrastructure and AI as a weapon. The people deploying AI the fastest, are getting the gains the fastest, which increases their margin, which means they're more profitable, which means their stocks go up, which means they have higher value RSUs to give to the most elite employees. And that's the virtuous cycle. Or you use that capital to build infrastructure that gives you a definitive advantage, like we're seeing the hyperscalers do, whether it's Amazon, whether it's Facebook, whether it's Google, whether it's Elon with Colossus 1 and 2, and now having Cursor and Anthropic as their customers. So let's let that sit for a minute. And what you'll understand is the people who are making AI, the people participating in AI, understand the application of AI a hundred, a thousand times better than legacy companies. Therefore, they are the canaries in the coal mine. and Block restated their earnings forecast. Correct, Alex? Explain that piece of this because I believe that that is the key piece. As you can say, we are raising our full year guidance to reflect our strong execution and increased expectations for the remainder of the year. Why does this matter in the context of what Jason just said? Well, the company went through massive layoffs earlier this year, partially predicated around AI. And it said in the same document that as of early April, 100% of Block employees are using AI tools to do their work. Production code changes per engineer are up over two and a half X. So the company cut it, refactored how it run ran. And now it is seeing results that are both better internally, how it operates with the engineers and so forth, and in terms of financial outcomes. So it kind of a very quick validation Jason of the things they were saying in March And I think a validation of your point about how quickly things are changing The thing that I want to narrow down on though is if you a startup you already building a relatively small team right If you a series A company, you don't have a thousand employees to cut. So what does in your view, Jason, the perfect or ideal startup setup look like in terms of people, investment, and AI at maybe the seed in Series A level. I want to just make this operational. Well, if we get to the operational basis, it's use AI, be AI first, or don't work here. And so I right now have a company where I would say I'm at 20%. I probably have four team members who are AI first. And I am going to give the edict this year, by the end of the year, AI first, or this isn't the place for you. Can you define AI first here? Because I think we use that almost a bit too fleshly. Yeah, very simple. Any task you're doing, you have to ask AI first, how could I do this task better? And then any task that you do over and over again, you have to work with AI to let AI do that task, or at least attempt to. So frequently, you see me doing this with the team, because you are seeing me behind the scenes. And I'll have somebody say, yeah, okay, I don't know how to do that. And I'm like, boom, want to shoot myself. And I'm like, okay, here's what you do. Ask AI, how do I make social media clips for this podcast more effective? Then the next level of thinking is, that's like you learning with the AI. The next level of thinking is, here are our last 10 YouTube clips. Please vet them. Create a scoring system for that. Please run that scoring system against this Google sheet or this RSS feed, and then send a report every day. And take your skills MD file and run every Sunday a deep learning of every way that people have talked about that's different than last week on how to make better titles and better thumbnails and just increase the engagement with your content, and then tell me every week how that skill changed. So you're managing the agent and you're managing yourself with AI. I still have people on my team. The majority of my team is not doing this. And the excuse is, well, I'm busy. I'm doing other things. And oh, I didn't get to it. If you don't have the time to get to it, you don't have a job. That's what startups are doing now. That's what Block has done. Block specifically said, 100% of employees are using this. And the real headline is not like us talking about this. It's the brass tax. So that's what I was trying to get you to, which is Q1 2026, earnings per share, Block earned 85 cents per share versus 68, which was expected, and 56 a year ago. That's roughly 26%. Oh, did you say beat guidance or when they raised guidance? Whatever it is, the earnings are going up. So just to get to brass tax here, Their forecast, block race this 2026 adjusted EPS guidance from 385 a share to about 385 a share, which is 62% higher than the 2025. Separately, Anas estimate show earnings expected to grow from roughly 222 per share to 333, about 50% next year. So what's happening is all of this is now dropping to the bottom line. And once one set of founders have now set the bogey, they've said, we're going to increase earnings dramatically. You're starting to see the earnings guidance go up and the costs stay the same. That is the key here. And it is a prisoner's dilemma for anybody who wants to be loyal to their lollygagging employees or even their average employees. I know I sound like a manic capitalist here. I'm just telling you how people think in Silicon Valley, how people think in corporate America, and how people think on Wall Street. If there's a gain to be had, you have no choice but to take it. That's capitalism. Because if you don't take it, your competitor takes it, their earnings go up, they can attract the best talent, you can't, they get more investment because people believe in the management team more, and then people stop believing in you. This is the prisoner's dilemma, This is the savageness of it. So how does one counter this if you're an employee who's been laid off? Go ahead, Alex. Go super deep on AI, build stuff yourself and show your future employer that you can kick ass and don't need help. I mean, not to make this personal, but you worked at TechCrunch. TechCrunch got bought by private equity. It got sold three or four times in like 18 months. I don't know how many people have owned this thing. It was brutal. It's like a hot potato. I'm guessing you're doing plus or minus the same as you are, but you're independent now, correct? In terms of total work? Total compensation, your total revenue versus being, you know, having one revenue stream with like TechCrunch versus now having multi-revenue stream. By the end of this year, I will be. Right now, I'm still building up towards it. But yeah, I'm going to get there. Yeah. So let's take a pause there and say, hey, you're seeing this in journalism over and over and over again. The top folks start a sub stack. They do a podcast. They collaborate on podcasts like we're doing. And they basically become independent startup founders. The only way you will solve this problem, whether you're a graduate or you've been laid off, is to study your previous employer. Look for what was too small. If you've been laid off by Block, by other people. Very simple playbook. Find two or three people who are also laid off. Maybe even five or six. And say, hey, let's have a meeting. Let's get revenge on the person who laid us off. Get a chip on your shoulder. Do a revenge startup. Look at your previous employer and say, what opportunities were they screwing up? What opportunities weren't they taking? What projects would they never get to? What did we learn from running that company that was smart and what was dumb? Brainstorm, brainstorm, brainstorm. Try making three different products. Excuse me. You can leave that into the short. Try making three different products and put them in the order in which you think they'll succeed. If you try the first one and it gets traction, keep going. If it doesn't, kill it, do the second one. If that gets traction, then double down. And double down until something breaks out and can cover your six people or three people co-founders' salaries, and then you're independent of them. And that's where the economy is going. There will be a Cambrian, and it's happening already, there's a Cambrian explosion of startups right now at independent contractors. It is the future. The future is independent contractors, independent solo startups, startups of two or three making low hundreds of thousands to low millions per employee. And you know what? It's like the Wild West. This is like America at its greatest. It's like going west. Go west, young man, and go prospect. Get your 40 acres and a mule. Get your gold mine going. You know, try to, you know, sell shovels, do whatever you got to do and get your claim. Go stake your claim, folks. This is the opportunity. You can look at it like a victim or you can look at it as an opportunity. This is the greatest opportunity to stake your claim. Another thing that I saw, Jason, very recently was that Stripe, which has an Atlas program, which I use kind of as a proxy for people who want to start companies. I used Stripe Atlas to build my LLC. This chart shows how many people are incorporating using Stripe Atlas. Again, single data point, one company's information, caveat, caveat, caveat. But we are seeing from previously a steady ramp up to a massive step function change in the first quarter of this year. Jason, if this holds across the broader U.S. economy, you're dead on. And actually, pull the chart up again. It started actually in 25. You started to see a 10, 20% increase each quarter in 2025. So if we look at Q1 2025 to Q1 2024, that looks like 10%. And then the next quarter, Q2, it looks like a massive growth. Now, some of this could be the marketing, as you said, with your disclaimers of Stripe Atlas. They could have put more marketing into it or whatever. They could have lowered their fee. They could be beating their competitors. Who knows? But this is, I think, what you'd see across the board from anybody in corporations. It's an undeniable trend. And so, yeah, go get it, folks. All right. Lightning round. Last story. Anthropic, $50 billion at a $900 billion pre-money valuation. The FT reports that its revenue is about to reach a $45 billion annualized run rate. Expensive? Cheap? How would you rate that round? If they continue adding, you know, a billion or 2 billion or 3 billion every month, you know, we could be sitting here in six months with another 10, 20 billion in revenue. Maybe they end the year at 50 or 60. So, you know, this is going to get them into eventually the MAG-7, you know, territory. Right now, they're a fraction of that. compared to Amazon, Google, and the people who are doing $50 billion a quarter, $100 billion a quarter. So there are some very big companies out there. But I think it's fait accompli that if there is an addition to the Mag 7, they will be in. And then I would say, obviously, SpaceX will be behind them, and SpaceX plus Tesla will rocket to the number one position or number two position in the Mag 7, which I think is fait accompli as well. And so congratulations to them. I'm not buying shares at that level. I think all of these are going to trade cheaper in a year or two after. So if you were going to buy shares in these companies right now, I think you're paying well above market and there's risk factors. I think after the IPO, like many great companies, they'll be trading below their IPO price. You'll be able to get in on them later. Yeah. Also, here's the thing. Do you know who owns a lot of Anthropic shares? Every single major tech company that you already own in your index. Amazon owns 20%, right? Right. And you know what I own a lot of in my index funds? Amazon. I feel like people talk about like, oh, we all must have an open AI if you weren't an early investor. Not really. I've owned Microsoft shares through my index funds since the first time they put a dollar into that company. You have exposure if you own those. You have exposure if you own NVIDIA because they're a big customer. There's a lot of proxies here. Yeah, absolutely. Last story. What's our last story? All right. So Whoop, everyone's favorite fitness wearable, is bringing clinicians into their application via video chat. Now, part of this is going to be an add-on cost if you want to talk to these people live. But Jason, I'm curious, what do you think about these doctors on demand? Yeah, this is a major sea change. Aura, Function, Superpower, and Whoop are all at the forefront of consumer-led healthcare. And while everybody is hand-wringing about the universal healthcare, the technology industry is coming up in the back of the race, and they're rebuilding the stack. road.co slash twist to get your GLPs. Tell them your Uncle Jake Al sent you. All of these are leading to consumer-led healthcare. And Whoop now lets you do blood panels in it. They have an AI in it. And now I want a doctor. I can afford to have a high-end concierge doctor. I've had them two or three times in the past. And those costs generally 20 to 50K a year. There's some super ones that might be 100K a year for a family. But this is going to give people the ability. I'm going to guess it's $300 a consultation, $200 a consultation. I don't think it will get covered by insurance. Maybe it does. Maybe it doesn't. Who knows? But it doesn't matter because if your copay is 5,000 or whatever your deductible is, this stuff is so cheap comparatively to the cost of healthcare that I think people are going to start rolling their own. And I can't wait because, listen, if I'm, I want my doctor to start with my Whoop data. I want them to start with my blood panel from Function or Superpower. I want them to start with my Eight Sleep data, but they won't, they generally won't. And then how do you get them the data? You know, inside these products, you can take screenshots. I want a Whoop first doctor. I want an Eight Sleep first doctor. I want a Peptide first doctor, a blood test first doctor. Superpower has a concierge. That's kind of like a consultant, but not a doctor. Maybe they added one. This is going to change everything. And I've been thinking about states' rights a whole bunch as we've watched this country go so divided over the years. I think the state that provides universal health care, I think we should get rid of health care from the federal government. The federal government should give some amount of money to each state to deploy as they wish, which I think is kind of how it works already. Block grants and so forth. Yeah. I think we should break this up state by state. And if a state wants to attract people, let's say you're Idaho and you got a big push to get people to go there and you're trying to get people to move there, you could create universal healthcare. Or you could say, everybody who lives here gets a blood panel, gets a whoop, gets a GLP, gets $1,000 in these kind of services as part of being a citizen here and paying your taxes. We need to have 50 different competitive states going at it, just like we have 50 different states fighting it out for data centers, for different headquarters of companies, tax breaks, et cetera. The federalization of this country and executive power is killing this country. The absolute ridiculous amount of debt we're going into is killing this country. The only way to fight it is to fight against federalism and to let it be 50 different experiments going on. I'm pretty sure you agree with me on this, Alex? Well, I just want to understand it because you're talking about the federal government spending money to give it to the states, let them run their own experiments. So to me, it still feels a little federal. Yeah. Or you deprecate that over some period of time and you let them collect it themselves. So your federal tax goes down, the federal government gets smaller. Like the Department of Education on a federal level, it's not working. The healthcare at a federal level, it's not working. It's too big. It's too unruly. And then what you have is the states gaming the federal government and corruption at all levels from federal down to state cities. We're seeing it everywhere. It's not just a blue state thing. It's everywhere. In Texas, we had a bunch of people. I know the Republicans are doing a really good job of exposing California, Minnesota, but we have a bunch of this fraud in Texas as well. Florida too. Florida has it. I mean, it might not be as acute. Putting it all aside, there's too much fraud. There's too much gaming of the system. If it's a distributed system, it's going to be easier to control because you have local control. The local politicians are going to fight harder and they're going to be closer to their constituents who are going to knock them out of their position in terms of local governance if taxes keep going up and they'll be fighting to bring them down. too much federalism. The federal government has to get smaller. And then we have to give the regions, the ability, the states, the ability to fight and innovate, whether it's on housing, healthcare, or education. Thanks for coming to my TED Talk. You heard it here first. Jason Calacanis comes out and endorses state-level AI regulation. I mean, yes. I mean, thank you for pointing that out. I do think there are things, and David Sachs and I have a big difference here. I wouldn't trust Biden or Kamala or Trump or J.D. Vance with AI regulation for everything. We have poker regulation by state. Is it a bummer that you can't go to one poker site and everybody's on? Yes. But each state getting to decide gives us some ability to test it. Cannabis regulation, gambling, gay marriage. Listen, I know that we all have strong feelings about these, but being able to pick the state you want to live in across 50 different ones to the one that matches your particular view of how the world should be, that's beautiful. That's great. That's called choice. And so if we broke apart the AI regulation, yeah, I don't think we need to regulate models on a city by city or state by state basis. But for self-driving, sure, why not? Why not have states have the right to decide what they want to do? For employment issues, licensing of taxis, whatever. I know it's unfair. Listen, I'm a big shareholder in a lot of these companies doing ride sharing and full self-driving. But if Massachusetts and New York and California and Texas have different views of this, I went through this already with Uber. Texas, I'm sorry, Nevada took a long time to get Uber. It's true. People fought it in different states. Okay, vive la différence. Better to have that than to have some god kings in Washington, D.C. who are on the grift, who are getting paid by these lobbyists. That system's broken. We know that system's broken. So why not let the states have at it? The older I get and the more I see the corruption, the more I see the executive power getting abused, the more I want more independence and more state sovereignty. I wrote about this the other day and I completely agree with you. Cautious optimism. Yeah. Well, I just, there's a lot of talk right now about AI regulation. I didn't bring it up just to be slightly annoying, but more to the point that the White House was floating some ideas about kind of having pre-release rights to AI models and then people freaked out and they're walking that back. But even that hint of giving, not Congress, because I think that would be slightly different, the executive branch, to your point of executive power, control over what AI models I can news, terrifies me to no end, Jason. No interest in that. Pass. Thank you. Absolutely. Yeah. We just not where we want to live. Not where we want to go. Not where we want to go. All right. Long live capitalism, long live democracy and federalism because that gives power to the states. All right. And we'll see you next time, Monday. That's Twist. Bye-bye.